MICRODUCK
microduck · Robinhood · gru_s7
- token id
- #784
- symbol
- MICRODUCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-29
- predictions
- 138
Track record at +30d
assessed
16
of 46 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.9897
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.2307
actual -1.2204
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.003037 | 0.002327 | -23.36% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002985 | 0.002192 | -26.58% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0018 | 0.001448 | -19.51% | – | pending | – | – | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001942 | 0.001565 | -19.43% | – | pending | – | – | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001786 | 0.001441 | -19.33% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002094 | 0.001673 | -20.11% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002361 | 0.001845 | -21.87% | – | pending | – | – | 0.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.002423 | 0.00185 | -23.64% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002253 | 0.001752 | -22.26% | – | pending | – | – | 0.91 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.002043 | 0.001604 | -21.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.002155 | 0.001701 | -21.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.001829 | 0.001483 | -18.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.50 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.001829 | 0.001503 | -17.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.001849 | 0.001525 | -17.52% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.002105 | 0.001717 | -18.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.002412 | 0.001888 | -21.71% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00238 | 0.001828 | -23.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.66 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002877 | 0.002101 | -26.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.62 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.002327 | 0.001805 | -22.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.001718 | 0.00143 | -16.76% | – | pending | – | – | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.001685 | 0.001383 | -17.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.001688 | 0.001343 | -20.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002066 | -13.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.003095 | 0.002615 | -15.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003635 | 0.002962 | -18.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00367 | 0.002947 | -19.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.004564 | 0.00346 | -24.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.004941 | 0.003689 | -25.34% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.004495 | 0.00346 | -23.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.004587 | 0.003535 | -22.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.004842 | 0.00363 | -25.04% | 0.003037 | -37.29% | 0.1552 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.005348 | 0.003916 | -26.77% | 0.002985 | -44.18% | 0.2413 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.004465 | 0.003691 | -17.35% | 0.0018 | -59.70% | 0.7399 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.004269 | 0.003544 | -16.99% | 0.001942 | -54.51% | 0.6089 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.005603 | 0.004592 | -18.04% | 0.001786 | -68.12% | 0.9583 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.005509 | 0.00473 | -14.14% | 0.002094 | -61.99% | 0.8786 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.004344 | 0.003541 | -18.49% | 0.002361 | -45.64% | 0.4731 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.005922 | 0.005059 | -14.58% | 0.002423 | -59.08% | 0.8191 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.008547 | 0.007022 | -17.84% | 0.002253 | -73.64% | 1.1793 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006287 | 0.005071 | -19.33% | 0.002043 | -67.50% | 0.9881 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008404 | 0.006803 | -19.05% | 0.002155 | -74.36% | 1.2061 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006361 | 0.004586 | -27.90% | 0.001829 | -71.24% | 0.9995 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.008453 | 0.006248 | -26.08% | 0.001829 | -78.36% | 1.3085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.010485 | 0.007655 | -26.99% | 0.001849 | -82.37% | 1.4740 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.017855 | 0.014417 | -19.26% | 0.002105 | -88.21% | 1.9646 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.018005 | 0.014426 | -19.88% | 0.002412 | -86.60% | 1.8401 | ✓ | 1.00 |