MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s7

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

61.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0327

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0031

actual -0.0071

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042666	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.043159	-0.45%	0.04289	-1.07%	0.0018	✓	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043867	-0.42%	0.043355	-1.58%	0.0324	✓	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043651	-0.42%	0.04405	+0.49%	0.0123	✗	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.045094	-0.42%	0.043835	-3.20%	0.0401	✓	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.046622	-0.45%	0.045285	-3.31%	0.0269	✓	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.045268	-0.49%	0.046835	+2.96%	0.0459	✗	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.045508	-0.44%	0.04549	-0.48%	0.0110	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.044232	-0.40%	0.04571	+2.93%	0.0627	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.043499	-0.37%	0.04441	+1.72%	0.0057	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.046446	-0.61%	0.04366	-6.57%	0.0255	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042834	-0.46%	0.04673	+8.60%	0.0733	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.041279	-0.46%	0.04303	+3.76%	0.0349	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040823	-0.47%	0.04147	+1.11%	0.0002	✓	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.044094	-0.57%	0.041015	-7.51%	0.0444	✓	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.045961	-0.60%	0.044345	-4.10%	0.0033	✓	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.049702	-0.68%	0.04624	-7.59%	0.0686	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.048847	-0.63%	0.05004	+1.80%	0.0370	✗	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.049665	-0.62%	0.049155	-1.64%	0.0408	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.046018	-0.65%	0.049975	+7.89%	0.0784	✗	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.049448	-1.37%	0.04632	-7.61%	0.0594	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041496	-0.65%	0.050135	+20.03%	0.1674	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041711	-0.64%	0.04177	-0.50%	0.0028	✓	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041925	-0.66%	0.04198	-0.53%	0.0018	✓	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043602	-0.68%	0.042205	-3.86%	0.0153	✓	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044537	-0.65%	0.0439	-2.07%	0.0152	✓	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.046198	-0.70%	0.04483	-3.64%	0.0356	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044615	-0.66%	0.046525	+3.60%	0.0470	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043347	-0.65%	0.04491	+2.93%	0.0353	✗	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046194	-0.75%	0.04363	-6.26%	0.0256	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.044863	-0.91%	0.046545	+2.81%	0.0438	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042652	-0.79%	0.045275	+5.32%	0.0419	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.042026	-0.85%	0.04299	+1.43%	0.0241	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040501	-0.93%	0.042385	+3.68%	0.0387	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.035195	-0.27%	0.04088	+15.84%	0.0690	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034476	-0.13%	0.03529	+2.23%	0.0196	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.034075	-0.01%	0.03452	+1.29%	0.0035	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035647	-0.18%	0.03408	-4.56%	0.0023	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035459	-0.03%	0.03571	+0.68%	0.0157	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.037062	-0.04%	0.03547	-4.33%	0.0363	✓	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.03764	+0.04%	0.037075	-1.46%	0.0160	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036917	+0.14%	0.037625	+2.06%	0.0071	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038668	+0.06%	0.036865	-4.61%	0.0174	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042085	-0.14%	0.038645	-8.30%	0.0824	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040166	-0.01%	0.042145	+4.92%	0.0596	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.0396	+0.05%	0.04017	+1.49%	0.0370	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040168	+0.05%	0.03958	-1.42%	0.0239	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038642	+0.13%	0.04015	+4.04%	0.0354	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.0401	+0.07%	0.03859	-3.69%	0.0091	✗	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036711	+0.06%	0.04007	+9.21%	0.0135	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037438	-0.01%	0.03669	-2.00%	0.0184	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.03793	-0.03%	0.03744	-1.32%	0.0083	✗	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036667	-0.08%	0.03794	+3.39%	0.0182	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.03836	-0.13%	0.036695	-4.46%	0.0345	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037357	-0.14%	0.03841	+2.67%	0.0209	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039084	-0.12%	0.03741	-4.40%	0.0017	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039443	-0.17%	0.03913	-0.96%	0.0296	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.038829	-0.18%	0.03951	+1.57%	0.0086	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040106	-0.21%	0.0389	-3.21%	0.0226	✓	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042711	-0.35%	0.04019	-6.23%	0.0836	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040112	-0.32%	0.04286	+6.51%	0.0540	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042251	-0.54%	0.04024	-5.27%	0.0259	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037579	-0.61%	0.04248	+12.35%	0.0287	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034716	-0.50%	0.03781	+8.37%	0.0157	✗	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.03192	-0.41%	0.03489	+8.86%	0.0033	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.03205	-0.46%	0.03205	-0.47%	0.0042	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031416	-0.43%	0.0322	+2.06%	0.0100	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.031114	-0.37%	0.03155	+1.02%	0.0178	✗	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.031044	-0.34%	0.03123	+0.26%	0.0050	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032525	-0.40%	0.03115	-4.61%	0.0335	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.033072	-0.45%	0.032655	-1.70%	0.0130	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032994	-0.44%	0.03322	+0.24%	0.0094	✗	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.036191	-0.57%	0.03314	-8.96%	0.0799	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035776	-0.57%	0.0364	+1.17%	0.0378	✗	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035968	-0.54%	0.03598	-0.51%	0.0016	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.035108	-0.49%	0.036165	+2.51%	0.0293	✗	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.035376	-0.49%	0.03528	-0.76%	0.0164	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035889	-0.50%	0.03555	-1.44%	0.0021	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.03568	-0.45%	0.03607	+0.64%	0.0014	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.036524	-0.45%	0.03584	-2.32%	0.0320	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.036357	-0.42%	0.03669	+0.49%	0.0099	✗	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.036368	-0.36%	0.03651	+0.03%	0.0129	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.036425	-0.32%	0.0365	-0.11%	0.0035	✗	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036872	-0.35%	0.03654	-1.24%	0.0336	✗	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.036294	-0.28%	0.037	+1.66%	0.0017	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.039405	-0.42%	0.036395	-8.02%	0.0805	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039562	-0.40%	0.03957	-0.38%	0.0031	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.043051	-0.46%	0.03972	-8.16%	0.0462	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.042349	-0.41%	0.04325	+1.70%	0.0006	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.043309	-0.42%	0.042525	-2.22%	0.0227	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042996	-0.39%	0.04349	+0.75%	0.0318	✗	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043524	-0.38%	0.043165	-1.20%	0.0134	✗	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043206	-0.36%	0.04369	+0.76%	0.0201	✗	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042642	-0.32%	0.04336	+1.36%	0.0105	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043912	-0.31%	0.04278	-2.88%	0.0375	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044352	-0.29%	0.04405	-0.97%	0.0044	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.043186	-0.26%	0.04448	+2.73%	0.0103	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045957	-0.31%	0.0433	-6.07%	0.0622	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047856	-0.35%	0.0461	-4.01%	0.0171	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048837	-0.41%	0.048025	-2.07%	0.0110	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.047066	-0.41%	0.04904	+3.77%	0.0185	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045924	-0.37%	0.04726	+2.53%	0.0627	✗	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046516	-0.35%	0.046095	-1.25%	0.0084	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.04728	-0.32%	0.04668	-1.58%	0.0047	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047829	-0.27%	0.04743	-1.11%	0.0303	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047216	-0.24%	0.04796	+1.33%	0.0062	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050177	-0.28%	0.04733	-5.94%	0.0334	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049283	-0.26%	0.05032	+1.84%	0.0364	✗	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.051174	-0.28%	0.04941	-3.72%	0.0448	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.052252	-0.32%	0.05132	-2.10%	0.0297	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.05088	-0.29%	0.05242	+2.72%	0.0165	✗	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049437	-0.27%	0.05103	+2.95%	0.0074	✗	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.045069	-0.16%	0.04957	+9.81%	0.0609	✗	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045161	-0.15%	0.04514	-0.20%	0.0342	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047983	-0.22%	0.04523	-5.95%	0.0209	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045616	-0.16%	0.04809	+5.25%	0.0373	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.047167	-0.18%	0.04569	-3.30%	0.0214	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.04664	-0.15%	0.04725	+1.16%	0.0145	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046454	-0.12%	0.04671	+0.43%	0.0011	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050598	-0.18%	0.04651	-8.25%	0.0567	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055361	-0.27%	0.05069	-8.68%	0.0545	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.05567	-0.28%	0.05551	-0.56%	0.0236	✗	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.056328	-0.27%	0.055825	-1.16%	0.0235	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.05458	-0.22%	0.05648	+3.25%	0.0549	✗	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056883	-0.28%	0.0547	-4.10%	0.0551	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.061869	-0.48%	0.05704	-8.25%	0.0947	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056958	-0.27%	0.06217	+8.86%	0.1264	✗	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.057313	-0.31%	0.05711	-0.66%	0.0254	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.060005	-0.46%	0.05749	-4.63%	0.0268	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.062298	-0.91%	0.06028	-4.12%	0.0470	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.061968	-1.18%	0.06287	+0.26%	0.0178	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046624	-0.06%	0.06271	+34.43%	0.2777	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046078	-0.03%	0.04665	+1.22%	0.0129	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.04258	+0.14%	0.04609	+8.40%	0.0391	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047253	+0.09%	0.04252	-9.93%	0.1009	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050094	-0.01%	0.04721	-5.77%	0.0332	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.04853	+0.10%	0.0501	+3.34%	0.0363	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044753	+0.34%	0.04848	+8.70%	0.0419	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046285	+0.38%	0.0446	-3.27%	0.0342	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050713	+0.28%	0.04611	-8.82%	0.0552	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.054431	+0.26%	0.05057	-6.85%	0.0703	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.054707	+0.27%	0.05429	-0.49%	0.0366	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.059178	+0.08%	0.05456	-7.73%	0.0090	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060993	+0.04%	0.05913	-3.02%	0.0174	✓	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.063087	+0.04%	0.06097	-3.31%	0.0300	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061748	+0.20%	0.06306	+2.33%	0.0155	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063522	+0.19%	0.061625	-2.80%	0.0283	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.0676	+0.10%	0.0634	-6.12%	0.0533	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067794	+0.14%	0.06753	-0.25%	0.0162	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.073865	-0.07%	0.0677	-8.41%	0.0686	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.077324	-0.07%	0.073915	-4.48%	0.0486	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.080122	-0.04%	0.07738	-3.46%	0.0391	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.080391	+0.09%	0.08015	-0.21%	0.0189	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.086731	-0.31%	0.08032	-7.68%	0.0493	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.081582	-0.03%	0.087	+6.61%	0.0634	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.081138	+0.02%	0.081605	+0.60%	0.0034	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.085903	-0.11%	0.08112	-5.67%	0.0550	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.089717	-0.25%	0.086	-4.38%	0.0363	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.092431	-0.32%	0.08994	-3.01%	0.0183	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.099823	-0.44%	0.09273	-7.51%	0.0616	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.104874	-0.48%	0.10026	-4.86%	0.0198	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.102884	-0.47%	0.10538	+1.94%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.109265	-0.46%	0.10337	-5.83%	0.0405	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.118038	-0.45%	0.10977	-7.42%	0.0573	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.126325	-0.47%	0.11857	-6.58%	0.0576	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.124889	-0.49%	0.12692	+1.12%	0.0028	✓	1.00