8=======>

2022-08-11 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0835
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.34%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.6%
in alpha space · 82.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.70784.9666+5.50%4.9455+5.05%0.0084✓0.13367k2022-09-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008497+1.89%0.00593-28.90%0.2944✗0.651.6M2022-09-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.26341+0.81%0.1307-49.98%0.6995✗0.0144k2022-09-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066180.006663+0.68%0.0063-4.79%0.0157✓0.713,4592022-09-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006728+0.44%0.006228-7.02%0.0270✗0.5053k2022-09-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.932.9405+0.36%1.89-35.49%0.3898✗0.52102k2022-09-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053440.053629+0.35%0.04614-13.66%0.0740✗0.7617k2022-09-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001020.000001022+0.16%9.10e-7-10.78%0.0381✗0.7722k2022-09-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59370.593237-0.08%0.5059-14.79%0.0459✓1.13332k2022-09-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017870.017841-0.16%0.01306-26.92%0.2413✓0.70167k2022-09-10
TRXTRONTron0.0703710.070138-0.33%0.064586-8.22%0.0223✓0.60186k2022-09-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0571690.056927-0.42%0.042535-25.60%0.2394✓0.5230k2022-09-10
PROPropyEthereum0.850.84607-0.46%0.73-14.12%0.1038✓0.4491k2022-09-10
GTGateEthereum4.93724.9144-0.46%4.324-12.42%0.0564✓0.71911k2022-09-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.27e-73.25e-7-0.50%6.85e-7+109.73%0.8116✗0.66153k2022-09-10
XVGVergenative0.003930.00391-0.50%0.00322-18.07%0.0824✓1.11534k2022-09-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.17010.168919-0.69%0.1491-12.35%0.0171✓1.07124k2022-09-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,944.8623,761.34-0.77%21,651.52-9.58%0.0077✗1.00482.6M2022-09-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.46050.456904-0.78%0.35407-23.11%0.1500✓1.04118k2022-09-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0708820.070287-0.84%0.064731-8.68%0.0213✗1.031.7M2022-09-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083320.0826-0.86%0.06911-17.05%0.1004✓0.779772022-09-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04880.04829-1.04%0.0379-22.34%0.1447✓0.9711k2022-09-10
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9930.981934-1.11%1.028+3.52%0.1006✗0.544.2M2022-09-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.178090.176078-1.13%0.14372-19.30%0.0710✓1.31236k2022-09-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22260.219848-1.24%0.1861-16.40%0.0225✓1.431,3132022-09-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.25911.243-1.28%1.0696-15.05%0.0555✓0.9452k2022-09-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09160.090411-1.30%0.0658-28.17%0.2304✓0.87130k2022-09-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.92861.1136-1.32%55.236-10.81%0.0282✓0.72330k2022-09-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047930.047288-1.34%0.03978-17.00%0.0889✓0.832,5642022-09-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22970.226298-1.48%0.2116-7.88%0.0710✗1.37110k2022-09-10
NANOnanopayBase1.08621.0701-1.48%0.938309-13.62%0.0513✓0.8060k2022-09-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07180.070722-1.50%0.0598-16.71%0.0869✓0.80137k2022-09-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4966-1.54%1.43-5.92%0.0392✓0.06150k2022-09-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.223954-1.77%0.17959-21.23%0.0958✓1.24696k2022-09-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6834.5989-1.80%12.214+160.82%1.0000✗0.231.1M2022-09-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27050.265629-1.80%0.2208-18.37%0.0813✓1.0391k2022-09-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05490.053838-1.93%0.0479-12.75%0.0137✓1.02254k2022-09-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3210.314527-2.02%0.284-11.53%0.0180✓0.841.2M2022-09-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19520.191255-2.02%0.17129-12.25%0.1153✗2.249582022-09-10
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.89e-7-2.08%9.30e-7-7.92%0.0159✓0.776.0M2022-09-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012330.000012073-2.08%0.00001328+7.70%0.1929✗0.97827k2022-09-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14740.144238-2.15%0.1738+17.91%0.2970✗1.1050k2022-09-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406160.397268-2.19%0.3323-18.18%0.0743✓1.04507k2022-09-10
UMAUMAEthereum3.0212.9535-2.23%2.807-7.08%0.0354✗0.86587k2022-09-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1340.130968-2.26%0.1036-22.69%0.1487✓0.854,5542022-09-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031870.031127-2.33%0.02547-20.08%0.0709✓1.291,9722022-09-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.51210.256-2.44%9.776-7.00%0.0531✗1.002.0M2022-09-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.042803-2.50%0.0394-10.25%0.0222✓1.0476k2022-09-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.367760.358325-2.57%0.29035-21.05%0.0976✓1.1213k2022-09-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.17061.1405-2.57%0.85018-27.37%0.1957✓0.9712k2022-09-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09880.096195-2.64%0.0995+0.71%0.1367✗1.029,1182022-09-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.616.4356-2.64%5.11-22.69%0.1198✓1.101.5M2022-09-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017030.001656-2.78%0.001601-5.99%0.0475✗0.819,2532022-09-10
XTZTezosTezos1.90221.8488-2.81%1.6664-12.40%0.0111✓1.14488k2022-09-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.72420.703754-2.82%0.55641-23.17%0.0965✓1.3769k2022-09-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12741.0955-2.83%0.8719-22.66%0.1028✓1.252.3M2022-09-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009775-2.84%0.00938-6.76%0.0325✗0.735.6M2022-09-10
XEMNEMnative0.0530860.051573-2.85%0.045736-13.85%0.0204✓0.9939k2022-09-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1252830.121692-2.87%0.114707-8.44%0.0338✗0.927.2M2022-09-10
XECeCashnative0.000046440.000045065-2.96%0.00004456-4.05%0.0739✗0.851.9M2022-09-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66431.6145-2.99%2.0477+23.04%0.3677✗1.29619k2022-09-10
ADACardanoCardano0.53060.514572-3.02%0.5124-3.43%0.1050✗1.0943.6M2022-09-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.93372.845-3.02%4.573+55.88%0.5272✗0.521.3M2022-09-10
DASHDashDash55.6153.9253-3.03%48.77-12.30%0.0000✓1.00552k2022-09-10
GITCOINGITCOIN3.13663.0379-3.15%2.3273-25.80%0.1326✓1.3313k2022-09-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36130.349894-3.16%0.3223-10.79%0.0170✓0.988.4M2022-09-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45910.444317-3.22%0.4204-8.43%0.0787✗1.33207k2022-09-10
API3Api3Ethereum2.1842.1135-3.23%1.789-18.09%0.0674✓0.99588k2022-09-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0192550.018628-3.25%0.024191+25.63%0.2761✗0.15223k2022-09-10
XMRMoneroMonero160.49155.2459-3.27%157.51-1.86%0.1180✗1.031.1M2022-09-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4561.4076-3.32%1.222-16.07%0.0313✓1.092.6M2022-09-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.8959.8251-3.34%63.32+2.31%0.1623✗1.0513.7M2022-09-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4580.442596-3.36%0.3665-19.98%0.0724✓1.16174k2022-09-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12630.122036-3.38%0.1145-9.34%0.0239✓0.87370k2022-09-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.98138.1261-3.39%132.64-7.23%0.0730✗1.135.1M2022-09-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3761180.363263-3.42%0.312676-16.87%0.0370✓1.12916k2022-09-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.12150.117339-3.42%0.0989-18.60%0.0628✓1.07566k2022-09-10
FTTFTXEthereum30.5229.4707-3.44%27.69-9.27%0.0308✓0.9210.8M2022-09-10
STEEMSteemnative0.26950.260088-3.49%0.2293-14.92%0.0328✓0.93629k2022-09-10
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.7051-3.50%1.372-22.35%0.0829✓1.34416k2022-09-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0249970.024116-3.53%0.021575-13.69%0.0253✓0.8512k2022-09-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3262.2428-3.58%1.615-30.57%0.2126✓1.15177k2022-09-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.1271.0864-3.60%1.0341-8.24%0.0216✓0.704.1M2022-09-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087460.084292-3.62%0.07197-17.71%0.1345✓0.231.1M2022-09-10
STXStacksnative0.50320.484913-3.63%0.3846-23.57%0.1133✓1.18892k2022-09-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39382.3066-3.64%1.9389-19.01%0.0639✓1.0938k2022-09-10
ZECZcashZcash79.2676.33-3.70%65.33-17.58%0.0350✓1.202.4M2022-09-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.336262-3.73%0.2949-15.57%0.0264✓1.043.6M2022-09-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.30410.292668-3.76%0.2818-7.33%0.0603✗0.9867k2022-09-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.1023,238.78-3.79%21,732.50-10.02%0.0305✓0.9711k2022-09-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.4811-3.83%1.3351-13.31%0.0259✓1.291.3M2022-09-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0343.8781-3.86%4.354+7.93%0.1420✗0.262.3M2022-09-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.06210.0597-3.87%0.0522-15.94%0.0235✓1.10197k2022-09-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3241.2722-3.91%0.9875-25.42%0.1287✓1.241.1M2022-09-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9110.875123-3.94%0.978+7.35%0.2315✗1.201.0M2022-09-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000097270.000093375-4.00%0.0004348+347.00%1.6470✗1.08369k2022-09-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0913.9228-4.11%3.272-20.02%0.1059✓0.751.3M2022-09-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.25540.244827-4.14%0.1625-36.37%0.2970✓1.121,7402022-09-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8890.850533-4.33%0.68-23.51%0.0758✓1.474.4M2022-09-10
SOLSolanaSolana42.840.9409-4.34%35.07-18.06%0.0294✓1.2581.8M2022-09-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8492.7249-4.36%2.224-21.94%0.0819✓1.2059k2022-09-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55220.52779-4.42%0.4434-19.70%0.0598✓1.1458k2022-09-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8752.7474-4.44%2.048-28.77%0.1176✓1.75143k2022-09-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0443.8643-4.44%4.296+6.23%0.1411✗0.351.6M2022-09-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027180.025967-4.46%0.02106-22.52%0.1273✓0.82169k2022-09-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9240.882697-4.47%0.686-25.76%0.1520✓0.99274k2022-09-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4517.614-4.53%14.72-20.22%0.0546✓1.241.4M2022-09-10
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9296.6146-4.54%5.052-27.09%0.1313✓1.3712.8M2022-09-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.915.6407-4.56%6.62+12.01%0.1959✗0.36894k2022-09-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.64870.618973-4.58%0.5249-19.08%0.0760✓0.88755k2022-09-10
DIADIAEthereum0.478140.456046-4.62%0.40366-15.58%0.0716✓0.5070k2022-09-10
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05271.0036-4.67%0.8137-22.70%0.1018✓1.07558k2022-09-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.293346-4.70%0.2299-25.31%0.1346✓1.08232k2022-09-10
QTUMQtumQtum4.21494.0163-4.71%3.3754-19.92%0.0714✓1.0253k2022-09-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159490.015189-4.77%0.013066-18.08%0.0791✓0.712.1M2022-09-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19490.185531-4.81%0.1533-21.34%0.0784✓1.12570k2022-09-10
KSMKusamaHydration60.9157.9689-4.83%52.32-14.10%0.0044✓1.06551k2022-09-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.920186-4.84%0.7491-22.53%0.0573✓1.47462k2022-09-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2018.7528-4.87%7.777-15.48%0.0081✓1.0912.9M2022-09-10
AAVEAaveEthereum107.55102.2573-4.92%92.74-13.77%0.0599✗1.578.2M2022-09-10
SCSiacoinnative0.005170.004912-4.98%0.00413-20.12%0.0606✓1.12112k2022-09-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.811.2114-4.99%10.95-7.20%0.0915✗1.14313k2022-09-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.74911.1624-4.99%15.995+36.14%0.4825✗1.2214.7M2022-09-10
ZENHorizenBase21.6320.5481-5.00%16.85-22.10%0.0776✓1.20124k2022-09-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08190.077772-5.04%0.067-18.19%0.0357✓1.131.4M2022-09-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16460.156257-5.07%0.1391-15.49%0.0466✓0.694.4M2022-09-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.968.5039-5.09%7.906-11.76%0.0402✓1.1219.3M2022-09-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17750.168387-5.13%0.1336-24.73%0.1266✓1.042.7M2022-09-10
ELAElastosEthereum2.0891.9812-5.16%1.661-20.49%0.0754✓1.00261k2022-09-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.00826-5.17%0.00786-9.76%0.0629✗1.12463k2022-09-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.578.1266-5.17%9.02+5.25%0.1208✗0.161.8M2022-09-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7690.728857-5.22%0.516-32.90%0.2204✓1.242,7912022-09-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087080.082524-5.23%0.07598-12.75%0.0300✓1.1229k2022-09-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9648.4935-5.25%6.674-25.55%0.1088✓1.3110.0M2022-09-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.521768-5.31%0.516-6.35%0.0892✗1.0014k2022-09-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6910.654329-5.31%0.552-20.12%0.0460✓1.23100k2022-09-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0051.8974-5.37%1.514-24.49%0.1071✓1.18234k2022-09-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.031610.029908-5.38%0.02305-27.08%0.1577✓1.0213.8M2022-09-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14250.134784-5.41%0.1173-17.68%0.0189✓1.193.7M2022-09-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.84.5374-5.47%4.63-3.54%0.0609✗0.401.3M2022-09-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.386890.365563-5.51%0.46503+20.20%0.3323✗0.91439k2022-09-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.740.69895-5.55%0.568-23.24%0.0733✓1.33137k2022-09-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.2565.908-5.56%6.021-3.76%0.0360✓0.173.4M2022-09-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.85.4753-5.60%6.46+11.38%0.2000✗0.341.2M2022-09-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,881.041,773.03-5.74%1,774.69-5.65%0.1332✗1.31509.7M2022-09-10
MOVRMoonriverBase17.087416.1012-5.77%13.4676-21.18%0.0754✓1.0359k2022-09-10
METISMetisEthereum44.842.0686-6.10%32.55-27.34%0.0647✓1.91385k2022-09-10
HIVEHivenative0.63020.591776-6.10%0.5779-8.30%0.0795✗1.032.4M2022-09-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.39.6675-6.14%7.78-24.47%0.1033✓1.13592k2022-09-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22551.1499-6.17%–pending––1.0913k2022-09-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.132.9345-6.25%2.34-25.24%0.0975✓1.28269k2022-09-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.4188-6.25%2.61+1.16%0.1709✗0.94636k2022-09-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.42850.401623-6.27%0.314-26.72%0.1346✓1.1190k2022-09-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.14970.139989-6.49%0.2016+34.67%0.4540✗0.891.1M2022-09-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.1867.653-6.51%7.129-12.91%0.0334✓1.045.5M2022-09-10
COMPCompoundEthereum63.1158.9663-6.57%53.06-15.92%0.0236✓1.2835k2022-09-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.911.784-6.60%1.49-21.99%0.0725✓1.07182k2022-09-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.0780.072807-6.66%0.0508-34.87%0.2345✓1.25350k2022-09-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.284.9239-6.74%5.41+2.46%0.1260✗0.322.1M2022-09-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8640.804587-6.88%0.657-23.96%0.1080✓0.94377k2022-09-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3477.7538-7.11%6.359-23.82%0.1100✓0.886.0M2022-09-10
QNTQuantEthereum124.47115.5862-7.14%105.47-15.26%0.0029✓0.884.1M2022-09-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39723.1528-7.19%6.9782+105.41%0.8426✗0.481.9M2022-09-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.614.4641-7.28%15.57-0.19%0.1941✗1.202.6M2022-09-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum36.1233.4758-7.32%17.47-51.63%0.5307✓1.191.4M2022-09-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.928741-7.38%0.902-10.04%0.1313✗1.59296k2022-09-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.20042.9615-7.46%7.4153+131.70%0.9527✗0.351.5M2022-09-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.53890.498068-7.58%0.3401-36.89%0.2482✓1.32245k2022-09-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0383.7312-7.60%3.024-25.11%0.0471✓1.625.3M2022-09-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.5426.3568-7.65%20.45-28.35%0.1124✓1.4030.8M2022-09-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.48451.3678-7.86%1.325-10.74%0.0716✓1.03907k2022-09-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07490.068986-7.90%0.051-31.91%0.1882✓1.13877k2022-09-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022120.002033-8.10%0.001548-30.02%0.1718✓1.001.1M2022-09-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.29290.269144-8.11%0.21-28.30%0.1475✓1.00138k2022-09-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001393-8.39%0.001381-9.22%0.0787✓0.871.4M2022-09-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative42.0638.4541-8.57%39.23-6.73%0.1584✗1.3815.1M2022-09-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.119187-8.60%0.1274-2.30%0.1525✗0.85209k2022-09-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,294.4410,312.65-8.69%10,440.99-7.56%0.1465✗1.336.2M2022-09-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35951.2407-8.74%1.2446-8.45%0.1488✗1.456.8M2022-09-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.098330.089468-9.01%0.06588-33.00%0.1777✓1.282.0M2022-09-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1419.1632-9.35%17.96-15.04%0.0068✓0.712.4M2022-09-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0049510.004488-9.35%0.002911-41.20%0.3424✓0.90994k2022-09-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051950.046808-9.90%0.0382-26.47%0.0970✓1.0519k2022-09-10
FLOWFlownative2.9712.674-10.00%2.11-28.98%0.1079✓1.28686k2022-09-10
OPTIMOptimism1.5581.3808-11.37%1.387-10.98%0.1974✗1.923.4M2022-09-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6113.1825-11.87%4.569+26.53%0.4477✗0.8698k2022-09-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.