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2022-08-12 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1415
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.16%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.0%
in alpha space · 85.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.6511.5113-8.46%1.402-15.08%0.1395✗1.923.6M2022-09-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.100470.092945-7.49%0.06521-35.10%0.2122✓1.272.0M2022-09-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021910.002036-7.07%0.001558-28.89%0.1558✓1.001.0M2022-09-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.3527.3493-6.82%20.69-29.51%0.1224✓1.4030.7M2022-09-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42311.3267-6.78%1.183-16.87%0.0467✓1.446.7M2022-09-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44490.415097-6.70%0.2929-34.16%0.2230✓1.1295k2022-09-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.153.8774-6.57%2.963-28.60%0.0881✓1.625.3M2022-09-11
FLOWFlownative2.9452.7605-6.26%2.116-28.15%0.1233✓1.27711k2022-09-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.02480.961841-6.14%0.8885-13.30%0.0997✗1.60296k2022-09-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1457.3885-6.14%51.9-15.11%0.0185✓1.06551k2022-09-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.6617.5421-5.99%14.56-21.97%0.0493✓1.231.4M2022-09-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9830.924263-5.98%0.7351-25.22%0.0640✓1.48440k2022-09-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.3947.8967-5.92%7.173-14.55%0.0227✓1.065.5M2022-09-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7920.745273-5.90%0.515-34.97%0.2284✓1.262,9182022-09-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55740.524905-5.83%0.4445-20.25%0.0395✓1.1358k2022-09-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3837.0884-5.82%16.58-57.90%0.6733✓1.181.5M2022-09-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,508.5710,854.71-5.68%10,194.93-11.41%0.0864✗1.336.2M2022-09-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0356.6402-5.61%5.682-19.23%0.0019✓1.3811.9M2022-09-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7410.69991-5.55%0.595-19.70%0.0137✓1.33135k2022-09-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0513.8308-5.44%4.501+11.11%0.2573✗0.86102k2022-09-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032620.03086-5.40%0.02332-28.51%0.1661✓1.0213.8M2022-09-11
AAVEAaveEthereum114.79108.6925-5.31%91.63-20.18%0.0048✓1.577.9M2022-09-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048430.045863-5.30%0.03781-21.93%0.0786✓1.0219k2022-09-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.710.1371-5.26%7.63-28.69%0.1607✓1.10638k2022-09-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44433.2632-5.26%7.1468+107.50%0.8375✗0.481.9M2022-09-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098090.000092989-5.20%0.00043138+339.78%1.6218✗0.78353k2022-09-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.12370.117387-5.10%0.0997-19.40%0.0426✓1.08529k2022-09-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1520.071-5.10%18.93-10.50%0.0213✓0.712.4M2022-09-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3341.2661-5.09%0.9748-26.93%0.1235✓1.231.1M2022-09-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06861.0144-5.08%0.80376-24.78%0.1189✓1.02543k2022-09-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6440.611892-4.99%0.5157-19.92%0.0787✓0.83755k2022-09-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.8277-4.97%4.64-8.66%0.0060✓0.411.3M2022-09-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0341.9349-4.87%1.517-25.42%0.1118✓1.18220k2022-09-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9440.898057-4.87%0.676-28.39%0.1199✓1.474.4M2022-09-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.868.4333-4.82%8.98+1.35%0.0808✗0.161.8M2022-09-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.535.2644-4.80%5.43-1.81%0.0656✗0.312.1M2022-09-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087260.0831-4.77%0.07414-15.04%0.0882✓0.231.1M2022-09-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008920.008498-4.73%0.00844-5.38%0.1192✗1.13463k2022-09-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015090.001438-4.72%0.001367-9.40%0.0469✓0.871.4M2022-09-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.55310.527036-4.71%0.3328-39.83%0.3118✓1.32232k2022-09-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0045230.004311-4.69%0.002904-35.79%0.2982✓0.87994k2022-09-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.0315.2816-4.67%15.7-2.06%0.1621✗1.212.6M2022-09-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07330.069898-4.64%0.0501-31.65%0.2079✓1.12877k2022-09-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.4141.3977-4.64%38.56-11.17%0.0832✗1.3816.2M2022-09-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.253.1004-4.60%2.33-28.31%0.1441✓1.27269k2022-09-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3883630.370687-4.55%0.313787-19.20%0.0435✓1.10916k2022-09-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.392780.374978-4.53%0.45678+16.29%0.2979✗0.90439k2022-09-11
ELAElastosEthereum2.0751.9816-4.50%1.655-20.24%0.0692✓0.99261k2022-09-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3412.237-4.44%1.648-29.60%0.1771✓1.15172k2022-09-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9380.896772-4.40%0.686-26.87%0.1573✓0.99280k2022-09-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.4922-4.34%1.3029-16.48%0.0106✓1.311.2M2022-09-11
HIVEHivenative0.63480.607704-4.27%0.5792-8.76%0.0643✗1.002.4M2022-09-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5946.3142-4.24%6.139-6.90%0.0115✓0.153.5M2022-09-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.30940.296369-4.21%0.2312-25.27%0.1271✓1.08203k2022-09-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426970.409011-4.21%0.33139-22.39%0.0941✓1.04502k2022-09-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0200890.019245-4.20%0.023973+19.33%0.2397✗0.18223k2022-09-11
METISMetisEthereum49.0747.0151-4.19%31.98-34.83%0.1702✓1.92385k2022-09-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1764.0025-4.15%4.354+4.26%0.1128✗0.262.3M2022-09-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5540.531004-4.15%0.513-7.40%0.0769✗1.0015k2022-09-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4849.092-4.13%7.702-18.79%0.0447✓1.0813.2M2022-09-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,959.911,879.16-4.12%1,766.95-9.85%0.0859✗1.32522.8M2022-09-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.880.844059-4.08%0.649-26.25%0.1577✓0.94377k2022-09-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.31093.1772-4.04%7.6094+129.83%0.9124✗0.351.5M2022-09-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.14671.1005-4.03%0.8663-24.45%0.0998✓1.252.3M2022-09-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68511.6179-3.99%2.0077+19.14%0.3581✗1.27540k2022-09-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood32.8806-3.98%1.9-36.67%0.3576✓0.5296k2022-09-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.4368-3.96%1.251-16.38%0.0180✓1.082.6M2022-09-11
DODODODOEthereum0.18090.173901-3.87%0.1333-26.31%0.1497✓1.042.7M2022-09-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.42591.3712-3.84%1.3145-7.81%0.0705✗1.01907k2022-09-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.4916-3.80%2.63+1.54%0.1583✗0.93636k2022-09-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.3338.979-3.79%8.03-13.96%0.0147✓1.1319.3M2022-09-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.06111.6089-3.75%15.699+30.16%0.4380✗1.2214.4M2022-09-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016280.015685-3.65%0.013193-18.96%0.0942✓0.702.1M2022-09-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7518.4317-3.65%6.417-26.67%0.1740✓0.896.2M2022-09-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.15641.1142-3.65%1.0275-11.15%0.0005✓0.723.9M2022-09-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14720.141833-3.65%0.1167-20.72%0.0673✓1.143.8M2022-09-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36560.352345-3.63%0.3264-10.72%0.0330✓0.988.4M2022-09-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8414-3.58%2.202-25.28%0.1202✓1.2059k2022-09-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.174.0211-3.57%3.278-21.39%0.1218✓0.741.3M2022-09-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09190.088669-3.52%0.0645-29.82%0.2251✓0.83127k2022-09-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07270.070153-3.50%0.0611-15.96%0.0479✓0.81128k2022-09-11
SOLSolanaSolana45.543.9297-3.45%35.01-23.05%0.0878✓1.2481.1M2022-09-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17450.168482-3.45%0.1378-21.03%0.1228✓0.704.4M2022-09-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.09160.088462-3.43%0.07546-17.62%0.0342✓1.1229k2022-09-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.726560.701865-3.40%0.55506-23.60%0.0827✓1.3659k2022-09-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.1640.158427-3.40%0.2083+27.01%0.3736✗0.891.1M2022-09-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.20e-73.09e-7-3.36%7.30e-7+128.03%0.9342✗0.68150k2022-09-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.36310.350977-3.34%0.2923-19.50%0.0680✓1.033.6M2022-09-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.70.676722-3.33%0.543-22.43%0.0842✓1.22100k2022-09-11
UNIUniswapEthereum9.218.9037-3.33%6.491-29.52%0.1683✓1.3210.0M2022-09-11
BANDBandEthereum1.8011.7415-3.30%1.369-23.99%0.0909✓1.34432k2022-09-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083310.080571-3.29%0.07307-12.29%0.0116✓0.779772022-09-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1514.0149-3.28%4.405+6.12%0.1307✗0.341.7M2022-09-11
QNTQuantEthereum128.24124.1291-3.21%108.82-15.14%0.0335✓0.884.0M2022-09-11
ZECZcashZcash77.3474.8654-3.20%64.27-16.90%0.0217✓1.172.2M2022-09-11
QTUMQtumQtum4.29254.1558-3.18%3.3066-22.97%0.1155✓1.0153k2022-09-11
DIADIAEthereum0.482460.467242-3.15%0.40526-16.00%0.0859✓0.5070k2022-09-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.182990.177255-3.13%0.14382-21.41%0.0615✓1.32236k2022-09-11
XECeCashnative0.000047840.000046348-3.12%0.00004562-4.64%0.0794✗0.852.0M2022-09-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1270.123045-3.11%0.1254-1.26%0.1138✗0.85209k2022-09-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1960.190038-3.04%0.1545-21.17%0.0843✓1.10570k2022-09-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4760.461552-3.04%0.3619-23.97%0.1136✓1.16174k2022-09-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13040.12664-2.88%0.1156-11.35%0.0053✓0.86350k2022-09-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash143.1139.0062-2.86%130.35-8.91%0.0614✗1.125.1M2022-09-11
DASHDashDash56.1654.5602-2.85%48.35-13.91%0.0099✓0.99544k2022-09-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.666.4705-2.85%5.1-23.42%0.1164✓1.091.4M2022-09-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.24340.236502-2.83%0.168-30.98%0.2186✓1.101,7402022-09-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,415.1823,725.50-2.82%21,831.72-10.58%0.0287✓1.00472.7M2022-09-11
ADACardanoCardano0.54070.525433-2.82%0.5101-5.66%0.0921✗1.0942.0M2022-09-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47640.462996-2.81%0.4255-10.68%0.0657✗1.34242k2022-09-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9420.915585-2.80%0.974+3.40%0.1955✗1.201.1M2022-09-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.23543.1457-2.77%2.3057-28.74%0.1625✓1.3313k2022-09-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.412.0578-2.76%11.23-9.44%0.0577✗1.15313k2022-09-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.466350.453746-2.70%0.35169-24.59%0.1397✓1.03107k2022-09-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.53661.8363-2.68%54.454-14.29%0.0464✓0.72344k2022-09-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.07390.071923-2.67%0.0508-31.26%0.2115✓1.22367k2022-09-11
COMPCompoundEthereum65.1263.3905-2.66%55.25-15.16%0.0060✓1.2838k2022-09-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08270.080508-2.65%0.0662-19.95%0.0694✓1.131.4M2022-09-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.135.9701-2.61%6.73+9.79%0.1591✗0.351.0M2022-09-11
FTTFTXEthereum31.2230.4134-2.58%27.89-10.67%0.0170✓0.9310.8M2022-09-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.326.1582-2.56%6.57+3.96%0.1043✗0.351.2M2022-09-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198510.19345-2.55%0.17414-12.28%0.1446✗2.238742022-09-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9642.8885-2.55%1.99-32.86%0.1772✓1.75143k2022-09-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017060.001663-2.53%0.001636-4.10%0.0727✗0.809,0932022-09-11
MOVRMoonriverBase17.124116.6936-2.51%12.8866-24.75%0.1437✓1.0359k2022-09-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.91.8523-2.51%1.46-23.16%0.1207✓1.05190k2022-09-11
ZENHorizenBase21.3520.8211-2.48%16.47-22.86%0.1012✓1.19118k2022-09-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0660.064372-2.47%0.052-21.21%0.0910✓1.09207k2022-09-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39812.3395-2.45%1.9241-19.77%0.0743✓1.0838k2022-09-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.01682.9447-2.39%4.6789+55.09%0.5236✗0.541.3M2022-09-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04450.043447-2.37%0.0393-11.69%0.0163✓1.0476k2022-09-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2360.230608-2.28%0.17789-24.62%0.1222✓1.23657k2022-09-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026640.026033-2.28%0.0213-20.05%0.1105✓0.81186k2022-09-11
SCSiacoinnative0.005110.004995-2.25%0.00419-18.00%0.0525✓1.10112k2022-09-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1040.101738-2.17%0.0941-9.52%0.0355✗1.019,1182022-09-11
UMAUMAEthereum3.2233.153-2.17%2.782-13.68%0.0285✓0.86587k2022-09-11
STXStacksnative0.50990.498837-2.17%0.3903-23.46%0.1150✓1.17808k2022-09-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1264130.123681-2.16%0.114387-9.51%0.0244✗0.927.2M2022-09-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010390.010168-2.13%0.00944-9.14%0.0078✓0.735.5M2022-09-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8754.7713-2.13%12.594+158.34%0.9980✗0.251.1M2022-09-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3290.322014-2.12%0.285-13.37%0.0271✓0.851.1M2022-09-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033630.032927-2.09%0.0255-24.17%0.1108✓1.292,7512022-09-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.30240.296206-2.05%0.2106-30.36%0.2293✓1.00108k2022-09-11
STEEMSteemnative0.27770.272058-2.03%0.235-15.38%0.0458✓0.90629k2022-09-11
XEMNEMnative0.0556990.054571-2.03%0.046785-16.00%0.0414✓1.0144k2022-09-11
XMRMoneroMonero166.92163.5602-2.01%159.22-4.61%0.0875✗1.021.1M2022-09-11
XTZTezosTezos1.92491.8876-1.94%1.6855-12.44%0.0142✓1.14467k2022-09-11
NANOnanopayBase1.10831.0868-1.93%0.927788-16.28%0.0704✓0.7963k2022-09-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22240.218121-1.92%0.183-17.72%0.0163✓1.421,3132022-09-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0130.993535-1.92%1.024+1.09%0.0915✗0.554.2M2022-09-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05690.055832-1.88%0.0497-12.65%0.0012✓1.03254k2022-09-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.017481-1.85%0.01293-27.40%0.2224✓0.71159k2022-09-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.9561.8164-1.80%62.18-1.22%0.1234✗1.0513.7M2022-09-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.17520.1723-1.65%0.1518-13.36%0.0113✓1.03131k2022-09-11
TRXTRONTron0.0704870.069391-1.56%0.06419-8.93%0.0102✓0.61182k2022-09-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001270.000012513-1.47%0.00001299+2.28%0.1473✗0.98744k2022-09-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.591.5667-1.47%1.42-10.69%0.0938✓0.04143k2022-09-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.370960.365586-1.45%0.29146-21.43%0.1045✓1.0913k2022-09-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.23181.214-1.44%0.8518-30.85%0.2460✓0.9714k2022-09-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.8023,815.49-1.40%21,663.60-10.31%0.0134✓0.9711k2022-09-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0723220.071353-1.34%0.063703-11.92%0.0021✓1.031.7M2022-09-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008380.008271-1.30%0.00661-21.12%0.1519✓0.651.6M2022-09-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15350.151542-1.28%0.2611+70.10%0.6651✗1.0850k2022-09-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1390.137299-1.22%0.1027-26.12%0.1930✓0.874,5542022-09-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0564110.055727-1.21%0.042322-24.98%0.2173✓0.5233k2022-09-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22931.2149-1.17%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.04962-1.16%0.0372-25.90%0.1795✓0.9711k2022-09-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053960.053351-1.13%0.04664-13.57%0.0507✓0.7516k2022-09-11
XVGVergenative0.003920.003876-1.12%0.00381-2.81%0.1071✗1.11534k2022-09-11
GTGateEthereum5.0444.995-0.97%4.3301-14.15%0.0627✓0.72911k2022-09-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068320.006767-0.96%0.006309-7.66%0.0142✓0.5053k2022-09-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27870.276037-0.96%0.2303-17.37%0.0683✓1.0191k2022-09-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.65410.5552-0.93%9.755-8.44%0.0331✗1.002.0M2022-09-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.4262.4039-0.91%1.838-24.24%0.1590✓0.98588k2022-09-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001030.000001021-0.83%9.10e-7-11.65%0.0286✓0.785.9M2022-09-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.29560.293196-0.81%0.3308+11.91%0.2272✗0.9570k2022-09-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0254660.025341-0.49%0.021887-14.05%0.0530✓0.8413k2022-09-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25370.252486-0.48%0.2141-15.61%0.0114✓1.37116k2022-09-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001030.000001026-0.39%9.10e-7-11.65%0.0337✓0.7721k2022-09-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049530.049507-0.05%0.0396-20.05%0.1310✓0.822,5822022-09-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.28781.2875-0.03%1.0863-15.65%0.0653✓0.9456k2022-09-11
PROPropyEthereum0.830.829925-0.01%0.72-13.25%0.0920✓0.4591k2022-09-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60740.60746+0.01%0.512-15.71%0.0448✗1.13332k2022-09-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.261923+0.20%0.127-51.42%0.7224✗0.0144k2022-09-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.79724.8071+0.21%5.0627+5.53%0.0664✓0.13307k2022-09-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068930.006951+0.84%0.006537-5.17%0.0195✓0.723,4592022-09-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.