MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · gru_s7

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1502

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0033

actual -0.0513

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001936	0.001915	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001784	-0.85%	0.001936	+7.59%	0.0841	✗	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001923	-0.97%	0.0018	-7.34%	0.0782	✓	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001775	-0.62%	0.001942	+8.73%	0.0918	✗	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.002074	-0.96%	0.001786	-14.71%	0.1567	✓	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.00233	-1.32%	0.002094	-11.33%	0.1056	✓	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002386	-1.55%	0.002361	-2.54%	0.0029	✓	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002229	-1.08%	0.002423	+7.55%	0.0774	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.002032	-0.53%	0.002253	+10.28%	0.1237	✗	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002143	-0.54%	0.002043	-5.18%	0.0662	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001831	+0.10%	0.002155	+17.76%	0.1975	✓	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001833	+0.24%	0.001829	+0.03%	0.0157	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001854	+0.31%	0.001829	-1.05%	0.0202	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002109	+0.18%	0.001849	-12.19%	0.1475	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002408	-0.16%	0.002105	-12.73%	0.1067	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002376	-0.18%	0.002412	+1.34%	0.0597	✗	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002853	-0.82%	0.00238	-17.27%	0.1774	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002325	-0.06%	0.002877	+23.66%	0.2292	✗	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001719	+0.06%	0.002327	+35.42%	0.2734	✓	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001681	-0.22%	0.001718	+1.99%	0.0179	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001679	-0.51%	0.001685	-0.21%	0.0089	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002399	+0.36%	0.001688	-29.37%	0.3779	✗	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003111	+0.52%	0.00239	-22.77%	0.2619	✗	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003649	+0.36%	0.003095	-14.88%	0.1684	✗	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003679	+0.25%	0.003635	-0.94%	0.0001	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004552	-0.26%	0.00367	-19.59%	0.2160	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004918	-0.48%	0.004564	-7.64%	0.0785	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004488	-0.15%	0.004941	+9.93%	0.0997	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004578	-0.19%	0.004495	-2.01%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004817	-0.52%	0.004587	-5.27%	0.0276	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.005304	-0.82%	0.004842	-9.46%	0.0866	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004461	-0.09%	0.005348	+19.78%	0.1165	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.004257	-0.28%	0.004465	+4.59%	0.0486	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005598	-0.09%	0.004269	-23.81%	0.2754	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.00552	+0.19%	0.005603	+1.71%	0.0426	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004327	-0.39%	0.005509	+26.82%	0.2389	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005922	+0.00%	0.004344	-26.65%	0.3173	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008547	-0.01%	0.005922	-30.71%	0.3331	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.006262	-0.40%	0.008547	+35.96%	0.2934	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.008382	-0.26%	0.006287	-25.20%	0.2816	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.006313	-0.76%	0.008404	+32.11%	0.2854	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.008398	-0.65%	0.006361	-24.74%	0.2864	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.010415	-0.67%	0.008453	-19.38%	0.1862	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017777	-0.44%	0.010485	-41.28%	0.5259	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017932	-0.40%	0.017855	-0.83%	0.0039	✓	1.00