MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · gru_s7

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 138

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 46 predictions shown

direction hit

71.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3093

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0908

actual -0.2757

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003037	0.002672	-11.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.002985	0.002551	-14.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001631	-9.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001763	-9.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001626	-8.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.001897	-9.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002114	-10.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002142	-11.60%	0.003037	+25.32%	0.3252	✗	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002015	-10.58%	0.002985	+32.51%	0.3663	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.00184	-9.91%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.0203	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.00195	-9.49%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0054	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001687	-7.79%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0872	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001708	-6.64%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.2314	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001736	-6.10%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.3266	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.001965	-6.64%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.2014	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002193	-9.10%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0572	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002141	-10.06%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0014	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002501	-13.08%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.0716	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002109	-9.36%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.0807	✓	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001641	-4.47%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.1393	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.00159	-5.58%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.1835	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001553	-8.01%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.3592	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002344	-1.91%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0343	✗	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.00296	-4.33%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.2562	✓	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003374	-7.19%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2051	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003363	-8.35%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.3925	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004031	-11.68%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.8567	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004327	-12.44%	0.001685	-65.91%	0.9482	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.00401	-10.79%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.8707	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004096	-10.70%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.5289	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004245	-12.34%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.2859	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.004622	-13.57%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.2032	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004195	-6.05%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.1735	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.004014	-5.96%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.0899	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005225	-6.75%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.0948	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005333	-3.19%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.2710	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.00404	-7.01%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.0244	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005688	-3.95%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.2925	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.007963	-6.83%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.5004	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.005783	-8.02%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.3138	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.00773	-8.01%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.6439	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.005459	-14.18%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.0204	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.007354	-13.00%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.2864	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.009048	-13.70%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.7061	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.016267	-8.89%	0.005922	-66.83%	0.9733	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.016333	-9.29%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.6360	✓	1.00