KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

130

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

70.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4039

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0525

actual -0.2225

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.027647	-7.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.02813	-7.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.027055	-7.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.027299	-7.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.032276	-7.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.033405	-7.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.031059	-7.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.029492	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.026877	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.02544	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.023314	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.023284	-6.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.023423	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.02299	-7.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.018999	-8.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021072	-7.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.024993	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.018694	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.017608	-8.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.020287	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.019796	-7.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.022287	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.024494	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.029741	-10.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.013116	-10.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.01332	-11.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.012009	-10.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.011779	-10.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.012106	-11.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.012063	-10.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.012221	-11.05%	0.030038	+118.62%	0.9292	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.011966	-11.43%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.9191	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.012226	-11.54%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.8706	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.012024	-11.00%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8905	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.012489	-10.12%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9718	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.012502	-10.39%	0.036292	+160.14%	1.0056	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012016	-8.24%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9560	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.011969	-8.04%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.9398	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.01228	-7.28%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7782	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.012996	-7.10%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6921	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013155	-5.83%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5686	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013253	-4.61%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5599	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013526	-3.16%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5714	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.013775	-2.84%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5517	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014503	-2.82%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.3094	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015384	-2.25%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.3338	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015405	-1.85%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4909	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.01615	-1.34%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1658	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016676	-0.69%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.1162	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017061	-1.95%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1629	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017578	-1.20%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.1050	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018059	-0.47%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2314	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017628	-0.60%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3347	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.01742	-0.77%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5702	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017892	-0.11%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.2938	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017905	+0.65%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2412	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017287	+0.20%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3280	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018299	+0.63%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4176	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018974	+1.36%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4185	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020508	+0.80%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5620	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.01827	+0.39%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4484	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017712	+0.91%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3217	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.016924	-2.12%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.3680	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016171	-4.05%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4178	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015053	-5.67%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3526	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.016623	-5.87%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4416	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.016673	-6.17%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5442	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.016829	-6.01%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6151	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.016797	-5.92%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5673	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.016539	-5.41%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5086	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016321	-5.44%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4655	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017412	-5.52%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5140	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017076	-5.27%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5270	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016448	-4.59%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.4725	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016247	-4.43%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4209	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017004	-4.53%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4430	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017374	-4.75%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.4740	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.01761	-4.94%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4298	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017393	-5.39%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4757	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016364	-5.25%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.2984	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.01527	-4.62%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2066	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014208	-4.10%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1543	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014628	-3.79%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.1841	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016238	-4.48%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2525	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.01477	-3.96%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1403	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.013744	-3.95%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1255	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013009	-3.78%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.0757	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016246	-6.09%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.1659	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012556	-3.79%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.1279	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013498	-4.37%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1533	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013014	-4.41%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.1035	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012485	-4.40%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.1003	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012353	-4.97%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.2039	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014248	-5.76%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0739	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015081	-5.71%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0565	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.014757	-5.47%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1873	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.01535	-5.10%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1727	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018262	-3.98%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0007	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.018662	-4.25%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0001	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020055	-4.09%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.0978	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019447	-3.66%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1491	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.019899	-4.10%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0712	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.019723	-3.93%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.0936	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020126	-3.93%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1733	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019509	-3.63%	0.017	-16.03%	0.1817	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.0193	-3.47%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1477	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020216	-3.85%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1268	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.02117	-4.17%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1486	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020473	-4.15%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1192	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019442	-4.11%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1278	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020494	-3.51%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2713	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022126	-3.23%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4349	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022294	-2.69%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4602	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023104	-3.04%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4818	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.025728	-3.80%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.6164	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025216	-3.55%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6847	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.024458	-3.23%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6946	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.025554	-3.50%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.5330	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024491	-3.12%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7508	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023452	-2.85%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5934	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.024736	-3.26%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6631	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.02841	-4.26%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.8325	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.028944	-4.54%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8860	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.028895	-4.76%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6741	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.026349	-4.01%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.5295	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.025326	-3.74%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5307	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.027236	-4.63%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.5078	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.027878	-5.08%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3373	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.02802	-5.40%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3251	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.029054	-5.48%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.3113	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.030209	-5.61%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3466	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.02941	-5.16%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3538	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.028849	-4.88%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3454	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.02967	-4.37%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.4197	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.030063	-4.50%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4352	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.030777	-5.01%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.4086	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.032671	-5.74%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4413	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.035526	-6.14%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.5883	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.027122	-3.10%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3222	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.032392	-5.20%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4572	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.035401	-5.90%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.4868	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.034353	-6.63%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.3263	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.037582	-10.11%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.3216	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.043411	-13.18%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.3709	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.056017	-17.05%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.5354	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.035135	-8.14%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.0856	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.034005	-7.52%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.0925	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.036136	-7.77%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.0970	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.040541	-8.61%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.2332	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.0464	-9.84%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.4170	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.049405	-9.70%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4526	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.048649	-8.86%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.3132	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.051253	-8.48%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3484	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.048484	-9.47%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.2802	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.048191	-10.28%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.3635	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.056278	-9.37%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5608	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.054784	-10.43%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.4741	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.067181	-9.47%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6622	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.069169	-9.58%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.6839	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.087016	-7.48%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8555	✓	1.00