PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s7

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +30d

assessed

138

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

54.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2114

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0576

actual +0.0189

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.562328	-10.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.559265	-9.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.573909	-9.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.573986	-9.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.561331	-8.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.594092	-9.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.544841	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.53987	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.57404	-7.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.567532	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.619088	-8.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.620944	-8.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.60305	-8.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.583257	-9.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.59695	-9.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.593957	-9.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.679691	-8.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.747949	-8.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.656681	-8.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.685824	-8.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.642461	-8.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.654983	-8.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.620765	-8.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.61118	-8.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.595454	-9.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.559415	-9.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.599681	-9.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.561602	-9.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.52373	-9.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.526778	-8.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.521685	-9.09%	0.62925	+9.65%	0.2166	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.458593	-10.53%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.2889	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.483198	-10.26%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.2679	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.483843	-10.15%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.2600	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.464018	-9.95%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.2490	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.465664	-9.65%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.3054	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.441308	-9.41%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.2607	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.451411	-9.13%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.2417	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.433885	-8.58%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.3315	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.442118	-8.03%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.3109	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.453731	-7.41%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3709	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.455785	-7.42%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3703	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.446401	-6.66%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3723	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.414379	-5.41%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.4229	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.423406	-5.60%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.4247	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.403758	-4.55%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4642	✗	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.399076	-3.93%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5912	✗	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.397042	-3.56%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6878	✗	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.398134	-2.59%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5742	✗	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.393393	-3.13%	0.747	+83.94%	0.6161	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.400433	-3.25%	0.702	+69.61%	0.5358	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.401957	-2.57%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5628	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.406032	-2.64%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4940	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.413784	-2.65%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4652	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.411541	-2.04%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.4443	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.417441	+0.35%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3772	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.409936	+0.38%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4608	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.423346	+0.78%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3586	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.453661	+1.38%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.2288	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.410108	+0.84%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.3212	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.393876	+0.33%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3517	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.423022	+0.58%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1855	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.386111	-2.84%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.3224	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.378878	-4.73%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.3338	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.360856	-6.97%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3456	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.343566	-6.77%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3901	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.341518	-7.08%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.3389	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.351487	-6.59%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.3235	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.346658	-6.11%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2919	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.355448	-5.98%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2856	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.356135	-6.01%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2983	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.367522	-6.16%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2634	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.376373	-6.08%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.2016	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.38352	-6.21%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0955	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.368366	-6.23%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1558	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.368867	-6.19%	0.423	+7.58%	0.1068	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.369706	-6.39%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0769	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.369889	-6.21%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0579	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.376596	-6.18%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0246	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.387967	-6.47%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0049	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.412463	-6.30%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0467	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.41666	-6.37%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0601	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.410364	-5.79%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0313	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.427907	-5.17%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0448	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.413817	-4.71%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0076	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.406635	-4.70%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0045	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.383253	-3.81%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0423	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.366626	-3.03%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.1084	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.375246	-2.76%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1436	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.377232	-2.13%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0450	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.372532	-1.98%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0240	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.3578	-1.74%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1285	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.335134	-1.81%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1510	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.318689	-1.75%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.2115	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.34312	-1.94%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.1227	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.358591	-2.17%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0282	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.383965	-2.74%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0399	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.383541	-2.56%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0164	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.377607	-2.49%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0160	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.375184	-2.32%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0134	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.38324	-1.92%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0163	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.405884	-2.36%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0349	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.407086	-2.40%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0162	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.403039	-2.69%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0118	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.383009	-2.54%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0202	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.391579	-1.98%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0041	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.404702	-2.36%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0271	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.394569	-2.72%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0022	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.378731	-3.14%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0568	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.404582	-3.69%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0237	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.409154	-3.59%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0700	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.402984	-3.21%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0954	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.405994	-2.41%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0624	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.410059	-1.78%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0791	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.44446	-2.27%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0286	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.448812	-2.41%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0569	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.448612	-2.44%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1242	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.419071	-2.04%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.1097	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.424989	-2.21%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.1025	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.445076	-3.01%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1462	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.481295	-4.13%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2347	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.514486	-5.00%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3424	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.524171	-4.87%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4244	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.530133	-5.08%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.4898	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.538021	-4.63%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4284	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.571109	-5.29%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4417	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.525751	-4.74%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.2860	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.528894	-5.17%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.2940	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.551792	-5.64%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3532	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.550156	-5.55%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3590	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.560951	-5.39%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3602	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.58043	-5.90%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3340	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.526921	-4.82%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2339	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.556336	-5.13%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.3019	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.551783	-5.21%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3432	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.566975	-5.93%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3483	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.593514	-6.69%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3590	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.601342	-6.64%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.4024	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.600045	-7.23%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4352	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.571856	-6.77%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.3039	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.567853	-6.85%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2818	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.558568	-7.75%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2535	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.565863	-10.42%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2186	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.555525	-11.19%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1257	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.550455	-10.94%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0470	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.545252	-10.48%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0276	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.558127	-10.90%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.0554	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.566562	-11.34%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.0670	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.54268	-10.85%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0170	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.549341	-11.02%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0566	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.552009	-10.58%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.1111	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.582507	-10.71%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.1082	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.573392	-10.23%	0.551	-13.73%	0.1367	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.589184	-10.76%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.1350	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.564836	-10.57%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1981	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.513292	-10.72%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3606	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.56659	-10.73%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1510	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.648273	-10.24%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0149	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.687608	-9.88%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.645418	-9.33%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0824	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.680035	-8.14%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0927	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.638809	-9.05%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1864	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.703735	-8.24%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0039	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.742531	-7.23%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0492	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.839104	-7.87%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.0786	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.887932	-11.49%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1414	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.777908	-10.20%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0352	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.590339	-6.62%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3608	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.