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2022-07-29 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2748
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.73%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.5%
in alpha space · 38.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.8431.6104-12.62%1.054-42.81%0.0377✓1.971.1M2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.3933.0828-9.14%5.5537+63.68%0.7623✗0.891.0M2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.5337.5388-7.38%30.93-23.69%0.0828✗1.411.3M2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4116.279-6.50%16.67-4.25%0.1953✗0.882.4M2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011340.010655-6.04%0.00825-27.25%0.0089✓1.26355k2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96780.9134-5.62%0.7842-18.97%0.1670✗1.63205k2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,870.2710,304.41-5.21%8,473.37-22.05%0.0757✗1.394.0M2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8330.791687-4.96%0.489-41.30%0.1914✓1.482,9182022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.043.8443-4.85%2.966-26.58%0.0805✗1.743.8M2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.088030.083865-4.73%0.06897-21.65%0.0660✗1.3428k2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.4422.3697-4.57%37.2+58.70%0.7794✗1.38534k2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42951.3647-4.53%0.9934-30.51%0.0239✓1.506.1M2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum106.29101.7324-4.29%92.31-13.15%0.1016✗1.024.2M2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.622.5091-4.23%2.08-20.61%0.0229✓1.07175k2022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52130.499529-4.18%0.32-38.62%0.2495✓1.00234k2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.32080.30776-4.06%0.2638-17.77%0.0668✗1.13309k2022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.545.3187-3.99%5.16-6.86%0.0905✗0.62786k2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.088.7246-3.91%7.2-20.70%0.0746✗1.36256k2022-08-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11261.0717-3.67%–pending––1.0412k2022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000990.000095428-3.61%0.0001251+26.36%0.6556✗1.96646k2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.079620.076819-3.52%0.06229-21.77%0.0848✗1.50768k2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95162.8482-3.50%5.4352+84.14%0.7976✗0.77941k2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.694.5478-3.03%4.34-7.46%0.0929✗0.71759k2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.067.8271-2.89%6.275-22.15%0.0246✓1.255.5M2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum7.647.4217-2.86%4.82-36.91%0.1583✓1.401.0M2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum9.0858.8336-2.77%5.739-36.83%0.1574✓1.407.0M2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.53710.522446-2.73%0.5282-1.66%0.2378✗1.161.5M2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5290.514924-2.66%0.412-22.12%0.0015✓1.1513k2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.485590.472937-2.61%0.36304-25.24%0.1124✓0.7855k2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.659.423-2.35%8.09-16.17%0.0499✓0.521.0M2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0532.006-2.29%1.36-33.76%0.1085✓1.43220k2022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum36.7235.9063-2.22%29.26-20.32%0.1740✗1.93194k2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6314.3074-2.20%11.33-22.56%0.0503✗1.451.6M2022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5212.2537-2.13%9.51-24.04%0.0154✓1.22241k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum4.664.5615-2.11%2.9825-36.00%0.2105✓1.0932k2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5214.4297-2.02%5.809+28.49%0.3777✗0.542.0M2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.870395-1.98%0.645-27.36%0.0382✗1.735.2M2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.17280.169415-1.96%0.1182-31.60%0.1127✓1.262.9M2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum58.6957.5665-1.91%43.85-25.29%0.0005✓1.3928k2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3862.3429-1.81%1.511-36.67%0.1612✓1.42169k2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8513.7845-1.73%3.876+0.65%0.1964✗0.88754k2022-08-28
FISStafiEthereum0.40.393257-1.69%–pending––0.922142022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18350.180437-1.67%0.15977-12.93%0.3327✗2.321,1272022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029960.029539-1.40%0.02162-27.84%0.0123✓1.5311.5M2022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5482-1.39%1.39-11.46%0.0599✓0.24268k2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.9820.969359-1.29%0.6463-34.19%0.0612✓1.76516k2022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8613.8196-1.07%4.096+6.09%0.1864✗0.601.5M2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.8611.8445-0.89%1.733-6.88%0.0610✗0.63223k2022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0497230.049285-0.88%0.042995-13.53%0.0960✗1.1935k2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7630.757881-0.67%0.631-17.30%0.0102✗0.99360k2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5124.3593-0.61%18.53-24.40%0.0388✗1.5927.5M2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.04531.039-0.60%0.84626-19.04%0.0105✗1.109,6842022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration63.8763.4945-0.59%45.4-28.92%0.1036✓1.18257k2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97060.965558-0.52%0.9334-3.83%0.1418✗0.903.9M2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9840.979044-0.50%1.201+22.05%0.4338✗1.171.2M2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17111.1222-0.44%10.559-5.48%0.2158✗1.3715.1M2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.034050.033918-0.39%0.0242-28.93%0.0811✓1.311,3182022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.019090.019017-0.38%0.022963+20.29%0.2850✗0.49165k2022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8033.7886-0.38%3.998+5.13%0.1917✗0.70670k2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.972.9592-0.36%1.95-34.34%0.1183✓1.53192k2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09350.093217-0.30%0.08638-7.61%0.0244✓0.26910k2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47250.471195-0.28%0.3261-30.98%0.0796✓1.47220k2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02553.0192-0.21%2.0034-33.78%0.1021✓1.5711k2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.676.6623-0.12%4.649-30.30%0.0292✓1.6911.5M2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.12920.129232+0.02%0.2102+62.69%0.7025✓1.10617k2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,722.251,723.07+0.05%1,426.63-17.16%0.0577✓1.26387.0M2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.20330.203588+0.14%0.1381-32.07%0.1201✗1.371,5612022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077660.077811+0.20%0.06712-13.57%0.0036✗0.741,2712022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62090.624608+0.60%0.4996-19.54%0.0046✓1.16624k2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.155.181+0.60%5.87+13.98%0.2446✓0.61587k2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8877.9379+0.65%6.251-20.74%0.0082✓1.2616.2M2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.668590.672908+0.65%0.52437-21.57%0.0477✓1.5279k2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,827.5023,986.30+0.67%19,646.40-17.55%0.0079✗0.9819k2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.5105+0.70%1.0043-33.05%0.1266✗1.441.0M2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7122.7322+0.75%1.828-32.60%0.0580✗1.7692k2022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana41.9442.2661+0.78%30.45-27.40%0.0612✗1.3681.8M2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16430.165611+0.80%0.1337-18.62%0.0316✓1.25411k2022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2230.224873+0.84%0.1592-28.61%0.0727✗1.391,0652022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12730.128378+0.85%0.0992-22.07%0.0113✓1.372.5M2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1310.132121+0.86%0.0996-23.97%0.0885✗0.995,4502022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum31.0931.4163+1.05%25.35-18.46%0.0278✗0.9510.8M2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49820.503761+1.12%0.3673-26.27%0.0962✗1.1242k2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.956.0173+1.13%6.04+1.51%0.1338✓0.66554k2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.6794+1.17%1.23-25.90%0.0416✗1.38114k2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8482.8816+1.18%1.944-31.74%0.1147✗1.4243k2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.264584+1.18%0.261-0.19%0.0114✓0.0130k2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.068244+1.25%0.0554-17.80%0.0208✗0.96183k2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum95.696.804+1.26%78.57-17.81%0.1167✓1.6610.0M2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative1.8661.89+1.29%1.692-9.32%0.1388✓1.27382k2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.8711.8969+1.38%1.6-14.48%0.0788✓1.27626k2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.24760.251104+1.42%0.2183-11.83%0.0833✓1.14643k2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6030.612657+1.60%0.488-19.07%0.0466✓1.4084k2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.039423+1.61%0.0345-11.08%0.1054✓1.2268k2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.163.2118+1.64%2.33-26.27%0.2232✗0.5082k2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV65.86966.998+1.71%51.793-21.37%0.0915✗0.85398k2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047210.04802+1.72%0.04418-6.42%0.0932✓0.9015k2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3281.3509+1.72%0.9332-29.73%0.1269✗1.241.2M2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150550.015317+1.74%0.013002-13.64%0.0093✓0.881.2M2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.77e-7+1.79%8.60e-7-10.42%0.0682✓1.0025k2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.7161.8077+1.81%53.38-12.07%0.0801✓1.1613.5M2022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2618.5962+1.84%13.16-27.93%0.0804✗1.351.3M2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000011962+1.89%0.00001177+0.26%0.2261✓1.24951k2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero160.25163.443+1.99%146.4-8.64%0.1046✓1.101.3M2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.6741.708+2.03%1.192-28.79%0.0761✗1.45316k2022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05580.056961+2.08%0.0455-18.46%0.0302✓1.30787k2022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.056003+2.19%0.0419-23.54%0.0480✗1.24263k2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021890.022373+2.21%0.020386-6.87%0.0989✓0.989,0542022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61461.6505+2.22%1.6656+3.16%0.2885✓1.43609k2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.28132.3337+2.30%1.7152-24.81%0.0652✗1.2424k2022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4394.5419+2.32%12.382+178.94%1.1175✓0.591.2M2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971150.994052+2.36%0.74832-22.94%0.0243✗1.33431k2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0611.0862+2.37%0.7744-27.01%0.0606✗1.421.4M2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08870.090995+2.59%0.0619-30.21%0.1517✗1.19155k2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021770.022335+2.60%0.02214+1.70%0.1936✓1.03149k2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.67e-7+2.61%7.78e-7+117.71%0.9366✓0.94193k2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018940.019436+2.62%0.01478-21.96%0.1262✗0.75258k2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11720.120315+2.66%0.1013-13.57%0.0366✓1.07352k2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.320010.328569+2.67%0.29294-8.46%0.1422✓1.3111k2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.13883+2.68%0.1202-11.09%0.0506✓0.993.5M2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash151.84155.9656+2.72%112.59-25.85%0.0930✗1.193.9M2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029850.030673+2.76%0.03552+18.99%0.3907✓1.2514k2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase18.1318.6354+2.79%14.8-18.37%0.0395✓1.38108k2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3491.3874+2.85%1.129-16.31%0.0420✓1.272.4M2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009410.009679+2.86%0.00848-9.88%0.0580✓0.974.7M2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83212.9133+2.87%3.6555+29.07%0.4184✓0.98917k2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.429780.442702+3.01%0.31363-27.03%0.0717✗1.39592k2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010830.001116+3.01%0.001346+24.25%0.4394✓1.291.6M2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase14.214.641+3.11%12.062-15.06%0.0375✓1.1870k2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.9683.0603+3.11%2.607-12.16%0.0573✓1.11619k2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003160.00326+3.16%0.002987-5.47%0.1094✓1.00999k2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.221917+3.22%0.164-23.72%0.0068✓1.51786k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0561280.057988+3.31%0.044396-20.90%0.1485✗0.6120k2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.064729+3.40%0.0582-7.03%0.1683✓1.40339k2022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12980.134223+3.41%0.1184-8.78%0.1261✓1.2849k2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000044990.000046548+3.46%0.00004676+3.93%0.2330✓1.171.8M2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42260.437501+3.53%0.34-19.55%0.0099✓1.34104k2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23720.245871+3.66%0.2134-10.03%0.1480✓1.4892k2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3090.320321+3.66%0.2731-11.62%0.0729✓1.192.8M2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7710.800488+3.82%0.525-31.91%0.1284✗1.5080k2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1868.5039+3.88%6.861-16.19%0.0298✓1.259.4M2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004390.004569+4.07%0.00393-10.48%0.1072✓1.32103k2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015070.001569+4.13%0.001503-0.27%0.1544✓1.0116k2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408430.42541+4.16%0.32806-19.68%0.0222✓1.21118k2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.760.791907+4.20%0.645-15.13%0.0373✓1.24205k2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5372.6437+4.21%4.106+61.84%0.6209✓0.92105k2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.52220.544628+4.29%0.4291-17.83%0.0065✓1.2543.2M2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043230.045094+4.31%0.03732-13.67%0.0017✓0.962,4262022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3311780.345501+4.32%0.291277-12.05%0.0829✓1.291.0M2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10810.112836+4.38%0.0854-21.00%0.0226✓1.31491k2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.19710.6471+4.41%8.816-13.54%0.0239✓1.092.6M2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1177330.123066+4.53%0.102736-12.74%0.0144✓1.006.8M2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069910.007312+4.59%0.006708-4.05%0.0181✓0.5339k2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.94e-7+4.64%8.50e-7-10.53%0.0071✓0.845.9M2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24430.25582+4.72%0.2024-17.15%0.0065✓1.23101k2022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.70931.7943+4.98%1.426-16.57%0.0159✓1.25492k2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06920.072655+4.99%0.0604-12.72%0.0243✓1.07308k2022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29210.306855+5.05%0.3044+4.21%0.2141✓1.1375k2022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.315140.331067+5.05%0.36389+15.47%0.3232✓1.17407k2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,784.5025,004.06+5.13%19,554.03-17.79%0.0500✗1.00439.9M2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.318577+5.14%0.275-9.24%0.0566✓1.04766k2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33680.354154+5.15%0.2823-16.18%0.0043✓1.147.7M2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.929824+5.18%0.84-4.98%0.0366✓0.711.3M2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.1730.182373+5.42%0.13172-23.86%0.0235✓1.54207k2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.26529+5.44%0.2362-6.12%0.0950✓1.0863k2022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0692960.073121+5.52%0.061392-11.41%0.0207✓0.79376k2022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0689470.072842+5.65%0.06175-10.44%0.0598✓1.151.7M2022-08-28
DASHDashDash50.6153.6462+6.00%44.14-12.78%0.0231✓1.11594k2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.003660.003885+6.15%0.00289-21.04%0.0395✓1.31539k2022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9929391.0558+6.33%0.862501-13.14%0.0127✓0.9758k2022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.048708+6.35%0.0357-22.05%0.0484✓1.347,1312022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9666.3458+6.37%5.639-5.48%0.0939✓1.082.1M2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.009526+6.80%0.00642-28.03%0.2159✗0.911.6M2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17315.5259+6.82%5.175+0.04%0.0250✓0.21210k2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.43040.461209+7.16%0.3529-18.01%0.0231✓1.25606k2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash63.568.0841+7.22%61.17-3.67%0.1404✓1.261.5M2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7150.767226+7.30%0.916+28.11%0.4142✓1.21806k2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.12781.2111+7.39%1.0384-7.92%0.0547✓1.0643k2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.790.84979+7.57%0.73-7.59%0.0334✓0.6179k2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14940.160879+7.68%0.1396-6.56%0.1016✓1.2488k2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0870.09391+7.94%0.0792-8.97%0.0673✓1.216,3652022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.39224.771+8.62%4.3228-1.58%0.0430✓0.72986k2022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.059762+8.86%0.0493-10.20%0.0899✓1.44119k2022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56510.62648+10.86%0.4349-23.04%0.1421✗1.14350k2022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07950.088241+10.99%0.0981+23.40%0.2680✓0.83148k2022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062090.007068+13.84%0.005519-11.11%0.0737✓0.897,2112022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.