8=======>

2022-08-29 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1375
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.2%
in alpha space · 82.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.07745.337-12.18%6.8966+13.48%0.2685✗0.275.2M2022-09-28
XECeCashnative0.000049930.000043917-12.04%0.0000413-17.28%0.0232✓0.871.7M2022-09-28
FLOWFlownative1.9191.7047-11.17%1.639-14.59%0.0208✓1.361.3M2022-09-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.21590.192056-11.04%0.2407+11.49%0.2619✗0.823.1M2022-09-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2033.7448-10.90%3.749-10.80%0.0449✓0.99245k2022-09-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.65e-77.73e-7-10.65%5.90e-7-31.81%0.2318✓0.87930k2022-09-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2215.4104-10.51%14.88-13.59%0.0032✓0.72921k2022-09-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77785.1777-10.39%5.7785+0.01%0.1190✗0.215.2M2022-09-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.473.1133-10.28%2.45-29.39%0.1723✓1.533.8M2022-09-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0155.3979-10.26%5.856-2.64%0.1199✗0.879.9M2022-09-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4951.3469-9.90%1.361-8.96%0.0627✓1.19128k2022-09-28
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.0599-9.72%0.908-22.66%0.0778✓1.743.3M2022-09-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9460.854106-9.71%0.857-9.41%0.0227✓0.444.2M2022-09-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.4591-9.65%1.284-20.50%0.0749✓1.2085k2022-09-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5530.499935-9.60%0.453-18.08%0.0515✓1.0777k2022-09-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.2028-9.56%1.14-14.29%0.0113✓0.96142k2022-09-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07990.978107-9.43%0.9397-12.98%0.0267✓1.514.5M2022-09-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5230.474774-9.22%0.4167-20.33%0.0943✓0.82586k2022-09-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2762.9773-9.12%2.971-9.31%0.0214✓0.53650k2022-09-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.066510.060505-9.03%0.06091-8.42%0.0556✓1.112.1M2022-09-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum3531.848-9.01%16.32-53.37%0.6383✓0.691.5M2022-09-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78240.712093-8.99%0.8512+8.79%0.2428✗1.46161k2022-09-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,081.728,271.14-8.93%8,208.22-9.62%0.0527✓1.376.5M2022-09-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05250.047879-8.80%0.0402-23.43%0.1305✓1.00248k2022-09-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10320.09413-8.79%0.0818-20.74%0.1066✓0.77235k2022-09-28
DIADIAEthereum0.38550.351872-8.72%0.37714-2.17%0.1124✗0.9845k2022-09-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.77711.6655-8.70%18.227+42.65%0.4685✗0.507.6M2022-09-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.314.8485-8.69%5.09-4.14%0.0682✓0.452.3M2022-09-28
COMPCompoundEthereum48.5744.3868-8.61%61.83+27.30%0.3865✗1.2511k2022-09-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6826.1167-8.46%6.046-9.52%0.0282✓0.905.0M2022-09-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.295.7597-8.43%6-4.61%0.0612✓0.462.1M2022-09-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33670.308617-8.34%0.2942-12.62%0.0037✓1.17146k2022-09-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.151.971-8.32%1.77-17.67%0.0535✓1.23238k2022-09-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004070.003732-8.32%0.00347-14.74%0.0288✓1.00158k2022-09-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.5530.8186-8.14%27.63-17.65%0.0432✓1.5013.5M2022-09-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2766.6839-8.14%6.389-12.19%0.0012✓1.0512.5M2022-09-28
STXStacksnative0.37010.34006-8.12%0.3247-12.27%0.0053✓1.17398k2022-09-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008530.007838-8.12%0.00704-17.47%0.0580✓1.12477k2022-09-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42380.38952-8.09%0.3496-17.51%0.0570✓1.1689k2022-09-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.88113.5676-8.08%4.0247+3.70%0.1473✗0.613.3M2022-09-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084290.077498-8.06%0.07407-12.12%0.0434✓0.04535k2022-09-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.26281.161-8.06%1.1856-6.11%0.0609✓0.911.4M2022-09-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014010.001289-8.03%0.001026-26.79%0.1927✓0.802.1M2022-09-28
PROPropyEthereum0.740.680964-7.98%0.64-13.51%0.0474✓0.3384k2022-09-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.611.6002-7.94%15.88+26.03%0.3618✗1.081.9M2022-09-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.385.8757-7.91%6.53+2.35%0.1255✗0.451.7M2022-09-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0209940.019335-7.90%0.019339-7.88%0.0362✓0.8213k2022-09-28
METISMetisEthereum32.4929.926-7.89%24.14-25.70%0.1311✓1.90288k2022-09-28
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.684.311-7.88%5.4772+17.03%0.2835✗1.00150k2022-09-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36640.337516-7.88%0.3014-17.74%0.0653✓1.09155k2022-09-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023360.021537-7.81%0.01892-19.01%0.0936✓0.82419k2022-09-28
KSMKusamaHydration50.1246.2491-7.72%44.04-12.13%0.0050✓1.00560k2022-09-28
MOVRMoonriverBase12.660211.6925-7.64%10.6211-16.11%0.0533✓0.9733k2022-09-28
QNTQuantEthereum101.1693.4554-7.62%136.04+34.48%0.4133✗0.863.4M2022-09-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.645057-7.58%0.594-14.90%0.0436✓0.88234k2022-09-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.467.8283-7.47%8.39-0.83%0.0908✗0.492.0M2022-09-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.18232.9459-7.43%2.8623-10.05%0.0161✓1.0226k2022-09-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86930.804826-7.42%0.744-14.41%0.0313✓1.071.8M2022-09-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6720.622603-7.35%0.586-12.80%0.0190✓0.94217k2022-09-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1773.8703-7.34%3.863-7.52%0.0156✓0.401.9M2022-09-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2830.262257-7.33%0.247-12.72%0.0277✓0.73686k2022-09-28
HIVEHivenative0.54610.506097-7.33%0.4862-10.97%0.0019✓0.871.3M2022-09-28
ZENHorizenBase16.4415.2359-7.32%13.98-14.96%0.0370✓1.11107k2022-09-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5270.48849-7.31%0.464-11.95%0.0006✓1.1583k2022-09-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.199-7.31%4.78+5.52%0.1518✗0.501.1M2022-09-28
FTTFTXEthereum27.3425.3605-7.24%24.09-11.89%0.0084✓0.987.3M2022-09-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036770.034109-7.24%0.03038-17.38%0.0714✓1.0140k2022-09-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.360850.334739-7.24%0.3548-1.68%0.0990✗0.92339k2022-09-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013170.000122284-7.15%0.00027466+108.55%0.8438✗0.79366k2022-09-28
DODODODOEthereum0.13110.121887-7.03%0.1246-4.96%0.0655✓0.991.7M2022-09-28
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3395.8941-7.02%6.555+3.41%0.1643✗1.329.9M2022-09-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230850.021466-7.01%0.023761+2.93%0.1062✗0.11262k2022-09-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0891.9425-7.01%1.709-18.19%0.0771✓1.1646k2022-09-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32230.299766-6.99%0.2673-17.06%0.0667✓1.09112k2022-09-28
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016360.001522-6.99%0.001552-5.13%0.0624✓0.97484k2022-09-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14470.134615-6.97%0.1396-3.52%0.0816✗1.03535k2022-09-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04910.04568-6.97%0.0389-20.77%0.1168✓1.00814k2022-09-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9551.8201-6.90%1.574-19.49%0.0712✓1.6890k2022-09-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048160.044861-6.85%0.04028-16.36%0.0783✓0.6716k2022-09-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10630.099044-6.83%0.0988-7.06%0.0457✓1.093.4M2022-09-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.06210.990003-6.79%0.967566-8.90%0.0143✓0.8448k2022-09-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1025.6895-6.76%5.376-11.90%0.0377✓0.434.9M2022-09-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4410.411253-6.75%0.395-10.43%0.0048✓1.028,3142022-09-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9870.920596-6.73%0.847-14.18%0.0296✓1.22963k2022-09-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.28364.9282-6.73%4.127-21.89%0.1715✓0.14117k2022-09-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0638280.059564-6.68%0.060552-5.13%0.0628✓1.051.6M2022-09-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9890.922954-6.68%0.919-7.08%0.0509✓1.251.4M2022-09-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8312.9071-6.67%12.49-9.69%0.0171✓1.13959k2022-09-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3318.0424-6.66%17.25-10.76%0.0132✓1.3222.5M2022-09-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.8562.6664-6.64%2.327-18.52%0.0973✓0.88734k2022-09-28
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20190.18853-6.62%0.1572-22.14%0.1377✓1.00133k2022-09-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01510.014102-6.61%0.01054-30.20%0.2608✓0.69165k2022-09-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29810.278477-6.58%0.3495+17.24%0.2672✗0.916.9M2022-09-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.053816-6.57%0.0458-20.49%0.1112✓1.14258k2022-09-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13060.122074-6.53%0.1145-12.33%0.0391✓0.573.7M2022-09-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,551.651,450.58-6.51%1,336.93-13.84%0.0214✓1.36608.4M2022-09-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.795360.743594-6.51%0.70596-11.24%0.0121✓0.90509k2022-09-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03730.034878-6.49%0.0394+5.63%0.1571✗0.8010k2022-09-28
BANDBandEthereum1.2631.1812-6.48%1.218-3.56%0.0836✗1.20471k2022-09-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015290.00143-6.48%0.001413-7.59%0.0190✓0.709,4152022-09-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.6173-6.46%1.609-6.94%0.0367✓0.95604k2022-09-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008334-6.46%0.00663-25.59%0.1948✓0.775.8M2022-09-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032380.00303-6.44%0.002004-38.11%0.3724✓0.931.2M2022-09-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.131.9936-6.41%2.01-5.63%0.0431✓0.79368k2022-09-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.1480.138634-6.33%0.1275-13.85%0.0388✓1.02149k2022-09-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46070.431548-6.33%0.4454-3.32%0.0814✗1.13364k2022-09-28
DASHDashDash47.4644.4835-6.27%41.26-13.06%0.0321✓0.98458k2022-09-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.163091-6.27%0.14439-17.02%0.0755✓1.05363k2022-09-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.259-6.21%6.48-16.28%0.0639✓1.13504k2022-09-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072840.068326-6.20%0.06189-15.03%0.0466✓1.1927k2022-09-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.289.6508-6.12%8.87-13.72%0.0307✓1.22339k2022-09-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.3527-6.07%1.41-2.08%0.0390✓-0.06105k2022-09-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2910.273618-5.97%0.2952+1.44%0.1186✗0.973.2M2022-09-28
KCSKuCoinnative9.18.5575-5.96%9.227+1.40%0.1177✗0.961.5M2022-09-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0137010.012888-5.93%0.012544-8.44%0.0016✓0.651.3M2022-09-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2664.0133-5.92%3.851-9.73%0.0338✓0.172.3M2022-09-28
XMRMoneroMonero152.71143.6826-5.91%147.27-3.56%0.0681✗0.981.3M2022-09-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052850.287419-5.85%0.266964-12.55%0.0260✓1.08560k2022-09-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058740.005531-5.84%0.005054-13.96%0.0600✓0.682,4852022-09-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10450.098462-5.78%0.0983-5.93%0.0368✓0.87196k2022-09-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.43810.7901-5.66%12.988+13.55%0.2357✗1.1410.4M2022-09-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7952.6503-5.63%53.28-4.50%0.0554✓0.9912.8M2022-09-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6840.645526-5.62%0.558-18.42%0.0912✓1.244.6M2022-09-28
ZECZcashZcash63.7560.1763-5.61%55.45-13.02%0.0318✓1.131.9M2022-09-28
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.40e-7-5.57%7.80e-7-12.36%0.0400✓0.792.1M2022-09-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066960.006323-5.57%0.006299-5.93%0.0148✓0.4258k2022-09-28
XEMNEMnative0.0445650.042096-5.54%0.040173-9.86%0.0094✓0.8530k2022-09-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.68130.64359-5.53%0.6707-1.56%0.1037✗1.42226k2022-09-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1891.1232-5.53%1.048-11.86%0.0257✓0.991.8M2022-09-28
SOLSolanaSolana32.4130.619-5.53%33.24+2.56%0.1346✗1.1965.9M2022-09-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1010.09542-5.53%0.0897-11.19%0.0298✓0.732,9872022-09-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.76.3304-5.52%7.79+16.27%0.2545✗1.0718.5M2022-09-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06370.060188-5.51%0.0534-16.17%0.0794✓0.91105k2022-09-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022670.021424-5.49%0.02383+5.12%0.1448✗0.8711.8M2022-09-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.61113.0428-5.49%114.17-4.55%0.0606✗1.154.6M2022-09-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1230.116301-5.45%0.1275+3.66%0.1370✗1.0227k2022-09-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.301060.284687-5.44%0.23749-21.12%0.1353✓1.0412k2022-09-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.84121.7412-5.43%1.7033-7.49%0.0264✓1.1031k2022-09-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025540.024163-5.39%0.02221-13.04%0.0278✓1.283,3752022-09-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1059180.100239-5.36%0.108139+2.10%0.1125✗0.837.0M2022-09-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.058393-5.36%0.0574-6.97%0.0378✓1.25851k2022-09-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9187330.869638-5.34%0.765787-16.65%0.0912✓0.8270k2022-09-28
ADACardanoCardano0.45050.426435-5.34%0.4362-3.17%0.0660✗0.9837.9M2022-09-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04410.041753-5.32%0.0415-5.90%0.0368✓0.97166k2022-09-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.25660.243098-5.26%0.1541-39.95%0.4159✓0.9185k2022-09-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012480.000011834-5.18%0.00001109-11.14%0.0227✓0.96828k2022-09-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70991.6219-5.15%1.1359-33.57%0.3126✓0.991.1M2022-09-28
XTZTezosTezos1.53571.4567-5.14%1.4415-6.13%0.0390✓1.12308k2022-09-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.1640.155685-5.07%0.1368-16.59%0.0812✓1.091,7282022-09-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.19451.4652-5.04%49.86-8.00%0.0011✓0.74322k2022-09-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21020.199618-5.03%0.1934-7.99%0.0133✓1.0260k2022-09-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.7681.679-5.03%1.398-20.93%0.1421✓0.93121k2022-09-28
XVSVenusEthereum5.124.867-4.94%4.86-5.08%0.0367✓0.861.6M2022-09-28
AAVEAaveEthereum85.7681.5498-4.91%76.78-10.47%0.0063✓1.516.3M2022-09-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.37e-7-4.83%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0228✓0.8116k2022-09-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96560.919008-4.83%0.9053-6.24%0.0085✓0.533.6M2022-09-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.34760.330923-4.80%0.3019-13.15%0.0482✓0.9947k2022-09-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08430.080434-4.59%0.0852+1.07%0.1001✗0.9614k2022-09-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0444460.042434-4.53%0.036375-18.16%0.1314✓0.5228k2022-09-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037920.036207-4.52%0.03471-8.47%0.0068✓0.802,7072022-09-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.006490.0062-4.47%0.00481-25.89%0.2261✓0.631.1M2022-09-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.249855-4.45%0.1182-54.80%0.7481✓0.0191k2022-09-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.335860.32102-4.42%0.4236+26.12%0.3173✗0.91366k2022-09-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34990.335022-4.25%0.3165-9.55%0.0010✓1.27176k2022-09-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139560.133684-4.21%0.12406-11.11%0.0204✓1.23210k2022-09-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.10211.0573-4.07%1.0731-2.63%0.0700✗1.25973k2022-09-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22190.212889-4.06%0.1721-22.44%0.1554✓1.30133k2022-09-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14532.0586-4.04%1.7586-18.03%0.1048✓1.2013k2022-09-28
STEEMSteemnative0.22570.216654-4.01%0.2194-2.79%0.0524✗0.90501k2022-09-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.24840.238502-3.98%0.2644+6.44%0.1453✗0.9679k2022-09-28
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9834.7862-3.95%5.375+7.87%0.1756✗1.358.8M2022-09-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.875420.843136-3.69%0.78271-10.59%0.0310✓0.9815k2022-09-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.088998-3.68%0.105+13.64%0.2079✗0.97404k2022-09-28
TRXTRONTron0.0634370.061129-3.64%0.059562-6.11%0.0007✓0.60129k2022-09-28
GTGateEthereum4.3974.2456-3.44%4.2574-3.17%0.0366✗0.77765k2022-09-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,286.9719,593.32-3.42%19,412.07-4.31%0.0348✗1.00485.5M2022-09-28
XVGVergenative0.003010.002908-3.39%0.00332+10.30%0.1776✗1.02498k2022-09-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.554010.535495-3.34%0.45604-17.68%0.1033✓1.3039k2022-09-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.058694-3.14%0.0521-14.03%0.0775✓0.9598k2022-09-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.158390.153634-3.00%0.16792+6.02%0.1788✗2.046362022-09-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,303.8019,694.93-3.00%19,450.40-4.20%0.0290✓0.9413k2022-09-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5250.509381-2.97%0.364-30.67%0.2806✓1.262,6092022-09-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.242.1735-2.97%2.43+8.48%0.1336✗0.5097k2022-09-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17250.167551-2.87%0.1496-13.28%0.0519✓1.392,2552022-09-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.035464-2.84%0.0335-8.22%0.0155✓0.9486k2022-09-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067420.065586-2.72%0.06144-8.87%0.0297✓0.819142022-09-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.