GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s7

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

151

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

55.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0338

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0037

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3105	0.308859	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.3103	0.308602	-0.55%	0.3105	+0.06%	0.0064	✗	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.304382	-0.43%	0.3103	+1.50%	0.0205	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.298924	-0.41%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0237	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301168	-0.41%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0035	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.298636	-0.34%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0128	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.304515	-0.36%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0162	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.299445	-0.33%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0200	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.31732	-0.48%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0544	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.31656	-0.33%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0066	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.327905	-0.47%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0316	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334468	-0.43%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0155	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.344125	-0.54%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0243	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.340922	-0.55%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0147	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.31978	-0.47%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0695	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.322634	-0.42%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0042	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.326593	-0.32%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0084	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.327431	-0.31%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0007	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.319171	-0.18%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0289	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.324328	-0.31%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0148	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.325825	-0.34%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0015	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.317654	-0.22%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0290	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.321645	-0.30%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0108	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318758	-0.22%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0120	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.316075	-0.23%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0106	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.328542	-0.20%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0363	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.341842	-0.26%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0377	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.347945	-0.30%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0151	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.353588	-0.33%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0130	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.341518	-0.32%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0380	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.350836	-0.46%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0241	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.357137	-0.48%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0132	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.370385	-1.15%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0374	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.338615	-0.66%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1013	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.337053	-0.93%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0108	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.353349	-1.98%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0501	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.301725	-0.22%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1774	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302944	-0.22%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0041	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.29849	-0.10%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0288	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.295153	-0.10%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0061	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296895	-0.05%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0029	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.303929	-0.07%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0232	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.28725	+0.05%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0540	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.28902	+0.16%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0017	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.304263	+0.10%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0523	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.292879	+0.23%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0401	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.297061	+0.29%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0107	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.301035	+0.23%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0186	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.294073	+0.26%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0201	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.292573	+0.45%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0132	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.286891	+0.35%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0092	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.278468	+0.42%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0269	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.28505	+0.48%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0195	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.283033	+0.46%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0004	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.28583	+0.47%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0126	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.283953	+0.46%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0007	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.305759	+0.41%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0725	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.308262	+0.33%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0158	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.309438	+0.37%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0087	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.313768	+0.37%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0163	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.324945	+0.29%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0419	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.335161	+0.23%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0356	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.342244	+0.26%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0199	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.311833	+0.24%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0865	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.328909	-0.06%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0485	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.363022	-0.39%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1040	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.366208	-0.42%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0051	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.362862	-0.44%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0110	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.370194	-0.57%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0154	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.366817	-0.48%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0148	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.390636	-0.63%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0574	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.373604	-0.64%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0508	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.369693	-0.86%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0171	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.360944	-0.83%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0331	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.343658	-0.40%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0590	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.34474	-0.44%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0010	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.340197	-0.41%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0176	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.337242	-0.42%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0118	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.356271	-0.57%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0502	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.347217	-0.67%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0307	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.340594	-0.73%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0252	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.326371	-0.48%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0500	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.320182	-0.41%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0232	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.327065	-0.50%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0171	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.329282	-0.49%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0001	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.32794	-0.43%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0082	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.348285	-0.49%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0560	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.365663	-0.57%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0440	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.37336	-0.66%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0136	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.367031	-1.00%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0230	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.359629	-0.57%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0303	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.350894	-0.51%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0312	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.353626	-0.54%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0018	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.359732	-1.00%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0114	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.322815	-0.34%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1194	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.31589	-0.27%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0256	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.318326	-0.29%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0051	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.323634	-0.36%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0127	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.331411	-0.40%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0200	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.331602	-0.39%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0026	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.330709	-0.16%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0064	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.326131	-0.28%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0200	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.337693	-0.21%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0351	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.34452	-0.20%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0180	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.347136	-0.15%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0063	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.347757	-0.18%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0017	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.35447	-0.30%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0154	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.373941	-0.23%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0531	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.375776	-0.19%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0042	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.380875	-0.23%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0106	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.386632	-0.28%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0116	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.382909	-0.28%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0138	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.387414	-0.36%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0064	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.392714	-0.50%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0065	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.392408	-0.58%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0095	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.391831	-0.51%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0032	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.376537	-0.47%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0472	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.37575	-0.42%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0052	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.388705	-0.50%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0299	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.389215	-0.53%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0046	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.379334	-0.41%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0275	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.389627	-0.38%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0280	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.398539	-0.35%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0234	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.409233	-0.43%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0207	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.415172	-0.41%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0133	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.40088	-0.37%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0422	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.37136	-0.28%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0835	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.413736	-0.30%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1172	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.426003	-0.30%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0354	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.434338	-0.31%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0215	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.490397	-0.63%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1148	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.445879	-0.40%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0819	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.452783	-0.48%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0253	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.469795	-0.55%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0317	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.467883	-0.68%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0243	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.45058	-0.47%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0484	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.461154	-0.55%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.464608	-0.66%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.405034	-0.11%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1043	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.434767	-0.19%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0667	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.429431	-0.16%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0587	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.477377	-0.46%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.1006	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.503966	-0.99%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.443919	-0.53%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2043	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.448526	-0.57%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0262	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.47364	-0.65%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0461	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.450654	-0.64%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0508	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.620698	-1.14%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3118	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.703299	-1.31%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1026	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.65892	-1.71%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0985	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.626031	-1.58%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0870	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.701826	-2.94%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1019	✓	1.00