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2022-07-15 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2055
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.82%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.8%
in alpha space · 39.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+16.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83940.767289-8.59%1.0019+19.36%0.0171✓1.61192k2022-08-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.581167-8.48%0.753+18.58%0.0271✓1.503,6872022-08-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000107430.000099075-7.78%0.00010014-6.79%0.2911✓1.95682k2022-08-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174570.164917-5.53%0.1917+9.81%0.2752✓2.758962022-08-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.563.3691-5.36%5.06+42.13%0.2937✗0.73572k2022-08-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.738064-5.25%0.874+12.20%0.1176✓1.857.5M2022-08-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.089921-4.31%0.08572-8.78%0.2027✓1.00394k2022-08-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.920.88073-4.27%0.981+6.63%0.1704✓1.80528k2022-08-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.25327-4.25%0.2996+13.27%0.0493✓1.40439k2022-08-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.683460.655247-4.13%0.71015+3.91%0.1732✓1.64131k2022-08-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.913.7533-4.01%5.42+38.62%0.2689✗0.64672k2022-08-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2563.1329-3.78%4.102+25.98%0.1703✗0.642.1M2022-08-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47310.455542-3.71%0.5344+12.96%0.0114✓1.1052k2022-08-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8313.6912-3.65%4.154+8.43%0.0053✓0.80488k2022-08-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.0738-3.64%2.98-6.58%0.1015✓0.4678k2022-08-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5452.4527-3.63%3.821+50.14%0.1740✗1.743.7M2022-08-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.463960.447128-3.63%0.40475-12.76%0.3343✓1.52945k2022-08-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3960.381906-3.56%0.534+34.85%0.1634✗1.119,9052022-08-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.613.4828-3.52%6.354+76.01%0.5174✗0.542.1M2022-08-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.40e-7-3.49%0.00000101+16.09%0.0298✓1.0033k2022-08-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30132.2228-3.41%3.077+33.71%0.0745✗1.624,8022022-08-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.01880.985229-3.29%1.2058+18.36%0.0250✓1.144,5462022-08-14
OPTIMOptimism0.4830.467122-3.29%1.44+198.14%0.8633✗1.701.2M2022-08-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.388830.376131-3.27%0.44475+14.38%0.0254✓1.25128k2022-08-14
DIADIAEthereum0.406450.393402-3.21%0.49265+21.21%0.1077✗0.7654k2022-08-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80140.777122-3.03%1.1212+39.91%0.2085✗1.024.1M2022-08-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5316.0393-2.97%39.27+137.57%0.6382✗1.66421k2022-08-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39680.385363-2.88%0.4793+20.79%0.0252✓1.57197k2022-08-14
FISStafiEthereum0.38250.371493-2.88%0.4905+28.24%0.1230✗1.004832022-08-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7214.298-2.87%21.24+44.29%0.2433✗0.981.7M2022-08-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.071441-2.80%0.0721-1.90%0.1474✓1.01181k2022-08-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08630.083891-2.79%0.0854-1.04%0.1781✓1.26171k2022-08-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.4841.4434-2.73%2.039+37.40%0.1906✗1.00180k2022-08-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0361.9808-2.71%2.187+7.42%0.1322✓1.49112k2022-08-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.5092-2.63%1.5-3.23%0.0456✓0.26485k2022-08-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074630.072684-2.61%0.08115+8.74%0.0179✓0.831,9712022-08-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026870.026183-2.56%0.03229+20.17%0.0184✓1.471,7332022-08-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.4070.396681-2.54%0.5199+27.74%0.1156✗1.00202k2022-08-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17910.17494-2.32%0.2112+17.92%0.0400✓1.472,7232022-08-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0360.035169-2.31%0.0428+18.89%0.0019✓1.2695k2022-08-14
QNTQuantEthereum104.42102.0096-2.31%118.61+13.59%0.0079✓1.022.6M2022-08-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018090.017722-2.03%0.01762-2.60%0.1255✓0.77381k2022-08-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.766.6231-2.02%8.97+32.69%0.2261✗0.50657k2022-08-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.10671.0844-2.02%1.3892+25.53%0.0256✗1.434.2M2022-08-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0170930.016751-2.00%0.019846+16.11%0.0890✗0.52179k2022-08-14
METISMetisEthereum23.4923.0269-1.97%43.26+84.16%0.4757✗1.00127k2022-08-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060290.059103-1.97%0.0883+46.46%0.1867✗1.3925k2022-08-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2061.1841-1.82%1.341+11.19%0.0570✓1.171.4M2022-08-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0208250.020448-1.81%0.025582+22.84%0.0682✗1.011,2172022-08-14
HIVEHivenative0.43260.42526-1.70%0.6213+43.62%0.1838✗1.261.2M2022-08-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2080.204569-1.65%0.225+8.17%0.1475✓1.57964k2022-08-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023470.023089-1.62%0.02926+24.67%0.0176✓1.6416.9M2022-08-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.89880.884561-1.58%1.4588+62.31%0.3082✗1.24838k2022-08-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.92251.8925-1.56%3.6932+92.10%0.5338✗0.87845k2022-08-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.8361.8082-1.52%2.387+30.01%0.0754✗1.31816k2022-08-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.812210.80052-1.44%1.207+48.61%0.2743✗0.883642022-08-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045240.044589-1.44%0.05538+22.41%0.0743✗0.925,7282022-08-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5010.493898-1.42%0.699+39.52%0.1317✗1.3985k2022-08-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.17710.174592-1.42%0.2284+28.97%0.0547✗1.382,2022022-08-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.288960.284901-1.40%0.36752+27.19%0.0450✗1.353,2762022-08-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30345.2329-1.33%5.1274-3.32%0.0488✓0.18335k2022-08-14
XEMNEMnative0.0404450.039911-1.32%0.053806+33.03%0.1205✗1.1515k2022-08-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.6776-1.31%2.55+50.00%0.2460✗1.12117k2022-08-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.847240.836137-1.31%1.0735+26.71%0.0426✗1.34411k2022-08-14
DODODODOEthereum0.14630.144398-1.30%0.171+16.88%0.0334✓1.312.8M2022-08-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.257617-1.30%0.2611+0.04%0.1415✓1.0037k2022-08-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1560.154086-1.23%0.1842+18.08%0.0292✓1.34349k2022-08-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.3021-1.20%3.06+31.33%0.0435✗1.56216k2022-08-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90110.890321-1.20%1.0962+21.65%0.0170✓1.451.4M2022-08-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.7342.7026-1.15%3.865+41.37%0.1837✗1.12534k2022-08-14
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6014.5482-1.15%6.368+38.40%0.0654✗1.7512.2M2022-08-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1972.1728-1.10%2.773+26.22%0.0237✗1.4247k2022-08-14
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2954.6895-1.09%63.04+14.02%0.0716✓1.3829k2022-08-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3332.308-1.07%3.944+69.05%0.3944✗0.9188k2022-08-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.7816.7086-1.07%8.882+30.98%0.0662✗1.385.6M2022-08-14
AAVEAaveEthereum90.4189.4609-1.05%107.44+18.84%0.0776✓1.6810.2M2022-08-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4511.4358-1.05%1.939+33.63%0.0700✗1.49182k2022-08-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.5932.567-1.00%3.446+32.90%0.1203✗1.12830k2022-08-14
XVSVenusEthereum5.165.1094-0.98%6.42+24.42%0.0019✓1.461.2M2022-08-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.374.3279-0.96%6.12+40.05%0.2472✗0.64555k2022-08-14
TRXTRONTron0.0670240.066403-0.93%0.070349+4.96%0.0688✓0.82433k2022-08-14
KSMKusamaHydration54.3753.8729-0.91%58.87+8.28%0.0940✓1.18235k2022-08-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122360.012125-0.91%0.015677+28.12%0.1301✗0.821.2M2022-08-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0519240.05146-0.89%0.056453+8.72%0.0040✓0.6214k2022-08-14
STEEMSteemnative0.20010.19834-0.88%0.2723+36.08%0.1313✗1.20705k2022-08-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8136.7561-0.84%8.001+17.44%0.0365✓1.335.5M2022-08-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050590.050178-0.81%0.09281+83.46%0.3871✗1.47778k2022-08-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.41.3887-0.81%1.48+5.71%0.1738✓1.53768k2022-08-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.373724-0.74%0.4837+28.47%0.0513✗1.3382k2022-08-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.118529-0.73%0.1641+37.44%0.1683✗1.013.9M2022-08-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49540.4919-0.71%0.6094+23.01%0.0274✗1.21491k2022-08-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2691.2601-0.71%1.445+13.87%0.0666✓1.312.5M2022-08-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.56e-7-0.70%4.26e-7+18.73%0.0111✗1.08392k2022-08-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019390.019264-0.65%0.02573+32.70%0.1259✗1.0699k2022-08-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2522.2378-0.63%3.5378+57.10%0.3334✗0.80922k2022-08-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10810.107428-0.62%0.1308+21.00%0.0456✗0.986,6852022-08-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6670.663147-0.58%0.887+32.98%0.0948✗1.27120k2022-08-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.04783-0.56%0.0541+12.47%0.0698✓1.25257k2022-08-14
FTTFTXEthereum26.7826.6307-0.56%30.84+15.16%0.0012✓0.9410.7M2022-08-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.823.8006-0.51%5.932+55.29%0.3482✗0.631.6M2022-08-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.10080.100379-0.42%0.1166+15.67%0.0625✓1.37547k2022-08-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3519.27-0.41%28.19+45.68%0.1417✗1.5425.2M2022-08-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9713.9138-0.40%18.56+32.86%0.0776✗1.361.3M2022-08-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.07170.071413-0.40%0.0765+6.69%0.1533✓1.43299k2022-08-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41591.4103-0.40%1.6481+16.40%0.0652✓1.43651k2022-08-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.008975-0.39%0.00825-8.44%0.2267✓0.921.2M2022-08-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12790.127441-0.36%0.1477+15.48%0.0597✓1.3434k2022-08-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8882140.88577-0.28%1.0568+18.98%0.0187✗1.0268k2022-08-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,152.706,136.11-0.27%11,226.83+82.47%0.3964✗1.344.2M2022-08-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27060.269932-0.25%0.3467+28.12%0.0655✗1.193.0M2022-08-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24030.23979-0.21%0.4118+71.37%0.3639✗1.1433k2022-08-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.43352.3315-0.19%62.391+18.99%0.0460✗0.84410k2022-08-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.625.6106-0.17%10.26+82.56%0.3922✗1.36256k2022-08-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010840.000010827-0.12%0.00001688+55.72%0.2512✗1.251.1M2022-08-14
XECeCashnative0.000039220.000039182-0.10%0.00004614+17.64%0.0240✓1.211.9M2022-08-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32750.327209-0.09%0.3642+11.21%0.0760✓1.188.3M2022-08-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,161.6021,144.62-0.08%24,209.70+14.40%0.0178✓0.9943k2022-08-14
STXStacksnative0.38290.382611-0.08%0.4917+28.41%0.0548✗1.27405k2022-08-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10640.10635-0.05%0.1284+20.68%0.0182✗1.10380k2022-08-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.0589.0612+0.04%11.588+27.93%0.0363✓1.3512.7M2022-08-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4305+0.04%1.75+22.38%0.0255✗1.47153k2022-08-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027280.027299+0.07%0.04879+78.85%0.3825✓1.2819k2022-08-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.84.8044+0.09%6.17+28.54%0.1462✓0.67609k2022-08-14
FLOWFlownative1.5461.5476+0.10%2.832+83.18%0.4165✓1.21287k2022-08-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6530.653686+0.11%0.839+28.48%0.1024✓0.95405k2022-08-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.311360.311737+0.12%0.37655+20.94%0.0068✗1.26411k2022-08-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.568.571+0.13%11.81+37.97%0.1363✓1.19288k2022-08-14
PROPropyEthereum0.810.811289+0.16%0.81+0.00%0.1166✗0.74111k2022-08-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23020.230577+0.16%0.2693+16.99%0.0397✗1.26167k2022-08-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7690.770314+0.17%0.932+21.20%0.0692✓0.781.3M2022-08-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097060.000972567+0.20%0.001432+47.49%0.1878✓1.281.8M2022-08-14
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.00391+0.24%0.00499+27.95%0.0347✓1.35136k2022-08-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067390.006757+0.26%0.00672-0.28%0.0943✗0.5772k2022-08-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2941580.294949+0.27%0.374117+27.18%0.0421✓1.261.7M2022-08-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04950.049657+0.32%0.067+35.35%0.0889✓1.36837k2022-08-14
DASHDashDash43.2443.3801+0.32%55.08+27.38%0.0669✓1.11623k2022-08-14
ZENHorizenBase16.0316.0926+0.39%20.14+25.64%0.0047✓1.4274k2022-08-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009190.009228+0.41%0.01037+12.84%0.0424✗1.034.9M2022-08-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.062970.063233+0.42%0.0817+29.74%0.0679✓1.222.0M2022-08-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006420.006449+0.45%0.00865+34.74%0.1400✓0.99390k2022-08-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43932.4522+0.53%3.1608+29.58%0.0988✓1.001.1M2022-08-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1074120.107993+0.54%0.125646+16.98%0.0045✓1.017.4M2022-08-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04950.049796+0.60%0.0703+42.02%0.1161✓1.48102k2022-08-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3216.3596+0.61%8.77+38.74%0.1268✓1.2619.3M2022-08-14
BANDBandEthereum1.3661.3744+0.62%1.732+26.79%0.0055✓1.46385k2022-08-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.7652.0909+0.64%63.17+22.04%0.0114✓1.1715.4M2022-08-14
SOLSolanaSolana37.3737.6194+0.67%44.89+20.12%0.0286✗1.3383.9M2022-08-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.23760.239189+0.67%0.2868+20.71%0.0111✓1.1060k2022-08-14
QTUMQtumQtum2.78182.8018+0.72%4.1906+50.65%0.2325✓1.1026k2022-08-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7946.8445+0.74%8.955+31.81%0.0781✓1.239.6M2022-08-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.0615.1839+0.82%41.57+176.03%0.8247✓1.181.2M2022-08-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027970.00282+0.84%0.00419+49.80%0.2346✓1.041.2M2022-08-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.10580.106718+0.87%0.1811+71.17%0.3578✓1.10549k2022-08-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04090.041256+0.87%0.0472+15.40%0.0749✗1.357,6892022-08-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.83112.9456+0.89%16.2019+26.27%0.0390✓1.20242k2022-08-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.76811.7843+0.92%2.3122+30.78%0.0671✓1.2434k2022-08-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.141271+0.98%0.1716+22.66%0.0002✓1.2593k2022-08-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1772.2+1.05%2.808+28.98%0.0180✗1.6984k2022-08-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128940.130342+1.09%0.1773+37.51%0.0574✓1.62155k2022-08-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2265.2857+1.14%8.235+57.58%0.2682✓1.131.8M2022-08-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.04781.0603+1.19%1.2606+20.30%0.0041✓1.0948k2022-08-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.219.3244+1.24%14.53+57.76%0.2179✓1.461.1M2022-08-14
XTZTezosTezos1.57431.5942+1.26%1.8226+15.77%0.0639✗1.28555k2022-08-14
XVGVergenative0.003440.003484+1.29%0.00403+17.15%0.0641✗1.35664k2022-08-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.288906+1.37%0.327+14.74%0.0362✗1.03575k2022-08-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056970.00578+1.46%0.006713+17.84%0.0072✓0.923,0112022-08-14
GTGateEthereum4.00674.0677+1.52%5.0549+26.16%0.1065✓0.711.0M2022-08-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,827.5521,148.32+1.54%24,316.71+16.75%0.0153✓1.00447.1M2022-08-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09860.100255+1.68%0.1393+41.28%0.1199✓1.352.5M2022-08-14
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.86e-7+1.80%0.00000101+16.09%0.0002✓0.855.7M2022-08-14
XMRMoneroMonero138.94141.4529+1.81%168.04+20.94%0.0036✓1.141.3M2022-08-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09070.092345+1.81%0.1275+40.57%0.1962✓0.82145k2022-08-14
ADACardanoCardano0.44190.45113+2.09%0.5701+29.01%0.0376✓1.2746.2M2022-08-14
ZECZcashZcash58.3759.5904+2.09%73.71+26.28%0.0074✓1.331.6M2022-08-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6130.62611+2.14%0.7+14.19%0.1252✗1.53112k2022-08-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.054309+2.28%0.0809+52.35%0.2773✓0.78204k2022-08-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.07108.5772+2.36%139.45+31.47%0.0766✓1.124.3M2022-08-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,231.101,262.20+2.53%1,935.85+57.25%0.2426✓1.20326.5M2022-08-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07640.078428+2.65%0.0995+30.24%0.0470✓1.236,9262022-08-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.199.4476+2.80%10.646+15.84%0.0528✗1.112.4M2022-08-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5770.593288+2.82%1.008+74.70%0.3434✓1.21867k2022-08-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19830.204061+2.90%0.2555+28.85%0.0021✓1.47117k2022-08-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46710.488827+4.65%0.5947+27.32%0.0219✓1.12294k2022-08-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.