KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

159

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

55.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0682

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0056

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.029749	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.030216	-0.93%	0.030038	-1.51%	0.0059	✓	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.02908	-0.97%	0.030499	+3.86%	0.0478	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.02936	-0.81%	0.029365	-0.79%	0.0000	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.034608	-0.84%	0.029598	-15.19%	0.1558	✓	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.035769	-1.44%	0.034899	-3.84%	0.0247	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.033127	-1.76%	0.036292	+7.63%	0.0907	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.031439	-1.50%	0.03372	+5.64%	0.0706	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.028562	-1.08%	0.031919	+10.54%	0.1109	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.027087	-1.16%	0.028875	+5.36%	0.0641	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024863	-0.69%	0.027404	+9.46%	0.0993	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024777	-0.94%	0.025037	+0.10%	0.0095	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024915	-1.13%	0.025012	-0.74%	0.0034	✓	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.024504	-1.28%	0.025199	+1.52%	0.0269	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020566	-0.68%	0.024821	+19.87%	0.1925	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022547	-0.72%	0.020707	-8.83%	0.0809	✓	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.026351	-1.82%	0.022712	-15.37%	0.1482	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.020119	-1.00%	0.026838	+32.06%	0.2906	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.019162	-0.74%	0.020323	+5.27%	0.0536	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021776	-1.05%	0.019305	-12.28%	0.1211	✓	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.021291	-0.91%	0.022008	+2.43%	0.0342	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023837	-1.28%	0.021486	-11.02%	0.1080	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.026105	-1.92%	0.024146	-9.28%	0.0778	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.031978	-3.67%	0.026617	-19.82%	0.1840	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.01447	-1.45%	0.033197	+126.09%	0.8382	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014678	-2.21%	0.014683	-2.18%	0.0000	✓	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013328	-1.13%	0.01501	+11.34%	0.1164	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013093	-1.04%	0.013481	+1.90%	0.0315	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013492	-1.09%	0.01323	-3.01%	0.0197	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013411	-1.04%	0.01364	+0.65%	0.0303	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013588	-1.11%	0.013553	-1.36%	0.0004	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013369	-1.05%	0.01374	+1.70%	0.0219	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013682	-1.01%	0.01351	-2.25%	0.0119	✓	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013395	-0.85%	0.013822	+2.30%	0.0281	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013796	-0.71%	0.01351	-2.76%	0.0713	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013742	-1.50%	0.013894	-0.41%	0.0086	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013059	-0.28%	0.013951	+6.53%	0.0593	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012979	-0.27%	0.013095	+0.62%	0.0415	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013223	-0.16%	0.013015	-1.73%	0.0331	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013962	-0.20%	0.013244	-5.33%	0.0470	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013962	-0.05%	0.01399	+0.15%	0.0014	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013906	+0.09%	0.013969	+0.54%	0.0037	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013995	+0.19%	0.013893	-0.54%	0.0143	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014203	+0.17%	0.013968	-1.48%	0.0148	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.01494	+0.10%	0.014179	-5.00%	0.0449	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015746	+0.05%	0.014925	-5.17%	0.0397	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015703	+0.05%	0.015738	+0.27%	0.0035	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016371	+0.01%	0.015695	-4.12%	0.0437	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.01679	-0.01%	0.016369	-2.52%	0.0111	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017374	-0.15%	0.016792	-3.50%	0.0855	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017768	-0.13%	0.0174	-2.20%	0.0197	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.01812	-0.13%	0.017791	-1.95%	0.0040	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017704	-0.17%	0.018144	+2.31%	0.0125	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017523	-0.19%	0.017735	+1.02%	0.0204	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017875	-0.20%	0.017556	-1.98%	0.0240	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.01776	-0.17%	0.017912	+0.68%	0.0482	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017223	-0.18%	0.01779	+3.11%	0.0124	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018149	-0.19%	0.017253	-5.12%	0.0589	✓	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018674	-0.24%	0.018184	-2.86%	0.0189	✓	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020223	-0.60%	0.018718	-8.00%	0.1002	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018144	-0.31%	0.020346	+11.79%	0.1023	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017505	-0.27%	0.0182	+3.69%	0.0624	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017225	-0.38%	0.017552	+1.51%	0.0901	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016771	-0.49%	0.017291	+2.60%	0.0499	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015865	-0.58%	0.016853	+5.62%	0.0529	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017542	-0.67%	0.015957	-9.64%	0.0998	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017646	-0.69%	0.01766	-0.62%	0.0415	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017783	-0.68%	0.01777	-0.75%	0.0041	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017737	-0.66%	0.017905	+0.28%	0.0083	✗	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017378	-0.61%	0.017855	+2.12%	0.0394	✗	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017162	-0.57%	0.017485	+1.30%	0.0183	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018313	-0.64%	0.01726	-6.35%	0.0563	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017924	-0.56%	0.01843	+2.25%	0.0374	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017158	-0.47%	0.018025	+4.55%	0.0740	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016909	-0.53%	0.01724	+1.41%	0.0209	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017719	-0.51%	0.017	-4.55%	0.0419	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.018128	-0.62%	0.01781	-2.36%	0.0343	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018387	-0.74%	0.01824	-1.54%	0.0008	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018222	-0.89%	0.018525	+0.76%	0.0006	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017097	-1.00%	0.018385	+6.46%	0.0560	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015921	-0.55%	0.01727	+7.87%	0.0822	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014754	-0.41%	0.01601	+8.07%	0.0610	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015146	-0.39%	0.014815	-2.56%	0.0203	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016841	-0.93%	0.015205	-10.56%	0.0504	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015299	-0.53%	0.017	+10.53%	0.0838	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014238	-0.51%	0.01538	+7.48%	0.0759	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.01347	-0.37%	0.01431	+5.84%	0.0566	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017059	-1.39%	0.01352	-21.85%	0.1938	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013012	-0.29%	0.0173	+32.57%	0.2635	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.01406	-0.39%	0.01305	-7.55%	0.0789	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.01357	-0.33%	0.014115	+3.67%	0.0599	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013021	-0.30%	0.013615	+4.25%	0.0670	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012958	-0.32%	0.01306	+0.46%	0.0170	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015055	-0.43%	0.013	-14.02%	0.1774	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015927	-0.43%	0.01512	-5.47%	0.0648	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015553	-0.37%	0.015995	+2.47%	0.0308	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016121	-0.33%	0.01561	-3.49%	0.0543	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018951	-0.36%	0.016175	-14.96%	0.1615	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019413	-0.40%	0.01902	-2.41%	0.0034	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020815	-0.46%	0.01949	-6.79%	0.0590	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020109	-0.38%	0.02091	+3.59%	0.0308	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020665	-0.41%	0.020185	-2.72%	0.0154	✗	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020452	-0.38%	0.02075	+1.07%	0.0153	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.02087	-0.38%	0.02053	-2.00%	0.0072	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020178	-0.33%	0.02095	+3.48%	0.0132	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019935	-0.30%	0.020245	+1.25%	0.0087	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020952	-0.35%	0.019995	-4.90%	0.0188	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021989	-0.46%	0.021025	-4.82%	0.0276	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021256	-0.49%	0.02209	+3.42%	0.0281	✗	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020208	-0.33%	0.02136	+5.35%	0.0432	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021176	-0.30%	0.020275	-4.54%	0.0576	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022795	-0.31%	0.02124	-7.11%	0.0981	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.02285	-0.26%	0.022865	-0.20%	0.0410	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023719	-0.47%	0.02291	-3.86%	0.0769	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026632	-0.42%	0.02383	-10.90%	0.0644	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026047	-0.38%	0.026745	+2.29%	0.0073	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025196	-0.31%	0.026145	+3.44%	0.0499	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026385	-0.36%	0.025275	-4.55%	0.0411	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.02521	-0.28%	0.02648	+4.75%	0.0410	✗	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024084	-0.23%	0.02528	+4.72%	0.0851	✗	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025494	-0.30%	0.02414	-5.59%	0.0074	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029533	-0.48%	0.02557	-13.83%	0.1093	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.030153	-0.55%	0.029675	-2.13%	0.0350	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.030144	-0.65%	0.03032	-0.07%	0.0326	✗	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027335	-0.42%	0.03034	+10.53%	0.0854	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026215	-0.36%	0.02745	+4.33%	0.0314	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028425	-0.47%	0.02631	-7.88%	0.0392	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029218	-0.52%	0.02856	-2.76%	0.0056	✗	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029463	-0.53%	0.02937	-0.84%	0.0128	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030574	-0.54%	0.02962	-3.64%	0.0455	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031826	-0.56%	0.03074	-3.95%	0.0672	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030869	-0.46%	0.032005	+3.21%	0.0139	✗	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030216	-0.37%	0.03101	+2.24%	0.0265	✗	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030942	-0.27%	0.03033	-2.24%	0.0768	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031409	-0.23%	0.031025	-1.45%	0.0058	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032323	-0.24%	0.03148	-2.84%	0.0115	✗	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034547	-0.32%	0.0324	-6.52%	0.0576	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037648	-0.53%	0.03466	-8.43%	0.1712	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.02805	+0.21%	0.03785	+35.23%	0.3057	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034163	-0.02%	0.02799	-18.09%	0.1548	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037609	-0.03%	0.03417	-9.17%	0.0922	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036814	+0.06%	0.03762	+2.26%	0.0617	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.041721	-0.21%	0.03679	-12.01%	0.0583	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.049593	-0.81%	0.04181	-16.38%	0.1395	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.065216	-3.43%	0.05	-25.96%	0.2630	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038357	+0.28%	0.06753	+76.55%	0.5602	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.036901	+0.36%	0.03825	+4.03%	0.0379	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.03929	+0.28%	0.03677	-6.15%	0.0554	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044407	+0.11%	0.03918	-11.68%	0.1051	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051384	-0.16%	0.04436	-13.81%	0.1284	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054616	-0.17%	0.051465	-5.93%	0.0630	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.05335	-0.06%	0.05471	+2.49%	0.0209	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.055986	-0.02%	0.05338	-4.68%	0.0635	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053425	-0.24%	0.056	+4.57%	0.0746	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053514	-0.36%	0.053555	-0.29%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.061891	-0.33%	0.05371	-13.50%	0.1510	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.060891	-0.45%	0.062095	+1.52%	0.0219	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.07383	-0.51%	0.061165	-17.58%	0.1822	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.076079	-0.55%	0.07421	-2.99%	0.0159	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.093479	-0.61%	0.0765	-18.66%	0.1883	✓	1.00