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2022-09-11 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2338
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.4%
in alpha space · 93.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,220.75-2.04%19,028.40-12.16%0.0156✓0.9213k2022-10-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.00001267-2.46%0.00001023-21.25%0.0756✓1.021.0M2022-10-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.038304-2.53%0.0324-17.56%0.0287✓1.0288k2022-10-11
GTGateEthereum4.33014.22-2.54%4.365+0.81%0.1334✗0.73690k2022-10-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.498875-2.56%0.4268-16.64%0.0041✓1.18384k2022-10-11
QNTQuantEthereum108.82105.9734-2.62%153.96+41.48%0.5030✗0.953.5M2022-10-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.4952-2.66%8.744-10.36%0.0350✗0.861.2M2022-10-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.178045-2.71%0.148-19.13%0.0260✓1.171,7442022-10-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.038519-2.73%0.03308-16.46%0.0585✓0.692,1832022-10-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.223555-2.93%0.1864-19.06%0.0602✓0.8957k2022-10-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006337-3.05%0.005604-14.27%0.0319✓0.672,0442022-10-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012536-3.05%0.0104-19.57%0.0972✓0.66233k2022-10-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.207554-3.06%0.1798-16.02%0.0044✓1.09138k2022-10-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.059151-3.19%0.0499-18.33%0.0537✓0.8682k2022-10-11
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.81e-7-3.24%7.60e-7-16.48%0.0460✓0.741.7M2022-10-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,104.81-3.33%19,058.11-12.70%0.0339✓1.00473.4M2022-10-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3727-3.33%1.52+7.04%0.0827✗-0.14124k2022-10-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020572-3.42%0.0178-16.43%0.0632✓0.60206k2022-10-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0133.7789-3.52%30.8-12.03%0.0717✗1.2154.5M2022-10-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.22153.5596-3.56%144.57-9.20%0.0731✗0.981.3M2022-10-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.047927-3.57%0.0383-22.94%0.1087✓0.85138k2022-10-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2310.8224-3.63%8.81-21.55%0.0206✓1.36298k2022-10-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.7708-3.65%1.592-13.38%0.0328✓1.02627k2022-10-11
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.226349-3.68%0.2305-1.91%0.1362✗0.87503k2022-10-11
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.6233-3.69%1.3396-20.52%0.0476✓1.06241k2022-10-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1859.8853-3.69%52.01-16.36%0.0008✓1.0413.5M2022-10-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.024539-3.77%0.02204-13.57%0.0460✗1.132,9142022-10-11
TRXTRONTron0.064190.061739-3.82%0.06166-3.94%0.0653✗0.49123k2022-10-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.070278-3.82%0.05605-23.29%0.0940✓0.977022022-10-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.490554-3.83%0.3906-23.43%0.0908✓1.0138.3M2022-10-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.035753-3.89%0.0355-4.57%0.1117✗0.877,8252022-10-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.202368-3.91%0.1451-31.10%0.1759✓1.15108k2022-10-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.072509-3.91%0.06085-19.36%0.0376✓1.0124k2022-10-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,697.78-3.91%1,279.94-27.56%0.0961✓1.37575.8M2022-10-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8251-3.94%2.27+19.47%0.2830✗0.4861k2022-10-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.109869-3.95%0.116096+1.49%0.1754✗0.896.4M2022-10-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.006056-4.00%0.006021-4.56%0.0464✗0.3830k2022-10-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.8948-4.02%4.82-5.49%0.1021✗0.86859k2022-10-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.532266-4.11%0.42218-23.94%0.0495✓1.3439k2022-10-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.4529-4.12%5.78-14.12%0.0419✓0.502.1M2022-10-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.121656-4.21%0.1155-9.06%0.0512✓0.0183k2022-10-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35124.8591-4.21%111.17-14.71%0.0450✗1.194.4M2022-10-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.061777-4.22%0.0631-2.17%0.1614✗1.0379k2022-10-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45452.1448-4.24%47.915-12.01%0.0331✓0.87275k2022-10-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.8926.7015-4.26%23.25-16.64%0.0001✓1.026.8M2022-10-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.31668-4.27%0.255-22.91%0.1130✓0.7684k2022-10-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.166607-4.33%0.15473-11.15%0.0325✓0.783512022-10-11
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.38773-4.33%0.38304-5.48%0.1256✗1.0132k2022-10-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02750.983028-4.33%0.9454-7.99%0.0387✓0.572.6M2022-10-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.12745-4.39%0.118-11.48%0.0842✗1.191.4M2022-10-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.3205-4.39%10.4764-18.70%0.0232✓1.0222k2022-10-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69915.0041-4.43%12.174-22.45%0.0329✓1.3018.7M2022-10-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.004003-4.45%0.00336-19.81%0.0467✓0.95103k2022-10-11
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6387.5407-4.46%71.42-22.06%0.0049✓1.535.6M2022-10-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.491922-4.48%0.336-34.76%0.2141✓1.234,2692022-10-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1395.8638-4.48%4.3-29.96%0.2205✓0.663.1M2022-10-11
HIVEHivenative0.57920.553025-4.52%0.5306-8.39%0.0431✓0.62826k2022-10-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.012593-4.54%0.010365-21.44%0.0799✓0.85920k2022-10-11
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.334135-4.56%0.3202-8.54%0.1003✗1.057782022-10-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.220541-4.61%0.1522-34.17%0.2666✓0.7766k2022-10-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.044479-4.63%0.03846-17.54%0.0578✓0.6414k2022-10-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.010788-4.65%0.009663-14.59%0.0257✓1.006302022-10-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.022229-4.68%0.0222-4.80%0.1431✗1.069.7M2022-10-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.2568-4.77%4.92-25.11%0.1666✓0.542.1M2022-10-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06274.8199-4.80%4.1004-19.01%0.1532✓0.06117k2022-10-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.008987-4.80%0.00556-41.10%0.3491✓0.963.2M2022-10-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.66e-7-4.81%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0159✓0.7515k2022-10-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.9109-4.82%1.0218-49.11%0.5104✓0.851.4M2022-10-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.8311-4.84%1.6014-16.77%0.0181✓1.1223k2022-10-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.882822-4.85%0.762754-17.79%0.0279✓0.8749k2022-10-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.1762-4.85%5.992-7.69%0.1598✗1.406.9M2022-10-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.1903-4.87%3.254-26.13%0.1795✓0.542.3M2022-10-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.404752-4.88%0.313-26.44%0.1066✓1.11202k2022-10-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.6455-4.91%2.134-23.29%0.1081✓0.79586k2022-10-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.033-4.91%0.922593-15.07%0.0085✓0.7734k2022-10-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.314975-4.95%0.33684+1.64%0.1625✗0.70326k2022-10-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.08942-4.97%0.0796-15.41%0.0181✓0.9914k2022-10-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.642329-4.98%0.553-18.20%0.0059✓1.153.5M2022-10-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5815.7536-4.98%14.48-12.67%0.0224✓0.791.5M2022-10-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.616649-4.98%0.562-13.41%0.0470✓1.03178k2022-10-11
ZECZcashZcash64.2761.0407-5.02%51.54-19.81%0.0089✓1.181.2M2022-10-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.02076-5.15%0.018475-15.59%0.0323✓0.6212k2022-10-11
PROPropyEthereum0.720.682703-5.18%0.56-22.22%0.1666✓0.2346k2022-10-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.277124-5.19%0.2614-10.57%0.0795✗1.022.6M2022-10-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.097363-5.20%0.0794-22.69%0.0995✓0.772,6892022-10-11
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.044339-5.23%0.039437-15.71%0.0043✓0.8928k2022-10-11
DASHDashDash48.3545.8214-5.23%41.25-14.68%0.0414✓1.08321k2022-10-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4715.601-5.28%12.5-24.10%0.0514✓1.2584k2022-10-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.136218-5.29%0.12111-15.79%0.0472✓1.21151k2022-10-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001475-5.32%0.001486-4.62%0.1117✗0.77353k2022-10-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.168402-5.33%0.14363-19.26%0.0143✓1.07268k2022-10-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001548-5.39%0.001366-16.50%0.0324✓0.686,5532022-10-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.1834-5.40%1.022-18.31%0.0197✓0.931.1M2022-10-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.5957-5.41%7.132-11.18%0.0905✗1.1317.5M2022-10-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1182-5.42%3.34-23.29%0.1589✓0.372.2M2022-10-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.5648-5.45%1.496-9.61%0.0565✗0.7536k2022-10-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.269438-5.46%0.233-18.25%0.0391✓0.78563k2022-10-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.920742-5.47%0.833-14.48%0.0630✗1.201.5M2022-10-11
XVGVergenative0.003810.003601-5.49%0.00325-14.70%0.0350✓1.01481k2022-10-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.047327-5.53%0.0362-27.74%0.1097✓1.17536k2022-10-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.130109-5.58%0.1203-12.70%0.0738✗1.122.9M2022-10-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.8787-5.59%1.515-23.87%0.0184✓1.7260k2022-10-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.062484-5.61%0.0548-17.22%0.0356✓1.23555k2022-10-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.6192-5.65%3.171-35.23%0.2403✓1.001.4M2022-10-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2291-5.67%1.2564-3.57%0.1782✗1.151.1M2022-10-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006234-5.69%0.00472-28.59%0.1912✓0.64911k2022-10-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.094019-5.70%0.105+5.32%0.2473✗1.01336k2022-10-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1154-5.71%0.8192-30.75%0.0968✓1.564.4M2022-10-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,561.35-5.77%1,240.98-25.10%0.0938✓1.003.4M2022-10-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.060009-5.80%0.060216-5.47%0.1407✗1.011.3M2022-10-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4768-5.83%1.94-26.24%0.1598✓0.62262k2022-10-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.158209-5.83%0.1567-6.73%0.1704✗1.321,0012022-10-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.30732-5.85%0.3177-2.67%0.1673✗0.995.9M2022-10-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1736.7515-5.88%5.226-27.14%0.1189✓1.014.3M2022-10-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.917211-5.91%0.7788-20.11%0.0090✓1.27899k2022-10-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001286-5.93%0.000927-32.21%0.2132✓0.842.2M2022-10-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002731-5.95%0.002081-28.34%0.1498✓0.901.2M2022-10-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.108678-5.99%0.0922-20.24%0.0454✓0.88169k2022-10-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.429333-6.01%0.30021-34.28%0.2211✓1.01379k2022-10-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.117853-6.02%0.0677-46.01%0.4700✓0.62191k2022-10-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.510266-6.03%0.426-21.55%0.0142✓1.2274k2022-10-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6919.4301-6.09%15.96-22.86%0.0104✓1.3718.0M2022-10-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.035504-6.10%0.02814-25.58%0.0871✓1.0745k2022-10-11
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2551.8801-6.10%55.84+1.07%0.2486✗1.298,9662022-10-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.799808-6.10%0.75273-11.63%0.0467✓0.7913k2022-10-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.047683-6.14%0.0515+1.38%0.2052✗0.94234k2022-10-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.007921-6.15%0.00619-26.66%0.0863✓1.18406k2022-10-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.3319-6.16%4.693-17.41%0.0639✗1.416.4M2022-10-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.2332-6.18%1.105-15.94%0.0358✓1.071.0M2022-10-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9317.7563-6.20%14.03-25.88%0.1613✓0.55384k2022-10-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.2218-6.20%3.85-14.46%0.0363✓0.95286k2022-10-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.329637-6.27%0.2823-19.73%0.0085✓1.0834k2022-10-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.714.7148-6.28%16.63+5.92%0.2602✗1.011.8M2022-10-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.4216-6.29%1.432-5.60%0.1599✗1.1271k2022-10-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.109348-6.30%0.0886-24.08%0.0423✓1.242.5M2022-10-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.244581-6.33%0.1306-49.98%0.5182✓0.8024k2022-10-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.0611-6.40%1.57-28.70%0.0980✓1.2832k2022-10-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.0919-6.49%2.6817-18.90%0.0004✓1.0419k2022-10-11
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000042657-6.50%0.000038-16.70%0.0045✓0.882.5M2022-10-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.022409-6.52%0.025016+4.35%0.1200✗0.07455k2022-10-11
KSMKusamaHydration51.948.4972-6.56%40.86-21.27%0.0333✓1.02395k2022-10-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.271939-6.70%0.21515-26.18%0.1124✓0.9015k2022-10-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.329-6.70%3.71-20.04%0.0703✓0.621.4M2022-10-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.292743-6.71%0.252068-19.67%0.0156✓0.99471k2022-10-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.0601-6.81%4.18-23.02%0.1012✓0.662.0M2022-10-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.477489-6.92%0.383-25.34%0.0761✓1.067,7812022-10-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.3545-6.93%3.1333-33.03%0.2469✓0.618.1M2022-10-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.413564-6.96%0.355-20.13%0.0063✓1.1781k2022-10-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.193796-6.96%0.1946-6.58%0.1401✗1.003.2M2022-10-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.039346-7.03%0.036015-14.90%0.0167✓0.5323k2022-10-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.3448-7.07%7.02-21.83%0.0913✓0.602.4M2022-10-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.825517-7.09%0.8294-6.65%0.2178✗1.5794k2022-10-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.6401-7.09%4.4242-38.10%0.3919✓0.109.1M2022-10-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.2719-7.10%1.115-18.55%0.0410✓1.27343k2022-10-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.140933-7.16%0.122-19.63%0.0079✓1.00110k2022-10-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,454.48-7.26%7,823.46-23.26%0.0063✓1.444.2M2022-10-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.0379-7.33%2.858-12.81%0.0101✓0.38720k2022-10-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.7454-7.34%2.062-30.41%0.0735✓1.572.9M2022-10-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.744057-7.43%0.64753-19.44%0.0157✓1.14584k2022-10-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.06861-7.46%0.07114-4.05%0.0546✓0.14378k2022-10-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.307451-7.62%0.2783-16.38%0.0427✓1.0575k2022-10-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.4767-7.64%3.9604-18.29%0.0858✗1.53129k2022-10-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.3478-7.68%1.09-25.34%0.0669✓1.0779k2022-10-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59411.6158-7.77%14.164+12.47%0.2493✗0.3816.0M2022-10-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.0958-7.87%6.18-19.76%0.0205✓1.1710.0M2022-10-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.79757-7.93%0.6867-20.73%0.0106✓1.18946k2022-10-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.142168-7.98%0.1354-12.36%0.0894✗1.02336k2022-10-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.637.0126-8.09%5.83-23.59%0.0347✓1.10230k2022-10-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.047748-8.18%0.0393-24.42%0.0359✓1.17190k2022-10-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60946.9846-8.21%5.0794-33.25%0.2843✓0.2511.9M2022-10-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.331616-8.37%0.2662-26.44%0.0592✓1.1872k2022-10-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.471793-8.51%0.3748-27.32%0.1140✓0.85418k2022-10-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000394425-8.57%0.00028097-34.87%0.2887✓0.372.1M2022-10-11
STXStacksnative0.39030.356682-8.61%0.3122-20.01%0.0133✓1.08324k2022-10-11
METISMetisEthereum31.9829.1977-8.70%24.24-24.20%0.0454✓1.70168k2022-10-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5635.1919-8.73%23.73-38.46%0.1787✓1.5910.6M2022-10-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.2876-8.74%11.52-20.88%0.0191✓1.19925k2022-10-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.934411-8.75%0.853-16.70%0.0360✓0.412.7M2022-10-11
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.2778-8.86%0.738-47.36%0.3144✓1.732.7M2022-10-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.669842-8.88%0.6398-12.96%0.1627✗1.53226k2022-10-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.016651-8.91%0.014339-21.56%0.0136✓1.008742022-10-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.624014-9.04%0.555-19.10%0.0292✓1.08111k2022-10-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.539136-9.39%0.454-23.70%0.0145✓1.1664k2022-10-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.4932-9.39%1.424-13.59%0.1212✗1.2443k2022-10-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.0873-9.47%1.6843-26.95%0.0601✓1.1413k2022-10-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.264719-9.62%0.2043-30.25%0.1124✓1.0883k2022-10-11
FLOWFlownative2.1161.9081-9.82%1.581-25.28%0.0057✓1.43967k2022-10-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.0981-9.95%1.67-28.33%0.0530✓1.29227k2022-10-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4175.6501-11.95%5.133-20.01%0.0351✓0.966.2M2022-10-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.38e-7-12.60%4.94e-7-32.35%0.1388✓0.862.3M2022-10-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.056744-12.98%0.05586-14.34%0.1543✗1.251.3M2022-10-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.