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2022-07-30 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2335
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.1%
in alpha space · 41.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.8091.6448-9.08%1.174-35.10%0.0346✓1.971.3M2022-08-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1916.0468-6.65%17.22+0.17%0.2052✗0.882.2M2022-08-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0330.0279-6.25%35+9.27%0.3648✗1.38563k2022-08-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,772.2011,040.68-6.21%9,081.72-22.85%0.0175✓1.394.0M2022-08-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5710.53579-6.17%0.3367-41.03%0.2490✓1.40234k2022-08-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.4837.0684-6.11%33.55-15.02%0.1162✗1.412.8M2022-08-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97430.918052-5.77%0.7824-19.70%0.0911✗1.64202k2022-08-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.840.796718-5.15%0.525-37.50%0.1886✓1.493,1392022-08-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.08972.9379-4.91%5.7778+87.00%0.8131✗0.891.1M2022-08-29
QNTQuantEthereum106.35101.3031-4.75%101.16-4.88%0.1538✗1.014.2M2022-08-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6473.4804-4.57%3.47-4.85%0.2619✗1.734.3M2022-08-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.081650.077953-4.53%0.07284-10.79%0.1386✗1.3528k2022-08-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35861.2975-4.50%1.0799-20.51%0.0466✗1.506.4M2022-08-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.3442-4.40%5.31-5.01%0.0881✗0.62956k2022-08-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084940.081383-4.19%0.06651-21.70%0.0280✓1.50768k2022-08-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098120.000094261-3.93%0.0001317+34.22%0.6318✗1.94635k2022-08-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11121.0682-3.87%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0023420.002252-3.86%0.001636-30.15%0.1660✓1.001.8M2022-08-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3195.1165-3.81%6.102+14.72%0.2598✗0.552.0M2022-08-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010270.009886-3.74%0.00853-16.94%0.0456✗1.26355k2022-08-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.3224-3.63%2.13-11.62%0.0790✗1.08207k2022-08-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0347.7632-3.37%6.015-25.13%0.0902✓1.082.3M2022-08-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2787.9999-3.36%6.682-19.28%0.0118✓1.255.9M2022-08-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.29690.286948-3.35%0.2566-13.57%0.0621✗1.13309k2022-08-29
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.420632-3.35%–pending––0.902142022-08-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.033190.032176-3.05%0.02267-31.70%0.1161✓1.5311.5M2022-08-29
HIVEHivenative0.52750.512022-2.93%0.5461+3.53%0.2421✗1.161.4M2022-08-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.4034-2.79%4.53+0.00%0.1376✗0.71912k2022-08-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.7614.3518-2.77%12.6-14.63%0.0883✗1.421.7M2022-08-29
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.5428-2.70%6.339-27.80%0.0841✓1.407.7M2022-08-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5050.492578-2.46%0.441-12.67%0.0658✗1.1513k2022-08-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.22930.223686-2.45%0.164-28.48%0.1008✓1.371,5612022-08-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83142.7644-2.37%6.0774+114.64%0.9065✗0.77978k2022-08-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.277-2.19%1.615-30.63%0.1264✓1.42169k2022-08-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8840.865901-2.05%0.684-22.62%0.0282✗1.725.2M2022-08-29
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.167518-2.04%0.1311-23.33%0.0526✓1.263.1M2022-08-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.192340.188433-2.03%0.15839-17.65%0.1820✗2.321,1512022-08-29
METISMetisEthereum34.4933.7953-2.01%32.49-5.80%0.2602✗1.95213k2022-08-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7913.722-1.82%3.276-13.58%0.0087✓0.89754k2022-08-29
COMPCompoundEthereum58.2357.1892-1.79%48.57-16.59%0.0500✗1.3932k2022-08-29
DIADIAEthereum0.461420.453475-1.72%0.3855-16.45%0.0422✓0.7857k2022-08-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0208760.02052-1.71%0.023085+10.58%0.1970✗0.52167k2022-08-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.158.9965-1.68%8.46-7.54%0.0191✗0.531.2M2022-08-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.9760.9616-1.48%0.6813-30.19%0.0737✓1.77513k2022-08-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.4906-1.29%1.44-4.64%0.0010✓0.22268k2022-08-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9661.9436-1.14%1.495-23.96%0.0439✓1.42234k2022-08-29
KSMKusamaHydration63.162.4172-1.08%50.12-20.57%0.0376✓1.19257k2022-08-29
XEMNEMnative0.049120.048597-1.06%0.044565-9.27%0.0959✗1.1935k2022-08-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7660.758161-1.02%0.672-12.27%0.0306✗0.99360k2022-08-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95050.941496-0.95%0.9656+1.59%0.1623✗0.893.6M2022-08-29
CBKCobakEthereum1.04951.0399-0.92%0.87542-16.59%0.0035✓1.109,9742022-08-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2524.0282-0.91%19.33-20.29%0.0272✗1.6027.5M2022-08-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,608.2024,394.86-0.87%20,303.80-17.49%0.0333✓0.9817k2022-08-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.821.8046-0.84%1.768-2.86%0.0770✗0.64219k2022-08-29
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6976.641-0.84%4.983-25.59%0.0213✓1.7311.0M2022-08-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090580.08983-0.83%0.08429-6.94%0.0216✓0.27985k2022-08-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7493.7226-0.71%4.266+13.79%0.2273✗0.591.5M2022-08-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.068.0106-0.61%7.74-3.97%0.1743✗1.36256k2022-08-29
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1871.1816-0.45%0.8693-26.76%0.0915✓1.401.4M2022-08-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,698.011,690.55-0.44%1,551.65-8.62%0.1072✗1.26387.0M2022-08-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7110.6679-0.39%11.438+6.80%0.2800✗1.3715.0M2022-08-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.976183-0.39%1.2628+28.86%0.4366✗1.171.2M2022-08-29
SOLSolanaSolana43.8443.6715-0.38%32.41-26.07%0.0901✓1.3681.8M2022-08-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077850.077641-0.27%0.06742-13.40%0.0282✓0.741,1722022-08-29
QTUMQtumQtum4.32124.3097-0.27%3.1823-26.36%0.1360✓1.0933k2022-08-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13190.131714-0.14%0.1063-19.41%0.0036✓1.372.5M2022-08-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.611.5845-0.13%10.28-11.38%0.0665✗1.21241k2022-08-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.458129-0.12%0.3499-23.72%0.0438✓1.47242k2022-08-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6843.6828-0.03%4.177+13.38%0.2368✗0.721.1M2022-08-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16840.168372-0.02%0.1447-14.07%0.0396✗1.25446k2022-08-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0720.072018+0.03%0.0606-15.83%0.0261✗0.96183k2022-08-29
BANDBandEthereum1.7951.7958+0.05%1.263-29.64%0.1303✗1.45316k2022-08-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.676430.677253+0.12%0.55401-18.10%0.0311✓1.5181k2022-08-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156130.015637+0.15%0.013701-12.25%0.0036✓0.881.2M2022-08-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0591.0613+0.21%0.946-10.67%0.0084✗0.691.3M2022-08-29
FLOWFlownative1.9231.9274+0.23%1.919-0.21%0.1909✓1.27413k2022-08-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.12670.127034+0.26%0.2159+70.40%0.6987✓1.10617k2022-08-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6272.6343+0.28%1.955-25.58%0.0289✗1.7692k2022-08-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8237.8529+0.38%6.7-14.36%0.0348✓1.2616.2M2022-08-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.262402+0.46%0.2615+0.11%0.0017✓0.0129k2022-08-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.497+0.47%1.1021-26.03%0.0859✗1.441.1M2022-08-29
FTTFTXEthereum31.1131.307+0.63%27.34-12.12%0.0106✓0.9510.8M2022-08-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05860.058982+0.65%0.0491-16.21%0.0164✓1.30787k2022-08-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.1219.2466+0.66%13.83-27.67%0.1242✗1.341.3M2022-08-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8162.837+0.74%2.1453-23.82%0.0387✗1.5711k2022-08-29
STEEMSteemnative0.25120.253142+0.77%0.2257-10.15%0.0591✓1.13681k2022-08-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5070.51099+0.79%0.4238-16.41%0.0150✗1.1245k2022-08-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.2158+0.81%2.24-29.78%0.2851✗0.5077k2022-08-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8848+0.87%2.15-24.83%0.0602✗1.52192k2022-08-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.9311.9485+0.90%1.729-10.46%0.0753✓1.27637k2022-08-29
AAVEAaveEthereum95.2696.1524+0.94%85.76-9.97%0.1408✓1.6610.0M2022-08-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.035.079+0.97%6.29+25.05%0.3077✓0.61605k2022-08-29
XVSVenusEthereum6.766.8325+1.07%5.12-24.26%0.0746✗1.391.0M2022-08-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14570.147349+1.13%0.1306-10.36%0.0303✓0.983.5M2022-08-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8042.8361+1.14%2.089-25.50%0.0873✗1.4243k2022-08-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6270.634507+1.20%0.527-15.95%0.0289✓1.4086k2022-08-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21860.22135+1.26%0.1725-21.09%0.0358✗1.391,0652022-08-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047250.047844+1.26%0.04816+1.93%0.1448✓0.9015k2022-08-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.72e-7+1.27%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0538✓1.0024k2022-08-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12710.128752+1.30%0.101-20.54%0.0908✗0.995,2722022-08-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3381.3567+1.39%0.987-26.23%0.1279✗1.241.2M2022-08-29
MANADecentralandEthereum1.00881.0231+1.42%0.79536-21.16%0.0494✗1.32431k2022-08-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221980.022517+1.44%0.020994-5.42%0.0801✓0.989,2332022-08-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6642+1.47%1.33-18.90%0.0139✓1.37114k2022-08-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011930.000012111+1.52%0.00001248+4.61%0.2186✓1.23951k2022-08-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.4761.4236+1.58%55.79-7.74%0.0811✓1.1613.5M2022-08-29
MOVRMoonriverBase14.700814.9418+1.64%12.6602-13.88%0.0150✓1.1870k2022-08-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03850.039152+1.69%0.0365-5.19%0.1166✓1.2268k2022-08-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.6863.743+1.70%54.194-13.54%0.0327✗0.84386k2022-08-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02150.021869+1.72%0.02336+8.65%0.2245✓1.03149k2022-08-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.60e-73.67e-7+1.83%8.65e-7+140.30%1.0043✓0.95188k2022-08-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05350.054498+1.87%0.0441-17.57%0.0187✗1.26263k2022-08-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11790.12011+1.87%0.1045-11.37%0.0239✓1.06337k2022-08-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.065335+1.93%0.0576-10.14%0.0884✓1.40339k2022-08-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.645.7517+1.98%6.38+13.12%0.2053✓0.66554k2022-08-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010970.00112+2.03%0.001401+27.70%0.4213✓1.281.5M2022-08-29
XMRMoneroMonero155.85159.0406+2.05%152.71-2.01%0.1285✓1.101.3M2022-08-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029780.030404+2.09%0.03677+23.47%0.3803✓1.2414k2022-08-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0578340.05908+2.16%0.044446-23.15%0.1926✗0.6022k2022-08-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009610.009825+2.24%0.00891-7.28%0.0507✓0.974.7M2022-08-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.091303+2.24%0.0637-28.67%0.1797✗1.18155k2022-08-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59140.60471+2.25%0.523-11.57%0.0323✓1.16624k2022-08-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.317750.324913+2.25%0.30106-5.25%0.1251✓1.3111k2022-08-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018670.019092+2.26%0.0151-19.12%0.1181✗0.76254k2022-08-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.431880.441775+2.29%0.33586-22.23%0.0605✗1.39583k2022-08-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58661.6241+2.36%1.7099+7.77%0.2730✓1.44609k2022-08-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.25462.3087+2.40%1.8412-18.34%0.0370✗1.2324k2022-08-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029750.030466+2.41%0.02554-14.15%0.0248✓1.311,3342022-08-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3781.412+2.47%1.189-13.72%0.0239✓1.282.4M2022-08-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.963.0374+2.61%2.856-3.51%0.1092✓1.11619k2022-08-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8020.823034+2.62%0.553-31.05%0.1688✗1.4980k2022-08-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.244.3524+2.65%12.777+201.34%1.1670✓0.591.3M2022-08-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043020.044165+2.66%0.03792-11.85%0.0047✓0.961,9372022-08-29
ZENHorizenBase17.7218.2051+2.74%16.44-7.22%0.1087✓1.37108k2022-08-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43120.443019+2.74%0.3664-15.03%0.0137✓1.33104k2022-08-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13140.135072+2.79%0.123-6.39%0.1033✓1.2850k2022-08-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.815616+2.85%0.698-11.98%0.0333✓1.23210k2022-08-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31650.325558+2.86%0.291-8.06%0.0697✓1.192.9M2022-08-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031720.003265+2.94%0.003238+2.08%0.1469✓1.01999k2022-08-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.47149.7607+2.95%119.61-17.78%0.0423✗1.193.9M2022-08-29
XTZTezosTezos1.81721.8722+3.02%1.5357-15.49%0.0054✓1.26492k2022-08-29
XECeCashnative0.000044180.000045534+3.07%0.00004993+13.01%0.2697✓1.161.9M2022-08-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.2128.4656+3.09%7.276-11.40%0.0393✓1.249.4M2022-08-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.71372.8018+3.25%3.8811+43.02%0.4758✓0.981.0M2022-08-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23560.243252+3.25%0.2219-5.81%0.1357✓1.4892k2022-08-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.32150.33246+3.41%0.36085+12.24%0.2611✓1.17400k2022-08-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.10980.113564+3.43%0.0924-15.85%0.0072✓1.30491k2022-08-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3487630.360774+3.44%0.305285-12.47%0.0336✓1.311.0M2022-08-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.223619+3.53%0.174-19.44%0.0190✓1.51786k2022-08-29
ADACardanoCardano0.52670.545393+3.55%0.4505-14.47%0.0003✓1.2543.2M2022-08-29
KCSKuCoinnative10.18310.5752+3.85%9.1-10.64%0.0160✓1.082.6M2022-08-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004370.004539+3.87%0.00407-6.86%0.0928✓1.32103k2022-08-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1196680.124368+3.93%0.105918-11.49%0.0083✓0.996.8M2022-08-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.321581+4.07%0.283-8.41%0.0317✓1.04766k2022-08-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.267174+4.16%0.2484-3.16%0.0924✓1.0863k2022-08-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016440.001713+4.19%0.001529-7.00%0.0436✓1.0216k2022-08-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4672.5759+4.42%4.203+70.37%0.6306✓0.92105k2022-08-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.405530.423462+4.42%0.3476-14.29%0.0120✓1.21118k2022-08-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,650.1324,697.79+4.43%20,286.97-14.22%0.0433✓1.00427.9M2022-08-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3380.352982+4.43%0.2981-11.80%0.0044✓1.137.7M2022-08-29
BTTCBTTC9.40e-79.82e-7+4.50%8.90e-7-5.32%0.0290✓0.836.0M2022-08-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069720.00729+4.55%0.006696-3.96%0.0024✓0.5439k2022-08-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28810.301248+4.56%0.3223+11.87%0.2419✓1.1475k2022-08-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06710.070197+4.62%0.0617-8.05%0.0359✓1.08351k2022-08-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24350.254816+4.65%0.2102-13.68%0.0037✓1.23101k2022-08-29
TRXTRONTron0.0690340.072641+5.22%0.063437-8.11%0.0174✓0.77376k2022-08-29
DASHDashDash50.7153.4004+5.31%47.46-6.41%0.0519✓1.11574k2022-08-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0695750.073551+5.71%0.063828-8.26%0.0340✓1.151.7M2022-08-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08740.092495+5.83%0.0843-3.55%0.0934✓1.216,3652022-08-29
NANOnanopayBase1.01461.0748+5.93%0.918733-9.44%0.0096✓0.9658k2022-08-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7240.767048+5.95%0.989+36.60%0.4410✓1.22776k2022-08-29
XVGVergenative0.003630.00385+6.05%0.00301-17.08%0.0458✓1.31566k2022-08-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166140.17623+6.07%0.13956-16.00%0.0039✓1.55207k2022-08-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04520.048014+6.23%0.0373-17.48%0.0471✓1.347,5232022-08-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.009582+6.35%0.00649-27.97%0.2490✗0.921.6M2022-08-29
ZECZcashZcash65.1369.323+6.44%63.75-2.12%0.1086✓1.251.5M2022-08-29
STXStacksnative0.43030.458399+6.53%0.3701-13.99%0.0229✓1.25613k2022-08-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.14191.2188+6.73%1.0621-6.99%0.0256✓1.0643k2022-08-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14780.15821+7.04%0.148+0.14%0.1238✓1.2488k2022-08-29
GTGateEthereum4.44444.7826+7.61%4.397-1.07%0.0276✓0.73947k2022-08-29
PROPropyEthereum0.750.807603+7.68%0.74-1.33%0.0055✓0.6179k2022-08-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05165.4424+7.74%5.2836+4.59%0.0028✓0.21210k2022-08-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05570.060356+8.36%0.0525-5.75%0.0802✓1.43140k2022-08-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.570.627538+10.09%0.4607-19.18%0.1345✗1.14350k2022-08-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0780.086667+11.11%0.1032+32.31%0.3011✓0.82148k2022-08-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061490.006952+13.05%0.005874-4.47%0.0306✓0.909,1592022-08-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.