MOE

MOE · Mantle · gru_s7

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 399

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

131

of 133 predictions shown

direction hit

58.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1037

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0064

actual -0.0274

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003449	0.000344361	-0.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000362569	-0.17%	0.0003449	-5.04%	0.0470	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.00035667	-0.22%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0048	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000417228	-0.21%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1526	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000434522	-0.30%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0462	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000456049	-0.49%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0438	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000449446	-0.76%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.0271	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000449605	-0.90%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000554507	-0.95%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.1820	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000660049	-0.97%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.1811	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000695248	-1.10%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.0188	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000310288	+0.09%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000316868	-0.04%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0568	✗	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000319018	-0.06%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0269	✓	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000396175	-0.38%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0809	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000401066	-0.33%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0008	✓	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000396232	-0.54%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0021	✓	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000446446	-0.35%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1321	✓	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000490907	-0.46%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0178	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000484194	-0.41%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0544	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000468078	-0.39%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0337	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000463911	-0.38%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0194	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.00049889	-0.48%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0193	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000538757	-0.65%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0074	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000512567	-1.56%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0487	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000540087	-0.70%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0233	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000547262	-0.70%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0037	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000506301	-0.57%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0481	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000497474	-0.55%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0354	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000496139	-0.65%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0136	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000544294	-1.04%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0830	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000537838	-0.77%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0917	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000496293	-0.50%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0262	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000507282	-0.53%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0203	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000498795	-0.54%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0187	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.00051791	-0.71%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0200	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000530874	-1.29%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0286	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000489334	-0.22%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0076	✗	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000512683	-0.30%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0329	✗	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000532728	-0.22%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0575	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000487068	+0.26%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0485	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000569423	-0.10%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.0894	✓	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.00058821	-0.34%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1522	✗	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000617751	-0.35%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0276	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000628134	-0.38%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.0905	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000618666	-0.39%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0405	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.00066357	-0.20%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1763	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000629083	+0.12%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0216	✓	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000815912	-1.44%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0199	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000680445	+0.07%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0477	✗	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000711387	+0.20%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.1018	✗	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000594956	+0.65%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1878	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000651627	+0.56%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1149	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000594393	+0.64%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2512	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000692686	+0.42%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0565	✗	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000756293	+0.09%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0751	✓	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000790717	+0.09%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0346	✗	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000802606	+0.20%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0304	✗	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.00082114	+0.14%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0506	✓	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000684539	+0.67%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1230	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000649526	+0.91%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0111	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000696066	+0.88%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0723	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.00074621	+0.84%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0669	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000715965	+0.84%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.0834	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000817159	+0.88%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1435	✗	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000897645	+0.86%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1330	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001096	+0.59%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1668	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001414	+0.27%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3347	✗	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001373	+0.19%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.0877	✓	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001551	+0.09%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1599	✗	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001571	+0.08%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0136	✗	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001473	+0.20%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0661	✓	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001601	+0.09%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0846	✗	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001443	+0.18%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.1063	✓	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001341	+0.10%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1139	✓	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.00175	-0.56%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.1386	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001405	-0.38%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.0982	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001709	-0.62%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.0947	✓	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002033	-0.82%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.1102	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002374	-1.06%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0749	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002473	-1.06%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0608	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002318	-0.96%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0009	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002693	-0.99%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.1164	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.00307	-0.96%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.1057	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.004067	-1.05%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.2083	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004537	-1.16%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.0954	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004963	-1.14%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.1049	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006298	-1.43%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2345	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006514	-1.76%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0542	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004819	-1.26%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.2107	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.005055	-1.26%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0613	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.007192	-1.48%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2605	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009314	-1.44%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2517	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010765	-1.33%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2483	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013536	-1.34%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.2005	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.010239	-1.26%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.1882	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.013022	-1.05%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2886	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016612	-1.00%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2328	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015857	-0.96%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0583	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.019682	-1.14%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.2024	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.020373	-1.34%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0917	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017775	-1.03%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2356	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.022527	-1.28%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1659	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.025895	-2.06%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0375	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.022434	-1.95%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0451	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.019906	-1.65%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1351	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.020269	-2.83%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0037	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.016049	-2.73%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2255	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012653	-1.53%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.1965	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012585	-1.75%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0082	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.013033	-1.94%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0383	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.011037	-1.46%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2140	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.015098	-2.78%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2821	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011856	-2.98%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2598	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007886	-0.18%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4537	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.00898	-0.88%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0904	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.00985	-1.20%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0912	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009897	-1.03%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0322	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008383	-0.21%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1798	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007524	+0.05%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1325	✓	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006817	-0.04%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.1036	✗	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007645	-0.19%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1183	✓	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.01109	-0.80%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3419	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.01359	-0.95%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1371	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015767	-2.01%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1394	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012242	-1.11%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2576	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010641	-0.92%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1218	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009756	-0.75%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.0963	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010896	-0.86%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1168	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011749	-1.10%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0551	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009325	-0.69%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1962	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009292	-0.72%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0173	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011433	-0.84%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1613	✓	1.00