GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s7

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0833

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0160

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.30107	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.300208	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.295253	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.29776	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.295357	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.301562	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.296525	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.313883	-1.56%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0214	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.313135	-1.41%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0241	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.32407	-1.63%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0767	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.330765	-1.53%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0900	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.340307	-1.65%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1270	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.337124	-1.66%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.0980	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.316207	-1.59%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0511	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.319061	-1.52%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0007	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.32312	-1.38%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0177	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.323732	-1.44%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0181	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.315659	-1.28%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0629	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.320585	-1.46%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0769	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.321877	-1.55%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0636	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.313317	-1.58%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0265	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.317374	-1.62%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0208	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.314062	-1.69%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0417	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.311055	-1.81%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0536	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.323643	-1.69%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0124	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.337263	-1.60%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0360	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.343642	-1.54%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0499	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.349747	-1.41%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.0941	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.337823	-1.39%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0459	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.348108	-1.23%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0864	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.354939	-1.09%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.1137	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.366551	-2.17%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.1110	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.335387	-1.60%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0182	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.33369	-1.91%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0411	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.348106	-3.44%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0023	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.298044	-1.44%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1161	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.299572	-1.33%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1223	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.295669	-1.05%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1577	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.292487	-1.00%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2283	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.294704	-0.79%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1292	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.302028	-0.70%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.1015	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.285955	-0.40%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2325	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.287967	-0.20%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0591	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.302883	-0.35%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0157	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.29205	-0.05%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0271	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296413	+0.07%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0135	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300395	+0.02%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0010	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293817	+0.18%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0508	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.293394	+0.74%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0108	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.287702	+0.63%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0032	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.279554	+0.81%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0768	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.285883	+0.77%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0182	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.283625	+0.67%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0352	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.286378	+0.66%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0428	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.284164	+0.54%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0260	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.306475	+0.65%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0534	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.308137	+0.29%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0700	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.309318	+0.33%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1056	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.313547	+0.30%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.0989	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.324246	+0.08%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1403	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.333885	-0.15%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1630	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.341221	-0.04%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.1871	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.307734	-1.08%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0159	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.323038	-1.84%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0319	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.356737	-2.12%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1625	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.360126	-2.07%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1618	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.357071	-2.02%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1168	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.364621	-2.06%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.1038	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.361267	-1.99%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0806	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.385288	-1.99%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2260	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.36831	-2.05%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1198	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.364451	-2.27%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0015	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.355412	-2.35%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0334	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.337802	-2.10%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0794	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.338631	-2.20%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.0981	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.334046	-2.21%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.1017	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.331224	-2.19%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1726	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.350395	-2.21%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0724	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.341453	-2.32%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.0888	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.334873	-2.40%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0827	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.320427	-2.29%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0725	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.314059	-2.31%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.0955	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.320989	-2.35%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0602	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.322701	-2.48%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0487	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.321555	-2.37%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1076	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.341955	-2.30%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0218	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.359346	-2.29%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0460	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.366864	-2.39%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.1104	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.360091	-2.88%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.1122	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.353021	-2.40%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0706	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.344114	-2.43%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0389	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.346615	-2.51%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0493	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.350974	-3.41%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0007	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.315029	-2.74%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1534	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.308641	-2.56%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1977	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.31048	-2.75%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1769	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.316114	-2.67%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1349	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.32398	-2.64%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0861	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.323728	-2.76%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0950	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.323403	-2.37%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1178	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.320335	-2.05%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0158	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.331841	-1.94%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0446	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.339534	-1.64%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0595	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.342869	-1.38%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0546	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.344215	-1.20%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0326	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.351292	-1.20%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0490	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.370552	-1.13%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.1081	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.37231	-1.11%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1339	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.37745	-1.13%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.1088	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.383243	-1.15%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.1030	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.379555	-1.16%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0839	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.384163	-1.19%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0937	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.389694	-1.27%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0865	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.389724	-1.26%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0270	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.388698	-1.31%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0227	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.373776	-1.20%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0344	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.372816	-1.20%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0493	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.385743	-1.26%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0033	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.386509	-1.22%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0116	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.376032	-1.28%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0456	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.385413	-1.45%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0102	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.393523	-1.61%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0125	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.404432	-1.60%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0789	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.409699	-1.73%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.0964	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.395447	-1.72%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0266	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.366106	-1.69%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0484	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.407142	-1.89%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.0935	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.418571	-2.04%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.0917	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.426402	-2.13%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0826	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.483072	-2.11%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1768	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.43892	-1.95%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0483	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.446375	-1.88%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.1028	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.463433	-1.90%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.2079	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.463305	-1.65%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1578	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.446455	-1.38%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.1056	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.456333	-1.59%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.0960	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.460224	-1.60%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0325	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.404032	-0.36%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0454	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.43396	-0.38%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0070	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.425515	-1.07%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.1083	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.474093	-1.15%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0350	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.498548	-2.05%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0189	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.431592	-3.30%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.1947	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.433811	-3.83%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2256	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.459812	-3.55%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0668	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.436474	-3.76%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1821	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.606913	-3.33%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.2028	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.689713	-3.22%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.2145	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.647692	-3.38%	0.509	-24.07%	0.1121	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.616065	-3.15%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2424	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.692694	-4.20%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3837	✓	1.00