LONGXIA

? · · gru_s7

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +30d

assessed

17

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

94.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

1.1906

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1326

actual -1.2964

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.019639	-10.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.019179	-9.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.01861	-8.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.019168	-8.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.025158	-8.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.026791	-7.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.027801	-7.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.027552	-7.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.041883	-13.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.036289	-9.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.039081	-11.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.041048	-11.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.040998	-10.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.0453	-12.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.036456	-11.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.054802	-17.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.038754	-14.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.037958	-16.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.041773	-16.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.032122	-18.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.090511	-17.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.029	-19.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.057137	-17.16%	–	pending	–	–	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.057017	-18.81%	–	pending	–	–	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.071966	-17.99%	–	pending	–	–	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.085667	-17.47%	–	pending	–	–	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.109031	-16.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.084692	-18.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.142595	-15.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.117463	-15.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.203318	-13.22%	0.02189	-90.66%	2.1827	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.202607	-14.98%	0.021195	-91.11%	2.2792	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.191447	-15.41%	0.020355	-91.01%	2.2487	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.187039	-15.84%	0.02088	-90.60%	2.2064	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.189925	-17.67%	0.02746	-88.10%	1.9977	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.174728	-18.00%	0.029085	-86.35%	1.8610	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.159914	-18.41%	0.029995	-84.70%	1.7566	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.134125	-16.73%	0.029625	-81.61%	1.5526	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.120949	-16.43%	0.04862	-66.40%	0.9902	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.127215	-17.71%	0.040295	-73.93%	1.2060	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.064856	-8.03%	0.04401	-37.59%	0.4682	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.034021	-10.68%	0.04627	+21.48%	0.2275	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.044951	-8.55%	0.046	-6.42%	0.0299	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.055467	-5.73%	0.05196	-11.69%	0.1058	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.051171	-6.19%	0.04116	-24.55%	0.2692	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.072416	-2.27%	0.06616	-10.72%	0.1531	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.085646	-2.39%	0.04544	-48.21%	0.7053	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.