8=======>

2022-08-31 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2312
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.3%
in alpha space · 80.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0318.779-1.32%16.37-13.98%0.1151✓0.701.6M2022-09-30
GTGateEthereum4.30084.2051-2.23%4.2716-0.68%0.0401✗0.77798k2022-09-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,990.4019,539.41-2.26%19,846.80-0.72%0.0453✗0.9415k2022-09-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.178245-2.28%0.1525-16.39%0.1125✓1.382,2912022-09-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012080.000011772-2.55%0.00001131-6.37%0.0102✓0.95776k2022-09-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45940.447479-2.59%0.4309-6.20%0.0017✓1.14383k2022-09-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.651.6069-2.61%1.64-0.61%0.0497✗0.93579k2022-09-30
KCSKuCoinnative9.0018.7624-2.65%9.167+1.84%0.0750✗0.951.4M2022-09-30
XTZTezosTezos1.51081.4706-2.66%1.4221-5.87%0.0019✓1.12296k2022-09-30
SOLSolanaSolana31.530.6581-2.67%33.26+5.59%0.1181✗1.1665.9M2022-09-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21840.212334-2.78%0.1725-21.02%0.1667✓1.30135k2022-09-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.033927-2.79%0.0337-3.44%0.0221✓0.9186k2022-09-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,048.2619,475.86-2.86%19,426.11-3.10%0.0290✓1.00504.7M2022-09-30
XMRMoneroMonero149.22144.9185-2.88%147.45-1.19%0.0494✗1.021.3M2022-09-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020260.019666-2.93%0.02279+12.49%0.1735✗0.8311.1M2022-09-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0440.042668-3.03%0.0427-2.95%0.0310✗0.96147k2022-09-30
ADACardanoCardano0.44580.432189-3.05%0.4348-2.47%0.0355✗0.9437.1M2022-09-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21120.204691-3.08%0.1931-8.57%0.0259✓1.0358k2022-09-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.034599-3.08%0.0377+5.60%0.1107✗0.799,5472022-09-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8452.1798-3.08%53.48-0.67%0.0555✗0.9812.6M2022-09-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.037215-3.21%0.03783-1.61%0.0419✗0.812,7072022-09-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.031.9648-3.21%2.31+13.79%0.1778✗0.5193k2022-09-30
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.7018-3.26%4.78-1.65%0.0432✗0.851.5M2022-09-30
QNTQuantEthereum96.4793.3232-3.26%141.89+47.08%0.4461✗0.863.5M2022-09-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056680.005481-3.31%0.005197-8.32%0.0315✓0.692,1952022-09-30
CBKCobakEthereum0.896560.866276-3.38%0.78889-12.01%0.0617✓1.0113k2022-09-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34620.334405-3.41%0.321-7.28%0.0016✓1.25176k2022-09-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066180.063911-3.43%0.0629-4.96%0.0114✓0.877702022-09-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.24470.23628-3.44%0.2604+6.42%0.1269✗0.9475k2022-09-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2470.238497-3.44%0.1171-52.59%0.7113✓-0.0091k2022-09-30
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.50e-7-3.45%7.70e-7-12.50%0.0734✓0.791.9M2022-09-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1043650.100747-3.47%0.114648+9.85%0.1547✗0.817.0M2022-09-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.16111.1071-3.52%120.1+4.29%0.1138✗1.144.6M2022-09-30
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1425.9256-3.52%6.467+5.29%0.1285✗1.308.9M2022-09-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.03470.998177-3.53%1.1027+6.57%0.1381✗1.22996k2022-09-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072740.070147-3.57%0.0606-16.69%0.1096✓1.1626k2022-09-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4656-3.58%1.44-5.26%0.0215✓-0.13128k2022-09-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.05534-3.59%0.0514-10.45%0.0446✓0.9398k2022-09-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.19.7368-3.60%9-10.89%0.0401✓1.22313k2022-09-30
MOVRMoonriverBase12.3811.9317-3.62%11.1383-10.03%0.0383✓0.9730k2022-09-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,554.001,497.51-3.63%1,328.95-14.48%0.0760✓1.38660.9M2022-09-30
STEEMSteemnative0.22910.220715-3.66%0.2181-4.80%0.0165✓0.90489k2022-09-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.223935-3.68%0.1432-38.41%0.4187✓0.9076k2022-09-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4750.457424-3.70%0.346-27.16%0.2413✓1.202,7102022-09-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.91549.9854-3.72%48.976-5.66%0.0030✓0.74302k2022-09-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79391.7269-3.73%1.7056-4.92%0.0216✓1.0830k2022-09-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06220.059876-3.74%0.0576-7.40%0.0015✓1.28908k2022-09-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021520.020712-3.75%0.01929-10.36%0.0456✓0.8113k2022-09-30
ZECZcashZcash59.8857.6113-3.79%55.65-7.06%0.0018✓1.161.7M2022-09-30
AAVEAaveEthereum84.8581.6129-3.82%74.57-12.12%0.0423✓1.526.2M2022-09-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12360.118869-3.83%0.1259+1.86%0.0903✗1.0423k2022-09-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05950.057217-3.84%0.0647+8.74%0.1502✗0.87101k2022-09-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95350.916902-3.84%0.8963-6.00%0.0071✓0.493.6M2022-09-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131760.012664-3.89%0.011753-10.80%0.0548✓0.63932k2022-09-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6286.3685-3.92%7.586+14.45%0.2081✗1.0517.4M2022-09-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.82511.3554-3.97%13.03+10.19%0.1726✗1.1111.4M2022-09-30
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7614.5718-3.97%5.408+13.59%0.2101✗1.348.5M2022-09-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045930.044104-3.97%0.04057-11.67%0.0610✓0.7115k2022-09-30
SGBSongbirdnative0.02570.024662-4.04%0.0199-22.57%0.1963✓0.5849k2022-09-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9151.8371-4.07%1.591-16.92%0.0909✓1.6883k2022-09-30
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.122401-4.07%0.1271-0.39%0.0703✗1.031.7M2022-09-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024550.023541-4.11%0.02333-4.97%0.0313✓1.283,4352022-09-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.15310.146761-4.14%0.1386-9.47%0.0220✓1.121,5282022-09-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015030.001441-4.16%0.001547+2.93%0.1018✗0.97424k2022-09-30
FTTFTXEthereum26.7325.6144-4.17%24.25-9.28%0.0241✓0.977.3M2022-09-30
TRXTRONTron0.0634280.060777-4.18%0.061037-3.77%0.0234✓0.61142k2022-09-30
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2010.192557-4.20%0.1637-18.56%0.1308✓1.00116k2022-09-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0475.791-4.23%5.44-10.04%0.0475✓0.484.4M2022-09-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28090.268909-4.27%0.2876+2.39%0.0971✗0.953.1M2022-09-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.311720.298398-4.27%0.23673-24.06%0.1985✓1.0512k2022-09-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.3006-4.34%17.2-10.09%0.0212✓1.2922.5M2022-09-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.0372-4.36%2-6.10%0.0055✓0.76287k2022-09-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029940.002863-4.36%0.001987-33.63%0.3364✓0.921.1M2022-09-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.317940.304026-4.38%0.40262+26.63%0.3063✗0.81340k2022-09-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.006208-4.41%0.006298-3.03%0.0274✓0.4158k2022-09-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136980.130882-4.45%0.12823-6.39%0.0173✓1.20190k2022-09-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008580.008197-4.46%0.00657-23.43%0.1985✓0.725.5M2022-09-30
GITCOINGITCOIN2.15942.0613-4.54%1.8009-16.60%0.0999✓1.1213k2022-09-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155680.148608-4.54%0.16779+7.78%0.1855✗2.035722022-09-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023040.021984-4.59%0.01866-19.01%0.1385✓0.81459k2022-09-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10030.095698-4.59%0.0911-9.17%0.0266✓0.722,5272022-09-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.551180.5256-4.64%0.44894-18.55%0.1162✓1.3135k2022-09-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.046152-4.64%0.0392-19.01%0.1320✓0.99781k2022-09-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6630.632182-4.65%0.576-13.12%0.0623✓0.98207k2022-09-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6730.641594-4.67%0.593-11.89%0.0407✓1.214.1M2022-09-30
NANOnanopayBase0.8946030.852744-4.68%0.770263-13.90%0.0755✓0.8360k2022-09-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3374.1331-4.70%3.882-10.49%0.0475✓0.482.0M2022-09-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.76.3845-4.71%6.53-2.54%0.0377✓0.481.7M2022-09-30
QTUMQtumQtum3.1493.0005-4.72%2.8524-9.42%0.0188✓1.0125k2022-09-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.006190.005896-4.75%0.00487-21.32%0.1711✓0.641.0M2022-09-30
DIADIAEthereum0.37170.353972-4.77%0.38467+3.49%0.1132✗0.9540k2022-09-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0431280.04107-4.77%0.037509-13.03%0.0744✓0.5227k2022-09-30
HIVEHivenative0.55730.530451-4.82%0.4837-13.21%0.0658✓0.841.1M2022-09-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004040.003845-4.82%0.00347-14.11%0.0714✓0.99144k2022-09-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9222.781-4.83%3.081+5.44%0.1182✗0.50650k2022-09-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.7282.5957-4.85%2.336-14.37%0.0779✓0.87706k2022-09-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.46.0877-4.88%6.03-5.78%0.0061✓0.502.1M2022-09-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0612770.058278-4.89%0.061628+0.57%0.0892✗1.061.5M2022-09-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.511.8852-4.92%16.08+28.64%0.3356✗1.061.9M2022-09-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.08990.085464-4.93%0.1076+19.69%0.2604✗0.95381k2022-09-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13941.0831-4.94%1.194+4.79%0.1253✗0.881.3M2022-09-30
DASHDashDash44.5542.3375-4.97%41.94-5.86%0.0210✓0.97438k2022-09-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.771910.733432-4.98%0.69854-9.50%0.0211✓0.88509k2022-09-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.397153-4.99%0.472+12.92%0.2047✗1.027,9102022-09-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.098138-5.00%0.0987-4.45%0.0327✓0.86188k2022-09-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.0548-5.03%0.0455-21.14%0.1503✓1.13258k2022-09-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.077969-5.03%0.082-0.12%0.0799✗0.9411k2022-09-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0121.9107-5.04%1.701-15.46%0.0805✓1.1342k2022-09-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94270.895122-5.05%0.8437-10.50%0.0211✓1.21912k2022-09-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013420.001274-5.05%0.001016-24.30%0.2018✓0.792.1M2022-09-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013580.012893-5.06%0.0098-27.84%0.2532✓0.67201k2022-09-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.255.9335-5.06%6.071-2.86%0.0499✓0.864.9M2022-09-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.097378-5.09%0.0987-3.80%0.0473✓1.073.1M2022-09-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2051.1433-5.12%1.056-12.37%0.0482✓0.991.6M2022-09-30
XEMNEMnative0.0439410.04169-5.12%0.040717-7.34%0.0031✓0.8529k2022-09-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.267299-5.21%0.251-10.99%0.0401✓0.72668k2022-09-30
ZENHorizenBase15.5314.7204-5.21%14.11-9.14%0.0073✓1.11107k2022-09-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.15924-5.21%0.14624-12.95%0.0546✓0.97324k2022-09-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28850.273375-5.24%0.3535+22.53%0.2854✗0.906.0M2022-09-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0141-5.30%0.953-11.00%0.0350✓0.8644k2022-09-30
PROPropyEthereum0.730.691189-5.32%0.62-15.07%0.0995✓0.2979k2022-09-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72761.6355-5.33%1.1834-31.50%0.2932✓0.961.2M2022-09-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.486812-5.47%0.453-12.04%0.0360✓1.1483k2022-09-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4130.633-5.48%27.75-14.38%0.0514✓1.5112.7M2022-09-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4494.2016-5.56%3.848-13.51%0.0802✓0.242.3M2022-09-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32030.302489-5.56%0.288-10.08%0.0124✓1.17138k2022-09-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.14631.082-5.61%0.917-20.00%0.1172✓1.534.5M2022-09-30
BANDBandEthereum1.2751.2034-5.62%1.227-3.76%0.0569✓1.19460k2022-09-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,021.078,509.66-5.67%8,121.81-9.97%0.0032✓1.386.0M2022-09-30
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0781.0167-5.69%0.923-14.38%0.0570✓1.261.5M2022-09-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.20e-7-5.71%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0127✓0.7916k2022-09-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.298090.28105-5.72%0.267208-10.36%0.0162✓1.09547k2022-09-30
COMPCompoundEthereum47.1444.4309-5.75%61.22+29.87%0.3599✗1.259,8512022-09-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13950.131464-5.76%0.1421+1.86%0.1096✗1.01509k2022-09-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9592.7876-5.79%2.377-19.67%0.1109✓1.543.7M2022-09-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11610.10934-5.82%0.0758-34.71%0.3433✓0.73216k2022-09-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2716.2558-5.87%14.8-14.30%0.0721✓0.69818k2022-09-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80145.4598-5.89%4.1679-28.16%0.2667✓0.10115k2022-09-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13240.124586-5.90%0.1183-10.65%0.0353✓0.523.5M2022-09-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.667.2077-5.91%6.46-15.67%0.0754✓1.08430k2022-09-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334160.314409-5.91%0.30317-9.27%0.0052✓0.9945k2022-09-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.3451-5.94%1.475+3.15%0.1290✗1.17116k2022-09-30
KSMKusamaHydration47.4244.5833-5.98%42.06-11.30%0.0271✓0.99522k2022-09-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.7084-6.03%1.485-18.32%0.1115✓0.91121k2022-09-30
XECeCashnative0.000044520.000041836-6.03%0.00004111-7.66%0.0097✓0.861.7M2022-09-30
OPTIMOptimism1.1291.0602-6.09%0.911-19.31%0.0977✓1.713.2M2022-09-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.328368-6.18%0.33003-5.71%0.0346✓0.94347k2022-09-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007990.007494-6.20%0.00692-13.39%0.0444✓1.12477k2022-09-30
XVGVergenative0.003350.003142-6.22%0.00328-2.09%0.0749✗1.01486k2022-09-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.2284-6.23%1.16-11.45%0.0287✓0.91111k2022-09-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7433.5058-6.34%3.842+2.64%0.1220✗0.97259k2022-09-30
METISMetisEthereum31.0329.0373-6.42%24.07-22.43%0.1278✓1.90288k2022-09-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0336.5795-6.45%6.322-10.11%0.0073✓1.0410.9M2022-09-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035190.032889-6.54%0.03032-13.84%0.0496✓1.0140k2022-09-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.05163.7862-6.55%3.8918-3.94%0.0464✓0.604.2M2022-09-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.05030.046964-6.63%0.0405-19.48%0.1174✓0.97217k2022-09-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.2536-6.63%8.52-3.62%0.0471✓0.491.9M2022-09-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7465.3608-6.70%5.682-1.11%0.0852✗0.869.1M2022-09-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.465-6.79%4.68-2.30%0.0638✓0.531.1M2022-09-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062110.057855-6.85%0.0611-1.63%0.0883✗1.072.0M2022-09-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.134572-6.87%0.1275-11.76%0.0217✓1.02130k2022-09-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1413.1482-7.01%12.57-11.10%0.0102✓1.10909k2022-09-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.490944-7.02%0.444-15.91%0.0675✓1.0576k2022-09-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.615.2161-7.02%5.08-9.45%0.0121✓0.452.0M2022-09-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.616261-7.05%0.589-11.16%0.0180✓0.86228k2022-09-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.67230.624748-7.07%0.6408-4.69%0.0692✓1.39226k2022-09-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0303140.02816-7.11%0.02996-1.17%0.0660✓0.13280k2022-09-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35130.326326-7.11%0.2956-15.86%0.0650✓1.07116k2022-09-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30410.282314-7.16%0.2602-14.44%0.0478✓1.07107k2022-09-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001560.001448-7.21%0.001435-8.01%0.0132✓0.709,0932022-09-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.21790.201972-7.31%0.2353+7.99%0.1792✗0.843.1M2022-09-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50540.468354-7.33%0.4164-17.61%0.0938✓0.75544k2022-09-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5221.4098-7.37%1.257-17.41%0.0777✓1.1870k2022-09-30
STXStacksnative0.3650.337904-7.42%0.3244-11.12%0.0042✓1.16384k2022-09-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.151.9899-7.44%1.82-15.35%0.0532✓1.14217k2022-09-30
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83270.770294-7.49%0.7579-8.98%0.0165✓1.041.7M2022-09-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.910.84163-7.51%0.865-4.95%0.0391✓0.374.0M2022-09-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4390.405895-7.54%0.3611-17.74%0.0805✓1.15100k2022-09-30
FLOWFlownative2.0721.9131-7.67%1.686-18.63%0.0838✓1.351.3M2022-09-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.62946.112-7.80%5.6941-14.11%0.0637✓0.235.4M2022-09-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00511.9457-8.14%17.233+32.51%0.3829✗0.529.7M2022-09-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90230.827444-8.30%0.8477-6.05%0.0700✓1.45167k2022-09-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.081490.074706-8.33%0.07392-9.29%0.0090✓0.05451k2022-09-30
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.82764.3968-8.92%5.85+21.18%0.3171✗1.00150k2022-09-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.86117.0905-9.80%6.6182-15.81%0.0577✓0.367.0M2022-09-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.000221560.00019924-10.07%0.00030441+37.39%0.4473✗0.74429k2022-09-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.25e-78.09e-7-12.57%5.44e-7-41.20%0.3706✓0.831.3M2022-09-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.