HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s7

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 186

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 62 predictions shown

direction hit

67.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2644

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0324

actual -0.1284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00679	0.006673	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006816	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006816	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007338	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008243	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008654	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008388	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008781	-2.80%	0.00679	-24.83%	0.3038	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008574	-3.10%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.2053	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008475	-2.87%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.2080	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.0088	-3.55%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.0915	✓	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010575	-3.78%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1580	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009617	-3.89%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0328	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008173	-3.71%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0342	✓	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010372	-4.45%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.0671	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.011596	-4.61%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.1711	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011321	-4.83%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.0952	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013111	-4.77%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.2492	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014044	-5.09%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.1694	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012423	-5.14%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.1346	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.01405	-5.75%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.3731	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011194	-5.26%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0194	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012064	-5.87%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.0680	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010232	-5.06%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0587	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.010998	-5.74%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.1434	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.013346	-6.72%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.0903	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.012621	-6.88%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0206	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009514	-4.41%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.4300	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008706	-3.31%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3399	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009046	-4.43%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4574	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.0116	-6.63%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0562	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.01047	-3.68%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0371	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011322	-4.23%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.0943	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015062	-7.16%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2462	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011778	-1.79%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.4954	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012715	-2.14%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6799	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011412	-0.04%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.6135	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009777	+0.94%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1622	✗	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.00808	+0.96%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.0859	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010159	+1.12%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0346	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012148	+0.73%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.1191	✓	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010443	+0.25%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.1408	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009387	-2.22%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.3527	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.011759	-2.22%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0075	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012373	-3.27%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2332	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015154	-3.33%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.5933	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022387	-2.13%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7685	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.017894	-2.60%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3632	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024079	-1.90%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7780	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018654	-2.53%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6769	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.02054	-2.25%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5488	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024662	-2.37%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6632	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.026033	-3.56%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5411	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021555	-2.76%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0391	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014011	-1.91%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2477	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016429	-1.39%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.3893	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022265	-2.56%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.1294	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019274	-2.22%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.1009	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018484	-2.29%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.3177	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015807	-2.12%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5360	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013494	-1.64%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.4812	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013125	-1.53%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.0907	✗	1.00