HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s7

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 189

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

56.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1361

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0139

actual -0.0142

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007225	0.007161	-0.87%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-21	oos	0.007181	0.007127	-0.74%	0.007225	+0.61%	0.0058	✓	3.36
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006904	-0.45%	0.007181	+3.54%	0.0043	✓	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006891	-0.29%	0.006935	+0.35%	0.0385	✓	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007447	-0.39%	0.006911	-7.56%	0.0678	✓	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008389	-0.70%	0.007476	-11.50%	0.1409	✓	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008817	-0.85%	0.008448	-5.00%	0.0378	✓	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008551	-0.76%	0.008892	+3.20%	0.0650	✗	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008951	-0.92%	0.008617	-4.62%	0.0612	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008765	-0.94%	0.009034	+2.10%	0.0951	✗	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008658	-0.77%	0.008849	+1.42%	0.0356	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.009035	-0.98%	0.008725	-4.37%	0.0481	✗	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010829	-1.46%	0.009124	-16.98%	0.2043	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009866	-1.40%	0.010989	+9.83%	0.0920	✗	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008381	-1.26%	0.010006	+17.88%	0.1405	✗	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010686	-1.56%	0.008488	-21.81%	0.1646	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.011955	-1.66%	0.010855	-10.71%	0.0044	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011692	-1.71%	0.012157	+2.20%	0.0475	✗	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.01353	-1.73%	0.011895	-13.60%	0.0987	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014497	-2.03%	0.013768	-6.95%	0.1231	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012843	-1.94%	0.014797	+12.98%	0.1318	✗	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014537	-2.48%	0.013097	-12.15%	0.0903	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011569	-2.08%	0.014907	+26.17%	0.2016	✗	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012488	-2.56%	0.011815	-7.81%	0.0521	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010551	-2.10%	0.012816	+18.92%	0.1871	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011417	-2.15%	0.010778	-7.63%	0.0170	✓	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.013922	-2.69%	0.011668	-18.44%	0.1784	✓	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.013118	-3.22%	0.014306	+5.55%	0.0738	✗	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009722	-2.32%	0.013554	+36.18%	0.3444	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008821	-2.03%	0.009953	+10.54%	0.1204	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.00929	-1.84%	0.009004	-4.87%	0.0458	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012127	-2.39%	0.009465	-23.81%	0.2317	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.01064	-2.11%	0.012424	+14.30%	0.0814	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011572	-2.11%	0.01087	-8.05%	0.0594	✓	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015681	-3.35%	0.011822	-27.14%	0.2985	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011849	-1.19%	0.016224	+35.29%	0.1260	✗	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012788	-1.57%	0.011992	-7.70%	0.0729	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011312	-0.91%	0.012992	+13.81%	0.1145	✗	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009634	-0.53%	0.011416	+17.87%	0.3020	✗	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008022	+0.23%	0.009685	+21.02%	0.1208	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.01003	-0.16%	0.008004	-20.34%	0.2034	✓	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.01198	-0.66%	0.010047	-16.69%	0.1785	✓	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010361	-0.53%	0.01206	+15.77%	0.1430	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.00948	-1.24%	0.010417	+8.51%	0.1167	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.01185	-1.47%	0.0096	-20.18%	0.2085	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012562	-1.79%	0.012026	-5.99%	0.0355	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015413	-1.68%	0.012792	-18.40%	0.1707	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022587	-1.25%	0.015676	-31.46%	0.3716	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018106	-1.45%	0.022874	+24.50%	0.2318	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024256	-1.18%	0.018372	-25.15%	0.2581	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018884	-1.32%	0.024546	+28.26%	0.2123	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020776	-1.13%	0.019138	-8.93%	0.0809	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024999	-1.04%	0.021014	-16.82%	0.1587	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.026527	-1.73%	0.025262	-6.42%	0.0604	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021776	-1.77%	0.026994	+21.78%	0.2221	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014164	-0.83%	0.022167	+55.20%	0.4428	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016572	-0.53%	0.014283	-14.27%	0.1178	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022579	-1.19%	0.016661	-27.09%	0.3196	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019518	-0.98%	0.02285	+15.93%	0.1513	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018701	-1.14%	0.019711	+4.20%	0.0584	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015971	-1.11%	0.018916	+17.13%	0.1532	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013612	-0.78%	0.01615	+17.72%	0.1622	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013226	-0.77%	0.013719	+2.93%	0.0529	✗	1.00