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2022-08-14 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0260
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-19.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.7%
in alpha space · 84.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.441.2776-11.28%1.182-17.92%0.2802✗1.923.7M2022-09-13
FLOWFlownative2.8322.5423-10.23%1.864-34.18%0.0723✓1.27754k2022-09-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9443.5595-9.75%4.212+6.80%0.3297✗0.86124k2022-09-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.2419.2034-9.59%16.8-20.90%0.0039✓0.702.2M2022-09-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.092810.084059-9.43%0.05951-35.88%0.1182✓1.222.2M2022-09-13
FISStafiEthereum0.49050.445098-9.26%0.35-28.64%0.0811✓0.851382022-09-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,226.8310,191.12-9.23%9,017.07-19.68%0.1263✗1.336.5M2022-09-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38921.2629-9.09%1.0525-24.24%0.0846✓1.436.4M2022-09-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.26e-73.88e-7-8.83%6.96e-7+63.55%0.7120✗0.68150k2022-09-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016880.000015405-8.74%0.00001209-28.38%0.0629✓0.96679k2022-09-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014320.001308-8.60%0.001236-13.64%0.1036✗0.861.5M2022-09-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.5738.0217-8.54%35.29-15.11%0.1837✗1.3816.5M2022-09-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021020.001927-8.34%0.001519-27.74%0.0510✓1.001.0M2022-09-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12750.116883-8.33%0.1104-13.41%0.1075✗0.88220k2022-09-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.18110.16607-8.30%0.1934+6.79%0.3123✗0.861.1M2022-09-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.69323.389-8.24%6.58+78.17%0.7482✗0.451.9M2022-09-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.53783.2495-8.15%7.2349+104.50%0.8619✗0.331.6M2022-09-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.1925.9183-8.06%18.87-33.06%0.0602✓1.3830.5M2022-09-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8213.5186-7.91%2.719-28.84%0.0390✓1.595.3M2022-09-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.28540.263407-7.71%0.1898-33.50%0.1410✓1.00108k2022-09-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.2357.608-7.61%5.871-28.71%0.0981✓0.868.3M2022-09-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0670.061962-7.52%0.0441-34.18%0.1362✓1.09877k2022-09-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.2736.3208-7.51%15.2-61.29%0.6637✓1.111.7M2022-09-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.45881.3499-7.47%1.2429-14.80%0.1041✗1.001.0M2022-09-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51990.481116-7.46%0.3105-40.28%0.1901✓1.33213k2022-09-13
QNTQuantEthereum118.61109.8458-7.39%97.87-17.49%0.0467✓0.873.8M2022-09-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.41180.381645-7.32%0.298-27.63%0.0411✓1.10100k2022-09-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.4832-7.20%14.53+0.00%0.3043✗1.232.6M2022-09-13
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00190.93022-7.15%0.8463-15.53%0.2013✗1.58296k2022-09-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,935.851,805.58-6.73%1,574.71-18.66%0.1106✗1.32522.8M2022-09-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.425.0569-6.70%5.72+5.54%0.1735✗0.272.0M2022-09-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8390.783573-6.61%0.595-29.08%0.1012✓0.93370k2022-09-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.269.5903-6.53%6.97-32.07%0.1111✓1.11638k2022-09-13
METISMetisEthereum43.2640.4644-6.46%27.9-35.51%0.0074✓1.95385k2022-09-13
COMPCompoundEthereum63.0459.0027-6.40%55.83-11.44%0.1831✗1.2835k2022-09-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.003926-6.30%0.002827-32.53%0.1785✓0.801.0M2022-09-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.0017.4973-6.29%6.4-20.01%0.0327✓1.025.5M2022-09-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16410.154053-6.12%0.1243-24.25%0.0894✓0.674.4M2022-09-13
HIVEHivenative0.62130.584284-5.96%0.5504-11.41%0.1249✗0.992.4M2022-09-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3545.9763-5.95%6.134-3.46%0.0453✓0.103.5M2022-09-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.7596-5.89%6.12+0.00%0.1247✗0.341.4M2022-09-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.07030.066172-5.87%0.0479-31.86%0.1230✓1.07225k2022-09-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.552.4003-5.87%2.32-9.02%0.1398✗0.93636k2022-09-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2071.1364-5.85%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-13
MOVRMoonriverBase16.201915.2611-5.81%11.9339-26.34%0.0613✓0.9959k2022-09-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048790.045973-5.77%0.03367-30.99%0.1212✓1.0220k2022-09-13
AAVEAaveEthereum107.44101.2753-5.74%82.97-22.78%0.0924✗1.567.1M2022-09-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.8881-5.62%2.03-33.66%0.1146✓1.27244k2022-09-13
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8828.3849-5.60%6.034-32.06%0.0836✓1.3110.0M2022-09-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008650.00817-5.55%0.00796-7.98%0.1833✗1.12463k2022-09-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.376550.355691-5.54%0.42001+11.54%0.3303✗0.88439k2022-09-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7530.711394-5.53%0.449-40.37%0.2299✓1.232,7912022-09-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.660922-5.45%0.493-29.47%0.0683✓1.20115k2022-09-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9325.6122-5.39%12.092+103.84%0.8073✗0.211.1M2022-09-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13930.131792-5.39%0.1082-22.33%0.0110✓1.123.9M2022-09-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.778.2986-5.38%7.025-19.90%0.0403✓1.1119.3M2022-09-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.58810.9673-5.36%13.897+19.93%0.4550✗1.1713.2M2022-09-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08830.083585-5.34%0.0679-23.10%0.0033✓1.1329k2022-09-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.064.7908-5.32%4.5-11.07%0.0118✓0.401.3M2022-09-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.978.4939-5.31%8.75-2.45%0.0510✓0.111.8M2022-09-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0080.955481-5.21%0.913-9.42%0.1816✗1.221.3M2022-09-13
SOLSolanaSolana44.8942.5678-5.17%33.01-26.46%0.0280✓1.2178.8M2022-09-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.19063.9787-5.06%3.0233-27.86%0.0877✓1.0053k2022-09-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.8111.2143-5.04%9.73-17.61%0.0710✗1.14305k2022-09-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08090.076831-5.03%0.059-27.07%0.0502✓1.151.4M2022-09-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9391.8426-4.97%1.455-24.96%0.0218✓1.15203k2022-09-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9558.5164-4.90%7.07-21.05%0.0128✓1.0713.7M2022-09-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.6652-4.85%1.3-25.71%0.0530✓1.04190k2022-09-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029260.027853-4.81%0.02043-30.18%0.1230✓1.0014.3M2022-09-13
FTTFTXEthereum30.8429.3714-4.76%25.89-16.05%0.0482✓0.939.8M2022-09-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9810.93453-4.74%0.6606-32.66%0.0746✓1.46407k2022-09-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07351.023-4.71%0.73147-31.86%0.1492✓1.00574k2022-09-13
DIADIAEthereum0.492650.469747-4.65%0.38116-22.63%0.1213✓0.4770k2022-09-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8870.845827-4.64%0.61-31.23%0.1475✓0.96280k2022-09-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156770.014962-4.56%0.012152-22.49%0.0872✓0.652.1M2022-09-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8082.6804-4.54%1.785-36.43%0.0799✓1.75144k2022-09-13
ADACardanoCardano0.57010.544219-4.54%0.4637-18.66%0.0377✓1.0642.0M2022-09-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5617.7201-4.53%13.18-28.99%0.0739✓1.191.6M2022-09-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.4463.2905-4.51%2.618-24.03%0.0669✓0.87640k2022-09-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.175.8941-4.47%6.47+4.86%0.1563✗0.341.0M2022-09-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.08170.078055-4.46%0.059635-27.01%0.0772✓1.031.8M2022-09-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.3872.2825-4.38%1.68-29.62%0.1248✓0.97607k2022-09-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8740.835819-4.37%0.622-28.83%0.0221✓1.464.4M2022-09-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.0391.9509-4.32%1.553-23.84%0.0418✓1.00189k2022-09-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.07650.073214-4.29%0.0496-35.16%0.1617✓1.22350k2022-09-13
KSMKusamaHydration58.8756.3495-4.28%46.38-21.22%0.0009✓1.04524k2022-09-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.16083.026-4.27%4.1321+30.73%0.4062✗0.511.3M2022-09-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.163752-4.24%0.1253-26.73%0.0794✓1.012.6M2022-09-13
ZENHorizenBase20.1419.2977-4.18%14.84-26.32%0.0417✓1.18124k2022-09-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5340.511735-4.17%0.434-18.73%0.0229✓1.0014k2022-09-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1872.0963-4.15%1.41-35.53%0.1833✓1.14169k2022-09-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1543.9824-4.13%4.082-1.73%0.0861✗0.331.7M2022-09-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3411.2857-4.13%0.8796-34.41%0.1493✓1.231.1M2022-09-13
XMRMoneroMonero168.04161.1842-4.08%145.44-13.45%0.0830✗0.991.2M2022-09-13
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3686.1151-3.97%5.136-19.35%0.0787✗1.3612.8M2022-09-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1023.9396-3.96%4.142+0.98%0.0947✗0.242.2M2022-09-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7732.6637-3.94%2.022-27.08%0.0560✓1.1862k2022-09-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100140.000096227-3.91%0.00035806+257.56%1.5043✗1.02336k2022-09-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47930.460967-3.82%0.4008-16.38%0.1074✗1.32242k2022-09-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.1760.7695-3.80%59.1-6.44%0.1678✗1.0513.6M2022-09-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34670.333543-3.80%0.2679-22.73%0.0285✓1.023.6M2022-09-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.673633-3.77%0.52-25.71%0.0176✓1.29137k2022-09-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18420.177268-3.76%0.1444-21.61%0.0006✓1.10586k2022-09-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004990.004802-3.76%0.00381-23.65%0.0333✓1.06145k2022-09-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017920.001725-3.76%0.001531-14.56%0.0224✓0.769,0932022-09-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48370.466185-3.62%0.3308-31.61%0.1320✓1.13190k2022-09-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3741170.360649-3.60%0.289387-22.65%0.0187✓1.08916k2022-09-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198460.019134-3.59%0.024692+24.42%0.2875✗0.17230k2022-09-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7321.6703-3.56%1.244-28.18%0.0469✓1.33460k2022-09-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8653.7288-3.52%3.055-20.96%0.0679✓0.701.1M2022-09-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0255820.024683-3.52%0.020191-21.07%0.0431✓0.8413k2022-09-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60940.588143-3.49%0.4865-20.17%0.0475✓0.76784k2022-09-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12121.0822-3.48%1.0223-8.82%0.0705✗0.683.9M2022-09-13
DASHDashDash55.0853.1653-3.48%43.77-20.53%0.0112✓0.98574k2022-09-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12840.123955-3.46%0.1076-16.20%0.0286✓0.91328k2022-09-13
ZECZcashZcash73.7171.1875-3.42%58.92-20.07%0.0259✓1.152.3M2022-09-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.45134.6807-3.42%117.6-15.67%0.0735✗1.125.1M2022-09-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025730.024864-3.37%0.02007-22.00%0.0550✓0.85209k2022-09-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085720.082899-3.29%0.06913-19.35%0.1375✓0.241.1M2022-09-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.29960.289764-3.28%0.2103-29.81%0.1181✓1.08189k2022-09-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.4316-3.27%1.1703-20.93%0.0405✗1.301.2M2022-09-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36420.35234-3.26%0.2966-18.56%0.0085✓0.978.3M2022-09-13
STEEMSteemnative0.27230.263489-3.24%0.2161-20.64%0.0251✓0.93551k2022-09-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.31222.2377-3.22%1.7866-22.73%0.0242✓1.0838k2022-09-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.53440.517247-3.21%0.4014-24.89%0.0418✓1.1359k2022-09-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,209.7023,444.07-3.16%20,237.10-16.41%0.0337✗0.977,5932022-09-13
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000044684-3.16%0.00004395-4.75%0.1520✗0.902.1M2022-09-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1256460.121777-3.08%0.104654-16.71%0.0177✓0.917.2M2022-09-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4006-3.07%1.152-20.28%0.0058✓1.022.6M2022-09-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010370.010059-3.00%0.00851-17.94%0.0111✓0.845.6M2022-09-13
STXStacksnative0.49170.477169-2.96%0.3497-28.88%0.0996✓1.13808k2022-09-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25550.248109-2.89%0.199-22.11%0.0314✗1.35132k2022-09-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11660.113268-2.86%0.0924-20.75%0.0088✓1.04499k2022-09-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.64610.342-2.86%9.254-13.08%0.0712✗0.982.0M2022-09-13
XEMNEMnative0.0538060.052328-2.75%0.042163-21.64%0.0416✓0.9343k2022-09-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64811.6047-2.63%1.9586+18.84%0.4359✗1.27540k2022-09-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.0772.9966-2.61%2.0329-33.93%0.1382✓1.3413k2022-09-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.096931-2.58%0.0848-14.77%0.0594✗1.039,7202022-09-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.09621.0679-2.58%0.8066-26.42%0.0533✓1.222.3M2022-09-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.20581.1761-2.47%0.82473-31.60%0.1741✓0.9712k2022-09-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.710150.692858-2.44%0.50798-28.47%0.0614✓1.3349k2022-09-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.86e-7-2.38%8.60e-7-14.85%0.0083✓0.785.7M2022-09-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.426.2758-2.25%4.66-27.41%0.1002✓1.061.4M2022-09-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14770.144474-2.18%0.1963+32.90%0.5105✗1.0946k2022-09-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26930.263427-2.18%0.2085-22.58%0.0467✓1.0091k2022-09-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032290.031596-2.15%0.02317-28.24%0.0685✓1.292,9912022-09-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.367520.359667-2.14%0.26692-27.37%0.0947✓1.0913k2022-09-13
XTZTezosTezos1.82261.7839-2.12%1.5348-15.79%0.0611✗1.13467k2022-09-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.39161.0799-2.10%51.566-17.35%0.0332✓0.73354k2022-09-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3270.320363-2.03%0.263-19.57%0.0462✓0.811.1M2022-09-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.22840.223807-2.01%0.1561-31.65%0.1564✓1.091,7402022-09-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049420.048549-1.76%0.03648-26.18%0.1340✓0.812,5822022-09-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.26061.2387-1.73%1.0027-20.45%0.0404✓0.9256k2022-09-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.053163-1.73%0.0452-16.45%0.0228✗0.99237k2022-09-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19170.188491-1.67%0.16738-12.69%0.2985✗2.236712022-09-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.404750.398122-1.64%0.30966-23.49%0.0712✓0.96479k2022-09-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.042115-1.60%0.0361-15.65%0.0353✗1.0176k2022-09-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.17160.169043-1.49%0.1392-18.88%0.0021✓1.03131k2022-09-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.51.479-1.40%1.41-6.00%0.0462✓0.01132k2022-09-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,316.7123,978.65-1.39%20,174.78-17.03%0.0140✓1.00472.7M2022-09-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.221971-1.35%0.16284-27.63%0.0828✓1.22657k2022-09-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.081150.080073-1.33%0.06468-20.30%0.0698✓0.778802022-09-13
GTGateEthereum5.05494.9897-1.29%4.1432-18.04%0.0496✓0.73882k2022-09-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59470.587123-1.27%0.4625-22.23%0.0289✓1.12365k2022-09-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13080.12939-1.08%0.0968-25.99%0.1417✓0.793,9702022-09-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9320.922138-1.06%0.921-1.18%0.0967✗0.524.4M2022-09-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.071374-1.01%0.0572-20.67%0.0655✓0.83119k2022-09-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17730.175525-1.00%0.13476-23.99%0.0252✓1.28243k2022-09-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.444750.441718-0.68%0.32139-27.74%0.1291✓1.01109k2022-09-13
XVGVergenative0.004030.004008-0.56%0.00337-16.38%0.0279✗1.08517k2022-09-13
NANOnanopayBase1.05681.051-0.55%0.846269-19.92%0.0730✓0.7777k2022-09-13
TRXTRONTron0.0703490.070072-0.39%0.060682-13.74%0.0305✓0.61192k2022-09-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21120.210751-0.21%0.165-21.88%0.0212✗1.421,3132022-09-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0564530.056407-0.08%0.03987-29.37%0.2526✓0.5136k2022-09-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055380.055407+0.05%0.04273-22.84%0.1237✗0.7316k2022-09-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04720.047282+0.17%0.0403-14.62%0.0207✓0.9711k2022-09-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006720.006734+0.21%0.006216-7.50%0.0036✓0.4555k2022-09-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.08562+0.26%0.0594-30.44%0.1992✗0.89130k2022-09-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017620.017677+0.32%0.01252-28.94%0.2124✗0.71155k2022-09-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001010.000001016+0.57%8.70e-7-13.86%0.0112✗0.7721k2022-09-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.28680.288447+0.57%0.3444+20.08%0.3504✓0.9370k2022-09-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067130.006752+0.58%0.005899-12.12%0.0007✓0.723,2222022-09-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.983.0054+0.85%1.81-39.26%0.4093✗0.52102k2022-09-13
PROPropyEthereum0.810.817656+0.95%0.71-12.35%0.0639✗0.41105k2022-09-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.265834+1.81%0.1365-47.72%0.6641✗0.0155k2022-09-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.12745.2325+2.05%4.9699-3.07%0.0264✗0.13233k2022-09-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008444+2.35%0.00563-31.76%0.2851✗0.641.6M2022-09-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.