GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s7

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

58.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0338

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0042

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.305507	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.304309	-0.46%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0088	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.299026	-0.37%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0234	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301349	-0.35%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0041	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.298797	-0.28%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0123	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.304754	-0.28%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0169	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.299477	-0.32%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0199	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.317424	-0.45%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0547	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.316369	-0.39%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0072	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.327926	-0.46%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0317	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334413	-0.44%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0154	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.34431	-0.49%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0248	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.341114	-0.49%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0142	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.319768	-0.48%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0695	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.322431	-0.48%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0036	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.326163	-0.45%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0071	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.326976	-0.45%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0021	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.318515	-0.39%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0309	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.323942	-0.43%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0136	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.325467	-0.45%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0004	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.317024	-0.42%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0310	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.321186	-0.44%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0094	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318119	-0.42%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0140	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.315331	-0.46%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0129	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.327789	-0.43%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0340	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.341352	-0.41%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0363	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.34767	-0.38%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0143	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.353544	-0.34%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0129	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.341458	-0.33%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0382	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.350586	-0.53%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0234	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.357037	-0.51%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0129	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.371232	-0.93%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0397	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.339007	-0.54%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1002	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.337378	-0.83%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0098	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.354459	-1.68%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0533	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.301387	-0.33%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1785	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302616	-0.32%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0030	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.297981	-0.27%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0305	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.294691	-0.26%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0076	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296389	-0.22%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0012	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.303309	-0.28%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0211	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.286612	-0.17%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0563	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.288021	-0.18%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0051	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303186	-0.25%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0487	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.291633	-0.19%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0444	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.295581	-0.21%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0057	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.29964	-0.24%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0139	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.29276	-0.18%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0246	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.290991	-0.09%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0186	✗	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.285714	-0.07%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0051	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.277164	-0.05%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0316	✗	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.283578	-0.04%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0143	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.281639	-0.04%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0045	✗	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.284388	-0.04%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0076	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.282505	-0.05%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0058	✗	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.304269	-0.08%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0676	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.306948	-0.10%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0115	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308108	-0.06%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0044	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.312428	-0.06%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0120	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.323686	-0.10%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0380	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.333939	-0.14%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0319	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.340884	-0.14%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0159	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310441	-0.21%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0909	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.32792	-0.36%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0454	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.362806	-0.45%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1034	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.366172	-0.43%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0050	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.363025	-0.39%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0106	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.37057	-0.46%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0164	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.367046	-0.42%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0141	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.391262	-0.47%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0591	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.374218	-0.47%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0492	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.370462	-0.65%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0150	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.361383	-0.71%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0319	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.343432	-0.47%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0596	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.344607	-0.47%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0014	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.340105	-0.44%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0179	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.337296	-0.40%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0117	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.356737	-0.44%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0515	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.347832	-0.49%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0289	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.341221	-0.55%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0234	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.326552	-0.43%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0495	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.320295	-0.37%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0229	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.327392	-0.40%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0181	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.329431	-0.44%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0003	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.328045	-0.40%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0079	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.34852	-0.42%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0566	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.366084	-0.45%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0451	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.373742	-0.56%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0146	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.3674	-0.90%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0220	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.359712	-0.55%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0301	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.350787	-0.54%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0315	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.35341	-0.60%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0012	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.35867	-1.29%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0084	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.321896	-0.62%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1223	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.315007	-0.55%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0284	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.317447	-0.56%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0023	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.323025	-0.55%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0109	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.330815	-0.58%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0182	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.330392	-0.75%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0063	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.329516	-0.52%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0100	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.325609	-0.44%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0216	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.336979	-0.42%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0330	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.343973	-0.36%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0164	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.346562	-0.31%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0047	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.347403	-0.29%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0027	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.354294	-0.35%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0149	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.373652	-0.31%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0523	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.375399	-0.29%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0032	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.380619	-0.30%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0099	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.386524	-0.30%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0113	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.38285	-0.30%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0140	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.387571	-0.32%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0068	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.393247	-0.37%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0079	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.393236	-0.37%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0074	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.392347	-0.38%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0019	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.377023	-0.34%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0460	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.376131	-0.32%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0042	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.38931	-0.34%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0314	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.390007	-0.33%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0026	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.379739	-0.30%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0264	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.389792	-0.33%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0284	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.398472	-0.37%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0232	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.409404	-0.39%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0211	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.415163	-0.42%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0133	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.400805	-0.38%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0424	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.371124	-0.34%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0841	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.413259	-0.42%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1161	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.425409	-0.44%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0340	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.433738	-0.45%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0201	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.490673	-0.57%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1154	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.445745	-0.43%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0822	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.452943	-0.44%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0257	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.470244	-0.46%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0327	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.469025	-0.44%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0267	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.451346	-0.30%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0467	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.462097	-0.35%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.465957	-0.37%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.405623	+0.03%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1029	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.435659	+0.01%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0688	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.429805	-0.07%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0578	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.478752	-0.18%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.1035	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.506401	-0.51%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0143	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.444002	-0.52%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2041	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.448591	-0.56%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0261	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.474145	-0.55%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0472	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.450941	-0.58%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0502	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.622009	-0.93%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3139	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.706455	-0.87%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1071	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.663422	-1.03%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0917	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.629985	-0.96%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0807	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.710979	-1.67%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1148	✓	1.00