MOE
MOE · Mantle · gru_s7
- token id
- #827
- symbol
- MOE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Mantle
- address
- 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2024-11-29
- predictions
- 402
Track record at +30d
assessed
92
of 134 predictions shown
direction hit
84.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.8391
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.2155
actual -0.8731
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.000324 | 0.000259205 | -20.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003162 | 0.00025807 | -18.38% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003632 | 0.000297818 | -18.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00035745 | 0.000291278 | -18.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004181 | 0.000336737 | -19.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043585 | 0.00034392 | -21.09% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.0004583 | 0.000349273 | -23.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0004529 | 0.000325227 | -28.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0004537 | 0.00030874 | -31.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.00055985 | 0.000375603 | -32.91% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.0006665 | 0.000437828 | -34.31% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000703 | 0.000438289 | -37.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-08 | in | 0.00031 | 0.000307614 | -0.77% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2025-04-07 | in | 0.000317 | 0.000313425 | -1.13% | – | pending | – | – | 2.12 |
| 2025-04-06 | in | 0.0003192 | 0.000314226 | -1.56% | – | pending | – | – | 2.11 |
| 2025-04-05 | in | 0.0003977 | 0.000380236 | -4.39% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2025-04-04 | in | 0.0004024 | 0.000385937 | -4.09% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-03 | in | 0.0003984 | 0.000379843 | -4.66% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-02 | in | 0.000448 | 0.000422359 | -5.72% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-04-01 | in | 0.0004932 | 0.000460021 | -6.73% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-31 | in | 0.0004862 | 0.000451983 | -7.04% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-30 | in | 0.0004699 | 0.000436438 | -7.12% | – | pending | – | – | 2.31 |
| 2025-03-29 | in | 0.0004657 | 0.000430644 | -7.53% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-28 | in | 0.0005013 | 0.000458795 | -8.48% | – | pending | – | – | 2.34 |
| 2025-03-27 | in | 0.0005423 | 0.000490323 | -9.58% | – | pending | – | – | 2.40 |
| 2025-03-26 | in | 0.0005207 | 0.000466255 | -10.46% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-25 | in | 0.0005439 | 0.000490038 | -9.90% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-24 | in | 0.0005511 | 0.000494918 | -10.19% | – | pending | – | – | 2.29 |
| 2025-03-23 | in | 0.0005092 | 0.000457871 | -10.08% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-22 | in | 0.0005002 | 0.000447381 | -10.56% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-21 | in | 0.0004994 | 0.000445009 | -10.89% | – | pending | – | – | 2.17 |
| 2025-03-20 | in | 0.00055 | 0.000483619 | -12.07% | – | pending | – | – | 2.16 |
| 2025-03-19 | in | 0.000542 | 0.000480062 | -11.43% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-03-18 | in | 0.0004988 | 0.000445006 | -10.78% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-17 | in | 0.00051 | 0.000453109 | -11.16% | – | pending | – | – | 2.36 |
| 2025-03-16 | in | 0.0005015 | 0.000446066 | -11.05% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2025-03-15 | in | 0.0005216 | 0.000459772 | -11.85% | – | pending | – | – | 2.43 |
| 2025-03-14 | in | 0.0005378 | 0.000469346 | -12.73% | – | pending | – | – | 2.48 |
| 2025-03-13 | in | 0.0004904 | 0.000439836 | -10.31% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-12 | in | 0.0005142 | 0.000458091 | -10.91% | – | pending | – | – | 2.46 |
| 2025-03-11 | in | 0.0005339 | 0.000473726 | -11.27% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-10 | in | 0.0004858 | 0.000441224 | -9.18% | – | pending | – | – | 2.59 |
| 2025-03-09 | in | 0.00057 | 0.000501399 | -12.04% | 0.00031 | -45.61% | 0.3355 | ✓ | 2.56 |
| 2025-03-08 | in | 0.0005902 | 0.000503884 | -14.62% | 0.000317 | -46.29% | 0.2256 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2025-03-07 | in | 0.0006199 | 0.000522602 | -15.70% | 0.0003192 | -48.51% | 0.2045 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-03-06 | in | 0.0006305 | 0.000519751 | -17.57% | 0.0003977 | -36.92% | 0.0531 | ✓ | 2.89 |
| 2025-03-05 | in | 0.0006211 | 0.000509056 | -18.04% | 0.0004024 | -35.21% | 0.0143 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-03-04 | in | 0.0006649 | 0.000549183 | -17.40% | 0.0003984 | -40.08% | 0.1813 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-03-03 | in | 0.0006283 | 0.000527784 | -16.00% | 0.000448 | -28.70% | 0.0469 | ✓ | 2.69 |
| 2025-03-02 | in | 0.0008278 | 0.000622165 | -24.84% | 0.0004932 | -40.42% | 0.0401 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2025-03-01 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000568472 | -16.40% | 0.0004862 | -28.50% | 0.0462 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2025-02-28 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000596623 | -15.97% | 0.0004699 | -33.82% | 0.1742 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-02-27 | in | 0.0005911 | 0.000512446 | -13.31% | 0.0004657 | -21.21% | 0.0274 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-02-26 | in | 0.000648 | 0.000555734 | -14.24% | 0.0005013 | -22.64% | 0.1122 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-02-25 | in | 0.0005906 | 0.000507293 | -14.11% | 0.0005423 | -8.18% | 0.1162 | ✓ | 3.18 |
| 2025-02-24 | in | 0.0006898 | 0.000579141 | -16.04% | 0.0005207 | -24.51% | 0.0564 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | in | 0.0007556 | 0.000613949 | -18.75% | 0.0005439 | -28.02% | 0.1965 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-22 | in | 0.00079 | 0.000640779 | -18.89% | 0.0005511 | -30.24% | 0.1741 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-21 | in | 0.000801 | 0.000655273 | -18.19% | 0.0005092 | -36.43% | 0.1124 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-20 | in | 0.00082 | 0.000665957 | -18.79% | 0.0005002 | -39.00% | 0.2476 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-19 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000580232 | -14.67% | 0.0004994 | -26.56% | 0.3059 | ✗ | 3.27 |
| 2025-02-18 | in | 0.0006437 | 0.000560863 | -12.87% | 0.00055 | -14.56% | 0.3947 | ✗ | 3.26 |
| 2025-02-17 | in | 0.00069 | 0.000598254 | -13.30% | 0.000542 | -21.45% | 0.2187 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-16 | in | 0.00074 | 0.000638374 | -13.73% | 0.0004988 | -32.59% | 0.2424 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-15 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000612926 | -13.67% | 0.00051 | -28.17% | 0.3114 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-14 | in | 0.00081 | 0.000705553 | -12.89% | 0.0005015 | -38.09% | 0.2087 | ✗ | 3.31 |
| 2025-02-13 | in | 0.00089 | 0.000771834 | -13.28% | 0.0005216 | -41.39% | 0.0603 | ✓ | 3.33 |
| 2025-02-12 | in | 0.00109 | 0.000927764 | -14.88% | 0.0005378 | -50.66% | 0.0428 | ✓ | 3.28 |
| 2025-02-11 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001166 | -17.30% | 0.0004904 | -65.22% | 0.2893 | ✓ | 3.46 |
| 2025-02-10 | in | 0.00137 | 0.001135 | -17.16% | 0.0005142 | -62.47% | 0.2551 | ✓ | 3.52 |
| 2025-02-09 | in | 0.00155 | 0.001268 | -18.20% | 0.0005339 | -65.55% | 0.3266 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-08 | in | 0.00157 | 0.001284 | -18.24% | 0.0004858 | -69.06% | 0.2409 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-07 | in | 0.00147 | 0.001218 | -17.13% | 0.00057 | -61.22% | 0.1224 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-06 | in | 0.0016 | 0.001315 | -17.83% | 0.0005902 | -63.11% | 0.3976 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-05 | in | 0.00144 | 0.001187 | -17.60% | 0.0006199 | -56.95% | 0.2656 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-04 | in | 0.00134 | 0.001087 | -18.90% | 0.0006305 | -52.95% | 0.2417 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2025-02-03 | in | 0.00176 | 0.00139 | -21.04% | 0.0006211 | -64.71% | 0.4103 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2025-02-02 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001085 | -23.05% | 0.0006649 | -52.84% | 0.1114 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-01 | in | 0.00172 | 0.001327 | -22.84% | 0.0006283 | -63.47% | 0.2372 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-01-31 | in | 0.00205 | 0.001581 | -22.90% | 0.0008278 | -59.62% | 0.3781 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2025-01-30 | in | 0.0024 | 0.001833 | -23.61% | 0.00068 | -71.67% | 0.3614 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-29 | in | 0.0025 | 0.001921 | -23.17% | 0.00071 | -71.60% | 0.3285 | ✓ | 3.21 |
| 2025-01-28 | in | 0.00234 | 0.001817 | -22.35% | 0.0005911 | -74.74% | 0.5482 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-27 | in | 0.00272 | 0.002166 | -20.37% | 0.000648 | -76.18% | 0.5932 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-01-26 | in | 0.0031 | 0.002542 | -17.99% | 0.0005906 | -80.95% | 0.9974 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2025-01-25 | in | 0.00411 | 0.003373 | -17.93% | 0.0006898 | -83.22% | 1.1802 | ✓ | 3.02 |
| 2025-01-24 | in | 0.00459 | 0.003663 | -20.19% | 0.0007556 | -83.54% | 1.3217 | ✓ | 3.01 |
| 2025-01-23 | in | 0.00502 | 0.003926 | -21.80% | 0.00079 | -84.26% | 1.3810 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-22 | in | 0.00639 | 0.004745 | -25.74% | 0.000801 | -87.46% | 1.5502 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-21 | in | 0.00663 | 0.004698 | -29.14% | 0.00082 | -87.63% | 1.5096 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2025-01-20 | in | 0.00488 | 0.003354 | -31.27% | 0.00068 | -86.07% | 1.4397 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-01-19 | in | 0.00512 | 0.003389 | -33.80% | 0.0006437 | -87.43% | 1.5000 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2025-01-18 | in | 0.0073 | 0.00495 | -32.19% | 0.00069 | -90.55% | 1.7518 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2025-01-17 | in | 0.00945 | 0.006629 | -29.86% | 0.00074 | -92.17% | 1.9894 | ✓ | 2.55 |
| 2025-01-16 | in | 0.01091 | 0.00788 | -27.78% | 0.00071 | -93.49% | 2.3363 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-01-15 | in | 0.01372 | 0.010279 | -25.08% | 0.00081 | -94.10% | 2.4538 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-14 | in | 0.01037 | 0.00737 | -28.93% | 0.00089 | -91.42% | 2.1164 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-01-13 | in | 0.01316 | 0.009944 | -24.44% | 0.00109 | -91.72% | 2.3108 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-12 | in | 0.01678 | 0.013354 | -20.41% | 0.00141 | -91.60% | 2.2864 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-11 | in | 0.01601 | 0.012494 | -21.96% | 0.00137 | -91.44% | 2.2965 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-10 | in | 0.01991 | 0.016181 | -18.73% | 0.00155 | -92.21% | 2.3988 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-09 | in | 0.02065 | 0.016866 | -18.32% | 0.00157 | -92.40% | 2.4984 | ✓ | 2.99 |
| 2025-01-08 | in | 0.01796 | 0.014358 | -20.06% | 0.00147 | -91.82% | 2.3296 | ✓ | 3.23 |
| 2025-01-07 | in | 0.02282 | 0.018707 | -18.02% | 0.0016 | -92.99% | 2.4470 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-06 | in | 0.02644 | 0.021432 | -18.94% | 0.00144 | -94.55% | 2.5268 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-05 | in | 0.02288 | 0.018488 | -19.19% | 0.00134 | -94.14% | 2.6074 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-04 | in | 0.02024 | 0.016375 | -19.10% | 0.00176 | -91.30% | 2.3291 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-03 | in | 0.02086 | 0.01633 | -21.72% | 0.00141 | -93.24% | 2.4352 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-02 | in | 0.0165 | 0.012903 | -21.80% | 0.00172 | -89.58% | 2.1242 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2025-01-01 | in | 0.01285 | 0.01038 | -19.22% | 0.00205 | -84.05% | 1.8358 | ✓ | 2.62 |
| 2024-12-31 | in | 0.01281 | 0.010286 | -19.70% | 0.0024 | -81.26% | 1.7593 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2024-12-30 | in | 0.01329 | 0.010602 | -20.22% | 0.0025 | -81.19% | 1.7486 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2024-12-29 | in | 0.0112 | 0.008985 | -19.78% | 0.00234 | -79.11% | 1.5662 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2024-12-28 | in | 0.01553 | 0.011882 | -23.49% | 0.00272 | -82.49% | 1.5448 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-27 | in | 0.01222 | 0.009368 | -23.34% | 0.0031 | -74.63% | 1.1912 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-26 | in | 0.0079 | 0.00659 | -16.58% | 0.00411 | -47.97% | 0.5627 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-25 | in | 0.00906 | 0.007328 | -19.12% | 0.00459 | -49.34% | 0.5217 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-24 | in | 0.00997 | 0.008002 | -19.74% | 0.00502 | -49.65% | 0.5189 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-23 | in | 0.01 | 0.008109 | -18.91% | 0.00639 | -36.10% | 0.3280 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | in | 0.0084 | 0.006947 | -17.30% | 0.00663 | -21.07% | 0.1568 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-21 | in | 0.00752 | 0.006188 | -17.71% | 0.00488 | -35.11% | 0.2868 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-20 | in | 0.00682 | 0.00546 | -19.94% | 0.00512 | -24.93% | 0.0990 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-19 | in | 0.00766 | 0.006086 | -20.55% | 0.0073 | -4.70% | 0.1119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-18 | in | 0.01118 | 0.00919 | -17.80% | 0.00945 | -15.47% | 0.0108 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-17 | in | 0.01372 | 0.011881 | -13.40% | 0.01091 | -20.48% | 0.0255 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-16 | in | 0.01609 | 0.013525 | -15.94% | 0.01372 | -14.73% | 0.0685 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | in | 0.01238 | 0.010669 | -13.82% | 0.01037 | -16.24% | 0.0504 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-14 | in | 0.01074 | 0.009033 | -15.90% | 0.01316 | +22.53% | 0.4467 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-13 | in | 0.00983 | 0.008202 | -16.56% | 0.01678 | +70.70% | 0.7864 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-12 | in | 0.01099 | 0.009227 | -16.04% | 0.01601 | +45.68% | 0.6072 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-11 | in | 0.01188 | 0.01001 | -15.74% | 0.01991 | +67.59% | 0.7540 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-10 | in | 0.00939 | 0.007596 | -19.11% | 0.02065 | +119.91% | 1.0436 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-09 | in | 0.00936 | 0.007483 | -20.06% | 0.01796 | +91.88% | 0.8993 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-08 | in | 0.01153 | 0.009739 | -15.53% | 0.02282 | +97.92% | 0.8942 | ✗ | 1.00 |