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2022-08-11 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1580
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.84%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.3%
in alpha space · 85.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.5581.428-8.34%1.387-10.98%0.1638✗1.923.4M2022-09-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.098330.09108-7.37%0.06588-33.00%0.1955✓1.282.0M2022-09-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051950.048181-7.26%0.0382-26.47%0.1259✓1.0519k2022-09-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022120.002061-6.84%0.001548-30.02%0.1854✓1.001.1M2022-09-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.5426.6361-6.67%20.45-28.35%0.1229✓1.4030.8M2022-09-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.42850.400757-6.47%0.314-26.72%0.1324✓1.1190k2022-09-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.937859-6.47%0.902-10.04%0.1216✗1.59296k2022-09-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0049510.004633-6.42%0.002911-41.20%0.3742✓0.90994k2022-09-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35951.2747-6.24%1.2446-8.45%0.1218✗1.456.8M2022-09-10
FLOWFlownative2.9712.7859-6.23%2.11-28.98%0.1489✓1.28686k2022-09-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7690.721205-6.22%0.516-32.90%0.2098✓1.242,7912022-09-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0383.7884-6.18%3.024-25.11%0.0623✓1.625.3M2022-09-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55220.518301-6.14%0.4434-19.70%0.0417✓1.1458k2022-09-10
KSMKusamaHydration60.9157.2007-6.09%52.32-14.10%0.0177✓1.06551k2022-09-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4517.3304-6.07%14.72-20.22%0.0384✓1.241.4M2022-09-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.740.696112-5.93%0.568-23.24%0.0693✓1.33137k2022-09-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.910351-5.86%0.7491-22.53%0.0465✓1.47462k2022-09-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.1867.7182-5.71%7.129-12.91%0.0249✓1.045.5M2022-09-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,294.4410,664.35-5.58%10,440.99-7.56%0.1130✗1.336.2M2022-09-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum36.1234.1272-5.52%17.47-51.63%0.5500✓1.191.4M2022-09-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8890.840038-5.51%0.68-23.51%0.0634✓1.474.4M2022-09-10
AAVEAaveEthereum107.55101.705-5.43%92.74-13.77%0.0653✗1.578.2M2022-09-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6113.4153-5.42%4.569+26.53%0.3771✗0.8698k2022-09-10
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9296.5542-5.41%5.052-27.09%0.1221✓1.3712.8M2022-09-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.84.542-5.38%4.63-3.54%0.0599✗0.401.3M2022-09-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087460.082774-5.36%0.07197-17.71%0.1163✓0.231.1M2022-09-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.39.749-5.35%7.78-24.47%0.1117✓1.13592k2022-09-10
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05270.996535-5.33%0.8137-22.70%0.0948✓1.07558k2022-09-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.64870.614309-5.30%0.5249-19.08%0.0685✓0.88755k2022-09-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000097270.000092131-5.28%0.0004348+347.00%1.6604✗1.08369k2022-09-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.12150.115122-5.25%0.0989-18.60%0.0437✓1.07566k2022-09-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.031610.029954-5.24%0.02305-27.08%0.1593✓1.0213.8M2022-09-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0051.9001-5.23%1.514-24.49%0.1085✓1.18234k2022-09-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.386890.366756-5.20%0.46503+20.20%0.3291✗0.91439k2022-09-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.578.1289-5.15%9.02+5.25%0.1205✗0.161.8M2022-09-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3241.2559-5.15%0.9875-25.42%0.1158✓1.241.1M2022-09-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.285.0098-5.12%5.41+2.46%0.1088✗0.322.1M2022-09-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.39723.2235-5.11%6.9782+105.41%0.8204✗0.481.9M2022-09-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.132.9707-5.09%2.34-25.24%0.1098✓1.28269k2022-09-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3761180.357247-5.02%0.312676-16.87%0.0203✓1.12916k2022-09-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.53890.511868-5.02%0.3401-36.89%0.2755✓1.32245k2022-09-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07490.071217-4.92%0.051-31.91%0.2200✓1.13877k2022-09-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015210.001446-4.91%0.001381-9.22%0.0413✓0.871.4M2022-09-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406160.386401-4.86%0.3323-18.18%0.0465✓1.04507k2022-09-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1420.1123-4.86%17.96-15.04%0.0416✓0.712.4M2022-09-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.524726-4.77%0.516-6.35%0.0836✗1.0014k2022-09-10
ELAElastosEthereum2.0891.9912-4.68%1.661-20.49%0.0804✓1.00261k2022-09-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.614.87-4.68%15.57-0.19%0.1664✗1.202.6M2022-09-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.30780.293423-4.67%0.2299-25.31%0.1349✓1.08232k2022-09-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.932.7936-4.65%1.89-35.49%0.3386✓0.52102k2022-09-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.00831-4.60%0.00786-9.76%0.0569✗1.12463k2022-09-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative42.0640.139-4.57%39.23-6.73%0.1156✗1.3815.1M2022-09-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.48451.4181-4.48%1.325-10.74%0.0355✓1.03907k2022-09-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2018.7903-4.46%7.777-15.48%0.0124✓1.0912.9M2022-09-10
HIVEHivenative0.63020.602102-4.46%0.5779-8.30%0.0622✗1.032.4M2022-09-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9240.883055-4.43%0.686-25.76%0.1524✓0.99274k2022-09-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.2565.9806-4.40%6.021-3.76%0.0237✓0.173.4M2022-09-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.20043.0624-4.31%7.4153+131.70%0.9193✗0.351.5M2022-09-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0343.8604-4.30%4.354+7.93%0.1466✗0.262.3M2022-09-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.4738-4.30%1.3351-13.31%0.0309✓1.291.3M2022-09-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0192550.01844-4.23%0.024191+25.63%0.2863✗0.15223k2022-09-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,881.041,802.50-4.18%1,774.69-5.65%0.1167✗1.31509.7M2022-09-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17750.17014-4.15%0.1336-24.73%0.1369✓1.042.7M2022-09-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12741.0807-4.15%0.8719-22.66%0.0891✓1.252.3M2022-09-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4561.396-4.12%1.222-16.07%0.0230✓1.092.6M2022-09-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8640.828573-4.10%0.657-23.96%0.1374✓0.94377k2022-09-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36130.346622-4.06%0.3223-10.79%0.0264✓0.988.4M2022-09-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.72420.694788-4.06%0.55641-23.17%0.0837✓1.3769k2022-09-10
METISMetisEthereum44.842.9851-4.05%32.55-27.34%0.0862✓1.91385k2022-09-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3262.2323-4.03%1.615-30.57%0.2079✓1.15177k2022-09-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159490.01531-4.01%0.013066-18.08%0.0870✓0.712.1M2022-09-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.0780.074883-4.00%0.0508-34.87%0.2626✓1.25350k2022-09-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66431.5983-3.96%2.0477+23.04%0.3778✗1.29619k2022-09-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.14970.143916-3.86%0.2016+34.67%0.4264✗0.891.1M2022-09-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.1271.0837-3.84%1.0341-8.24%0.0241✓0.704.1M2022-09-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07180.069043-3.84%0.0598-16.71%0.0629✓0.80137k2022-09-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14250.137047-3.83%0.1173-17.68%0.0356✓1.193.7M2022-09-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.968.6173-3.82%7.906-11.76%0.0270✓1.1219.3M2022-09-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3478.0306-3.79%6.359-23.82%0.1451✓0.886.0M2022-09-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.27e-73.14e-7-3.78%6.85e-7+109.73%0.8451✗0.66153k2022-09-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0443.8916-3.77%4.296+6.23%0.1340✗0.351.6M2022-09-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8492.7416-3.77%2.224-21.94%0.0880✓1.2059k2022-09-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.125487-3.77%0.1274-2.30%0.1010✗0.85209k2022-09-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09160.088178-3.74%0.0658-28.17%0.2053✓0.87130k2022-09-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16460.158495-3.71%0.1391-15.49%0.0608✓0.694.4M2022-09-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6910.665523-3.69%0.552-20.12%0.0629✓1.23100k2022-09-10
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.7021-3.67%1.372-22.35%0.0812✓1.34416k2022-09-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.74911.3193-3.66%15.995+36.14%0.4686✗1.2214.7M2022-09-10
SOLSolanaSolana42.841.239-3.65%35.07-18.06%0.0366✓1.2581.8M2022-09-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.4859-3.65%2.61+1.16%0.1436✗0.94636k2022-09-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.337071-3.50%0.2949-15.57%0.0288✓1.043.6M2022-09-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087080.084091-3.43%0.07598-12.75%0.0112✓1.1229k2022-09-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9648.6593-3.40%6.674-25.55%0.1281✓1.3110.0M2022-09-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.811.4008-3.38%10.95-7.20%0.0748✗1.14313k2022-09-10
QTUMQtumQtum4.21494.0731-3.36%3.3754-19.92%0.0854✓1.0253k2022-09-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12630.122068-3.35%0.1145-9.34%0.0236✓0.87370k2022-09-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45910.443778-3.34%0.4204-8.43%0.0799✗1.33207k2022-09-10
DIADIAEthereum0.478140.462259-3.32%0.40366-15.58%0.0851✓0.5070k2022-09-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19520.188748-3.31%0.17129-12.25%0.1285✗2.249582022-09-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19490.188461-3.30%0.1533-21.34%0.0940✓1.12570k2022-09-10
XECeCashnative0.000046440.000044915-3.28%0.00004456-4.05%0.0772✗0.851.9M2022-09-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.06210.06009-3.24%0.0522-15.94%0.0300✓1.10197k2022-09-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4580.443221-3.23%0.3665-19.98%0.0738✓1.16174k2022-09-10
ZECZcashZcash79.2676.7045-3.22%65.33-17.58%0.0399✓1.202.4M2022-09-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.178090.172367-3.21%0.14372-19.30%0.0497✓1.31236k2022-09-10
QNTQuantEthereum124.47120.5099-3.18%105.47-15.26%0.0446✓0.884.1M2022-09-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0913.9614-3.17%3.272-20.02%0.1157✓0.751.3M2022-09-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.39382.3185-3.15%1.9389-19.01%0.0691✓1.0938k2022-09-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.92859.996-3.12%55.236-10.81%0.0098✓0.72330k2022-09-10
DASHDashDash55.6153.9002-3.07%48.77-12.30%0.0005✓1.00552k2022-09-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.915.7307-3.03%6.62+12.01%0.1801✗0.36894k2022-09-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.083320.080821-3.00%0.06911-17.05%0.0787✓0.779772022-09-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.85.6269-2.98%6.46+11.38%0.1727✗0.341.2M2022-09-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.25540.247785-2.98%0.1625-36.37%0.3090✓1.121,7402022-09-10
ADACardanoCardano0.53060.514887-2.96%0.5124-3.43%0.1044✗1.0943.6M2022-09-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.911.8535-2.96%1.49-21.99%0.1107✓1.07182k2022-09-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.46050.446875-2.96%0.35407-23.11%0.1278✓1.04118k2022-09-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.616.415-2.95%5.11-22.69%0.1166✓1.101.5M2022-09-10
GITCOINGITCOIN3.13663.0442-2.95%2.3273-25.80%0.1347✓1.3313k2022-09-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,944.8623,243.22-2.93%21,651.52-9.58%0.0297✗1.00482.6M2022-09-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.93372.8486-2.90%4.573+55.88%0.5260✗0.521.3M2022-09-10
MOVRMoonriverBase17.087416.594-2.89%13.4676-21.18%0.1055✓1.0359k2022-09-10
COMPCompoundEthereum63.1161.3121-2.85%53.06-15.92%0.0154✓1.2835k2022-09-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08190.079586-2.83%0.067-18.19%0.0588✓1.131.4M2022-09-10
STXStacksnative0.50320.489023-2.82%0.3846-23.57%0.1218✓1.18892k2022-09-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash142.98138.9613-2.81%132.64-7.23%0.0670✗1.135.1M2022-09-10
UMAUMAEthereum3.0212.9388-2.72%2.807-7.08%0.0404✗0.86587k2022-09-10
ZENHorizenBase21.6321.049-2.69%16.85-22.10%0.1017✓1.20124k2022-09-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9110.886856-2.65%0.978+7.35%0.2182✗1.201.0M2022-09-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.221966-2.65%0.17959-21.23%0.0869✓1.24696k2022-09-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.29290.285229-2.62%0.21-28.30%0.2055✓1.00138k2022-09-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031870.031038-2.61%0.02547-20.08%0.0680✓1.291,9722022-09-10
SCSiacoinnative0.005170.005036-2.60%0.00413-20.12%0.0853✓1.12112k2022-09-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8752.8002-2.60%2.048-28.77%0.1366✓1.75143k2022-09-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1252830.122073-2.56%0.114707-8.44%0.0306✗0.927.2M2022-09-10
XEMNEMnative0.0530860.051739-2.54%0.045736-13.85%0.0236✓0.9939k2022-09-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.042799-2.51%0.0394-10.25%0.0223✓1.0476k2022-09-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009809-2.50%0.00938-6.76%0.0290✗0.735.6M2022-09-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3210.31308-2.47%0.284-11.53%0.0133✓0.841.2M2022-09-10
NANOnanopayBase1.08621.0597-2.44%0.938309-13.62%0.0415✓0.8060k2022-09-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027180.026517-2.44%0.02106-22.52%0.1483✓0.82169k2022-09-10
FTTFTXEthereum30.5229.7818-2.42%27.69-9.27%0.0203✓0.9210.8M2022-09-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017030.001662-2.42%0.001601-5.99%0.0438✗0.819,2532022-09-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.17061.1424-2.41%0.85018-27.37%0.1973✓0.9712k2022-09-10
XMRMoneroMonero160.49156.7314-2.34%157.51-1.86%0.1084✗1.031.1M2022-09-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6834.5749-2.31%12.214+160.82%1.0052✗0.231.1M2022-09-10
TRXTRONTron0.0703710.068777-2.27%0.064586-8.22%0.0027✓0.60186k2022-09-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09880.096564-2.26%0.0995+0.71%0.1329✗1.029,1182022-09-10
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9930.970721-2.24%1.028+3.52%0.1121✗0.544.2M2022-09-10
STEEMSteemnative0.26950.263459-2.24%0.2293-14.92%0.0456✓0.93629k2022-09-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0571690.055889-2.24%0.042535-25.60%0.2210✓0.5230k2022-09-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017870.01748-2.18%0.01306-26.92%0.2209✓0.70167k2022-09-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008166-2.09%0.00593-28.90%0.2546✓0.651.6M2022-09-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22260.218048-2.04%0.1861-16.40%0.0143✓1.431,3132022-09-10
XTZTezosTezos1.90221.8634-2.04%1.6664-12.40%0.0033✓1.14488k2022-09-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.8960.6606-1.99%63.32+2.31%0.1484✗1.0513.7M2022-09-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05490.053823-1.96%0.0479-12.75%0.0135✓1.02254k2022-09-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.17010.166765-1.96%0.1491-12.35%0.0043✓1.07124k2022-09-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.30410.298299-1.91%0.2818-7.33%0.0413✗0.9867k2022-09-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1340.131463-1.89%0.1036-22.69%0.1525✓0.854,5542022-09-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14740.144656-1.86%0.1738+17.91%0.2941✗1.1050k2022-09-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006577-1.80%0.006228-7.02%0.0045✓0.5053k2022-09-10
XVGVergenative0.003930.003861-1.77%0.00322-18.07%0.0696✓1.11534k2022-09-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04880.047972-1.70%0.0379-22.34%0.1381✓0.9711k2022-09-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4942-1.70%1.43-5.92%0.0376✓0.06150k2022-09-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,153.1023,745.34-1.69%21,732.50-10.02%0.0090✓0.9711k2022-09-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.367760.361597-1.68%0.29035-21.05%0.1067✓1.1213k2022-09-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0708820.069736-1.62%0.064731-8.68%0.0292✗1.031.7M2022-09-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053440.052648-1.48%0.04614-13.66%0.0555✓0.7617k2022-09-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27050.266594-1.44%0.2208-18.37%0.0849✓1.0391k2022-09-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012330.000012155-1.42%0.00001328+7.70%0.1862✗0.97827k2022-09-10
API3Api3Ethereum2.1842.1546-1.35%1.789-18.09%0.0866✓0.99588k2022-09-10
GTGateEthereum4.93724.8717-1.33%4.324-12.42%0.0477✓0.71911k2022-09-10
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.98e-7-1.16%9.30e-7-7.92%0.0066✓0.776.0M2022-09-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22551.2117-1.13%–pending––1.0913k2022-09-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001020.000001009-1.09%9.10e-7-10.78%0.0255✓0.7722k2022-09-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.51210.4009-1.06%9.776-7.00%0.0391✗1.002.0M2022-09-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22970.227496-0.96%0.2116-7.88%0.0658✗1.37110k2022-09-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.25911.248-0.88%1.0696-15.05%0.0596✓0.9452k2022-09-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0249970.024778-0.88%0.021575-13.69%0.0524✓0.8512k2022-09-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.259053-0.86%0.1307-49.98%0.6828✓0.0144k2022-09-10
PROPropyEthereum0.850.843788-0.73%0.73-14.12%0.1011✓0.4491k2022-09-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047930.047618-0.65%0.03978-17.00%0.0959✓0.832,5642022-09-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59370.593728+0.00%0.5059-14.79%0.0467✗1.13332k2022-09-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.70784.7085+0.02%4.9455+5.05%0.0618✓0.13367k2022-09-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0066180.006633+0.24%0.0063-4.79%0.0202✓0.713,4592022-09-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.