STX

Stacks · native · gru_s7

token id: #65
symbol: STX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-01-20
predictions: 5,169

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1885

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0423

actual +0.0275

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3669	0.336274	-8.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-21	oos	0.3652	0.337771	-7.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.35575	0.328021	-7.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.3583	0.329183	-8.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-18	oos	0.35505	0.325457	-8.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.3681	0.335881	-8.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.3924	0.357576	-8.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.43015	0.392217	-8.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.4238	0.385201	-9.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.4344	0.395291	-9.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.4101	0.371108	-9.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-11	oos	0.3984	0.361544	-9.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.40105	0.364662	-9.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.39515	0.359204	-9.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.38165	0.34605	-9.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.37065	0.335184	-9.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-06	oos	0.3845	0.349691	-9.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-05	oos	0.37935	0.345471	-8.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.38935	0.356269	-8.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	0.3843	0.350143	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-02	oos	0.3678	0.334588	-9.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.37365	0.340778	-8.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-09-30	oos	0.37085	0.333065	-10.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-09-29	oos	0.3168	0.2848	-10.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-09-28	oos	0.3139	0.281901	-10.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-09-27	oos	0.3385	0.306762	-9.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.3427	0.311038	-9.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.32625	0.294375	-9.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.3134	0.282683	-9.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.3081	0.277414	-9.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-09-22	oos	0.33585	0.306997	-8.59%	0.3669	+9.25%	0.2117	✗	1.44
2026-09-21	oos	0.3414	0.312896	-8.35%	0.3652	+6.97%	0.1977	✗	1.43
2026-09-20	oos	0.33615	0.302459	-10.02%	0.35575	+5.83%	0.1284	✗	1.56
2026-09-19	oos	0.3152	0.282772	-10.29%	0.3583	+13.67%	0.2251	✗	1.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.2841	0.255202	-10.17%	0.35505	+24.97%	0.3084	✗	1.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.2511	0.226885	-9.64%	0.3681	+46.59%	0.3873	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.24255	0.220135	-9.24%	0.3924	+61.78%	0.4757	✗	1.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.2348	0.213892	-8.90%	0.43015	+83.20%	0.5745	✗	1.50
2026-09-14	oos	0.2637	0.2391	-9.33%	0.4238	+60.71%	0.5122	✗	1.42
2026-09-13	oos	0.26525	0.240593	-9.30%	0.4344	+63.77%	0.4781	✗	1.43
2026-09-12	oos	0.26815	0.24334	-9.25%	0.4101	+52.94%	0.4417	✗	1.42
2026-09-11	oos	0.25275	0.230058	-8.98%	0.3984	+57.63%	0.4332	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.25315	0.230486	-8.95%	0.40105	+58.42%	0.4381	✗	1.45
2026-09-09	oos	0.27385	0.249816	-8.78%	0.39515	+44.29%	0.3837	✗	1.41
2026-09-08	oos	0.2715	0.248039	-8.64%	0.38165	+40.57%	0.3737	✗	1.41
2026-09-07	oos	0.2772	0.254626	-8.14%	0.37065	+33.71%	0.3025	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.2692	0.248233	-7.79%	0.3845	+42.83%	0.3476	✗	1.43
2026-09-05	oos	0.2693	0.249152	-7.48%	0.37935	+40.87%	0.3177	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.2646	0.246459	-6.86%	0.38935	+47.15%	0.3406	✗	1.42
2026-09-03	oos	0.2749	0.259194	-5.71%	0.3843	+39.80%	0.3349	✗	1.41
2026-09-02	oos	0.2611	0.244626	-6.31%	0.3678	+40.87%	0.2775	✗	1.46
2026-09-01	oos	0.2553	0.241179	-5.53%	0.37365	+46.36%	0.3017	✗	1.48
2026-08-31	oos	0.2511	0.239429	-4.65%	0.37085	+47.69%	0.3489	✗	1.44
2026-08-30	oos	0.2343	0.224187	-4.32%	0.3168	+35.21%	0.2403	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.2434	0.234425	-3.69%	0.3139	+28.96%	0.2014	✗	1.40
2026-08-28	oos	0.2603	0.251917	-3.22%	0.3385	+30.04%	0.1805	✗	1.41
2026-08-27	oos	0.2572	0.253199	-1.56%	0.3427	+33.24%	0.2297	✗	1.45
2026-08-26	oos	0.2688	0.261974	-2.54%	0.32625	+21.37%	0.1278	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.2634	0.255624	-2.95%	0.3134	+18.98%	0.0981	✗	1.47
2026-08-24	oos	0.231	0.230455	-0.24%	0.3081	+33.38%	0.1916	✗	1.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.234	0.229838	-1.78%	0.33585	+43.53%	0.2236	✗	1.51
2026-08-22	oos	0.2193	0.215903	-1.55%	0.3414	+55.68%	0.2837	✗	1.49
2026-08-21	oos	0.1898	0.198782	+4.73%	0.33615	+77.11%	0.4698	✓	1.56
2026-08-20	oos	0.1461	0.155761	+6.61%	0.3152	+115.74%	0.5705	✓	1.26
2026-08-19	oos	0.1284	0.133461	+3.94%	0.2841	+121.26%	0.5777	✓	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.11995	0.118534	-1.18%	0.2511	+109.34%	0.5568	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.1209	0.118804	-1.73%	0.24255	+100.62%	0.5172	✗	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.1222	0.118074	-3.38%	0.2348	+92.14%	0.4624	✗	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.12165	0.117713	-3.24%	0.2637	+116.77%	0.5448	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.1222	0.118392	-3.12%	0.26525	+117.06%	0.5655	✗	1.22
2026-08-13	oos	0.1245	0.120884	-2.90%	0.26815	+115.38%	0.5551	✗	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.1229	0.119643	-2.65%	0.25275	+105.66%	0.5017	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.1276	0.123763	-3.01%	0.25315	+98.39%	0.4851	✗	1.24
2026-08-10	oos	0.1309	0.126749	-3.17%	0.27385	+109.21%	0.5204	✗	1.23
2026-08-09	oos	0.1298	0.126519	-2.53%	0.2715	+109.17%	0.5282	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.1326	0.129123	-2.62%	0.2772	+109.05%	0.5199	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.1292	0.126492	-2.10%	0.2692	+108.36%	0.4928	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.1301	0.126611	-2.68%	0.2693	+106.99%	0.4873	✗	1.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.1338	0.130073	-2.79%	0.2646	+97.76%	0.4501	✗	1.24
2026-08-04	oos	0.1347	0.1302	-3.34%	0.2749	+104.08%	0.4543	✗	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.1386	0.132677	-4.27%	0.2611	+88.38%	0.4320	✗	1.24
2026-08-02	oos	0.1391	0.13292	-4.44%	0.2553	+83.54%	0.3953	✗	1.30
2026-08-01	oos	0.1393	0.132633	-4.79%	0.2511	+80.26%	0.3478	✗	1.29
2026-07-31	oos	0.1375	0.131566	-4.32%	0.2343	+70.40%	0.3029	✗	1.29
2026-07-30	oos	0.14015	0.136286	-2.76%	0.2434	+73.67%	0.3303	✗	1.32
2026-07-29	oos	0.1348	0.131919	-2.14%	0.2603	+93.10%	0.4259	✗	1.29
2026-07-28	oos	0.13795	0.135684	-1.64%	0.2572	+86.44%	0.3456	✗	1.28
2026-07-27	oos	0.1342	0.132568	-1.22%	0.2688	+100.30%	0.4308	✗	1.28
2026-07-26	oos	0.1469	0.146711	-0.13%	0.2634	+79.31%	0.3587	✗	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.1368	0.136967	+0.12%	0.231	+68.86%	0.2763	✓	1.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.1449	0.144135	-0.53%	0.234	+61.49%	0.2507	✗	1.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.16445	0.161605	-1.73%	0.2193	+33.35%	0.1082	✗	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1693	0.16767	-0.96%	0.1898	+12.11%	0.0721	✓	1.15
2026-07-21	oos	0.1674	0.166686	-0.43%	0.1461	-12.72%	0.2397	✓	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1655	0.163737	-1.07%	0.1284	-22.42%	0.3129	✓	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1637	0.161712	-1.21%	0.11995	-26.73%	0.2987	✓	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.16525	0.163577	-1.01%	0.1209	-26.84%	0.2967	✓	1.14
2026-07-17	oos	0.1646	0.16265	-1.18%	0.1222	-25.76%	0.2666	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.1671	0.164744	-1.41%	0.12165	-27.20%	0.2893	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.1684	0.16711	-0.77%	0.1222	-27.43%	0.2817	✓	1.15
2026-07-14	oos	0.16875	0.167825	-0.55%	0.1245	-26.22%	0.2705	✓	1.15
2026-07-13	oos	0.166	0.162407	-2.16%	0.1229	-25.96%	0.3010	✓	1.22
2026-07-12	oos	0.16895	0.166579	-1.40%	0.1276	-24.47%	0.2625	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.1718	0.168494	-1.92%	0.1309	-23.81%	0.2552	✓	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.1717	0.168347	-1.95%	0.1298	-24.40%	0.2739	✓	1.24
2026-07-09	oos	0.169	0.165138	-2.29%	0.1326	-21.54%	0.2530	✓	1.24
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.162395	-2.70%	0.1292	-22.59%	0.2803	✓	1.24
2026-07-07	oos	0.1647	0.161605	-1.88%	0.1301	-21.01%	0.2354	✓	1.25
2026-07-06	oos	0.171	0.168051	-1.72%	0.1338	-21.75%	0.2396	✓	1.25
2026-07-05	oos	0.1726	0.168961	-2.11%	0.1347	-21.96%	0.2357	✓	1.24
2026-07-04	oos	0.1731	0.16963	-2.00%	0.1386	-19.93%	0.2095	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.1736	0.169119	-2.58%	0.1391	-19.87%	0.2144	✓	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.1664	0.162011	-2.64%	0.1393	-16.29%	0.1760	✓	1.21
2026-07-01	oos	0.1652	0.159907	-3.20%	0.1375	-16.77%	0.2082	✓	1.23
2026-06-30	oos	0.1608	0.15499	-3.61%	0.14015	-12.84%	0.2253	✓	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.1666	0.16124	-3.22%	0.1348	-19.09%	0.2537	✓	1.24
2026-06-28	oos	0.1651	0.159978	-3.10%	0.13795	-16.44%	0.2361	✓	1.24
2026-06-27	oos	0.1675	0.162862	-2.77%	0.1342	-19.88%	0.2692	✓	1.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.1696	0.165327	-2.52%	0.1469	-13.38%	0.2244	✓	1.25
2026-06-25	oos	0.1643	0.160765	-2.15%	0.1368	-16.74%	0.2533	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.1719	0.16788	-2.34%	0.1449	-15.71%	0.2077	✓	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.1774	0.173123	-2.41%	0.16445	-7.30%	0.0971	✓	1.21
2026-06-22	oos	0.1796	0.175055	-2.53%	0.1693	-5.73%	0.0733	✓	1.21
2026-06-21	oos	0.1771	0.172145	-2.80%	0.1674	-5.48%	0.0893	✓	1.21
2026-06-20	oos	0.1835	0.178113	-2.94%	0.1655	-9.81%	0.0919	✓	1.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.1808	0.1752	-3.10%	0.1637	-9.46%	0.0907	✓	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1843	0.177735	-3.56%	0.16525	-10.34%	0.1095	✓	1.22
2026-06-17	oos	0.1901	0.182788	-3.85%	0.1646	-13.41%	0.0943	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.193	0.185156	-4.06%	0.1671	-13.42%	0.0678	✓	1.22
2026-06-15	oos	0.1936	0.185279	-4.30%	0.1684	-13.02%	0.0662	✓	1.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.1951	0.185545	-4.90%	0.16875	-13.51%	0.0813	✓	1.23
2026-06-13	oos	0.1847	0.175853	-4.79%	0.166	-10.12%	0.0157	✓	1.23
2026-06-12	oos	0.17915	0.170616	-4.76%	0.16895	-5.69%	0.0137	✓	1.22
2026-06-11	oos	0.1834	0.173679	-5.30%	0.1718	-6.32%	0.0149	✓	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.1751	0.166611	-4.85%	0.1717	-1.94%	0.0216	✓	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.18185	0.171957	-5.44%	0.169	-7.07%	0.0462	✓	1.21
2026-06-08	oos	0.1853	0.174322	-5.92%	0.1669	-9.93%	0.0275	✓	1.21
2026-06-07	oos	0.1875	0.17596	-6.15%	0.1647	-12.16%	0.0665	✓	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.1802	0.169586	-5.89%	0.171	-5.11%	0.0516	✓	1.19
2026-06-05	oos	0.1759	0.165319	-6.02%	0.1726	-1.88%	0.0055	✓	1.19
2026-06-04	oos	0.1913	0.177775	-7.07%	0.1731	-9.51%	0.0136	✓	1.15
2026-06-03	oos	0.2105	0.193929	-7.87%	0.1736	-17.53%	0.0841	✓	1.11
2026-06-02	oos	0.2124	0.195808	-7.81%	0.1664	-21.66%	0.0704	✓	1.14
2026-06-01	oos	0.234	0.215792	-7.78%	0.1652	-29.40%	0.0807	✓	1.08
2026-05-31	oos	0.2396	0.221832	-7.42%	0.1608	-32.89%	0.0737	✓	1.08
2026-05-30	oos	0.2355	0.218556	-7.19%	0.1666	-29.26%	0.0580	✓	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.2345	0.217572	-7.22%	0.1651	-29.59%	0.0547	✓	1.05
2026-05-28	oos	0.2335	0.216579	-7.25%	0.1675	-28.27%	0.0423	✓	1.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.233	0.216742	-6.98%	0.1696	-27.21%	0.0224	✓	1.04
2026-05-26	oos	0.2425	0.225946	-6.83%	0.1643	-32.25%	0.0717	✓	1.03
2026-05-25	oos	0.2476	0.231316	-6.58%	0.1719	-30.57%	0.0347	✓	1.11
2026-05-24	oos	0.244	0.22815	-6.50%	0.1774	-27.30%	0.0240	✓	1.10
2026-05-23	oos	0.2479	0.231164	-6.75%	0.1796	-27.55%	0.0557	✓	1.09
2026-05-22	oos	0.2406	0.224267	-6.79%	0.1771	-26.39%	0.0445	✓	1.09
2026-05-21	oos	0.2509	0.234521	-6.53%	0.1835	-26.86%	0.0420	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	0.2419	0.227311	-6.03%	0.1808	-25.26%	0.0132	✓	1.08
2026-05-19	oos	0.2334	0.220046	-5.72%	0.1843	-21.04%	0.0372	✓	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.2381	0.224442	-5.74%	0.1901	-20.16%	0.0250	✓	1.08
2026-05-17	oos	0.2338	0.22158	-5.23%	0.193	-17.45%	0.0408	✓	1.08
2026-05-16	oos	0.238	0.226463	-4.85%	0.1936	-18.66%	0.0208	✓	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.2496	0.237864	-4.70%	0.1951	-21.83%	0.0014	✓	1.08
2026-05-14	oos	0.2681	0.257214	-4.06%	0.1847	-31.11%	0.0885	✓	1.06
2026-05-13	oos	0.2663	0.252858	-5.05%	0.17915	-32.73%	0.1110	✓	1.06
2026-05-12	oos	0.2703	0.257793	-4.63%	0.1834	-32.15%	0.0945	✓	1.04
2026-05-11	oos	0.2713	0.260817	-3.86%	0.1751	-35.46%	0.1064	✓	1.02
2026-05-10	oos	0.2684	0.259684	-3.25%	0.18185	-32.25%	0.0588	✓	1.04
2026-05-09	oos	0.2645	0.253951	-3.99%	0.1853	-29.94%	0.0595	✓	1.04
2026-05-08	oos	0.2656	0.254261	-4.27%	0.1875	-29.41%	0.0594	✓	1.04
2026-05-07	oos	0.25205	0.243899	-3.23%	0.1802	-28.51%	0.0171	✓	1.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.2516	0.245987	-2.23%	0.1759	-30.09%	0.0367	✓	1.04
2026-05-05	oos	0.2531	0.243193	-3.91%	0.1913	-24.42%	0.0160	✓	0.94
2026-05-04	oos	0.2234	0.219727	-1.64%	0.2105	-5.77%	0.1681	✗	0.96
2026-05-03	oos	0.2239	0.217707	-2.77%	0.2124	-5.14%	0.1247	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.2266	0.220926	-2.50%	0.234	+3.27%	0.1498	✗	0.94
2026-05-01	oos	0.2227	0.217036	-2.54%	0.2396	+7.59%	0.1566	✗	0.94
2026-04-30	oos	0.22055	0.212229	-3.77%	0.2355	+6.78%	0.1368	✗	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.22185	0.213544	-3.74%	0.2345	+5.70%	0.1247	✗	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.22455	0.217194	-3.28%	0.2335	+3.99%	0.1086	✗	0.97
2026-04-27	oos	0.2268	0.222499	-1.90%	0.233	+2.73%	0.0850	✗	0.97
2026-04-26	oos	0.2317	0.229646	-0.89%	0.2425	+4.66%	0.0901	✗	0.97
2026-04-25	oos	0.2275	0.224802	-1.19%	0.2476	+8.84%	0.1016	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.2285	0.226747	-0.77%	0.244	+6.78%	0.0795	✗	0.99
2026-04-23	oos	0.2275	0.228324	+0.36%	0.2479	+8.97%	0.1031	✓	0.99
2026-04-22	oos	0.2262	0.227192	+0.44%	0.2406	+6.37%	0.0929	✓	0.99
2026-04-21	oos	0.2244	0.22153	-1.28%	0.2509	+11.81%	0.1091	✗	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.2239	0.220069	-1.71%	0.2419	+8.04%	0.0736	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.2195	0.212661	-3.12%	0.2334	+6.33%	0.0536	✗	1.01
2026-04-18	oos	0.2308	0.226815	-1.73%	0.2381	+3.16%	0.0326	✗	1.01
2026-04-17	oos	0.2416	0.240576	-0.42%	0.2338	-3.23%	0.0326	✓	1.01
2026-04-16	oos	0.24285	0.237079	-2.38%	0.238	-2.00%	0.0353	✓	1.02
2026-04-15	oos	0.2351	0.230109	-2.12%	0.2496	+6.17%	0.0255	✗	1.02
2026-04-14	oos	0.2199	0.216287	-1.64%	0.2681	+21.92%	0.1246	✗	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.2279	0.222911	-2.19%	0.2663	+16.85%	0.1146	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.212	0.202573	-4.45%	0.2703	+27.50%	0.1606	✗	0.99
2026-04-11	oos	0.2186	0.212933	-2.59%	0.2713	+24.11%	0.1313	✗	0.99
2026-04-10	oos	0.2231	0.216827	-2.81%	0.2684	+20.30%	0.0955	✗	0.99
2026-04-09	oos	0.2216	0.213348	-3.72%	0.2645	+19.36%	0.0992	✗	0.99
2026-04-08	oos	0.2208	0.211862	-4.05%	0.2656	+20.29%	0.1064	✗	0.99
2026-04-07	oos	0.2272	0.218774	-3.71%	0.25205	+10.94%	0.0358	✓	0.99
2026-04-06	oos	0.2173	0.205301	-5.52%	0.2516	+15.78%	0.0355	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.2136	0.202345	-5.27%	0.2531	+18.49%	0.0647	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.214	0.201315	-5.93%	0.2234	+4.39%	0.0702	✓	1.02
2026-04-03	oos	0.2141	0.201444	-5.91%	0.2239	+4.58%	0.0608	✓	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.21415	0.201483	-5.92%	0.2266	+5.81%	0.0533	✓	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.2239	0.211528	-5.53%	0.2227	-0.54%	0.0946	✓	1.05
2026-03-31	oos	0.2245	0.213199	-5.03%	0.22055	-1.76%	0.0854	✓	1.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.219	0.20846	-4.81%	0.22185	+1.30%	0.0731	✓	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.214	0.204707	-4.34%	0.22455	+4.93%	0.0625	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.2204	0.211628	-3.98%	0.2268	+2.90%	0.0946	✓	1.06
2026-03-27	oos	0.22555	0.216903	-3.83%	0.2317	+2.73%	0.1152	✓	1.06
2026-03-26	oos	0.23395	0.227794	-2.63%	0.2275	-2.76%	0.1311	✓	1.07
2026-03-25	oos	0.2421	0.239537	-1.06%	0.2285	-5.62%	0.1359	✓	1.07
2026-03-24	oos	0.2427	0.239708	-1.23%	0.2275	-6.26%	0.1642	✓	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.2437	0.242176	-0.63%	0.2262	-7.18%	0.1741	✓	1.07
2026-03-22	oos	0.2314	0.227206	-1.81%	0.2244	-3.03%	0.1393	✓	1.07
2026-03-21	oos	0.2392	0.235145	-1.70%	0.2239	-6.40%	0.1520	✓	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.246	0.24386	-0.87%	0.2195	-10.77%	0.1544	✓	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.2461	0.243866	-0.91%	0.2308	-6.22%	0.1405	✓	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.2516	0.250772	-0.33%	0.2416	-3.97%	0.1222	✓	1.08
2026-03-17	oos	0.2653	0.266905	+0.60%	0.24285	-8.46%	0.1121	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.2696	0.271885	+0.85%	0.2351	-12.80%	0.1446	✗	1.08
2026-03-15	oos	0.2569	0.257171	+0.11%	0.2199	-14.40%	0.1762	✗	1.07
2026-03-14	oos	0.2504	0.249553	-0.34%	0.2279	-8.99%	0.1382	✓	1.07
2026-03-13	oos	0.25565	0.253421	-0.87%	0.212	-17.07%	0.1756	✓	1.08
2026-03-12	oos	0.2558	0.252238	-1.39%	0.2186	-14.54%	0.1816	✓	1.08
2026-03-11	oos	0.2556	0.251567	-1.58%	0.2231	-12.72%	0.1623	✓	1.08
2026-03-10	oos	0.2589	0.253577	-2.06%	0.2216	-14.41%	0.1628	✓	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.2531	0.246007	-2.80%	0.2208	-12.76%	0.1493	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.2503	0.240592	-3.88%	0.2272	-9.23%	0.1526	✓	1.11
2026-03-07	oos	0.2566	0.247159	-3.68%	0.2173	-15.32%	0.1547	✓	1.11
2026-03-06	oos	0.2605	0.251534	-3.44%	0.2136	-18.00%	0.1779	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.2645	0.257776	-2.54%	0.214	-19.09%	0.1281	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.2692	0.263518	-2.11%	0.2141	-20.47%	0.1155	✓	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.256	0.246875	-3.56%	0.21415	-16.35%	0.1178	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.2564	0.247619	-3.42%	0.2239	-12.68%	0.0886	✓	1.15
2026-03-01	oos	0.2525	0.241193	-4.48%	0.2245	-11.09%	0.1153	✓	1.19
2026-02-28	oos	0.2615	0.249822	-4.47%	0.219	-16.25%	0.1275	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.2596	0.246972	-4.86%	0.214	-17.57%	0.1451	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.2612	0.249801	-4.36%	0.2204	-15.62%	0.1040	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.265	0.252825	-4.59%	0.22555	-14.89%	0.0845	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.2369	0.225582	-4.78%	0.23395	-1.25%	0.0471	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.2363	0.225436	-4.60%	0.2421	+2.45%	0.0430	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.2443	0.23442	-4.04%	0.2427	-0.65%	0.0148	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.254	0.24281	-4.41%	0.2437	-4.06%	0.0459	✓	1.18
2026-02-20	oos	0.2561	0.244564	-4.50%	0.2314	-9.64%	0.0529	✓	1.17
2026-02-19	oos	0.2501	0.238458	-4.65%	0.2392	-4.36%	0.0302	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.25275	0.24023	-4.95%	0.246	-2.67%	0.0463	✓	1.18
2026-02-17	oos	0.2607	0.247523	-5.05%	0.2461	-5.60%	0.0471	✓	1.16
2026-02-16	oos	0.2673	0.253391	-5.20%	0.2516	-5.87%	0.0465	✓	1.16
2026-02-15	oos	0.2667	0.252197	-5.44%	0.2653	-0.52%	0.0329	✓	1.16
2026-02-14	oos	0.2771	0.260617	-5.95%	0.2696	-2.71%	0.0477	✓	1.16
2026-02-13	oos	0.2697	0.253105	-6.15%	0.2569	-4.75%	0.0508	✓	1.16
2026-02-12	oos	0.2619	0.244839	-6.51%	0.2504	-4.39%	0.0628	✓	1.17
2026-02-11	oos	0.2551	0.238813	-6.38%	0.25565	+0.22%	0.0016	✓	1.17
2026-02-10	oos	0.2531	0.23714	-6.31%	0.2558	+1.07%	0.0463	✓	1.19
2026-02-09	oos	0.2634	0.245364	-6.85%	0.2556	-2.96%	0.0391	✓	1.18
2026-02-08	oos	0.2689	0.249197	-7.33%	0.2589	-3.72%	0.0436	✓	1.19
2026-02-07	oos	0.2678	0.247936	-7.42%	0.2531	-5.49%	0.0347	✓	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.278	0.255109	-8.23%	0.2503	-9.96%	0.0608	✓	1.20
2026-02-05	oos	0.2489	0.231453	-7.01%	0.2566	+3.09%	0.0170	✓	1.25
2026-02-04	oos	0.2779	0.253867	-8.65%	0.2605	-6.26%	0.1360	✗	1.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.3082	0.274823	-10.83%	0.2645	-14.18%	0.0624	✓	1.55
2026-02-02	oos	0.2895	0.261034	-9.83%	0.2692	-7.01%	0.1602	✗	1.64
2026-02-01	oos	0.25485	0.233601	-8.34%	0.256	+0.45%	0.2741	✗	1.55
2026-01-31	oos	0.2615	0.239396	-8.45%	0.2564	-1.95%	0.2833	✗	1.61
2026-01-30	oos	0.2892	0.262687	-9.17%	0.2525	-12.69%	0.3590	✗	1.62
2026-01-29	oos	0.2864	0.260962	-8.88%	0.2615	-8.69%	0.3801	✗	1.62
2026-01-28	oos	0.2999	0.27537	-8.18%	0.2596	-13.44%	0.4497	✗	1.68
2026-01-27	oos	0.3001	0.276511	-7.86%	0.2612	-12.96%	0.4154	✗	1.70
2026-01-26	oos	0.2978	0.274675	-7.77%	0.265	-11.01%	0.4013	✗	1.68
2026-01-25	oos	0.2823	0.261482	-7.37%	0.2369	-16.08%	0.4031	✗	1.67
2026-01-24	oos	0.3024	0.280204	-7.34%	0.2363	-21.86%	0.3603	✗	1.65
2026-01-23	oos	0.3096	0.28834	-6.87%	0.2443	-21.09%	0.2987	✗	1.66
2026-01-22	oos	0.3143	0.292108	-7.06%	0.254	-19.19%	0.3155	✗	1.66
2026-01-21	oos	0.3148	0.292457	-7.10%	0.2561	-18.65%	0.3221	✗	1.66
2026-01-20	oos	0.30075	0.279742	-6.99%	0.2501	-16.84%	0.3428	✗	1.64
2026-01-19	oos	0.3232	0.302684	-6.35%	0.25275	-21.80%	0.3677	✗	1.65
2026-01-18	oos	0.3426	0.320955	-6.32%	0.2607	-23.91%	0.3302	✗	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	0.3621	0.340014	-6.10%	0.2673	-26.18%	0.2834	✗	1.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.3721	0.350209	-5.88%	0.2667	-28.33%	0.2610	✗	1.63
2026-01-15	oos	0.3664	0.345869	-5.60%	0.2771	-24.37%	0.2888	✗	1.62
2026-01-14	oos	0.38445	0.364532	-5.18%	0.2697	-29.85%	0.2528	✗	1.62
2026-01-13	oos	0.3951	0.372159	-5.81%	0.2619	-33.71%	0.2495	✗	1.65
2026-01-12	oos	0.37705	0.352635	-6.48%	0.2551	-32.34%	0.1947	✗	1.68
2026-01-11	oos	0.3827	0.358285	-6.38%	0.2531	-33.86%	0.1232	✗	1.69
2026-01-10	oos	0.3862	0.360498	-6.66%	0.2634	-31.80%	0.1190	✗	1.70
2026-01-09	oos	0.3733	0.349148	-6.47%	0.2689	-27.97%	0.1754	✗	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.354	0.333741	-5.72%	0.2678	-24.35%	0.2512	✗	1.72
2026-01-07	oos	0.3476	0.329031	-5.34%	0.278	-20.02%	0.3623	✗	2.06
2026-01-06	oos	0.3722	0.352656	-5.25%	0.2489	-33.13%	0.4730	✗	2.05
2026-01-05	oos	0.3755	0.352932	-6.01%	0.2779	-25.99%	0.2760	✗	2.05
2026-01-04	oos	0.3558	0.330355	-7.15%	0.3082	-13.38%	0.3196	✗	2.05
2026-01-03	oos	0.3022	0.286744	-5.11%	0.2895	-4.20%	0.2936	✗	2.01
2026-01-02	oos	0.276	0.265487	-3.81%	0.25485	-7.66%	0.2706	✗	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.2632	0.253783	-3.58%	0.2615	-0.65%	0.2681	✗	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.24385	0.237108	-2.76%	0.2892	+18.60%	0.2751	✗	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.2535	0.246734	-2.67%	0.2864	+12.98%	0.2361	✗	1.94
2025-12-29	oos	0.2547	0.246516	-3.21%	0.2999	+17.75%	0.1510	✗	1.93
2025-12-28	oos	0.2646	0.255366	-3.49%	0.3001	+13.42%	0.1344	✗	1.93
2025-12-27	oos	0.2656	0.256167	-3.55%	0.2978	+12.12%	0.1410	✗	1.91
2025-12-26	oos	0.25095	0.244446	-2.59%	0.2823	+12.49%	0.1599	✗	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.2443	0.239406	-2.00%	0.3024	+23.78%	0.1927	✗	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.2488	0.243718	-2.04%	0.3096	+24.44%	0.1994	✗	1.89
2025-12-23	oos	0.2436	0.239512	-1.68%	0.3143	+29.02%	0.2288	✗	1.87
2025-12-22	oos	0.2477	0.243869	-1.55%	0.3148	+27.09%	0.2384	✗	1.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.24925	0.245211	-1.62%	0.30075	+20.66%	0.2111	✗	1.86
2025-12-20	oos	0.2561	0.250868	-2.04%	0.3232	+26.20%	0.1654	✗	1.88
2025-12-19	oos	0.2542	0.249923	-1.68%	0.3426	+34.78%	0.2010	✗	1.88
2025-12-18	oos	0.24065	0.236202	-1.85%	0.3621	+50.47%	0.2267	✗	1.87
2025-12-17	oos	0.2509	0.245038	-2.34%	0.3721	+48.31%	0.2256	✗	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.2637	0.257213	-2.46%	0.3664	+38.95%	0.1955	✗	1.88
2025-12-15	oos	0.2638	0.255618	-3.10%	0.38445	+45.74%	0.1908	✗	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.2785	0.268376	-3.64%	0.3951	+41.87%	0.2385	✗	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.2891	0.278734	-3.59%	0.37705	+30.42%	0.2827	✗	1.89
2025-12-12	oos	0.2881	0.278813	-3.22%	0.3827	+32.84%	0.3043	✗	1.89
2025-12-11	oos	0.2974	0.288961	-2.84%	0.3862	+29.86%	0.3351	✗	1.90
2025-12-10	oos	0.30685	0.29668	-3.31%	0.3733	+21.66%	0.2615	✗	1.91
2025-12-09	oos	0.3159	0.304527	-3.60%	0.354	+12.06%	0.1852	✗	1.91
2025-12-08	oos	0.3006	0.289338	-3.75%	0.3476	+15.64%	0.1704	✗	1.90
2025-12-07	oos	0.2932	0.282644	-3.60%	0.3722	+26.94%	0.2069	✗	1.89
2025-12-06	oos	0.2967	0.285026	-3.93%	0.3755	+26.56%	0.1797	✗	1.91
2025-12-05	oos	0.2922	0.28116	-3.78%	0.3558	+21.77%	0.1901	✗	1.91
2025-12-04	oos	0.3079	0.297108	-3.51%	0.3022	-1.85%	0.0483	✗	1.91
2025-12-03	oos	0.3205	0.309438	-3.45%	0.276	-13.88%	0.0415	✓	1.91
2025-12-02	oos	0.308	0.297574	-3.38%	0.2632	-14.55%	0.0681	✓	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.2824	0.272118	-3.64%	0.24385	-13.65%	0.1369	✓	1.94
2025-11-30	oos	0.30755	0.296034	-3.74%	0.2535	-17.57%	0.1121	✓	1.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.3129	0.301507	-3.64%	0.2547	-18.60%	0.0876	✓	1.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.3171	0.305688	-3.60%	0.2646	-16.56%	0.0786	✓	1.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.32335	0.311394	-3.70%	0.2656	-17.86%	0.0830	✓	1.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.3224	0.309704	-3.94%	0.25095	-22.16%	0.1417	✓	1.92
2025-11-25	oos	0.3193	0.305051	-4.46%	0.2443	-23.49%	0.2186	✓	1.98
2025-11-24	oos	0.321	0.306506	-4.52%	0.2488	-22.49%	0.1938	✓	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.3078	0.29441	-4.35%	0.2436	-20.86%	0.2036	✓	1.98
2025-11-22	oos	0.3075	0.29342	-4.58%	0.2477	-19.45%	0.2604	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.3121	0.297223	-4.77%	0.24925	-20.14%	0.2595	✓	2.03
2025-11-20	oos	0.3277	0.310206	-5.34%	0.2561	-21.85%	0.2330	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.342	0.324432	-5.14%	0.2542	-25.67%	0.1640	✓	2.13
2025-11-18	oos	0.3463	0.328647	-5.10%	0.24065	-30.51%	0.1328	✓	2.14
2025-11-17	oos	0.3375	0.320922	-4.91%	0.2509	-25.66%	0.1045	✓	2.14
2025-11-16	oos	0.3473	0.330646	-4.80%	0.2637	-24.07%	0.0767	✓	2.15
2025-11-15	oos	0.3604	0.342745	-4.90%	0.2638	-26.80%	0.0459	✓	2.15
2025-11-14	oos	0.3595	0.34151	-5.00%	0.2785	-22.53%	0.0543	✓	2.16
2025-11-13	oos	0.38295	0.365359	-4.59%	0.2891	-24.51%	0.0133	✓	2.24
2025-11-12	oos	0.40275	0.384191	-4.61%	0.2881	-28.47%	0.0229	✓	2.23
2025-11-11	oos	0.4116	0.393241	-4.46%	0.2974	-27.75%	0.0384	✓	2.25
2025-11-10	oos	0.4293	0.41074	-4.32%	0.30685	-28.52%	0.0280	✓	2.27
2025-11-09	oos	0.422	0.401411	-4.88%	0.3159	-25.14%	0.0379	✓	2.28
2025-11-08	oos	0.4026	0.382621	-4.96%	0.3006	-25.34%	0.0344	✓	2.28
2025-11-07	oos	0.4112	0.389566	-5.26%	0.2932	-28.70%	0.0157	✓	2.25
2025-11-06	oos	0.3523	0.340008	-3.49%	0.2967	-15.78%	0.1394	✗	2.18
2025-11-05	oos	0.3613	0.351411	-2.74%	0.2922	-19.13%	0.1473	✗	2.20
2025-11-04	oos	0.3551	0.344368	-3.02%	0.3079	-13.29%	0.1053	✗	2.24
2025-11-03	oos	0.3715	0.363779	-2.08%	0.3205	-13.73%	0.1809	✗	2.34
2025-11-02	oos	0.4251	0.413747	-2.67%	0.308	-27.55%	0.1436	✗	2.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.4243	0.412478	-2.79%	0.2824	-33.44%	0.1817	✗	2.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.4127	0.402799	-2.40%	0.30755	-25.48%	0.1727	✗	2.30
2025-10-30	oos	0.4062	0.39568	-2.59%	0.3129	-22.97%	0.1704	✗	2.30
2025-10-29	oos	0.44075	0.427351	-3.04%	0.3171	-28.05%	0.1347	✗	2.27
2025-10-28	oos	0.4417	0.431731	-2.26%	0.32335	-26.79%	0.2052	✗	2.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.458	0.44574	-2.68%	0.3224	-29.61%	0.2158	✗	2.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.4691	0.454071	-3.20%	0.3193	-31.93%	0.2790	✗	2.33
2025-10-25	oos	0.4467	0.430747	-3.57%	0.321	-28.14%	0.2585	✗	2.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.44955	0.432244	-3.85%	0.3078	-31.53%	0.2441	✗	2.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.4321	0.416096	-3.70%	0.3075	-28.84%	0.3179	✗	2.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.4216	0.404968	-3.94%	0.3121	-25.97%	0.2966	✗	2.37
2025-10-21	oos	0.4273	0.410452	-3.94%	0.3277	-23.31%	0.3090	✗	2.37
2025-10-20	oos	0.4426	0.423498	-4.32%	0.342	-22.73%	0.2447	✗	2.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.4367	0.416367	-4.66%	0.3463	-20.70%	0.1937	✗	2.41
2025-10-18	oos	0.4218	0.403596	-4.32%	0.3375	-19.99%	0.1871	✗	2.41
2025-10-17	oos	0.42245	0.404869	-4.16%	0.3473	-17.79%	0.1415	✗	2.41
2025-10-16	oos	0.4364	0.417788	-4.26%	0.3604	-17.42%	0.1522	✗	2.41
2025-10-15	oos	0.4554	0.436559	-4.14%	0.3595	-21.06%	0.1913	✗	2.42
2025-10-14	oos	0.4704	0.452564	-3.79%	0.38295	-18.59%	0.1427	✗	2.45
2025-10-13	oos	0.48935	0.471405	-3.67%	0.40275	-17.70%	0.1509	✗	2.45
2025-10-12	oos	0.4605	0.446262	-3.09%	0.4116	-10.62%	0.1851	✗	2.40
2025-10-11	oos	0.422	0.407389	-3.46%	0.4293	+1.73%	0.1585	✗	2.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.4292	0.415438	-3.21%	0.422	-1.68%	0.2021	✗	2.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.5939	0.574962	-3.19%	0.4026	-32.21%	0.0165	✓	1.95
2025-10-08	oos	0.61245	0.594373	-2.95%	0.4112	-32.86%	0.0246	✓	1.94
2025-10-07	oos	0.5965	0.574067	-3.76%	0.3523	-40.94%	0.1390	✓	1.93
2025-10-06	oos	0.6297	0.610001	-3.13%	0.3613	-42.62%	0.1685	✓	1.94
2025-10-05	oos	0.5985	0.581556	-2.83%	0.3551	-40.67%	0.1138	✓	1.93
2025-10-04	oos	0.6028	0.583243	-3.24%	0.3715	-38.37%	0.1822	✓	1.93
2025-10-03	oos	0.62005	0.59926	-3.35%	0.4251	-31.44%	0.1473	✓	1.94
2025-10-02	oos	0.6237	0.597615	-4.18%	0.4243	-31.97%	0.1634	✓	1.95
2025-10-01	oos	0.6052	0.578916	-4.34%	0.4127	-31.81%	0.1809	✓	1.97
2025-09-30	oos	0.572	0.543698	-4.95%	0.4062	-28.99%	0.1876	✓	2.01
2025-09-29	oos	0.58455	0.554201	-5.19%	0.44075	-24.60%	0.1505	✓	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.585	0.552414	-5.57%	0.4417	-24.50%	0.2367	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.57445	0.541115	-5.80%	0.458	-20.27%	0.2499	✓	2.11
2025-09-26	oos	0.5796	0.54533	-5.91%	0.4691	-19.06%	0.2423	✓	2.12
2025-09-25	oos	0.5648	0.531519	-5.89%	0.4467	-20.91%	0.2243	✓	2.12
2025-09-24	oos	0.59475	0.560804	-5.71%	0.44955	-24.41%	0.1763	✓	2.18
2025-09-23	oos	0.59685	0.562009	-5.84%	0.4321	-27.60%	0.2252	✓	2.20
2025-09-22	oos	0.60435	0.56834	-5.96%	0.4216	-30.24%	0.1959	✓	2.20
2025-09-21	oos	0.6457	0.605676	-6.20%	0.4273	-33.82%	0.2132	✓	2.19
2025-09-20	oos	0.6585	0.618351	-6.10%	0.4426	-32.79%	0.2320	✓	2.23
2025-09-19	oos	0.65575	0.616155	-6.04%	0.4367	-33.40%	0.2041	✓	2.24
2025-09-18	oos	0.6902	0.647861	-6.13%	0.4218	-38.89%	0.2311	✓	2.24

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.