HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · gru_s7
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 186
Track record at +30d
assessed
32
of 62 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4075
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0721
actual -0.4716
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00679 | 0.00644 | -5.16% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006583 | -5.07% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006572 | -4.90% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007064 | -5.51% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.007904 | -6.44% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008279 | -6.90% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.008009 | -7.06% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008369 | -7.36% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.008147 | -7.92% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.008044 | -7.81% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008325 | -8.75% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.010027 | -8.76% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.00907 | -9.36% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.007667 | -9.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.009733 | -10.34% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.010891 | -10.42% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.010599 | -10.90% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.012322 | -10.50% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.013186 | -10.88% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.01161 | -11.35% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.013141 | -11.85% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.010414 | -11.86% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.011211 | -12.53% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.009497 | -11.88% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.01017 | -12.84% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.012299 | -14.03% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.011629 | -14.20% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.008839 | -11.19% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.00812 | -9.82% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.008398 | -11.27% | – | pending | – | – | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.010611 | -14.59% | 0.00679 | -45.34% | 0.2845 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.00965 | -11.22% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.4094 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.010376 | -12.22% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.4333 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.013694 | -15.59% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.6553 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.010818 | -9.79% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.4559 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.011647 | -10.35% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.4915 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.010479 | -8.21% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.4649 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.009036 | -6.70% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1670 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007528 | -5.95% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.1392 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009444 | -6.01% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.2885 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.011243 | -6.77% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.5041 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.009715 | -6.73% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0432 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.008713 | -9.23% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.0854 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.010925 | -9.15% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.2930 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.011476 | -10.29% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.1071 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.014194 | -9.46% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.2176 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.021651 | -5.35% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6704 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.017078 | -7.04% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.2978 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.023459 | -4.43% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.5028 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.017901 | -6.46% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.4016 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.019845 | -5.56% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3780 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.023975 | -5.09% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7693 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.025357 | -6.06% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.7564 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.021147 | -4.60% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.7387 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.01362 | -4.64% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.2363 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.016182 | -2.88% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.1735 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.021923 | -4.06% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.5430 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.019016 | -3.53% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.7193 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.018337 | -3.06% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.7773 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.015715 | -2.69% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.6104 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.013453 | -1.94% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.1963 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.013203 | -0.94% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2301 | ✓ | 1.00 |