GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s7

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

121

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

80.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1271

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0336

actual -0.0865

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.293077	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.29311	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.288574	-3.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.291694	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.288958	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.295948	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.291458	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.307686	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.307321	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.316844	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.324351	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.333427	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.330188	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.309405	-3.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.3128	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.317651	-3.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.317932	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.310989	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.315004	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.315878	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.307279	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.311306	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.307397	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.304224	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.316944	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.330915	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.337938	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.345187	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.334808	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.350135	-0.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.358045	-0.22%	0.3071	-14.42%	0.1535	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.364327	-2.77%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1774	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.333129	-2.27%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.1049	✓	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.332705	-2.20%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.0969	✓	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.343322	-4.77%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.1496	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.291773	-3.51%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0309	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.293496	-3.33%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0020	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.291455	-2.46%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0749	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.287744	-2.61%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0710	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.290694	-2.14%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.1068	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.299154	-1.64%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.0855	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.282726	-1.52%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1732	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.286595	-0.68%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1595	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.301314	-0.87%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0497	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.291365	-0.29%	0.324	+10.88%	0.0873	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296945	+0.25%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0751	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.30038	+0.01%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0626	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293939	+0.22%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0418	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.297316	+2.08%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0674	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.290425	+1.58%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.0751	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.283447	+2.22%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.0695	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.289449	+2.03%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0751	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.287169	+1.92%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.0887	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.29092	+2.26%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0698	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.288866	+2.20%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.1110	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.313241	+2.87%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0800	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.313185	+1.93%	0.349	+13.59%	0.0944	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.316157	+2.55%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.0967	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.321361	+2.80%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0496	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.331853	+2.42%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0395	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.340185	+1.73%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0306	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.349464	+2.38%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0626	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.307451	-1.17%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0971	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.317174	-3.62%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0914	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.347516	-4.65%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0225	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.351238	-4.49%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1663	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.348116	-4.48%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1538	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.356124	-4.34%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.1940	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.352781	-4.29%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.1991	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.376698	-4.17%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2546	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.360104	-4.23%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1850	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.356632	-4.36%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.2321	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.347245	-4.59%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.2025	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.329188	-4.60%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.1008	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.329568	-4.82%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1422	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.325002	-4.86%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.1160	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.322249	-4.84%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.0929	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.341339	-4.73%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1724	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.332403	-4.91%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1531	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.325478	-5.14%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1452	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.310751	-5.24%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1287	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.304005	-5.44%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.0830	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.310913	-5.41%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.1119	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.312719	-5.49%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.1065	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.311605	-5.39%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.1090	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.331905	-5.17%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.1013	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.349128	-5.06%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1440	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.357384	-4.91%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1588	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.350548	-5.45%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.1246	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.342707	-5.25%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0642	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.334372	-5.20%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0094	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.337331	-5.12%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0026	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.342539	-5.73%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.1011	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.3043	-6.05%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0819	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.298395	-5.79%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.2000	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.299479	-6.19%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.2050	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.305155	-6.05%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1765	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.313356	-5.83%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1717	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.314198	-5.62%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1581	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.313733	-5.29%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.2241	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.31112	-4.87%	0.376	+14.97%	0.1913	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.323766	-4.32%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1409	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.333224	-3.47%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.0885	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.338606	-2.60%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0203	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.340484	-2.27%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0204	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.347926	-2.14%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0132	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.366497	-2.22%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0767	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.368683	-2.08%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0271	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.373775	-2.09%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0659	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.379449	-2.13%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.0998	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.375817	-2.13%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.1338	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.380064	-2.25%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1643	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.385069	-2.44%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1518	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.384005	-2.71%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.1335	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.38326	-2.69%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.1426	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.367954	-2.73%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0359	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.366766	-2.80%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0148	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.379611	-2.83%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0062	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.380282	-2.82%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0111	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.369774	-2.92%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0138	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.379209	-3.04%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0650	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.386993	-3.24%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0775	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.39767	-3.24%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0803	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.402394	-3.48%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.2139	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.387707	-3.64%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.1973	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.357851	-3.91%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.1036	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.398276	-4.03%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.2081	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.40901	-4.28%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.2210	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.416441	-4.42%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2363	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.473578	-4.04%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3618	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.429169	-4.13%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2376	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.436868	-3.97%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2586	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.453288	-4.05%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2757	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.453182	-3.80%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.3078	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.435703	-3.75%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2475	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.444812	-4.07%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.2108	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.448106	-4.19%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1790	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.391014	-3.57%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.0883	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.420475	-3.47%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.1376	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.410395	-4.58%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0455	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.459146	-4.26%	0.384	-19.93%	0.1547	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.481907	-5.32%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.1339	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.409983	-8.14%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.1354	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.410423	-9.02%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.1898	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.43725	-8.29%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.0994	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.413564	-8.82%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.1208	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.584881	-6.84%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.2340	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.664776	-6.72%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.3177	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.627237	-6.43%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.2328	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.599405	-5.77%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.2170	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.674079	-6.77%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.3384	✓	1.00