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2022-09-06 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2189
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.4%
in alpha space · 65.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+6.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.15390.150517-2.20%0.1239-19.49%0.1986✓0.0793k2022-10-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4390.429283-2.21%0.355-19.13%0.2645✓1.234,1032022-10-06
GTGateEthereum3.96483.8694-2.41%4.4133+11.31%0.0842✗0.78769k2022-10-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011830.01152-2.62%0.00944-20.20%0.2396✓0.67223k2022-10-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.130970.12748-2.66%0.12963-1.02%0.0566✓1.21183k2022-10-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05580.054309-2.67%0.05-10.39%0.1391✓0.9382k2022-10-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin18,790.9118,282.09-2.71%19,965.64+6.25%0.0275✓1.00485.5M2022-10-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153320.149104-2.75%0.17341+13.10%0.0298✗2.003162022-10-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063550.061777-2.79%0.06153-3.18%0.0603✓0.937702022-10-06
APEApeCoinEthereum4.3014.1797-2.82%5.162+20.02%0.1292✗1.356.8M2022-10-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.50360.488644-2.97%0.4465-11.34%0.1712✓1.3441k2022-10-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum18,917.9018,354.44-2.98%20,006.50+5.75%0.0293✓0.9413k2022-10-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.22320.215657-3.38%0.2644+18.46%0.1455✗0.9681k2022-10-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20090.193931-3.47%0.1812-9.81%0.1486✓1.33142k2022-10-06
AAVEAaveEthereum83.5880.6397-3.52%77.49-7.29%0.1339✓1.555.6M2022-10-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.9315.3692-3.52%15.05-5.52%0.0652✓0.731.7M2022-10-06
STEEMSteemnative0.20720.199637-3.65%0.2239+8.06%0.0575✗0.94468k2022-10-06
TRXTRONTron0.0607660.058542-3.66%0.062765+3.29%0.0322✓0.62129k2022-10-06
XVGVergenative0.002950.002839-3.76%0.00337+14.24%0.1094✗1.02483k2022-10-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.085791-3.82%0.118+32.29%0.2588✗0.99372k2022-10-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.14641.1023-3.85%1.328+15.84%0.1126✗1.22996k2022-10-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.005510.005294-3.92%0.00503-8.71%0.0903✓0.65977k2022-10-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.033432-3.93%0.0338-2.87%0.0453✓0.9366k2022-10-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19630.188501-3.97%0.1959-0.20%0.0221✓1.0058k2022-10-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.035610.034175-4.03%0.0349-1.99%0.0290✓0.822,5652022-10-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.019170.018383-4.10%0.02192+14.35%0.1295✗0.779.7M2022-10-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.54947.4411-4.25%48.536-2.04%0.0242✓0.78324k2022-10-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316670.303189-4.26%0.38697+22.20%0.1944✗0.82332k2022-10-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.17107.2844-4.36%118.27+5.44%0.0266✓1.174.4M2022-10-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.17429-4.45%0.1597-12.45%0.1699✓1.362,0092022-10-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.31e-7-4.45%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0979✓0.7815k2022-10-06
XVSVenusEthereum4.524.3148-4.54%5.25+16.15%0.1448✗0.851.1M2022-10-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6140.585605-4.62%0.593-3.42%0.0582✓1.174.0M2022-10-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.041292-4.64%0.0411-5.08%0.0637✓0.97132k2022-10-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.074853-4.65%0.081+3.18%0.0218✓0.9410k2022-10-06
ZECZcashZcash57.9355.2357-4.65%55.15-4.80%0.0736✓1.191.3M2022-10-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011990.000011428-4.69%0.00001119-6.67%0.0795✓0.96873k2022-10-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023330.022222-4.75%0.02394+2.61%0.0031✓1.283,1162022-10-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25930.246942-4.77%0.2677+3.24%0.0218✓0.972.8M2022-10-06
CBKCobakEthereum0.802550.764261-4.77%0.79417-1.04%0.0230✓1.0113k2022-10-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9380.89316-4.78%0.9673+3.12%0.0490✗0.513.0M2022-10-06
XEMNEMnative0.0411810.039209-4.79%0.04073-1.10%0.0133✓0.8529k2022-10-06
XLMStellarStellar0.0998720.095042-4.84%0.119586+19.74%0.1790✗0.846.7M2022-10-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121450.01155-4.90%0.011549-4.91%0.0410✓0.67932k2022-10-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06050.057521-4.92%0.0588-2.81%0.0554✓1.28690k2022-10-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.1251.4458-4.94%53.56-1.03%0.0212✓1.0113.1M2022-10-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027670.00263-4.94%0.002261-18.29%0.2077✓0.931.2M2022-10-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44340.421478-4.94%0.4396-0.86%0.0280✓1.16384k2022-10-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.77511.1918-4.95%13.021+10.58%0.0828✗1.1312.5M2022-10-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1160.110238-4.97%0.1377+18.71%0.1590✗1.0525k2022-10-06
XMRMoneroMonero144.79137.5956-4.97%149.07+2.96%0.0161✓1.061.4M2022-10-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0401850.03818-4.99%0.037581-6.48%0.0466✓0.5125k2022-10-06
XTZTezosTezos1.4331.3614-5.00%1.426-0.49%0.0227✓1.14247k2022-10-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6596.3257-5.00%7.636+14.67%0.1230✗1.0818.6M2022-10-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67821.5942-5.01%1.1393-32.11%0.3942✓0.961.1M2022-10-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1743.9642-5.03%3.902-6.52%0.0368✓0.352.3M2022-10-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.314210.298364-5.04%0.3016-4.01%0.0502✓1.0137k2022-10-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2724620.258461-5.14%0.265922-2.40%0.0382✓1.10514k2022-10-06
ADACardanoCardano0.46260.438783-5.15%0.4287-7.33%0.0809✓0.9540.4M2022-10-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068010.064469-5.21%0.06262-7.93%0.1006✓1.1825k2022-10-06
DASHDashDash42.6840.4497-5.23%42.03-1.52%0.0225✓1.00404k2022-10-06
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.24e-7-5.24%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0913✓0.801.8M2022-10-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.961.8564-5.29%2.37+20.92%0.2142✗0.5075k2022-10-06
API3Api3Ethereum1.5971.5124-5.30%1.713+7.26%0.0679✗0.93574k2022-10-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057240.005419-5.34%0.006023+5.23%0.0633✗0.702,1572022-10-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3990.377522-5.38%0.428+7.27%0.0617✗1.057,9852022-10-06
NANOnanopayBase0.848260.802242-5.42%0.800969-5.58%0.0528✓0.8454k2022-10-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.3901-5.43%1.54+4.76%0.1123✗-0.16128k2022-10-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.332080.314024-5.44%0.33601+1.18%0.0096✓0.96400k2022-10-06
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18940.179087-5.44%0.1554-17.95%0.2216✓1.31111k2022-10-06
UNIUniswapEthereum5.8295.5107-5.46%6.877+17.98%0.1407✗1.337.5M2022-10-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1112.393-5.47%12.68-3.28%0.0447✓1.111.0M2022-10-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87930.831114-5.48%0.8414-4.31%0.0622✓1.23916k2022-10-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04530.042807-5.50%0.0386-14.79%0.1656✓1.02739k2022-10-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12710.120089-5.52%0.1306+2.75%0.0511✓0.543.5M2022-10-06
SOLSolanaSolana30.8729.1649-5.52%33.37+8.10%0.0657✗1.1461.7M2022-10-06
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.731547-5.53%0.7605-1.79%0.0250✓1.051.1M2022-10-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.041950.039605-5.59%0.04019-4.20%0.0306✓0.7514k2022-10-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007470.007049-5.63%0.00649-13.12%0.1512✓1.13406k2022-10-06
KCSKuCoinnative9.0338.5232-5.64%9.062+0.32%0.0028✓0.961.2M2022-10-06
MANADecentralandEthereum0.736890.694989-5.69%0.69485-5.71%0.0536✓0.88520k2022-10-06
UMAUMAEthereum2.5442.3993-5.69%2.294-9.83%0.0992✓0.90682k2022-10-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.13220.124621-5.73%0.1284-2.87%0.0321✓1.02113k2022-10-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.268570.253111-5.76%0.23425-12.78%0.1415✓1.0613k2022-10-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05920.055779-5.78%0.064+8.11%0.0869✗0.8391k2022-10-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,559.281,468.87-5.80%1,352.24-13.28%0.1667✓1.39660.9M2022-10-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28550.268927-5.80%0.3493+22.35%0.2059✗0.925.8M2022-10-06
QTUMQtumQtum2.98512.8112-5.83%2.8302-5.19%0.0562✓1.0419k2022-10-06
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38134.1249-5.85%4.8299+10.24%0.0246✓2.20129k2022-10-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1031.0383-5.87%1.049-4.90%0.0487✓0.971.2M2022-10-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38850.365669-5.88%0.3604-7.23%0.0858✓1.1885k2022-10-06
QNTQuantEthereum90.0384.7031-5.92%138.24+53.55%0.4378✗0.863.4M2022-10-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.488.9183-5.93%9.44-0.42%0.0208✓1.28297k2022-10-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.2117.118-6.00%17.05-6.37%0.0819✓1.2819.6M2022-10-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10140.095283-6.03%0.0973-4.04%0.0309✓0.86169k2022-10-06
SCSiacoinnative0.003790.00356-6.07%0.00348-8.18%0.0829✓0.99127k2022-10-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.86.3871-6.07%6.47-4.85%0.0553✓1.12283k2022-10-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7912.6213-6.08%2.258-19.10%0.2423✓1.533.6M2022-10-06
FTTFTXEthereum25.6424.0811-6.08%24.5-4.45%0.0422✓0.986.8M2022-10-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2960.277879-6.12%0.2416-18.38%0.2062✓1.0999k2022-10-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9070.851469-6.12%0.9-0.77%0.0234✓1.301.6M2022-10-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.8892.7108-6.17%2.993+3.60%0.0662✗0.54653k2022-10-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.159550.149703-6.17%0.14977-6.13%0.0601✓1.00268k2022-10-06
KSMKusamaHydration45.5642.7302-6.21%42.57-6.56%0.0652✓1.01490k2022-10-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09610.090114-6.23%0.0873-9.16%0.0767✓0.742,9872022-10-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014690.001377-6.25%0.001409-4.08%0.0176✓0.677,6332022-10-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4820.451858-6.25%0.445-7.68%0.0858✓1.1677k2022-10-06
DODODODOEthereum0.11910.111651-6.25%0.1306+9.66%0.0924✗1.061.5M2022-10-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.374.0965-6.26%4.39+0.46%0.0341✓0.581.3M2022-10-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016030.001503-6.26%0.001592-0.69%0.0079✓0.82413k2022-10-06
BANDBandEthereum1.1821.1079-6.27%1.227+3.81%0.0290✓1.21429k2022-10-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9195.5477-6.27%5.19-12.32%0.0975✓0.514.3M2022-10-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1362.0018-6.28%1.8289-14.38%0.1609✓1.1613k2022-10-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061990.005808-6.30%0.006387+3.03%0.0680✗0.4541k2022-10-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.0520.048713-6.32%0.054+3.85%0.0338✓1.14234k2022-10-06
ZENHorizenBase14.5413.6171-6.35%13.67-5.98%0.0647✓1.1393k2022-10-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.225.8251-6.35%5.975-3.94%0.0260✓0.854.5M2022-10-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9623.7102-6.36%3.738-5.65%0.0233✓0.512.1M2022-10-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.69961.591-6.39%1.6717-1.64%0.0180✓1.1125k2022-10-06
ELAElastosEthereum1.7271.6164-6.41%1.496-13.38%0.1309✓0.8883k2022-10-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09770.091439-6.41%0.0989+1.23%0.0127✓1.082.8M2022-10-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3951.3049-6.46%1.632+16.99%0.1519✗1.1878k2022-10-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.63220.591254-6.48%0.627-0.82%0.0270✓1.41226k2022-10-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0588970.055076-6.49%0.063377+7.60%0.0751✗1.081.4M2022-10-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033330.031164-6.50%0.03051-8.46%0.0831✓1.0259k2022-10-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.250.233384-6.65%0.251+0.40%0.0264✓0.76597k2022-10-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.142146-6.73%0.142-6.82%0.0633✓1.031,4472022-10-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.24180.22535-6.80%0.1703-29.57%0.3313✓0.8466k2022-10-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14264.7924-6.81%4.0698-20.86%0.1692✓0.10115k2022-10-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6240.580684-6.94%0.584-6.41%0.0470✓0.87164k2022-10-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021710.020198-6.97%0.01849-14.83%0.1376✓0.81394k2022-10-06
XECeCashnative0.000040540.000037712-6.98%0.00004293+5.90%0.0780✗0.852.1M2022-10-06
METISMetisEthereum28.8426.8277-6.98%26.53-8.01%0.1232✓1.85200k2022-10-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6080.565429-7.00%0.574-5.59%0.0449✓0.99187k2022-10-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.67.9962-7.02%8.07-6.16%0.0223✓0.522.1M2022-10-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.30160.28041-7.03%0.2881-4.48%0.0413✓1.1397k2022-10-06
LSKLiskEthereum0.9772590.908417-7.04%0.959042-1.86%0.0016✓0.8739k2022-10-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9471.8096-7.06%1.724-11.45%0.1197✓1.1736k2022-10-06
HIVEHivenative0.52130.484165-7.12%0.4955-4.95%0.0267✓0.82902k2022-10-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7741.6469-7.16%1.621-8.62%0.1186✓1.6972k2022-10-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8746.3764-7.24%6.345-7.70%0.0688✓1.0510.2M2022-10-06
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0099540.009233-7.24%0.010479+5.27%0.0659✓1.004852022-10-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.262.0953-7.29%2.07-8.41%0.0580✓0.75262k2022-10-06
FISStafiEthereum0.30.278072-7.31%0.3349+11.63%0.1274✗0.976202022-10-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.265.7982-7.38%6.4+2.24%0.0684✓0.502.1M2022-10-06
MOVRMoonriverBase12.174611.2765-7.38%11.104-8.79%0.0762✓1.0028k2022-10-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.940.870236-7.42%0.874-7.02%0.0206✓0.412.9M2022-10-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.03590.958579-7.46%0.8912-13.97%0.1666✓1.554.5M2022-10-06
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,420.831,313.85-7.53%1,312.15-7.65%0.0619✓1.003.3M2022-10-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1913.1206-7.54%17.18+21.07%0.2078✗1.021.7M2022-10-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008520.007875-7.57%0.00633-25.70%0.2636✓0.743.8M2022-10-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01860.940603-7.66%1.2617+23.87%0.2382✗0.911.1M2022-10-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0251150.023176-7.72%0.02737+8.98%0.1589✗0.12454k2022-10-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13070.120606-7.72%0.1422+8.80%0.0995✗1.08489k2022-10-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.095.6178-7.75%5.71-6.24%0.0140✓0.502.2M2022-10-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074020.068281-7.75%0.06847-7.50%0.0016✓0.07370k2022-10-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.24.7968-7.75%5-3.85%0.0113✓0.502.0M2022-10-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.32630.300944-7.77%0.2893-11.34%0.1042✓1.0773k2022-10-06
STXStacksnative0.34010.313428-7.84%0.3237-4.82%0.0391✓1.18365k2022-10-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50820.467853-7.94%0.3963-22.02%0.2117✓0.75496k2022-10-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012650.001165-7.97%0.0009997-21.00%0.2014✓0.802.4M2022-10-06
DIADIAEthereum0.366150.336727-8.04%0.40174+9.72%0.1170✗0.9833k2022-10-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03580.032907-8.08%0.0367+2.51%0.0629✓0.767,8592022-10-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4750.436099-8.19%0.482+1.47%0.0345✓1.0863k2022-10-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,612.347,894.83-8.33%8,226.12-4.48%0.0449✓1.424.8M2022-10-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.057730.052748-8.63%0.05928+2.68%0.0501✓1.101.6M2022-10-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.102694-8.64%0.0679-39.59%0.4596✓0.76203k2022-10-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197060.018003-8.64%0.019161-2.77%0.0129✓0.8113k2022-10-06
OPTIMOptimism1.0951.0002-8.66%0.851-22.28%0.2593✓1.613.0M2022-10-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81350.742877-8.68%0.8301+2.04%0.0215✓1.48105k2022-10-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4310.393403-8.72%0.337-21.81%0.2263✓1.18209k2022-10-06
COMPCompoundEthereum45.3541.3751-8.76%58.51+29.02%0.2691✗1.289,0502022-10-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4174.0201-8.99%3.5433-19.78%0.1645✓0.636.3M2022-10-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.11.9086-9.11%1.82-13.33%0.1208✓1.21227k2022-10-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.04730.042988-9.12%0.0408-13.74%0.1085✓0.93204k2022-10-06
PROPropyEthereum0.710.645196-9.13%0.6-15.49%0.0924✓0.3357k2022-10-06
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.015860.014407-9.16%0.015568-1.84%0.0169✓1.00622022-10-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.91510.7913-9.43%15.806+32.66%0.3474✗0.5715.8M2022-10-06
FLOWFlownative1.7721.6007-9.67%1.694-4.40%0.0266✓1.371.3M2022-10-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.4431.014-9.95%27.83-19.19%0.2025✓1.5510.6M2022-10-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4571.3108-10.03%1.231-15.51%0.1352✓1.1951k2022-10-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.1850.166434-10.04%0.2144+15.89%0.2005✗0.873.1M2022-10-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.7815.0838-10.11%16.48-1.79%0.0467✓0.69422k2022-10-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.1043-10.22%1.17-4.88%0.0001✓0.9581k2022-10-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5995.0249-10.25%5.489-1.96%0.0354✓0.877.2M2022-10-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.89e-77.01e-7-11.16%5.63e-7-28.62%0.2723✓0.881.9M2022-10-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8853.4487-11.23%4.001+2.99%0.0885✓0.99259k2022-10-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000378850.000336169-11.27%0.00028537-24.67%0.2068✓0.71698k2022-10-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.61935.8511-11.61%5.2384-20.86%0.1265✓0.267.5M2022-10-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23446.2457-13.67%5.8714-18.84%0.0836✓0.368.2M2022-10-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.