LONGXIA

? · · gru_s7

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +7d

assessed

40

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

65.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6196

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0595

actual -0.1668

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.02196	+0.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021345	+0.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020593	+1.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.021109	+1.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027803	+1.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029498	+1.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030455	+1.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.030076	+1.52%	0.02189	-26.11%	0.3373	✗	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.046376	-4.61%	0.021195	-56.41%	0.7812	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.039861	-1.08%	0.020355	-49.49%	0.6730	✓	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.042862	-2.61%	0.02088	-52.56%	0.7058	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.044995	-2.76%	0.02746	-40.65%	0.4809	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.04489	-2.41%	0.029085	-36.77%	0.4251	✓	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.049963	-3.84%	0.029995	-42.27%	0.5143	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.039931	-2.99%	0.029625	-28.02%	0.2765	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.061119	-7.62%	0.04862	-26.51%	0.2217	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.042915	-5.56%	0.040295	-11.32%	0.0467	✓	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.042296	-6.61%	0.04401	-2.83%	0.0511	✓	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.046686	-6.53%	0.04627	-7.36%	0.0016	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.036193	-7.65%	0.046	+17.38%	0.2506	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.100283	-8.98%	0.05196	-52.84%	0.6547	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.032891	-8.38%	0.04116	+14.65%	0.2210	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.064048	-7.14%	0.06616	-4.08%	0.0562	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.064463	-8.20%	0.04544	-35.29%	0.3211	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.080836	-7.88%	0.04529	-48.39%	0.5484	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.095809	-7.70%	0.049945	-51.88%	0.6464	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.120731	-7.25%	0.03919	-69.89%	1.1300	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.094935	-8.22%	0.110175	+6.51%	0.1434	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.156169	-7.11%	0.0359	-78.65%	1.4604	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.12924	-7.33%	0.068975	-50.54%	0.5978	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.219263	-6.41%	0.070225	-70.03%	1.1017	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.220855	-7.32%	0.08775	-63.18%	0.9629	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.209135	-7.60%	0.1038	-54.14%	0.7389	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.204925	-7.79%	0.130175	-41.43%	0.4928	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.209857	-9.03%	0.10344	-55.16%	0.8075	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.193382	-9.25%	0.16812	-21.10%	0.2427	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.176887	-9.75%	0.139465	-28.84%	0.3691	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.147172	-8.63%	0.234285	+45.45%	0.3626	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.132448	-8.48%	0.238305	+64.67%	0.5321	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.138667	-10.30%	0.226335	+46.41%	0.4398	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.068145	-3.37%	0.22224	+215.14%	1.1357	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.036972	-2.93%	0.23069	+505.64%	1.8334	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.04802	-2.31%	0.21309	+333.51%	1.5178	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.057965	-1.49%	0.195995	+233.10%	1.2554	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.053593	-1.75%	0.16108	+195.29%	1.1121	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073574	-0.71%	0.14472	+95.30%	0.7216	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.086679	-1.21%	0.154585	+76.19%	0.6112	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.