XVG

Verge · native · gru_s7

token id: #522
symbol: XVG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2154

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0295

actual +0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002616	0.002457	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-20	oos	0.002588	0.002448	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.002506	0.002383	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-18	oos	0.002517	0.002403	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-17	oos	0.002567	0.002454	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.002596	0.00249	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-15	oos	0.002636	0.002535	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.002629	0.002534	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-13	oos	0.002773	0.002669	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	0.002734	0.002635	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002933	0.002813	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-10	oos	0.002969	0.002844	-4.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-09	oos	0.002837	0.002722	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-08	oos	0.00279	0.002679	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.002967	0.002831	-4.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-06	oos	0.003074	0.002924	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-05	oos	0.003147	0.002989	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-04	oos	0.003182	0.003014	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-03	oos	0.003217	0.003043	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-02	oos	0.003112	0.00294	-5.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-01	oos	0.003205	0.003023	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.003278	0.003094	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-09-29	oos	0.003142	0.002964	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-09-28	oos	0.003132	0.002966	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.003476	0.00326	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-26	oos	0.003173	0.003007	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-25	oos	0.003124	0.00296	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-24	oos	0.003019	0.002858	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-23	oos	0.00285	0.002698	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.003191	0.003037	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-21	oos	0.003143	0.003	-4.56%	0.002616	-16.78%	0.1020	✓	0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.003043	0.0029	-4.69%	0.002588	-14.95%	0.1311	✓	0.79
2026-09-19	oos	0.003151	0.003008	-4.53%	0.002506	-20.46%	0.1883	✓	0.78
2026-09-18	oos	0.003204	0.003064	-4.37%	0.002517	-21.43%	0.2074	✓	0.79
2026-09-17	oos	0.002975	0.00285	-4.19%	0.002567	-13.70%	0.1509	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.002802	0.002694	-3.84%	0.002596	-7.35%	0.0869	✓	0.73
2026-09-15	oos	0.002642	0.002551	-3.41%	0.002636	-0.21%	0.0279	✓	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.00275	0.00266	-3.27%	0.002629	-4.38%	0.0420	✓	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.002674	0.002591	-3.10%	0.002773	+3.68%	0.0114	✓	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.002687	0.002606	-3.01%	0.002734	+1.75%	0.0071	✓	0.72
2026-09-11	oos	0.002584	0.002511	-2.83%	0.002933	+13.50%	0.0960	✗	0.74
2026-09-10	oos	0.00258	0.002517	-2.41%	0.002969	+15.12%	0.1057	✗	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.002711	0.002668	-1.60%	0.002837	+4.63%	0.0232	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.00292	0.002883	-1.30%	0.00279	-4.47%	0.0624	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	0.00291	0.002892	-0.63%	0.002967	+1.96%	0.0126	✓	0.74
2026-09-06	oos	0.002873	0.002872	-0.03%	0.003074	+7.00%	0.0196	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.002804	0.00281	+0.20%	0.003147	+12.23%	0.0584	✓	0.77
2026-09-04	oos	0.002835	0.002842	+0.24%	0.003182	+12.24%	0.0493	✓	0.77
2026-09-03	oos	0.002638	0.00267	+1.22%	0.003217	+21.97%	0.1514	✓	0.84
2026-09-02	oos	0.002763	0.002757	-0.20%	0.003112	+12.63%	0.0363	✗	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.002458	0.002466	+0.34%	0.003205	+30.39%	0.1720	✓	0.98
2026-08-31	oos	0.002551	0.002569	+0.72%	0.003278	+28.50%	0.1852	✓	0.95
2026-08-30	oos	0.002396	0.002408	+0.52%	0.003142	+31.16%	0.1930	✓	0.99
2026-08-29	oos	0.002445	0.002454	+0.35%	0.003132	+28.08%	0.1819	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.002443	0.002461	+0.75%	0.003476	+42.28%	0.2670	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.002577	0.002613	+1.39%	0.003173	+23.13%	0.1469	✓	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.002557	0.002584	+1.04%	0.003124	+22.15%	0.1310	✓	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.00246	0.002492	+1.30%	0.003019	+22.72%	0.1247	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.002533	0.002568	+1.40%	0.00285	+12.51%	0.0433	✓	0.92
2026-08-23	oos	0.002637	0.002659	+0.83%	0.003191	+20.99%	0.0848	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.002557	0.002585	+1.08%	0.003143	+22.89%	0.0859	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.002445	0.002496	+2.09%	0.003043	+24.48%	0.1642	✓	0.96
2026-08-20	oos	0.002209	0.002211	+0.09%	0.003151	+42.62%	0.2586	✓	0.89
2026-08-19	oos	0.002108	0.002073	-1.67%	0.003204	+51.97%	0.2951	✗	0.91
2026-08-18	oos	0.001982	0.001921	-3.08%	0.002975	+50.10%	0.2885	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.002018	0.001954	-3.19%	0.002802	+38.85%	0.2050	✗	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.002029	0.00196	-3.38%	0.002642	+30.19%	0.1205	✗	0.96
2026-08-15	oos	0.002076	0.002007	-3.32%	0.00275	+32.47%	0.1084	✗	0.96
2026-08-14	oos	0.002105	0.002035	-3.31%	0.002674	+27.05%	0.0820	✗	0.96
2026-08-13	oos	0.00207	0.002001	-3.35%	0.002687	+29.81%	0.1024	✗	0.98
2026-08-12	oos	0.002107	0.002039	-3.25%	0.002584	+22.66%	0.0359	✗	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.002116	0.002048	-3.17%	0.00258	+21.93%	0.0324	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.002203	0.002133	-3.17%	0.002711	+23.06%	0.0232	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.002248	0.002175	-3.24%	0.00292	+29.92%	0.0891	✗	1.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.002103	0.002039	-3.05%	0.00291	+38.37%	0.1432	✗	1.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002018	0.00196	-2.87%	0.002873	+42.37%	0.1528	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.002	0.001944	-2.79%	0.002804	+40.20%	0.1343	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.001984	0.001928	-2.80%	0.002835	+42.93%	0.1599	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.001953	0.001896	-2.90%	0.002638	+35.05%	0.0731	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.002014	0.001952	-3.10%	0.002763	+37.19%	0.1332	✗	1.09
2026-08-02	oos	0.001912	0.001851	-3.15%	0.002458	+28.59%	0.0640	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.001924	0.001861	-3.26%	0.002551	+32.62%	0.0635	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.001917	0.001852	-3.39%	0.002396	+24.99%	0.0190	✓	1.13
2026-07-30	oos	0.001889	0.001823	-3.52%	0.002445	+29.43%	0.0725	✗	1.17
2026-07-29	oos	0.001892	0.001828	-3.36%	0.002443	+29.12%	0.0502	✗	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.001999	0.001934	-3.24%	0.002577	+28.91%	0.0098	✓	1.21
2026-07-27	oos	0.00211	0.00204	-3.33%	0.002557	+21.21%	0.0379	✓	1.22
2026-07-26	oos	0.002172	0.00211	-2.85%	0.00246	+13.26%	0.0721	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.002139	0.002083	-2.60%	0.002533	+18.42%	0.0582	✓	1.23
2026-07-24	oos	0.00214	0.002094	-2.17%	0.002637	+23.22%	0.0075	✓	1.23
2026-07-23	oos	0.002101	0.002065	-1.69%	0.002557	+21.73%	0.0023	✓	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.002167	0.00214	-1.26%	0.002445	+12.81%	0.0769	✓	1.24
2026-07-21	oos	0.002124	0.00211	-0.68%	0.002209	+4.00%	0.0696	✓	1.24
2026-07-20	oos	0.002099	0.002082	-0.79%	0.002108	+0.43%	0.0595	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.002173	0.002146	-1.25%	0.001982	-8.79%	0.0794	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.002024	0.00202	-0.20%	0.002018	-0.30%	0.0047	✗	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.002038	0.002037	-0.03%	0.002029	-0.44%	0.0142	✗	1.10
2026-07-16	oos	0.002069	0.002065	-0.21%	0.002076	+0.31%	0.0185	✗	1.12
2026-07-15	oos	0.002119	0.002113	-0.26%	0.002105	-0.66%	0.0206	✗	0.90
2026-07-14	oos	0.002116	0.002109	-0.34%	0.00207	-2.17%	0.0035	✗	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.002107	0.002101	-0.27%	0.002107	+0.00%	0.0145	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.002131	0.002123	-0.35%	0.002116	-0.73%	0.0006	✓	0.96
2026-07-11	oos	0.002154	0.002146	-0.37%	0.002203	+2.27%	0.0242	✗	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.002172	0.002163	-0.41%	0.002248	+3.50%	0.0281	✗	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.002133	0.002128	-0.23%	0.002103	-1.41%	0.0370	✓	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.00211	0.002111	+0.07%	0.002018	-4.36%	0.0851	✗	0.95
2026-07-07	oos	0.002144	0.002143	-0.04%	0.002	-6.72%	0.0836	✓	0.98
2026-07-06	oos	0.002238	0.002233	-0.24%	0.001984	-11.37%	0.1274	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.002262	0.002257	-0.22%	0.001953	-13.66%	0.1521	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.002292	0.002291	-0.04%	0.002014	-12.13%	0.1350	✓	1.02
2026-07-03	oos	0.002314	0.002312	-0.07%	0.001912	-17.39%	0.2062	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.00224	0.002245	+0.23%	0.001924	-14.13%	0.1754	✗	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.002193	0.002201	+0.37%	0.001917	-12.59%	0.1852	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.002089	0.002102	+0.60%	0.001889	-9.57%	0.2061	✗	0.99
2026-06-29	oos	0.002221	0.002223	+0.08%	0.001892	-14.81%	0.2193	✗	0.97
2026-06-28	oos	0.002229	0.002228	-0.01%	0.001999	-10.30%	0.1794	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.002243	0.002239	-0.16%	0.00211	-5.93%	0.1200	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.002293	0.002286	-0.33%	0.002172	-5.30%	0.1361	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.002269	0.002262	-0.30%	0.002139	-5.73%	0.1297	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.00235	0.002335	-0.65%	0.00214	-8.94%	0.1369	✓	1.01
2026-06-23	oos	0.00244	0.002415	-1.03%	0.002101	-13.91%	0.1767	✓	0.99
2026-06-22	oos	0.002481	0.00245	-1.24%	0.002167	-12.66%	0.1554	✓	0.99
2026-06-21	oos	0.002518	0.002491	-1.07%	0.002124	-15.63%	0.2095	✓	0.99
2026-06-20	oos	0.002557	0.002527	-1.18%	0.002099	-17.93%	0.2010	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.002632	0.002601	-1.18%	0.002173	-17.44%	0.1988	✓	1.01
2026-06-18	oos	0.002554	0.002535	-0.74%	0.002024	-20.75%	0.2553	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.002626	0.0026	-0.97%	0.002038	-22.39%	0.2351	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.002673	0.002639	-1.28%	0.002069	-22.60%	0.2147	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.002746	0.002692	-1.95%	0.002119	-22.82%	0.2151	✓	1.02
2026-06-14	oos	0.002605	0.002573	-1.25%	0.002116	-18.77%	0.1843	✓	1.01
2026-06-13	oos	0.002517	0.002491	-1.02%	0.002107	-16.29%	0.1329	✓	1.02
2026-06-12	oos	0.00246	0.002441	-0.79%	0.002131	-13.37%	0.1389	✓	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.002514	0.002489	-0.99%	0.002154	-14.30%	0.1478	✓	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.00239	0.002383	-0.31%	0.002172	-9.12%	0.1349	✓	0.99
2026-06-09	oos	0.002466	0.002453	-0.55%	0.002133	-13.50%	0.1632	✓	0.99
2026-06-08	oos	0.002553	0.002527	-1.01%	0.00211	-17.35%	0.1674	✓	0.99
2026-06-07	oos	0.002574	0.002546	-1.08%	0.002144	-16.71%	0.1723	✓	0.97
2026-06-06	oos	0.002486	0.002479	-0.28%	0.002238	-9.98%	0.1508	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.002541	0.002526	-0.58%	0.002262	-10.98%	0.1498	✓	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.00263	0.002588	-1.60%	0.002292	-12.85%	0.1105	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.002924	0.002847	-2.62%	0.002314	-20.86%	0.1841	✓	0.97
2026-06-02	oos	0.002989	0.002884	-3.53%	0.00224	-25.06%	0.1716	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.003302	0.003131	-5.19%	0.002193	-33.59%	0.1971	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.003314	0.003133	-5.46%	0.002089	-36.96%	0.1902	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.003228	0.003054	-5.40%	0.002221	-31.20%	0.1359	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.00321	0.003036	-5.42%	0.002229	-30.57%	0.1185	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.003261	0.003081	-5.51%	0.002243	-31.22%	0.1326	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.003242	0.003063	-5.51%	0.002293	-29.26%	0.0927	✓	0.92
2026-05-26	oos	0.00324	0.00307	-5.25%	0.002269	-29.97%	0.0789	✓	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.003328	0.003159	-5.06%	0.00235	-29.39%	0.0805	✓	0.91
2026-05-24	oos	0.003265	0.003108	-4.80%	0.00244	-25.24%	0.0546	✓	0.91
2026-05-23	oos	0.003363	0.003205	-4.68%	0.002481	-26.22%	0.0973	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.003264	0.003113	-4.63%	0.002518	-22.87%	0.0589	✓	0.87
2026-05-21	oos	0.003442	0.003293	-4.34%	0.002557	-25.70%	0.0916	✓	0.85
2026-05-20	oos	0.003503	0.003345	-4.51%	0.002632	-24.86%	0.0688	✓	0.86
2026-05-19	oos	0.003191	0.003056	-4.22%	0.002554	-19.95%	0.0111	✓	0.84
2026-05-18	oos	0.003217	0.003083	-4.19%	0.002626	-18.38%	0.0117	✓	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.003172	0.003043	-4.06%	0.002673	-15.73%	0.0088	✓	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.003249	0.003117	-4.07%	0.002746	-15.50%	0.0105	✓	0.84
2026-05-15	oos	0.003376	0.003248	-3.78%	0.002605	-22.84%	0.0630	✓	0.85
2026-05-14	oos	0.003678	0.003554	-3.37%	0.002517	-31.57%	0.1558	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.003438	0.003297	-4.09%	0.00246	-28.45%	0.1171	✓	0.79
2026-05-12	oos	0.003562	0.003431	-3.68%	0.002514	-29.44%	0.1295	✓	0.77
2026-05-11	oos	0.003743	0.003625	-3.14%	0.00239	-36.15%	0.2058	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.003779	0.003674	-2.77%	0.002466	-34.74%	0.1937	✓	0.71
2026-05-09	oos	0.003699	0.003576	-3.32%	0.002553	-30.98%	0.1627	✓	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.003748	0.003627	-3.22%	0.002574	-31.32%	0.1753	✓	0.71
2026-05-07	oos	0.003641	0.003534	-2.93%	0.002486	-31.72%	0.1569	✓	0.71
2026-05-06	oos	0.003775	0.003703	-1.91%	0.002541	-32.69%	0.1203	✓	0.89
2026-05-05	oos	0.003839	0.003761	-2.03%	0.00263	-31.49%	0.1541	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.00362	0.003539	-2.24%	0.002924	-19.23%	0.0084	✓	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.003532	0.003416	-3.29%	0.002989	-15.37%	0.0012	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.003224	0.003145	-2.44%	0.003302	+2.42%	0.1311	✗	0.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.003281	0.003201	-2.45%	0.003314	+1.01%	0.0862	✗	0.84
2026-04-30	oos	0.00306	0.002967	-3.04%	0.003228	+5.51%	0.1129	✗	0.84
2026-04-29	oos	0.003122	0.003018	-3.34%	0.00321	+2.80%	0.0887	✗	0.85
2026-04-28	oos	0.003263	0.003155	-3.30%	0.003261	-0.06%	0.0653	✗	0.86
2026-04-27	oos	0.003312	0.003219	-2.81%	0.003242	-2.11%	0.0417	✗	0.86
2026-04-26	oos	0.003422	0.003347	-2.18%	0.00324	-5.32%	0.0009	✓	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.003368	0.003281	-2.59%	0.003328	-1.19%	0.0188	✓	0.86
2026-04-24	oos	0.003439	0.003349	-2.61%	0.003265	-5.06%	0.0199	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0034	0.003315	-2.50%	0.003363	-1.10%	0.0330	✗	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.003441	0.003364	-2.24%	0.003264	-5.14%	0.0020	✓	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.003618	0.00352	-2.70%	0.003442	-4.85%	0.0366	✓	0.91
2026-04-20	oos	0.003616	0.003512	-2.87%	0.003503	-3.13%	0.0222	✓	0.93
2026-04-19	oos	0.003684	0.003545	-3.79%	0.003191	-13.40%	0.1427	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.003538	0.003418	-3.40%	0.003217	-9.06%	0.0758	✓	0.97
2026-04-17	oos	0.00373	0.003646	-2.25%	0.003172	-14.96%	0.1431	✓	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.004677	0.004537	-2.99%	0.003249	-30.53%	0.3739	✓	1.04
2026-04-15	oos	0.004599	0.004456	-3.10%	0.003376	-26.58%	0.3346	✓	1.04
2026-04-14	oos	0.00465	0.0045	-3.23%	0.003678	-20.90%	0.2949	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.00483	0.004677	-3.18%	0.003438	-28.82%	0.3739	✓	1.05
2026-04-12	oos	0.00475	0.004568	-3.82%	0.003562	-25.01%	0.3849	✓	1.06
2026-04-11	oos	0.005028	0.00485	-3.53%	0.003743	-25.56%	0.3776	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.005014	0.004834	-3.59%	0.003779	-24.63%	0.3719	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.004749	0.004585	-3.45%	0.003699	-22.11%	0.3370	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.0045	0.004336	-3.64%	0.003748	-16.70%	0.2716	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.004663	0.004501	-3.48%	0.003641	-21.92%	0.3232	✓	1.04
2026-04-06	oos	0.004368	0.004209	-3.64%	0.003775	-13.58%	0.2843	✓	1.05
2026-04-05	oos	0.004322	0.004167	-3.58%	0.003839	-11.18%	0.2484	✓	1.05
2026-04-04	oos	0.004264	0.004122	-3.33%	0.00362	-15.10%	0.3079	✓	1.04
2026-04-03	oos	0.004232	0.004103	-3.06%	0.003532	-16.54%	0.3162	✓	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.004245	0.00412	-2.93%	0.003224	-24.04%	0.4150	✓	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.00439	0.00426	-2.95%	0.003281	-25.25%	0.4051	✓	1.04
2026-03-31	oos	0.004503	0.004376	-2.82%	0.00306	-32.05%	0.4740	✓	1.04
2026-03-30	oos	0.004259	0.004171	-2.06%	0.003122	-26.70%	0.4210	✓	1.04
2026-03-29	oos	0.0043	0.004229	-1.64%	0.003263	-24.11%	0.4141	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.004474	0.0044	-1.65%	0.003312	-25.97%	0.4463	✓	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.004527	0.004467	-1.34%	0.003422	-24.41%	0.4456	✓	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.004792	0.004712	-1.66%	0.003368	-29.72%	0.4635	✓	1.05
2026-03-25	oos	0.004935	0.004856	-1.60%	0.003439	-30.32%	0.4323	✓	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.004971	0.004904	-1.34%	0.0034	-31.60%	0.4763	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.00487	0.004809	-1.26%	0.003441	-29.34%	0.4386	✓	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.004678	0.004631	-1.00%	0.003618	-22.67%	0.3720	✓	1.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.004794	0.004737	-1.18%	0.003616	-24.57%	0.3717	✓	1.06
2026-03-20	oos	0.004901	0.00484	-1.24%	0.003684	-24.83%	0.3215	✓	1.05
2026-03-19	oos	0.004967	0.004911	-1.13%	0.003538	-28.78%	0.4124	✓	1.06
2026-03-18	oos	0.00509	0.005035	-1.07%	0.00373	-26.72%	0.3834	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.005407	0.005341	-1.23%	0.004677	-13.50%	0.1500	✓	1.05
2026-03-16	oos	0.005616	0.005541	-1.34%	0.004599	-18.12%	0.1857	✓	1.06
2026-03-15	oos	0.005364	0.005291	-1.35%	0.00465	-13.30%	0.1485	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.005304	0.005223	-1.52%	0.00483	-8.94%	0.1247	✓	1.05
2026-03-13	oos	0.005117	0.005037	-1.57%	0.00475	-7.17%	0.0557	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.005049	0.004961	-1.74%	0.005028	-0.42%	0.0244	✓	1.06
2026-03-11	oos	0.00514	0.005044	-1.86%	0.005014	-2.45%	0.0478	✓	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.005124	0.005026	-1.92%	0.004749	-7.32%	0.0845	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.005201	0.005104	-1.86%	0.0045	-13.49%	0.1675	✓	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.005075	0.004997	-1.53%	0.004663	-8.12%	0.1640	✓	1.10
2026-03-07	oos	0.00519	0.00511	-1.55%	0.004368	-15.85%	0.1827	✓	1.10
2026-03-06	oos	0.005142	0.00507	-1.41%	0.004322	-15.95%	0.1739	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.005438	0.005348	-1.66%	0.004264	-21.60%	0.1699	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.005652	0.005549	-1.82%	0.004232	-25.12%	0.1841	✓	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.00546	0.005385	-1.38%	0.004245	-22.26%	0.2147	✓	1.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.005413	0.005343	-1.31%	0.00439	-18.92%	0.1849	✓	1.10
2026-03-01	oos	0.005432	0.005368	-1.18%	0.004503	-17.11%	0.2155	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.005708	0.005623	-1.49%	0.004259	-25.39%	0.2740	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.005688	0.0056	-1.54%	0.0043	-24.41%	0.2660	✓	1.12
2026-02-26	oos	0.005916	0.005807	-1.84%	0.004474	-24.37%	0.2414	✓	1.11
2026-02-25	oos	0.005993	0.005872	-2.02%	0.004527	-24.46%	0.2331	✓	1.11
2026-02-24	oos	0.005805	0.00569	-1.99%	0.004792	-17.45%	0.2514	✓	1.13
2026-02-23	oos	0.005849	0.005724	-2.14%	0.004935	-15.63%	0.2577	✓	1.11
2026-02-22	oos	0.005962	0.005819	-2.39%	0.004971	-16.62%	0.2054	✓	1.13
2026-02-21	oos	0.006039	0.005888	-2.51%	0.00487	-19.36%	0.2377	✓	1.14
2026-02-20	oos	0.006171	0.006007	-2.67%	0.004678	-24.20%	0.2477	✓	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.006065	0.005911	-2.53%	0.004794	-20.96%	0.2411	✓	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.00597	0.005826	-2.42%	0.004901	-17.91%	0.2387	✓	1.11
2026-02-17	oos	0.006017	0.005862	-2.57%	0.004967	-17.44%	0.2051	✓	1.11
2026-02-16	oos	0.006118	0.00595	-2.74%	0.00509	-16.80%	0.1945	✓	1.13
2026-02-15	oos	0.00603	0.005872	-2.61%	0.005407	-10.33%	0.1631	✓	1.12
2026-02-14	oos	0.00654	0.006315	-3.44%	0.005616	-14.13%	0.1921	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.006368	0.006164	-3.20%	0.005364	-15.77%	0.1995	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.006231	0.006047	-2.96%	0.005304	-14.88%	0.2124	✓	1.11
2026-02-11	oos	0.006002	0.00584	-2.69%	0.005117	-14.75%	0.1934	✓	1.08
2026-02-10	oos	0.006002	0.005834	-2.79%	0.005049	-15.88%	0.1715	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.005808	0.005663	-2.49%	0.00514	-11.50%	0.0986	✓	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.005841	0.005701	-2.40%	0.005124	-12.28%	0.1016	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.005826	0.005702	-2.12%	0.005201	-10.73%	0.0789	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.005992	0.005839	-2.55%	0.005075	-15.30%	0.0651	✓	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.005072	0.005059	-0.26%	0.00519	+2.34%	0.0478	✓	1.07
2026-02-04	oos	0.005735	0.005625	-1.92%	0.005142	-10.34%	0.0065	✓	1.20
2026-02-03	oos	0.005656	0.005544	-1.99%	0.005438	-3.85%	0.0614	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.005829	0.005683	-2.51%	0.005652	-3.04%	0.0956	✗	1.28
2026-02-01	oos	0.005417	0.005325	-1.70%	0.00546	+0.79%	0.1657	✗	1.19
2026-01-31	oos	0.005505	0.005392	-2.05%	0.005413	-1.66%	0.1545	✗	1.13
2026-01-30	oos	0.006033	0.005809	-3.73%	0.005432	-9.97%	0.2050	✗	1.11
2026-01-29	oos	0.006261	0.006012	-3.97%	0.005708	-8.83%	0.2109	✗	1.13
2026-01-28	oos	0.0068	0.006456	-5.06%	0.005688	-16.35%	0.2155	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.00729	0.006939	-4.81%	0.005916	-18.85%	0.1627	✗	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.007216	0.006878	-4.68%	0.005993	-16.95%	0.1598	✗	1.14
2026-01-25	oos	0.006987	0.006678	-4.42%	0.005805	-16.92%	0.2051	✗	1.15
2026-01-24	oos	0.007835	0.007469	-4.67%	0.005849	-25.35%	0.1046	✗	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.007722	0.007358	-4.71%	0.005962	-22.79%	0.1059	✗	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.007151	0.006795	-4.98%	0.006039	-15.55%	0.1950	✗	1.14
2026-01-21	oos	0.007626	0.007251	-4.92%	0.006171	-19.07%	0.1522	✗	1.15
2026-01-20	oos	0.006698	0.006345	-5.27%	0.006065	-9.45%	0.2487	✗	1.06
2026-01-19	oos	0.007259	0.006854	-5.58%	0.00597	-17.76%	0.2014	✗	1.02
2026-01-18	oos	0.007115	0.006716	-5.60%	0.006017	-15.43%	0.2378	✗	1.06
2026-01-17	oos	0.007088	0.006693	-5.57%	0.006118	-13.69%	0.2514	✗	1.06
2026-01-16	oos	0.007037	0.006645	-5.57%	0.00603	-14.31%	0.2502	✗	1.06
2026-01-15	oos	0.006845	0.006453	-5.72%	0.00654	-4.46%	0.3498	✗	1.07
2026-01-14	oos	0.007327	0.006939	-5.29%	0.006368	-13.09%	0.2765	✗	1.06
2026-01-13	oos	0.007091	0.006668	-5.97%	0.006231	-12.13%	0.3164	✗	1.05
2026-01-12	oos	0.006986	0.006506	-6.87%	0.006002	-14.09%	0.2624	✗	1.11
2026-01-11	oos	0.005938	0.005565	-6.28%	0.006002	+1.08%	0.3832	✗	1.11
2026-01-10	oos	0.005961	0.00559	-6.23%	0.005808	-2.57%	0.3217	✗	1.12
2026-01-09	oos	0.00582	0.005457	-6.23%	0.005841	+0.36%	0.3769	✗	1.22
2026-01-08	oos	0.005969	0.005613	-5.96%	0.005826	-2.40%	0.3688	✗	1.21
2026-01-07	oos	0.005805	0.005465	-5.85%	0.005992	+3.22%	0.4965	✗	1.57
2026-01-06	oos	0.006263	0.005944	-5.10%	0.005072	-19.02%	0.4641	✗	1.55
2026-01-05	oos	0.006123	0.005823	-4.90%	0.005735	-6.34%	0.3829	✗	1.58
2026-01-04	oos	0.006133	0.005832	-4.91%	0.005656	-7.78%	0.2805	✗	1.64
2026-01-03	oos	0.006005	0.005707	-4.95%	0.005829	-2.93%	0.2513	✗	1.63
2026-01-02	oos	0.005757	0.005473	-4.94%	0.005417	-5.91%	0.2389	✗	1.59
2026-01-01	oos	0.005785	0.005501	-4.91%	0.005505	-4.84%	0.1944	✗	1.60
2025-12-31	oos	0.005761	0.005477	-4.93%	0.006033	+4.73%	0.1576	✗	1.54
2025-12-30	oos	0.006339	0.005957	-6.03%	0.006261	-1.23%	0.1264	✗	1.70
2025-12-29	oos	0.005615	0.005275	-6.06%	0.0068	+21.10%	0.2116	✗	1.82
2025-12-28	oos	0.005033	0.004802	-4.60%	0.00729	+44.83%	0.3917	✗	1.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.005116	0.004873	-4.74%	0.007216	+41.05%	0.3833	✗	1.82
2025-12-26	oos	0.004759	0.004586	-3.63%	0.006987	+46.82%	0.4362	✗	1.80
2025-12-25	oos	0.004825	0.004673	-3.14%	0.007835	+62.38%	0.4777	✗	1.80
2025-12-24	oos	0.004878	0.004748	-2.66%	0.007722	+58.30%	0.4483	✗	1.80
2025-12-23	oos	0.004879	0.004764	-2.37%	0.007151	+46.57%	0.3640	✗	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.004835	0.00473	-2.18%	0.007626	+57.72%	0.4610	✗	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.004755	0.004661	-1.97%	0.006698	+40.86%	0.3694	✗	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.00501	0.00491	-2.00%	0.007259	+44.89%	0.3035	✗	1.87
2025-12-19	oos	0.004946	0.004857	-1.79%	0.007115	+43.87%	0.2679	✗	1.87
2025-12-18	oos	0.004765	0.004701	-1.34%	0.007088	+48.75%	0.2090	✗	1.88
2025-12-17	oos	0.005085	0.004999	-1.71%	0.007037	+38.37%	0.1491	✗	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.00558	0.005455	-2.24%	0.006845	+22.67%	0.0700	✗	1.86
2025-12-15	oos	0.005587	0.005465	-2.19%	0.007327	+31.14%	0.0773	✗	1.88
2025-12-14	oos	0.005616	0.005486	-2.31%	0.007091	+26.26%	0.1088	✗	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.005997	0.00584	-2.62%	0.006986	+16.49%	0.1600	✗	1.86
2025-12-12	oos	0.00594	0.005792	-2.48%	0.005938	-0.03%	0.0126	✓	1.87
2025-12-11	oos	0.006286	0.006115	-2.72%	0.005961	-5.17%	0.0185	✓	1.86
2025-12-10	oos	0.006125	0.005957	-2.74%	0.00582	-4.98%	0.0077	✓	1.86
2025-12-09	oos	0.006552	0.006364	-2.87%	0.005969	-8.90%	0.0306	✓	1.84
2025-12-08	oos	0.00636	0.006174	-2.92%	0.005805	-8.73%	0.0743	✓	1.84
2025-12-07	oos	0.006327	0.006132	-3.08%	0.006263	-1.01%	0.0452	✓	1.84
2025-12-06	oos	0.006425	0.006221	-3.18%	0.006123	-4.70%	0.1094	✓	1.86
2025-12-05	oos	0.006527	0.00631	-3.33%	0.006133	-6.04%	0.0727	✓	1.86
2025-12-04	oos	0.006261	0.006026	-3.76%	0.006005	-4.10%	0.0280	✓	1.92
2025-12-03	oos	0.006445	0.006183	-4.07%	0.005757	-10.67%	0.0019	✓	1.92
2025-12-02	oos	0.006032	0.005785	-4.09%	0.005785	-4.09%	0.0546	✗	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.006069	0.005863	-3.39%	0.005761	-5.07%	0.0470	✓	2.10
2025-11-30	oos	0.006753	0.00646	-4.34%	0.006339	-6.13%	0.0267	✓	2.06
2025-11-29	oos	0.006782	0.006473	-4.56%	0.005615	-17.21%	0.0561	✓	2.06
2025-11-28	oos	0.006916	0.006606	-4.49%	0.005033	-27.22%	0.2020	✓	2.06
2025-11-27	oos	0.00704	0.006721	-4.53%	0.005116	-27.33%	0.1922	✓	2.06
2025-11-26	oos	0.007597	0.007262	-4.41%	0.004759	-37.36%	0.3477	✓	2.10
2025-11-25	oos	0.007468	0.007166	-4.04%	0.004825	-35.39%	0.3918	✓	2.16
2025-11-24	oos	0.007677	0.007346	-4.31%	0.004878	-36.46%	0.3933	✓	2.16
2025-11-23	oos	0.007305	0.007018	-3.93%	0.004879	-33.21%	0.3789	✓	2.15
2025-11-22	oos	0.007715	0.007392	-4.18%	0.004835	-37.33%	0.5258	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.006828	0.006613	-3.15%	0.004755	-30.36%	0.4229	✓	2.26
2025-11-20	oos	0.006926	0.006694	-3.35%	0.00501	-27.66%	0.3363	✓	2.28
2025-11-19	oos	0.007339	0.007027	-4.25%	0.004946	-32.61%	0.2631	✓	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.008345	0.007919	-5.10%	0.004765	-42.90%	0.3144	✓	2.31
2025-11-17	oos	0.008631	0.008087	-6.30%	0.005085	-41.08%	0.3092	✓	2.34
2025-11-16	oos	0.00731	0.006966	-4.70%	0.00558	-23.67%	0.0515	✓	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.007727	0.007259	-6.05%	0.005587	-27.70%	0.0166	✓	2.44
2025-11-14	oos	0.006365	0.006115	-3.93%	0.005616	-11.77%	0.0801	✗	2.38
2025-11-13	oos	0.006292	0.005983	-4.91%	0.005997	-4.69%	0.2571	✗	2.58
2025-11-12	oos	0.006572	0.006227	-5.25%	0.00594	-9.62%	0.2589	✗	2.58
2025-11-11	oos	0.006829	0.006463	-5.36%	0.006286	-7.95%	0.2498	✗	2.59
2025-11-10	oos	0.007461	0.007062	-5.35%	0.006125	-17.91%	0.2150	✗	2.53
2025-11-09	oos	0.007729	0.007315	-5.36%	0.006552	-15.23%	0.2024	✗	2.57
2025-11-08	oos	0.007187	0.006821	-5.09%	0.00636	-11.51%	0.2397	✗	2.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.008097	0.007657	-5.43%	0.006327	-21.86%	0.1395	✗	2.48
2025-11-06	oos	0.007891	0.007478	-5.23%	0.006425	-18.58%	0.1635	✗	2.50
2025-11-05	oos	0.007973	0.007541	-5.41%	0.006527	-18.14%	0.2348	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.007436	0.007013	-5.69%	0.006261	-15.79%	0.1303	✗	2.51
2025-11-03	oos	0.007494	0.007086	-5.45%	0.006445	-14.00%	0.2568	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.007159	0.00677	-5.43%	0.006032	-15.74%	0.4299	✗	2.85
2025-11-01	oos	0.006955	0.006515	-6.32%	0.006069	-12.74%	0.6245	✗	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	0.006029	0.005731	-4.95%	0.006753	+12.01%	0.7106	✗	2.84
2025-10-30	oos	0.00538	0.005116	-4.91%	0.006782	+26.06%	0.7763	✗	2.81
2025-10-29	oos	0.00582	0.005532	-4.95%	0.006916	+18.83%	0.7531	✗	2.77
2025-10-28	oos	0.005772	0.005489	-4.91%	0.00704	+21.97%	0.8528	✗	2.85
2025-10-27	oos	0.006075	0.005789	-4.71%	0.007597	+25.05%	0.9304	✗	2.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.006418	0.006077	-5.31%	0.007468	+16.36%	0.9751	✗	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.005879	0.005587	-4.96%	0.007677	+30.58%	0.9851	✗	2.84
2025-10-24	oos	0.005456	0.005184	-4.99%	0.007305	+33.89%	1.0399	✗	2.83
2025-10-23	oos	0.005343	0.005081	-4.91%	0.007715	+44.39%	1.1612	✗	2.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.005511	0.005266	-4.45%	0.006828	+23.90%	0.9413	✗	2.90
2025-10-21	oos	0.005692	0.005437	-4.49%	0.006926	+21.68%	0.8948	✗	2.90
2025-10-20	oos	0.006148	0.005858	-4.72%	0.007339	+19.37%	0.7781	✗	2.91
2025-10-19	oos	0.006143	0.005865	-4.53%	0.008345	+35.85%	0.8071	✗	2.90
2025-10-18	oos	0.006015	0.005755	-4.32%	0.008631	+43.49%	0.8471	✗	2.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.005669	0.00543	-4.21%	0.00731	+28.95%	0.6513	✗	2.89
2025-10-16	oos	0.005854	0.005603	-4.29%	0.007727	+32.00%	0.6817	✗	2.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.005989	0.005726	-4.39%	0.006365	+6.28%	0.5709	✗	2.92
2025-10-14	oos	0.006257	0.005991	-4.25%	0.006292	+0.56%	0.4219	✗	2.94
2025-10-13	oos	0.006624	0.006345	-4.21%	0.006572	-0.79%	0.4044	✗	2.93
2025-10-12	oos	0.006247	0.005974	-4.37%	0.006829	+9.32%	0.4518	✗	2.87
2025-10-11	oos	0.005424	0.005188	-4.35%	0.007461	+37.56%	0.4880	✗	2.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.005462	0.005213	-4.56%	0.007729	+41.50%	0.6121	✗	2.86
2025-10-09	oos	0.007354	0.007073	-3.82%	0.007187	-2.27%	0.4620	✗	2.56
2025-10-08	oos	0.007706	0.007398	-3.99%	0.008097	+5.07%	0.5382	✗	2.52
2025-10-07	oos	0.007019	0.006746	-3.89%	0.007891	+12.42%	0.6131	✗	2.52
2025-10-06	oos	0.007606	0.007335	-3.56%	0.007973	+4.83%	0.5417	✗	2.51
2025-10-05	oos	0.007616	0.007338	-3.65%	0.007436	-2.36%	0.5086	✗	2.52
2025-10-04	oos	0.008481	0.008072	-4.82%	0.007494	-11.64%	0.2810	✗	2.55
2025-10-03	oos	0.008139	0.00774	-4.90%	0.007159	-12.04%	0.1801	✗	2.55
2025-10-02	oos	0.009417	0.008728	-7.32%	0.006955	-26.14%	0.0164	✓	2.65
2025-10-01	oos	0.006286	0.006006	-4.45%	0.006029	-4.09%	0.1966	✗	2.42
2025-09-30	oos	0.00498	0.004862	-2.37%	0.00538	+8.03%	0.2124	✗	2.14
2025-09-29	oos	0.004977	0.004858	-2.39%	0.00582	+16.94%	0.2648	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.004948	0.004832	-2.35%	0.005772	+16.65%	0.1637	✗	2.23
2025-09-27	oos	0.004853	0.004749	-2.15%	0.006075	+25.18%	0.1572	✗	2.26
2025-09-26	oos	0.004928	0.004823	-2.13%	0.006418	+30.24%	0.1871	✗	2.28
2025-09-25	oos	0.004767	0.004667	-2.10%	0.005879	+23.33%	0.1767	✗	2.27
2025-09-24	oos	0.005314	0.00516	-2.90%	0.005456	+2.67%	0.1017	✗	2.23
2025-09-23	oos	0.005216	0.005059	-3.01%	0.005343	+2.43%	0.0930	✗	2.24
2025-09-22	oos	0.005302	0.005132	-3.21%	0.005511	+3.94%	0.1745	✗	2.21
2025-09-21	oos	0.005739	0.005535	-3.55%	0.005692	-0.82%	0.1625	✗	2.17
2025-09-20	oos	0.005775	0.005565	-3.64%	0.006148	+6.46%	0.2006	✗	2.20
2025-09-19	oos	0.005737	0.005526	-3.67%	0.006143	+7.08%	0.2428	✗	2.19
2025-09-18	oos	0.006008	0.005779	-3.82%	0.006015	+0.12%	0.2327	✗	2.18
2025-09-17	oos	0.005983	0.00574	-4.07%	0.005669	-5.25%	0.1846	✗	2.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.