8=======>

2022-09-10 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3354
190 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.93%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.7%
in alpha space · 92.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41536.5316-11.92%5.1074-31.12%0.2182✓0.229.9M2022-10-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-76.04e-7-11.84%5.04e-7-26.47%0.0788✓0.832.3M2022-10-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3595.6127-11.74%5.154-18.95%0.0186✓0.846.2M2022-10-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.058649-10.98%0.05695-13.55%0.1059✓1.091.4M2022-10-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2335.0749-10.59%24.25-38.19%0.1905✓1.4411.7M2022-10-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9616.0984-10.37%14.59-18.76%0.0227✓0.61384k2022-10-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.51074-10.08%0.472-16.90%0.0535✓1.0763k2022-10-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.2944-9.80%4.5127-35.33%0.3140✓0.158.6M2022-10-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.3459-9.67%1.11-25.50%0.0823✓0.8981k2022-10-10
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.2529-9.67%0.752-45.78%0.3146✓1.582.8M2022-10-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.1298-9.61%3.921-14.18%0.0592✓0.90289k2022-10-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.00039383-9.42%0.00028839-33.67%0.2496✓0.501.8M2022-10-10
FLOWFlownative2.111.915-9.24%1.573-25.45%0.0380✓1.281.1M2022-10-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21411.0925-9.18%13.805+13.03%0.2729✗0.4416.0M2022-10-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.158236-8.95%0.137-21.17%0.0416✓0.8324k2022-10-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.4706-8.94%1.305-19.20%0.0150✓1.0943k2022-10-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.1475-8.23%1.72-26.50%0.0806✓1.14229k2022-10-10
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0648.7618-8.10%57.34+8.07%0.3103✗1.209,0502022-10-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.999,610.89-7.95%7,851.69-24.80%0.0299✓1.394.2M2022-10-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.831259-7.84%0.8294-8.05%0.1662✗1.3694k2022-10-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.185836-7.82%0.1892-6.15%0.1208✗0.833.2M2022-10-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.262315-7.64%0.242-14.79%0.0080✓0.72563k2022-10-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.048239-7.59%0.0399-23.56%0.0835✓0.86204k2022-10-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.117886-7.47%0.0751-41.05%0.3654✓0.69195k2022-10-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.315068-7.36%0.2837-16.58%0.0250✓1.0582k2022-10-10
STXStacksnative0.38460.356336-7.35%0.3199-16.82%0.0269✓1.09335k2022-10-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.4233-7.15%1.98-24.14%0.1210✓0.66262k2022-10-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0280.954539-7.15%0.85-17.32%0.0617✓0.442.8M2022-10-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.341081-6.94%0.2763-24.61%0.0840✓1.0271k2022-10-10
METISMetisEthereum32.5530.3107-6.88%25.01-23.16%0.0189✓1.71178k2022-10-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.640285-6.66%0.573-16.47%0.0141✓0.78116k2022-10-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.2692-6.64%3.325-27.29%0.1869✓0.517.3M2022-10-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5714.5468-6.57%16.13+3.60%0.2111✗0.871.7M2022-10-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.2381-6.56%1.1707-11.65%0.0564✓0.911.1M2022-10-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.143253-6.55%0.1384-9.72%0.0893✗1.00361k2022-10-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.020185-6.44%0.018973-12.06%0.0311✓0.7512k2022-10-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.482777-6.44%0.4-22.48%0.0656✓0.997,7812022-10-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.0808-6.44%1.602-27.97%0.1257✓1.1033k2022-10-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.70131-6.38%0.6445-13.96%0.0838✗1.36210k2022-10-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.1657-6.34%0.8515-31.58%0.1316✓1.484.4M2022-10-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.2913-6.25%6.253-19.60%0.0319✓0.9810.0M2022-10-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.49239-6.19%0.3899-25.72%0.1514✓0.66444k2022-10-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0481.9212-6.19%1.526-25.49%0.0295✓1.6260k2022-10-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.0757-6.18%4.35-19.59%0.1031✓0.412.0M2022-10-10
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.368859-6.17%0.3174-19.26%0.0188✓1.067402022-10-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.0708-6.15%2.91-11.06%0.0076✓0.50653k2022-10-10
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.017799-6.05%0.014562-23.14%0.0771✓1.006792022-10-10
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.5238-6.01%3.218-33.14%0.2169✓1.001.2M2022-10-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.617984-5.94%0.576-12.33%0.0429✓0.92178k2022-10-10
XECeCashnative0.000044560.00004192-5.92%0.00003879-12.95%0.0195✓0.792.5M2022-10-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.51944-5.90%0.435-21.20%0.0433✓1.0877k2022-10-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.4248-5.89%1.473-2.71%0.1694✗1.1071k2022-10-10
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.379967-5.87%0.38835-3.79%0.1376✗0.9431k2022-10-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.0013-5.85%0.0009418-31.79%0.2401✓0.672.3M2022-10-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.1791-5.81%2.7499-18.53%0.0261✓0.9619k2022-10-10
PROPropyEthereum0.730.687621-5.81%0.59-19.18%0.1063✓0.3850k2022-10-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.008836-5.80%0.00578-38.38%0.3351✓0.723.3M2022-10-10
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,573.95-5.78%1,251.04-25.11%0.1059✓1.003.4M2022-10-10
ZENHorizenBase16.8515.9031-5.62%13.12-22.14%0.0589✓1.0885k2022-10-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.5149-5.60%7.19-20.29%0.1143✓0.442.2M2022-10-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1296.7312-5.58%5.318-25.40%0.1315✓0.844.3M2022-10-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.787.346-5.58%6.21-20.18%0.0407✓1.03237k2022-10-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.110777-5.56%0.0913-22.17%0.0659✓1.032.5M2022-10-10
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467612.7253-5.51%10.738-20.27%0.0604✓0.8822k2022-10-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.1044-5.50%5.09-21.21%0.1283✓0.432.2M2022-10-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.9107-5.50%11.97-18.68%0.0236✓1.02925k2022-10-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.022867-5.47%0.025041+3.51%0.0962✗0.04454k2022-10-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4519.3508-5.38%16.22-20.68%0.0317✓1.1718.5M2022-10-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.170102-5.28%0.14541-19.03%0.0420✓0.93268k2022-10-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0242.8645-5.27%2.119-29.93%0.1248✓1.433.0M2022-10-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.826478-5.21%0.6906-20.79%0.0572✓0.99988k2022-10-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.275242-5.20%0.2216-23.68%0.0975✓0.9614k2022-10-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.061387-5.17%0.059392-8.25%0.0908✗1.001.3M2022-10-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.048386-5.13%0.0369-27.65%0.1545✓0.94546k2022-10-10
KSMKusamaHydration52.3249.6598-5.08%41.93-19.86%0.0547✓0.93363k2022-10-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.0153-5.08%0.956518-10.58%0.0392✓0.8034k2022-10-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.063603-5.07%0.0565-15.67%0.0307✓1.21608k2022-10-10
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.126829-5.07%0.1203-9.96%0.0784✗1.061.4M2022-10-10
HIVEHivenative0.57790.548771-5.04%0.5363-7.20%0.0682✗0.74826k2022-10-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.298193-5.03%0.1964-37.45%0.2915✓1.0292k2022-10-10
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.3382-5.03%6.391-4.24%0.1618✗1.246.9M2022-10-10
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.3033-5.01%1.118-18.51%0.0183✓1.09385k2022-10-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.8418-5.01%1.644-15.21%0.0161✓1.0523k2022-10-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.2927-4.94%5.83-11.93%0.0236✓0.432.1M2022-10-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.442115-4.93%0.30405-34.62%0.2594✓0.93392k2022-10-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.2132-4.90%1.7409-25.20%0.1048✓1.0913k2022-10-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.939246-4.89%0.8062-18.36%0.0126✓1.13899k2022-10-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.774485-4.82%0.66749-17.97%0.0458✓0.83584k2022-10-10
FTTFTXEthereum27.6926.3609-4.80%23.56-14.92%0.0075✓0.976.8M2022-10-10
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.010448-4.80%0.010135-7.65%0.0933✗1.006082022-10-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.109026-4.78%0.0951-16.94%0.0410✓0.77169k2022-10-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.5312-4.74%7.34-7.16%0.0934✗0.9618.0M2022-10-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.4109-4.73%3.91-15.55%0.0586✓0.501.3M2022-10-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.0951-4.68%3.324-22.63%0.1548✓0.442.1M2022-10-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.048429-4.67%0.0551+8.46%0.2515✗0.99234k2022-10-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.422779-4.65%0.3444-22.33%0.0647✓1.1381k2022-10-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.021978-4.65%0.02172-5.77%0.0905✗0.839.2M2022-10-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.036152-4.61%0.0363-4.22%0.0959✗0.747,8252022-10-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.036448-4.59%0.02885-24.48%0.1122✓0.9859k2022-10-10
DASHDashDash48.7746.5519-4.55%41.83-14.23%0.0106✓0.95328k2022-10-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.7472-4.55%4.65-22.77%0.1598✓0.423.3M2022-10-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.068726-4.51%0.06817-5.28%0.0082✓0.13389k2022-10-10
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.592-4.46%1.3702-17.77%0.0218✓1.04241k2022-10-10
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.3461-4.40%8.752-10.47%0.0478✗0.921.2M2022-10-10
BTTCBTTC9.30e-78.89e-7-4.39%7.70e-7-17.20%0.0491✓0.771.7M2022-10-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.044142-4.33%0.03912-15.21%0.0331✓0.7114k2022-10-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.7316-4.32%4.0725-17.65%0.1383✓0.09115k2022-10-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.308416-4.31%0.3195-0.87%0.1417✗0.865.9M2022-10-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001482-4.28%0.00151-2.45%0.1135✗0.77343k2022-10-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.17-4.26%1.035-15.30%0.0057✓0.941.1M2022-10-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.282542-4.19%0.2601-11.80%0.0305✓0.922.7M2022-10-10
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.2666-4.15%3.7704-15.30%0.0643✗1.52129k2022-10-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.715-4.14%1.635-8.61%0.0574✗0.85627k2022-10-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.403217-4.09%0.3127-25.62%0.1267✓1.03209k2022-10-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.003961-4.08%0.00343-16.95%0.0328✓0.90103k2022-10-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.002792-4.07%0.002108-27.59%0.1764✓0.851.2M2022-10-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.133471-4.05%0.1217-12.51%0.0326✓0.482.9M2022-10-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.155931-4.04%0.1577-2.95%0.1245✗0.921,0012022-10-10
ZECZcashZcash65.3362.6933-4.04%52.65-19.41%0.0294✓1.171.2M2022-10-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99515.3512-4.02%12.445-22.19%0.0688✓1.1418.7M2022-10-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.5125-4.00%9.1-16.89%0.0064✓1.22298k2022-10-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001537-3.99%0.001375-14.12%0.0304✓0.666,5532022-10-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04771.9663-3.98%1.0487-48.79%0.5210✓0.871.2M2022-10-10
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.043942-3.92%0.040114-12.29%0.0065✓0.7928k2022-10-10
SOLSolanaSolana35.0733.6961-3.92%31.95-8.90%0.0751✗1.0458.3M2022-10-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.099555-3.90%0.0821-20.75%0.1055✓0.712,6892022-10-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007554-3.90%0.00625-20.48%0.0617✓1.03389k2022-10-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.073085-3.81%0.06087-19.89%0.0454✓1.1125k2022-10-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3260.9127-3.80%52.63-16.88%0.0285✓0.9513.5M2022-10-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.110401-3.75%0.123692+7.83%0.2165✗0.836.5M2022-10-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.143525-3.74%0.125-16.16%0.0205✓0.95117k2022-10-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.942022-3.68%0.844-13.70%0.0395✗1.211.5M2022-10-10
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.904725-3.58%0.772633-17.66%0.0611✓0.7849k2022-10-10
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.494099-3.57%0.4012-21.70%0.1013✓0.8637.9M2022-10-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.2876-3.56%1.2607-5.57%0.1157✗1.111.1M2022-10-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.301602-3.54%0.258723-17.26%0.0307✓0.99514k2022-10-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,715.37-3.34%1,290.06-27.31%0.1237✓1.30591.2M2022-10-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64128.2669-3.30%111.62-15.85%0.0014✓1.114.4M2022-10-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.489248-3.29%0.4416-12.71%0.0328✓1.09384k2022-10-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.020367-3.29%0.01855-11.92%0.0027✓0.73223k2022-10-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.2118-3.27%3.411-21.66%0.1708✓0.322.2M2022-10-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.063652-3.26%0.0602-8.51%0.0436✗0.8081k2022-10-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.272631-3.25%0.2643-6.21%0.0664✗0.7984k2022-10-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.47102.0405-3.25%151.15+43.31%0.4864✗0.763.4M2022-10-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.658355-3.18%0.559-17.79%0.0238✓1.133.7M2022-10-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.51152.5038-3.18%142.31-9.65%0.0557✗1.011.3M2022-10-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.222739-3.11%0.161-29.97%0.2298✓0.7767k2022-10-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.046409-3.11%0.0397-17.12%0.0467✓0.88132k2022-10-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.343069-3.11%0.2881-18.63%0.0575✓0.9534k2022-10-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.000012868-3.10%0.00001021-23.12%0.1204✓0.90951k2022-10-10
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.82394-3.09%0.78289-7.91%0.0590✗0.8913k2022-10-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.7223-3.02%2.188-22.05%0.1192✓0.80630k2022-10-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.096504-3.01%0.0801-19.50%0.0804✓0.8613k2022-10-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.006111-3.00%0.006061-3.80%0.0766✗0.692,0442022-10-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4716.9478-2.99%15.09-13.62%0.0321✓0.681.6M2022-10-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.203835-2.94%0.1511-28.05%0.1568✓1.15108k2022-10-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.041299-2.91%0.036464-14.27%0.0611✓0.5123k2022-10-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.012695-2.84%0.010998-15.83%0.0680✓0.61929k2022-10-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.006052-2.83%0.006179-0.79%0.0752✗0.4433k2022-10-10
XVSVenusEthereum5.114.9671-2.80%4.88-4.50%0.0828✗0.81943k2022-10-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.6152-2.76%1.54-7.28%0.0448✗0.7544k2022-10-10
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0524.9294-2.43%5.134+1.62%0.1946✗1.246.2M2022-10-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23653.9149-2.39%48-13.10%0.0262✓0.73284k2022-10-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005793-2.32%0.00482-18.72%0.1063✓0.63911k2022-10-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03411.0102-2.31%0.9327-9.81%0.0170✓0.512.7M2022-10-10
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7490.6224-2.28%73.6-20.64%0.0322✓1.425.6M2022-10-10
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.224285-2.19%0.2229-2.79%0.0984✗0.85503k2022-10-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.215992-2.18%0.1907-13.63%0.0103✓0.9257k2022-10-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.09684-2.08%0.1072+8.39%0.2118✗0.89336k2022-10-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.325407-2.07%0.34896+5.01%0.1586✗0.72327k2022-10-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.024965-1.98%0.02272-10.80%0.0796✗1.412,9582022-10-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.039009-1.94%0.03408-14.33%0.0413✓0.762,2982022-10-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4041-1.81%1.59+11.19%0.1181✗-0.05124k2022-10-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5021,353.24-1.75%19,152.00-11.87%0.0077✓0.9413k2022-10-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8577-1.71%2.42+28.04%0.3270✗0.5161k2022-10-10
XVGVergenative0.003220.003172-1.48%0.00326+1.24%0.1435✗0.94481k2022-10-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.208497-1.47%0.1844-12.85%0.0211✗1.16139k2022-10-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.141754-1.37%0.12369-13.94%0.0017✓1.12157k2022-10-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5221,361.29-1.34%19,132.83-11.63%0.0135✓1.00473.4M2022-10-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.012896-1.26%0.01132-13.32%0.0415✓0.72228k2022-10-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.54948-1.25%0.4444-20.13%0.0611✓1.2239k2022-10-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.038914-1.23%0.0329-16.50%0.0632✓0.8584k2022-10-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.99e-7-1.19%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0623✓0.7515k2022-10-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.129189-1.16%0.1201-8.11%0.0721✓0.0183k2022-10-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.184112-1.07%0.1562-16.07%0.0013✓1.341,5202022-10-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.511364-0.90%0.347-32.75%0.2458✓1.154,5592022-10-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.068541-0.82%0.06086-11.94%0.0039✓0.936022022-10-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.169983-0.76%–pending––1.712952022-10-10
GTGateEthereum4.3244.2936-0.70%4.3574+0.77%0.1075✗0.75702k2022-10-10
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.06414-0.69%0.06275-2.84%0.0542✗0.62129k2022-10-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.059905+0.18%0.048-19.73%0.1133✗0.8881k2022-10-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.