MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s7

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

160

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

70.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0811

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0120

actual -0.0431

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.045235	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.045161	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042657	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043296	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043077	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044467	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045909	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044568	-2.03%	0.04613	+1.41%	0.0046	✓	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044816	-1.95%	0.04599	+0.61%	0.0203	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043632	-1.75%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0032	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042848	-1.86%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0258	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045582	-2.46%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0077	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042221	-1.88%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.0979	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040685	-1.89%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1598	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.04018	-2.04%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1163	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043368	-2.20%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0828	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.045253	-2.13%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0233	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048843	-2.39%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0421	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.048031	-2.29%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0211	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048677	-2.60%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0910	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045081	-2.68%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0489	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.04801	-4.24%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1020	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040829	-2.25%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0874	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041039	-2.24%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0867	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041247	-2.27%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1544	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.042957	-2.15%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.1003	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043861	-2.16%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1249	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045424	-2.37%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0124	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.043996	-2.04%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1226	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.04285	-1.79%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0112	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045691	-1.84%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0402	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.0445	-1.71%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0032	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042024	-2.25%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0188	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041408	-2.31%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0193	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.039918	-2.35%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0935	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034805	-1.37%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1146	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.03418	-0.99%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.1023	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033855	-0.66%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1505	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.0354	-0.87%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1164	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035275	-0.55%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1271	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036881	-0.52%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0757	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037524	-0.27%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0274	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036944	+0.21%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0425	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038737	+0.24%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0780	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042098	-0.11%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1602	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040463	+0.73%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.1085	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.0401	+1.31%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0572	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040803	+1.63%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0485	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.039556	+2.50%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0035	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.041221	+2.87%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0227	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.037713	+2.79%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0058	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.038458	+2.72%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0714	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.039083	+3.01%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0179	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.037703	+2.75%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0018	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.039391	+2.55%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0084	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.038326	+2.45%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0248	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.040245	+2.85%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0211	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040339	+2.10%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0645	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039557	+1.69%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0349	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040724	+1.33%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0635	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.043006	+0.34%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1575	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040368	+0.32%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0711	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042436	-0.10%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1174	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037491	-0.84%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0840	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034439	-1.29%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0379	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031432	-1.93%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0465	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031525	-2.10%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0289	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030891	-2.09%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0412	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030655	-1.84%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0006	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.03062	-1.70%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0326	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032063	-1.81%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0272	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032618	-1.81%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0544	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032553	-1.77%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0401	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035582	-2.25%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1120	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035187	-2.20%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0647	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035373	-2.19%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0828	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034571	-2.01%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0620	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034814	-2.07%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0453	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.03532	-2.08%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0348	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035143	-1.95%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0471	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.035965	-1.98%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0020	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.03584	-1.83%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0263	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.035884	-1.69%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0405	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.035988	-1.51%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0663	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036544	-1.23%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0175	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.035993	-1.10%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0129	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.039039	-1.34%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0899	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039219	-1.26%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0617	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042736	-1.19%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1190	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.042044	-1.13%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.1091	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042984	-1.16%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1358	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042822	-0.80%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1392	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043486	-0.47%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1318	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.04323	-0.30%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0321	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042604	-0.41%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0377	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043808	-0.55%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0269	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044284	-0.44%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0298	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.043129	-0.39%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0043	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045832	-0.58%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0874	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047766	-0.54%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1181	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048762	-0.57%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1494	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046867	-0.83%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1557	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045883	-0.46%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0621	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046487	-0.41%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0672	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047272	-0.33%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0824	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047768	-0.40%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0493	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047122	-0.44%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0381	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050023	-0.59%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0574	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049187	-0.45%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0003	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050969	-0.68%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.1042	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051917	-0.96%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1224	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050556	-0.93%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.1012	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049094	-0.96%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0629	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.0449	-0.53%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0018	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044935	-0.65%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0036	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047723	-0.76%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0508	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045448	-0.53%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0317	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.047	-0.53%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0403	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046542	-0.36%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0370	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046398	-0.24%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0270	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050425	-0.52%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0888	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055011	-0.90%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1105	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055305	-0.93%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0614	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055862	-1.09%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1218	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054193	-0.93%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0449	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.05628	-1.33%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1095	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060714	-2.34%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.1927	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056234	-1.53%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0167	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056456	-1.80%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0576	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.058758	-2.52%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0060	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.060394	-3.94%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0046	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.059673	-4.84%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.0817	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046276	-0.80%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2105	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.04577	-0.70%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3207	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042612	+0.22%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2364	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047032	-0.38%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1272	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.04961	-0.98%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1360	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048299	-0.37%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2197	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.045163	+1.26%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2731	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046716	+1.32%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0402	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050732	+0.32%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.0925	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.054263	-0.05%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2065	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.054378	-0.33%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0558	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.058061	-1.81%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0169	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.059473	-2.45%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0287	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.061459	-2.54%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0222	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.060447	-1.91%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.0867	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.062164	-1.95%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0648	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.065908	-2.40%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0451	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.065932	-2.61%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0605	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.071353	-3.47%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1080	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.074785	-3.35%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1590	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.077622	-3.15%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1695	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.078236	-2.59%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2107	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.083628	-3.88%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2235	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.079093	-3.08%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1164	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.078909	-2.73%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1409	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.083454	-2.96%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1253	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.087059	-3.20%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1123	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.08957	-3.41%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.0923	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.096741	-3.51%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1392	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.10174	-3.45%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1120	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.09954	-3.70%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1756	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.106053	-3.39%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2207	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.115237	-2.81%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2323	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.12372	-2.52%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2588	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.121886	-2.89%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2413	✓	1.00