MOE
MOE · Mantle · gru_s7
- token id
- #827
- symbol
- MOE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Mantle
- address
- 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2024-11-29
- predictions
- 402
Track record at +7d
assessed
120
of 134 predictions shown
direction hit
67.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3157
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0741
actual -0.1811
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.000324 | 0.000299123 | -7.68% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003162 | 0.000294957 | -6.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003632 | 0.00034008 | -6.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00035745 | 0.000333811 | -6.61% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004181 | 0.000387255 | -7.38% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043585 | 0.000398838 | -8.49% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.0004583 | 0.000410511 | -10.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0004529 | 0.000391547 | -13.55% | 0.000324 | -28.46% | 0.2145 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0004537 | 0.00038058 | -16.12% | 0.0003162 | -30.31% | 0.2150 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.00055985 | 0.000465412 | -16.87% | 0.0003632 | -35.13% | 0.2460 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.0006665 | 0.000548023 | -17.78% | 0.00035745 | -46.37% | 0.4285 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000703 | 0.000561949 | -20.06% | 0.0004181 | -40.53% | 0.2755 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-08 | in | 0.00031 | 0.000313731 | +1.20% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2025-04-07 | in | 0.000317 | 0.000318845 | +0.58% | – | pending | – | – | 2.12 |
| 2025-04-06 | in | 0.0003192 | 0.000321317 | +0.66% | – | pending | – | – | 2.11 |
| 2025-04-05 | in | 0.0003977 | 0.000392527 | -1.30% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2025-04-04 | in | 0.0004024 | 0.000397108 | -1.32% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-03 | in | 0.0003984 | 0.000392166 | -1.56% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-02 | in | 0.000448 | 0.000440725 | -1.62% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-04-01 | in | 0.0004932 | 0.00048194 | -2.28% | 0.00031 | -37.15% | 0.1864 | ✓ | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-31 | in | 0.0004862 | 0.00047495 | -2.31% | 0.000317 | -34.80% | 0.3070 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-30 | in | 0.0004699 | 0.000458729 | -2.38% | 0.0003192 | -32.07% | 0.2473 | ✓ | 2.31 |
| 2025-03-29 | in | 0.0004657 | 0.000453598 | -2.60% | 0.0003977 | -14.60% | 0.1557 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-28 | in | 0.0005013 | 0.000485143 | -3.22% | 0.0004024 | -19.73% | 0.1725 | ✓ | 2.34 |
| 2025-03-27 | in | 0.0005423 | 0.000520287 | -4.06% | 0.0003984 | -26.54% | 0.1528 | ✓ | 2.40 |
| 2025-03-26 | in | 0.0005207 | 0.000494926 | -4.95% | 0.000448 | -13.96% | 0.0200 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-25 | in | 0.0005439 | 0.000522979 | -3.85% | 0.0004932 | -9.32% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-24 | in | 0.0005511 | 0.000528662 | -4.07% | 0.0004862 | -11.78% | 0.0504 | ✗ | 2.29 |
| 2025-03-23 | in | 0.0005092 | 0.000489484 | -3.87% | 0.0004699 | -7.72% | 0.0574 | ✗ | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-22 | in | 0.0005002 | 0.0004799 | -4.06% | 0.0004657 | -6.90% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-21 | in | 0.0004994 | 0.000478538 | -4.18% | 0.0005013 | +0.38% | 0.0382 | ✓ | 2.17 |
| 2025-03-20 | in | 0.00055 | 0.000523253 | -4.86% | 0.0005423 | -1.40% | 0.0408 | ✓ | 2.16 |
| 2025-03-19 | in | 0.000542 | 0.000518135 | -4.40% | 0.0005207 | -3.93% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 2.20 |
| 2025-03-18 | in | 0.0004988 | 0.000480567 | -3.66% | 0.0005439 | +9.04% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-17 | in | 0.00051 | 0.000490101 | -3.90% | 0.0005511 | +8.06% | 0.0207 | ✓ | 2.36 |
| 2025-03-16 | in | 0.0005015 | 0.000483466 | -3.60% | 0.0005092 | +1.54% | 0.0466 | ✓ | 2.35 |
| 2025-03-15 | in | 0.0005216 | 0.000500058 | -4.13% | 0.0005002 | -4.10% | 0.0147 | ✓ | 2.43 |
| 2025-03-14 | in | 0.0005378 | 0.000512663 | -4.67% | 0.0004994 | -7.14% | 0.0286 | ✓ | 2.48 |
| 2025-03-13 | in | 0.0004904 | 0.000480441 | -2.03% | 0.00055 | +12.15% | 0.0424 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-12 | in | 0.0005142 | 0.000500293 | -2.70% | 0.000542 | +5.41% | 0.0129 | ✓ | 2.46 |
| 2025-03-11 | in | 0.0005339 | 0.000519525 | -2.69% | 0.0004988 | -6.57% | 0.0343 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-10 | in | 0.0004858 | 0.000485403 | -0.08% | 0.00051 | +4.98% | 0.1250 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-03-09 | in | 0.00057 | 0.000555834 | -2.49% | 0.0005015 | -12.02% | 0.1614 | ✓ | 2.56 |
| 2025-03-08 | in | 0.0005902 | 0.000563115 | -4.59% | 0.0005216 | -11.62% | 0.0161 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2025-03-07 | in | 0.0006199 | 0.000587987 | -5.15% | 0.0005378 | -13.24% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-03-06 | in | 0.0006305 | 0.000590149 | -6.40% | 0.0004904 | -22.22% | 0.1147 | ✗ | 2.89 |
| 2025-03-05 | in | 0.0006211 | 0.000580961 | -6.46% | 0.0005142 | -17.21% | 0.1056 | ✗ | 2.86 |
| 2025-03-04 | in | 0.0006649 | 0.000627386 | -5.64% | 0.0005339 | -19.70% | 0.0125 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-03-03 | in | 0.0006283 | 0.00060135 | -4.29% | 0.0004858 | -22.68% | 0.0353 | ✓ | 2.69 |
| 2025-03-02 | in | 0.0008278 | 0.000735231 | -11.18% | 0.00057 | -31.14% | 0.1626 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2025-03-01 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000650871 | -4.28% | 0.0005902 | -13.21% | 0.1037 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2025-02-28 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000684371 | -3.61% | 0.0006199 | -12.69% | 0.1796 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-02-27 | in | 0.0005911 | 0.000584361 | -1.14% | 0.0006305 | +6.67% | 0.0966 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-02-26 | in | 0.000648 | 0.000635901 | -1.87% | 0.0006211 | -4.15% | 0.2359 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-02-25 | in | 0.0005906 | 0.000580534 | -1.70% | 0.0006649 | +12.58% | 0.1840 | ✗ | 3.18 |
| 2025-02-24 | in | 0.0006898 | 0.000666509 | -3.38% | 0.0006283 | -8.92% | 0.1317 | ✗ | 3.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | in | 0.0007556 | 0.000713254 | -5.60% | 0.0008278 | +9.56% | 0.2182 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-22 | in | 0.00079 | 0.000746277 | -5.53% | 0.00068 | -13.92% | 0.2890 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-21 | in | 0.000801 | 0.000763208 | -4.72% | 0.00071 | -11.36% | 0.3618 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-20 | in | 0.00082 | 0.000778043 | -5.12% | 0.0005911 | -27.91% | 0.2283 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-19 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000670038 | -1.46% | 0.000648 | -4.71% | 0.4205 | ✗ | 3.27 |
| 2025-02-18 | in | 0.0006437 | 0.000644959 | +0.20% | 0.0005906 | -8.25% | 0.1603 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2025-02-17 | in | 0.00069 | 0.000689452 | -0.08% | 0.0006898 | -0.03% | 0.1489 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-16 | in | 0.00074 | 0.000736829 | -0.43% | 0.0007556 | +2.11% | 0.0202 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-15 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000704944 | -0.71% | 0.00079 | +11.27% | 0.1484 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-14 | in | 0.00081 | 0.000808717 | -0.16% | 0.000801 | -1.11% | 0.0366 | ✗ | 3.31 |
| 2025-02-13 | in | 0.00089 | 0.000885676 | -0.49% | 0.00082 | -7.87% | 0.1358 | ✓ | 3.33 |
| 2025-02-12 | in | 0.00109 | 0.001069 | -1.95% | 0.00068 | -37.61% | 0.4106 | ✓ | 3.28 |
| 2025-02-11 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001359 | -3.65% | 0.0006437 | -54.35% | 0.7409 | ✓ | 3.46 |
| 2025-02-10 | in | 0.00137 | 0.001317 | -3.87% | 0.00069 | -49.64% | 0.5859 | ✓ | 3.52 |
| 2025-02-09 | in | 0.00155 | 0.001479 | -4.57% | 0.00074 | -52.26% | 0.6794 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-08 | in | 0.00157 | 0.001499 | -4.55% | 0.00071 | -54.78% | 0.7880 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-07 | in | 0.00147 | 0.001416 | -3.69% | 0.00081 | -44.90% | 0.5940 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-06 | in | 0.0016 | 0.001533 | -4.19% | 0.00089 | -44.38% | 0.5460 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-05 | in | 0.00144 | 0.00138 | -4.19% | 0.00109 | -24.31% | 0.2804 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-04 | in | 0.00134 | 0.001264 | -5.70% | 0.00141 | +5.22% | 0.1849 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2025-02-03 | in | 0.00176 | 0.001628 | -7.49% | 0.00137 | -22.16% | 0.0317 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2025-02-02 | in | 0.00141 | 0.00128 | -9.21% | 0.00155 | +9.93% | 0.2327 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-01 | in | 0.00172 | 0.001562 | -9.19% | 0.00157 | -8.72% | 0.1437 | ✗ | 3.29 |
| 2025-01-31 | in | 0.00205 | 0.001857 | -9.40% | 0.00147 | -28.29% | 0.0424 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2025-01-30 | in | 0.0024 | 0.002153 | -10.28% | 0.0016 | -33.33% | 0.0368 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-29 | in | 0.0025 | 0.002251 | -9.97% | 0.00144 | -42.40% | 0.2187 | ✓ | 3.21 |
| 2025-01-28 | in | 0.00234 | 0.002122 | -9.32% | 0.00134 | -42.74% | 0.3474 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-27 | in | 0.00272 | 0.002488 | -8.53% | 0.00176 | -35.29% | 0.3274 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-01-26 | in | 0.0031 | 0.002862 | -7.67% | 0.00141 | -54.52% | 0.5540 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2025-01-25 | in | 0.00411 | 0.003769 | -8.29% | 0.00172 | -58.15% | 0.6639 | ✓ | 3.02 |
| 2025-01-24 | in | 0.00459 | 0.004149 | -9.61% | 0.00205 | -55.34% | 0.6342 | ✓ | 3.01 |
| 2025-01-23 | in | 0.00502 | 0.004491 | -10.53% | 0.0024 | -52.19% | 0.6504 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-22 | in | 0.00639 | 0.005566 | -12.89% | 0.0025 | -60.88% | 0.8028 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-21 | in | 0.00663 | 0.005621 | -15.22% | 0.00234 | -64.71% | 0.7314 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2025-01-20 | in | 0.00488 | 0.004101 | -15.96% | 0.00272 | -44.26% | 0.4083 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-01-19 | in | 0.00512 | 0.004221 | -17.55% | 0.0031 | -39.45% | 0.3463 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2025-01-18 | in | 0.0073 | 0.006082 | -16.69% | 0.00411 | -43.70% | 0.3991 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2025-01-17 | in | 0.00945 | 0.00801 | -15.24% | 0.00459 | -51.43% | 0.5749 | ✓ | 2.55 |
| 2025-01-16 | in | 0.01091 | 0.009403 | -13.81% | 0.00502 | -53.99% | 0.7406 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-01-15 | in | 0.01372 | 0.012021 | -12.38% | 0.00639 | -53.43% | 0.7207 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-14 | in | 0.01037 | 0.00888 | -14.37% | 0.00663 | -36.07% | 0.5383 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-01-13 | in | 0.01316 | 0.011637 | -11.58% | 0.00488 | -62.92% | 1.0916 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-12 | in | 0.01678 | 0.015215 | -9.33% | 0.00512 | -69.49% | 1.2858 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-11 | in | 0.01601 | 0.014372 | -10.23% | 0.0073 | -54.40% | 0.9624 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-10 | in | 0.01991 | 0.018214 | -8.52% | 0.00945 | -52.54% | 0.9273 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-09 | in | 0.02065 | 0.01893 | -8.33% | 0.01091 | -47.17% | 0.7819 | ✓ | 2.99 |
| 2025-01-08 | in | 0.01796 | 0.016296 | -9.27% | 0.01372 | -23.61% | 0.3527 | ✓ | 3.23 |
| 2025-01-07 | in | 0.02282 | 0.020947 | -8.21% | 0.01037 | -54.56% | 0.6902 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-06 | in | 0.02644 | 0.024056 | -9.02% | 0.01316 | -50.23% | 0.3615 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-05 | in | 0.02288 | 0.020811 | -9.04% | 0.01678 | -26.66% | 0.0944 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-04 | in | 0.02024 | 0.018439 | -8.90% | 0.01601 | -20.90% | 0.0267 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-03 | in | 0.02086 | 0.018603 | -10.82% | 0.01991 | -4.55% | 0.1759 | ✗ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-02 | in | 0.0165 | 0.014727 | -10.74% | 0.02065 | +25.15% | 0.4712 | ✗ | 2.90 |
| 2025-01-01 | in | 0.01285 | 0.01174 | -8.64% | 0.01796 | +39.77% | 0.4071 | ✗ | 2.62 |
| 2024-12-31 | in | 0.01281 | 0.011675 | -8.86% | 0.02282 | +78.14% | 0.5706 | ✗ | 2.64 |
| 2024-12-30 | in | 0.01329 | 0.01207 | -9.18% | 0.02644 | +98.95% | 0.5185 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2024-12-29 | in | 0.0112 | 0.01023 | -8.66% | 0.02288 | +104.29% | 0.6662 | ✗ | 2.78 |
| 2024-12-28 | in | 0.01553 | 0.013752 | -11.45% | 0.02024 | +30.33% | 0.3546 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-27 | in | 0.01222 | 0.010814 | -11.51% | 0.02086 | +70.70% | 0.6158 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-26 | in | 0.0079 | 0.007427 | -5.99% | 0.0165 | +108.86% | 0.7854 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-25 | in | 0.00906 | 0.00831 | -8.28% | 0.01285 | +41.83% | 0.4871 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-24 | in | 0.00997 | 0.009102 | -8.70% | 0.01281 | +28.49% | 0.3963 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-23 | in | 0.01 | 0.009218 | -7.82% | 0.01329 | +32.90% | 0.3887 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | in | 0.0084 | 0.007876 | -6.24% | 0.0112 | +33.33% | 0.3683 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-21 | in | 0.00752 | 0.007029 | -6.53% | 0.01553 | +106.52% | 0.8145 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-20 | in | 0.00682 | 0.006276 | -7.97% | 0.01222 | +79.18% | 0.7037 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-19 | in | 0.00766 | 0.006988 | -8.78% | 0.0079 | +3.13% | 0.1403 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-18 | in | 0.01118 | 0.010277 | -8.07% | 0.00906 | -18.96% | 0.1180 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-17 | in | 0.01372 | 0.012892 | -6.04% | 0.00997 | -27.33% | 0.1833 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-16 | in | 0.01609 | 0.014846 | -7.73% | 0.01 | -37.85% | 0.2821 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | in | 0.01238 | 0.011602 | -6.28% | 0.0084 | -32.15% | 0.2291 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-14 | in | 0.01074 | 0.009966 | -7.20% | 0.00752 | -29.98% | 0.2396 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-13 | in | 0.00983 | 0.009088 | -7.55% | 0.00682 | -30.62% | 0.2503 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-12 | in | 0.01099 | 0.010196 | -7.23% | 0.00766 | -30.30% | 0.2590 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-11 | in | 0.01188 | 0.011017 | -7.26% | 0.01118 | -5.89% | 0.0251 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-10 | in | 0.00939 | 0.008577 | -8.66% | 0.01372 | +46.11% | 0.3763 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-09 | in | 0.00936 | 0.008481 | -9.39% | 0.01609 | +71.90% | 0.5540 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-08 | in | 0.01153 | 0.01071 | -7.11% | 0.01238 | +7.37% | 0.1130 | ✗ | 1.00 |