KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

153

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

60.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1681

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0213

actual -0.0446

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.028973	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.029443	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.028332	-3.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.028608	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.033757	-3.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.034808	-4.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.032238	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.030644	-3.99%	0.030038	-5.89%	0.0188	✓	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.027914	-3.33%	0.030499	+5.63%	0.0886	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026462	-3.44%	0.029365	+7.16%	0.1041	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024304	-2.93%	0.029598	+18.22%	0.1988	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024208	-3.21%	0.034899	+39.53%	0.3678	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024335	-3.43%	0.036292	+44.02%	0.4010	✗	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.023917	-3.64%	0.03372	+35.85%	0.3429	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.019988	-3.47%	0.031919	+54.14%	0.4728	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021985	-3.20%	0.028875	+27.13%	0.2772	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025721	-4.16%	0.027404	+2.11%	0.0711	✗	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019553	-3.79%	0.025037	+23.20%	0.2563	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018566	-3.83%	0.025012	+29.56%	0.3036	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021191	-3.71%	0.025199	+14.50%	0.1793	✗	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020707	-3.62%	0.024821	+15.52%	0.1909	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023204	-3.90%	0.020707	-14.24%	0.1130	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025379	-4.65%	0.022712	-14.67%	0.1166	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.030831	-7.13%	0.026838	-19.16%	0.1445	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.013897	-5.36%	0.020323	+38.41%	0.3645	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014083	-6.17%	0.019305	+28.62%	0.3129	✗	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.012789	-5.13%	0.022008	+63.25%	0.5397	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012558	-5.08%	0.021486	+62.40%	0.5335	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.012928	-5.22%	0.024146	+77.02%	0.6311	✗	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.012855	-5.14%	0.026617	+96.40%	0.7466	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013021	-5.23%	0.033197	+141.61%	0.9598	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.012828	-5.05%	0.014683	+8.68%	0.1047	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013129	-5.01%	0.01501	+8.60%	0.1049	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.012898	-4.53%	0.013481	-0.22%	0.0152	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013401	-3.55%	0.01323	-4.78%	0.1004	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013356	-4.26%	0.01364	-2.23%	0.0697	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012878	-1.66%	0.013553	+3.49%	0.0690	✓	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012794	-1.69%	0.01374	+5.57%	0.0276	✓	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013097	-1.11%	0.01351	+2.01%	0.0227	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013823	-1.19%	0.013822	-1.20%	0.0481	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013908	-0.43%	0.01351	-3.28%	0.0722	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013935	+0.30%	0.013894	+0.01%	0.0006	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014097	+0.92%	0.013951	-0.12%	0.0162	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014322	+1.01%	0.013095	-7.64%	0.0554	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.015048	+0.82%	0.013015	-12.80%	0.1346	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015867	+0.82%	0.013244	-15.85%	0.1407	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015838	+0.91%	0.01399	-10.86%	0.0947	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016516	+0.90%	0.013969	-14.66%	0.1430	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016959	+1.00%	0.013893	-17.26%	0.1561	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017426	+0.15%	0.013968	-19.72%	0.2341	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017841	+0.28%	0.014179	-20.31%	0.2438	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018216	+0.40%	0.014925	-17.74%	0.2057	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017764	+0.16%	0.015738	-11.26%	0.1564	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017554	-0.01%	0.015695	-10.60%	0.1353	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017914	+0.01%	0.016369	-8.61%	0.1177	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017825	+0.20%	0.016792	-5.61%	0.0755	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017226	-0.16%	0.0174	+0.85%	0.0381	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018142	-0.23%	0.017791	-2.16%	0.0008	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018672	-0.25%	0.018144	-3.07%	0.0216	✓	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020169	-0.87%	0.017735	-12.83%	0.1274	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018105	-0.52%	0.017556	-3.54%	0.0520	✓	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017486	-0.38%	0.017912	+2.05%	0.0330	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017071	-1.27%	0.01779	+2.89%	0.1059	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016521	-1.97%	0.017253	+2.37%	0.1590	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015548	-2.56%	0.018184	+13.96%	0.1621	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017189	-2.66%	0.018718	+5.99%	0.2398	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017277	-2.77%	0.020346	+14.50%	0.1850	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017419	-2.72%	0.0182	+1.65%	0.2903	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017376	-2.68%	0.017552	-1.70%	0.3523	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.01705	-2.49%	0.017291	-1.11%	0.2293	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016837	-2.45%	0.016853	-2.36%	0.1388	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.01796	-2.55%	0.015957	-13.42%	0.1460	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017588	-2.43%	0.01766	-2.02%	0.0100	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016858	-2.21%	0.01777	+3.07%	0.1063	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016615	-2.26%	0.017905	+5.32%	0.1250	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017413	-2.23%	0.017855	+0.25%	0.0764	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017799	-2.42%	0.017485	-4.14%	0.0048	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018039	-2.62%	0.01726	-6.83%	0.0125	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.01785	-2.91%	0.01843	+0.24%	0.0470	✗	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016761	-2.95%	0.018025	+4.37%	0.0600	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015653	-2.23%	0.01724	+7.68%	0.0584	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014521	-1.98%	0.017	+14.75%	0.0979	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014904	-1.98%	0.01781	+17.13%	0.1207	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.01651	-2.88%	0.01824	+7.29%	0.1120	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015032	-2.26%	0.018525	+20.45%	0.1904	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.013988	-2.25%	0.018385	+28.48%	0.2680	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013249	-2.00%	0.01727	+27.74%	0.2710	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016644	-3.79%	0.01601	-7.46%	0.0045	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012824	-1.73%	0.014815	+13.52%	0.1761	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013827	-2.04%	0.015205	+7.72%	0.1214	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013342	-2.01%	0.017	+24.86%	0.2493	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012795	-2.03%	0.01538	+17.76%	0.2317	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012706	-2.26%	0.01431	+10.08%	0.1771	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014726	-2.61%	0.01352	-10.58%	0.0490	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.01558	-2.59%	0.0173	+8.16%	0.0888	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015218	-2.51%	0.01305	-16.40%	0.1416	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.015796	-2.34%	0.014115	-12.74%	0.1172	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018649	-1.95%	0.013615	-28.42%	0.3465	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019085	-2.08%	0.01306	-32.99%	0.4133	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020484	-2.04%	0.013	-37.83%	0.4923	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.01984	-1.71%	0.01512	-25.09%	0.3471	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.02035	-1.93%	0.015995	-22.92%	0.2652	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020145	-1.87%	0.01561	-23.96%	0.2814	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020548	-1.92%	0.016175	-22.79%	0.2332	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019885	-1.78%	0.01902	-6.05%	0.0598	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019664	-1.65%	0.01949	-2.53%	0.0719	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.02063	-1.88%	0.02091	-0.55%	0.0285	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021621	-2.12%	0.020185	-8.62%	0.0242	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020914	-2.09%	0.02075	-2.86%	0.0118	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019907	-1.81%	0.02053	+1.26%	0.0140	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020903	-1.58%	0.02095	-1.37%	0.0377	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022528	-1.48%	0.020245	-11.46%	0.1514	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022634	-1.21%	0.019995	-12.72%	0.1859	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023487	-1.44%	0.021025	-11.77%	0.2478	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026315	-1.61%	0.02209	-17.41%	0.2798	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025774	-1.42%	0.02136	-18.30%	0.2992	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.024963	-1.24%	0.020275	-19.78%	0.2937	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026113	-1.38%	0.02124	-19.79%	0.2755	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024999	-1.11%	0.022865	-9.55%	0.1373	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023891	-1.03%	0.02291	-5.10%	0.0127	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025221	-1.36%	0.02383	-6.80%	0.0625	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029094	-1.96%	0.026745	-9.87%	0.0186	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.029685	-2.09%	0.026145	-13.77%	0.0232	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.029651	-2.27%	0.025275	-16.69%	0.0404	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.026994	-1.66%	0.02648	-3.53%	0.0716	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.025932	-1.44%	0.02528	-3.91%	0.0552	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028015	-1.91%	0.02414	-15.48%	0.0633	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.028738	-2.15%	0.02557	-12.94%	0.0437	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.028943	-2.29%	0.029675	+0.19%	0.0818	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030031	-2.31%	0.03032	-1.37%	0.0710	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031275	-2.28%	0.03034	-5.20%	0.0250	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030416	-1.91%	0.02745	-11.48%	0.1010	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.029822	-1.67%	0.02631	-13.25%	0.1083	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030657	-1.19%	0.02856	-7.95%	0.1508	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031133	-1.10%	0.02937	-6.70%	0.1614	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.031983	-1.29%	0.02962	-8.58%	0.1622	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034124	-1.55%	0.03074	-11.31%	0.1688	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037241	-1.61%	0.032005	-15.44%	0.2796	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028234	+0.87%	0.03101	+10.79%	0.0119	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034033	-0.40%	0.03033	-11.24%	0.1114	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037413	-0.55%	0.031025	-17.53%	0.1459	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036595	-0.53%	0.03148	-14.43%	0.0730	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.040887	-2.21%	0.0324	-22.51%	0.1097	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.047947	-4.11%	0.03466	-30.68%	0.1741	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.061877	-8.37%	0.03785	-43.95%	0.2990	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038376	+0.33%	0.02799	-26.82%	0.1315	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.03703	+0.71%	0.03417	-7.07%	0.0612	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039319	+0.35%	0.03762	-3.98%	0.1047	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044151	-0.47%	0.03679	-17.06%	0.0535	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.050643	-1.60%	0.04181	-18.76%	0.1117	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.053825	-1.62%	0.05	-8.61%	0.0285	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.052763	-1.16%	0.06753	+26.51%	0.2850	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.055494	-0.90%	0.03825	-31.70%	0.3442	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.052434	-2.09%	0.03677	-31.34%	0.3014	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.052153	-2.90%	0.03918	-27.05%	0.2444	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.060527	-2.52%	0.04436	-28.56%	0.2984	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.059068	-3.43%	0.051465	-15.86%	0.1417	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.071784	-3.27%	0.05471	-26.28%	0.2660	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.073748	-3.60%	0.05338	-30.22%	0.3044	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.091279	-2.95%	0.056	-40.46%	0.4418	✓	1.00