LONGXIA

? · · gru_s7

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +1d

assessed

46

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

54.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2355

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0115

actual -0.0313

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.021973	+0.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021292	+0.46%	0.02189	+3.28%	0.0316	✓	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020463	+0.53%	0.021195	+4.13%	0.0173	✓	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.020984	+0.50%	0.020355	-2.51%	0.0277	✗	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027608	+0.54%	0.02088	-23.96%	0.2904	✗	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029249	+0.56%	0.02746	-5.59%	0.0610	✗	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030167	+0.57%	0.029085	-3.03%	0.0256	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029789	+0.55%	0.029995	+1.25%	0.0028	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.04813	-1.01%	0.029625	-39.07%	0.4681	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.040296	+0.00%	0.04862	+20.66%	0.1751	✓	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.043855	-0.35%	0.040295	-8.44%	0.0692	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.046098	-0.37%	0.04401	-4.88%	0.0527	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045881	-0.26%	0.04627	+0.59%	0.0054	✗	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.051594	-0.70%	0.046	-11.47%	0.1228	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.041026	-0.33%	0.05196	+26.24%	0.2567	✗	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.064724	-2.17%	0.04116	-37.79%	0.4461	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.045033	-0.90%	0.06616	+45.60%	0.3855	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.044838	-1.00%	0.04544	+0.33%	0.0163	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.049462	-0.97%	0.04529	-9.32%	0.0981	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.038805	-0.98%	0.049945	+27.44%	0.2511	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.106097	-3.70%	0.03919	-64.43%	0.9956	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.035529	-1.03%	0.110175	+206.89%	1.1464	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.06827	-1.02%	0.0359	-47.95%	0.6438	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.069423	-1.14%	0.068975	-1.78%	0.0042	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.086726	-1.17%	0.070225	-19.97%	0.2265	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.10257	-1.18%	0.08775	-15.46%	0.1553	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.128454	-1.32%	0.1038	-20.26%	0.2169	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.102129	-1.27%	0.130175	+25.85%	0.2461	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.165464	-1.58%	0.10344	-38.47%	0.4698	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.137637	-1.31%	0.16812	+20.55%	0.2214	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.230227	-1.73%	0.139465	-40.47%	0.4967	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.233282	-2.11%	0.234285	-1.69%	0.0605	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.221224	-2.26%	0.238305	+5.29%	0.0753	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.2171	-2.31%	0.226335	+1.84%	0.0372	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.223584	-3.08%	0.22224	-3.66%	0.0636	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.206243	-3.21%	0.23069	+8.26%	0.1093	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.188809	-3.67%	0.21309	+8.72%	0.1136	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.156188	-3.04%	0.195995	+21.68%	0.2607	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.140322	-3.04%	0.16108	+11.30%	0.1202	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.147384	-4.66%	0.14472	-6.38%	0.0122	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.069677	-1.20%	0.154585	+119.21%	0.7962	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.03798	-0.29%	0.07052	+85.14%	0.6101	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049018	-0.28%	0.03809	-22.51%	0.2297	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058676	-0.28%	0.049155	-16.46%	0.1749	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054398	-0.28%	0.05884	+7.86%	0.0867	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073884	-0.29%	0.05455	-26.38%	0.2877	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.08727	-0.54%	0.0741	-15.55%	0.1699	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.