MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · gru_s7

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

137

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

81.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1765

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0301

actual -0.1607

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.04384	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.044001	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.041618	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.042106	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.041961	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.043121	-4.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.044394	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.043197	-5.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.043289	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.042349	-4.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.041454	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.044075	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.040891	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.03941	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.038814	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.041867	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.043793	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.047059	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.046379	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.046826	-6.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.043567	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.04612	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.039613	-5.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.039872	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.040117	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.041798	-4.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.042614	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.044032	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.042889	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042011	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.04481	-3.73%	0.04613	-0.89%	0.0633	✗	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.043899	-3.04%	0.04599	+1.58%	0.0924	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.04074	-5.23%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0282	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.04023	-5.08%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0791	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.0389	-4.84%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.0982	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.033953	-3.79%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.1985	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.033486	-3.00%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2416	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033171	-2.67%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.2098	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.034868	-2.36%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.2170	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.034607	-2.43%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1484	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.03616	-2.47%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1172	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.036853	-2.05%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1364	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036312	-1.50%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0612	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038259	-1.00%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0092	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041267	-2.08%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0618	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.039917	-0.63%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0324	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039773	+0.49%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0595	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040335	+0.46%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1122	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.039334	+1.93%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.1010	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.041092	+2.55%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1335	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.037407	+1.95%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.0817	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.03825	+2.16%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1335	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.039067	+2.97%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0210	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.037943	+3.40%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0013	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.039657	+3.25%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0257	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.03899	+4.22%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0075	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.041298	+5.54%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0133	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.04164	+5.39%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0254	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.041269	+6.09%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0152	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.04272	+6.29%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0693	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.044667	+4.22%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.1061	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.042394	+5.35%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0987	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.04491	+5.72%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.0933	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.038503	+1.83%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0466	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034378	-1.47%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0329	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.030694	-4.23%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0824	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.030741	-4.53%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.1068	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.029978	-4.98%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1204	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.029791	-4.61%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.1098	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.029797	-4.34%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.0939	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031184	-4.51%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.0963	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.031706	-4.56%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.0987	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.031618	-4.59%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.1013	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.034321	-5.71%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1597	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.034021	-5.44%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0542	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.034202	-5.43%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.1187	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.033579	-4.82%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1361	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.033738	-5.10%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1339	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.034224	-5.12%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1784	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034051	-4.99%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1767	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.034784	-5.19%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2291	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.034704	-4.95%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.2082	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.034714	-4.89%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2339	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.034896	-4.50%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2538	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.035819	-3.19%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.2023	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.035268	-3.10%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.2111	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.038117	-3.67%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2885	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.038275	-3.64%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2645	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.04179	-3.38%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.3188	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041137	-3.26%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.2987	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042045	-3.32%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2398	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042207	-2.22%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2780	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043153	-1.23%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2487	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043083	-0.64%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2588	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042386	-0.92%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2783	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043421	-1.43%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.3036	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044068	-0.93%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.3069	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.04295	-0.81%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2856	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.04545	-1.41%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3588	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047408	-1.29%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3824	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048444	-1.22%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3609	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046169	-2.31%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3546	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045505	-1.28%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.3123	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046204	-1.02%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2416	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.04717	-0.55%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2870	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047672	-0.60%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.3159	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047025	-0.64%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3484	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049807	-1.02%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3586	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049216	-0.39%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.3244	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050858	-0.90%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3608	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051697	-1.38%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3518	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050372	-1.29%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3447	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.048893	-1.37%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.3223	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044936	-0.45%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2705	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044826	-0.89%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3318	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047441	-1.35%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3483	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045242	-0.98%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.2293	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046782	-0.99%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2454	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046466	-0.52%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1858	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046375	-0.29%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1854	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050218	-0.93%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.2082	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054433	-1.94%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2792	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054738	-1.95%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2676	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055178	-2.30%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.3064	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053715	-1.80%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2480	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.055578	-2.56%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2582	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.059343	-4.55%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3311	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.055415	-2.97%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2331	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.05559	-3.30%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1413	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.057497	-4.62%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1418	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.058619	-6.76%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1605	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.057627	-8.11%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1421	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.04617	-1.03%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0059	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045622	-1.02%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0185	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042565	+0.11%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0576	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.046593	-1.31%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0005	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.048779	-2.64%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0146	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.047332	-2.37%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0608	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.043964	-1.43%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0681	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.045229	-1.91%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.0868	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.048945	-3.21%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0788	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.052039	-4.15%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0022	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.052002	-4.69%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0413	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.055068	-6.87%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0330	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.056039	-8.09%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1404	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.057767	-8.39%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.1328	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.056822	-7.79%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0081	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.058322	-8.01%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.061699	-8.64%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.0644	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.061651	-8.94%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0428	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.066639	-9.84%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0371	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.069878	-9.70%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0242	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.072608	-9.41%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.0817	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.073186	-8.88%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.0826	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.07819	-10.13%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.1687	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.074119	-9.17%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0626	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.074019	-8.75%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0251	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.078481	-8.74%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1406	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.08203	-8.79%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.1902	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.084632	-8.73%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.1751	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.091733	-8.51%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.1928	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.09705	-7.90%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2069	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.094461	-8.62%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.4841	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.101232	-7.78%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5508	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.110794	-6.56%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.6725	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.119325	-5.98%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6401	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.116843	-6.91%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.6008	✓	1.00