8=======>

2022-06-15 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1318
171 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.8%
in alpha space · 53.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.69%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.760.789867+3.93%0.4671-38.54%0.4382✗1.0971k2022-07-15
COMPCompoundEthereum35.5236.8903+3.86%55.29+55.66%0.5219✓1.4728k2022-07-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18550.192169+3.60%0.1983+6.90%0.1495✓1.48196k2022-07-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,347.815,536.83+3.53%6,152.70+15.05%0.2093✓1.303.7M2022-07-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.9866.162+2.94%6.813+13.82%0.2160✓1.4411.1M2022-07-15
XMRMoneroMonero118.21121.6433+2.90%138.94+17.54%0.2243✓1.141.7M2022-07-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,236.451,271.32+2.82%1,231.10-0.43%0.0564✓1.11365.6M2022-07-15
AAVEAaveEthereum66.5968.4599+2.81%90.41+35.77%0.4122✓1.687.7M2022-07-15
XVGVergenative0.003310.003402+2.77%0.00344+3.93%0.1293✓1.48648k2022-07-15
MOVRMoonriverBase15.050415.4349+2.55%12.831-14.75%0.0770✗1.35222k2022-07-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.327.5059+2.54%9.058+23.74%0.2948✓1.3415.2M2022-07-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141960.145457+2.46%0.12894-9.17%0.0115✓1.65260k2022-07-15
XTZTezosTezos1.52691.564+2.43%1.5743+3.10%0.1133✓1.33914k2022-07-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.065755+2.42%0.0531-17.29%0.1516✗0.78313k2022-07-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash127.9130.9273+2.37%106.07-17.07%0.1153✗1.194.4M2022-07-15
BTTCBTTC8.30e-78.49e-7+2.32%8.70e-7+4.82%0.0953✓0.895.5M2022-07-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.274181+2.31%0.285+6.34%0.1276✓1.11890k2022-07-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030530.003123+2.29%0.002797-8.39%0.0162✓1.172.1M2022-07-15
SOLSolanaSolana34.7235.4999+2.25%37.37+7.63%0.1643✓1.41107.4M2022-07-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008820.000009017+2.24%0.00001084+22.90%0.2861✓1.28850k2022-07-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008770.000896455+2.22%0.0009706+10.67%0.1921✓1.412.0M2022-07-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.478.6571+2.21%14.72+73.79%0.6149✓1.05283k2022-07-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.2918.6847+2.16%19.35+5.80%0.1540✓1.4949.3M2022-07-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10850.110767+2.09%0.1279+17.88%0.2615✓1.4749k2022-07-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7680.782984+1.95%1.1067+44.10%0.4576✓1.395.0M2022-07-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.399570.407295+1.93%0.68346+71.05%0.6424✓1.5663k2022-07-15
SCSiacoinnative0.00380.003865+1.72%0.0039+2.63%0.1346✓1.57228k2022-07-15
KCSKuCoinnative11.83212.0336+1.70%9.19-22.33%0.1805✗1.115.3M2022-07-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.6351.4844+1.69%51.76+2.23%0.1016✓1.2017.5M2022-07-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.468.5915+1.55%8.56+1.18%0.0896✓1.17508k2022-07-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070310.007137+1.51%0.006739-4.15%0.0070✓0.81167k2022-07-15
ZECZcashZcash68.5769.6065+1.51%58.37-14.88%0.0670✗1.363.6M2022-07-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.00231.0164+1.40%1.0478+4.54%0.1303✓1.2549k2022-07-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,562.3322,878.01+1.40%20,827.55-7.69%0.0139✗1.00602.3M2022-07-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.87e-73.92e-7+1.38%3.58e-7-7.29%0.0229✗0.831.1M2022-07-15
ADACardanoCardano0.53430.541258+1.30%0.4419-17.29%0.0884✗1.4365.8M2022-07-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.620.627966+1.28%0.8394+35.39%0.3775✓1.0956k2022-07-15
UNIUniswapEthereum4.4154.4711+1.27%6.781+53.59%0.5247✓1.353.2M2022-07-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8816.08+1.26%15.06-5.16%0.0389✓1.302.6M2022-07-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1120.113403+1.25%0.0986-11.96%0.0223✗1.475.4M2022-07-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.9381+1.14%5.226-10.99%0.0191✗1.362.6M2022-07-15
STXStacksnative0.36490.368926+1.10%0.3829+4.93%0.1451✓1.35165k2022-07-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.90.909422+1.05%0.613-31.89%0.2500✗1.81319k2022-07-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21390.216044+1.00%0.2302+7.62%0.1784✓1.44472k2022-07-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.253280.255721+0.96%0.31136+22.93%0.3043✓1.34453k2022-07-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.10270.103615+0.89%0.1058+3.02%0.1201✓1.24852k2022-07-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0032330.003261+0.86%–pending––1.214,5492022-07-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.471.4826+0.86%1.43-2.72%0.0956✓1.65596k2022-07-15
DASHDashDash45.8646.2442+0.84%43.24-5.71%0.0248✓1.15837k2022-07-15
HIVEHivenative0.37880.381972+0.84%0.4326+14.20%0.2410✓1.461.2M2022-07-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6290.634146+0.82%0.653+3.82%0.1140✓1.06372k2022-07-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006930.006985+0.79%0.00642-7.36%0.0021✓1.08582k2022-07-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7880.794155+0.78%0.577-26.78%0.2276✗1.151.0M2022-07-15
NANOnanopayBase0.8806030.887268+0.76%0.888214+0.86%0.0891✓1.10120k2022-07-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.21690.218533+0.75%0.2376+9.54%0.1809✓1.22100k2022-07-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.327.3695+0.68%6.321-13.65%0.0483✗1.3140.5M2022-07-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.13430.135204+0.67%0.1399+4.17%0.1483✓1.43169k2022-07-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0182.0316+0.67%2.177+7.88%0.1956✓1.5897k2022-07-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14440.14535+0.66%0.0907-37.19%0.3927✗0.99256k2022-07-15
QNTQuantEthereum50.851.1189+0.63%104.42+105.55%0.7931✓0.992.0M2022-07-15
DIADIAEthereum0.418440.420951+0.60%0.40645-2.87%0.0185✓0.67276k2022-07-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2740330.275669+0.60%0.294158+7.34%0.1837✓1.482.4M2022-07-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3160.317881+0.60%0.3968+25.57%0.3527✓1.64407k2022-07-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16570.166673+0.59%0.156-5.85%0.0511✓1.47917k2022-07-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03820.038423+0.58%0.0481+25.92%0.3395✓1.44374k2022-07-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,542.4022,673.73+0.58%21,161.60-6.13%0.0100✓0.9929k2022-07-15
SGBSongbirdnative0.02840.02854+0.49%0.026-8.45%0.0563✗0.46145k2022-07-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03050.030631+0.43%0.036+18.03%0.2699✓1.36247k2022-07-15
QTUMQtumQtum2.95662.9679+0.38%2.7818-5.91%0.0315✓1.2041k2022-07-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9541.9609+0.35%2.545+30.25%0.4052✓1.812.9M2022-07-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.17860.179215+0.34%0.1771-0.84%0.0851✓1.213,0802022-07-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.854.8665+0.34%5.62+15.88%0.2593✓1.44405k2022-07-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05850.058695+0.33%0.0735+25.64%0.3218✓1.21139k2022-07-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2851.2889+0.30%2.036+58.44%0.5773✓1.5079k2022-07-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020820.020883+0.30%0.01939-6.87%0.0135✓1.10149k2022-07-15
GTGateEthereum4.40014.4127+0.29%4.0067-8.94%0.0439✗0.662.1M2022-07-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.111.113+0.27%1.4+26.13%0.3573✓1.601.1M2022-07-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.872.8777+0.27%2.734-4.74%0.0384✓1.12663k2022-07-15
XECeCashnative0.000040390.000040484+0.23%0.00003922-2.90%0.0781✓1.373.0M2022-07-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7915.8264+0.23%13.97-11.53%0.0081✗1.462.4M2022-07-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0627140.062803+0.14%0.06297+0.41%0.1041✓1.271.3M2022-07-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10740.107546+0.14%0.0764-28.86%0.2371✗1.314,0262022-07-15
BANDBandEthereum1.571.5721+0.13%1.366-12.99%0.0147✗1.57374k2022-07-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28590.286192+0.10%0.2706-5.35%0.0470✓1.296.1M2022-07-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.690.690565+0.08%0.667-3.33%0.0754✓1.38578k2022-07-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.02652.0272+0.03%1.7681-12.75%0.0275✗1.3768k2022-07-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.102726+0.02%0.1064+3.60%0.1303✓1.19733k2022-07-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028050.028056+0.02%0.02728-2.75%0.0843✓1.4018k2022-07-15
RADRadworksEthereum1.631.6297-0.02%1.7+4.29%0.1413✗1.24270k2022-07-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24230.242191-0.04%0.2403-0.83%0.0982✗1.3231k2022-07-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.720.719447-0.08%0.8988+24.83%0.3390✗1.46195k2022-07-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.098418-0.08%0.1008+2.34%0.1462✗1.531.2M2022-07-15
FTTFTXEthereum25.5625.5299-0.12%26.78+4.77%0.1217✗0.929.4M2022-07-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.6810.679961-0.15%0.92+35.10%0.4486✗1.831.8M2022-07-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.345357-0.19%0.396+14.45%0.2327✗1.2015k2022-07-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41190.411081-0.20%0.3765-8.59%0.0357✗1.54160k2022-07-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3111.3084-0.20%1.451+10.68%0.2421✗1.73231k2022-07-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068820.006867-0.22%0.005697-17.22%0.1008✓1.072,5562022-07-15
ZENHorizenBase16.0816.0443-0.22%16.03-0.31%0.1156✗1.4665k2022-07-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.049770.049652-0.24%0.06029+21.14%0.3049✗1.3870k2022-07-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05980.059656-0.24%0.0495-17.22%0.0680✓1.481.7M2022-07-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1210180.120701-0.26%0.107412-11.24%0.0289✓1.1010.7M2022-07-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0263.018-0.26%3.831+26.60%0.3082✗0.871.9M2022-07-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33990.338647-0.37%0.3275-3.65%0.0662✗1.2514.6M2022-07-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044730.04455-0.40%0.04524+1.14%0.1055✗1.1314k2022-07-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10790.107437-0.43%0.1081+0.19%0.0966✗1.137,2892022-07-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.4918.4542-0.43%6.794-19.99%0.1133✓1.3213.5M2022-07-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.454.4284-0.49%4.8+7.87%0.1379✗0.721.6M2022-07-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.009770.009721-0.50%0.00901-7.78%0.0085✗1.051.5M2022-07-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04940.049091-0.63%0.0409-17.21%0.0586✓1.5520k2022-07-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.06550.065063-0.67%0.0495-24.43%0.1466✓1.59141k2022-07-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041180.0409-0.68%–pending––1.132,9602022-07-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125190.012432-0.70%0.012236-2.26%0.0575✗0.922.0M2022-07-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198230.01968-0.72%0.020825+5.05%0.1573✗1.269,2752022-07-15
DODODODOEthereum0.1380.136976-0.74%0.1463+6.01%0.1822✗1.454.4M2022-07-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009860.00978-0.81%0.00919-6.80%0.0236✗1.0712.1M2022-07-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.550.545035-0.90%0.4954-9.93%0.0158✗1.39771k2022-07-15
TRXTRONTron0.0629980.062381-0.98%0.067024+6.39%0.1518✗1.00756k2022-07-15
KSMKusamaHydration58.2657.6734-1.01%54.37-6.68%0.0400✗1.241.0M2022-07-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.222.1969-1.04%2.252+1.44%0.0992✗0.933.4M2022-07-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4830.477958-1.04%0.501+3.73%0.1646✗1.47116k2022-07-15
XVSVenusEthereum4.494.4429-1.05%5.16+14.92%0.2874✗1.721.7M2022-07-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.329.222-1.05%9.21-1.18%0.1340✗1.692.7M2022-07-15
XEMNEMnative0.0415060.041062-1.07%0.040445-2.56%0.0926✗1.3529k2022-07-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.432.4013-1.18%2.33-4.12%0.1112✗1.77304k2022-07-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5562.5258-1.18%2.333-8.72%0.0018✓1.0163k2022-07-15
APEApeCoinEthereum4.1614.1116-1.19%4.601+10.57%0.2670✗1.9317.0M2022-07-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.084.0306-1.21%4.37+7.11%0.1372✗0.701.7M2022-07-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8150.804683-1.27%0.769-5.64%0.0347✗1.001.7M2022-07-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.7762.739-1.33%2.593-6.59%0.0499✗1.311.1M2022-07-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12860.126857-1.36%0.1194-7.15%0.0190✗0.993.3M2022-07-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.47754.7095-1.38%52.433-5.49%0.0285✗0.891.2M2022-07-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.84081.8148-1.41%1.9225+4.44%0.1317✗0.933.2M2022-07-15
FLOWFlownative1.6721.6482-1.42%1.546-7.54%0.0160✗1.00580k2022-07-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9610.947283-1.43%1.206+25.49%0.3215✗1.001.6M2022-07-15
STEEMSteemnative0.19650.19361-1.47%0.2001+1.83%0.1374✗1.31629k2022-07-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0162620.016007-1.57%0.017093+5.11%0.1133✗0.60469k2022-07-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.0720.070864-1.58%0.0717-0.42%0.1289✗1.46410k2022-07-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4180.411315-1.60%0.635+51.91%0.5642✗1.624,1942022-07-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019210.018888-1.67%0.01809-5.83%0.0120✓0.69631k2022-07-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.99474.9091-1.71%5.3034+6.18%0.0985✗0.26235k2022-07-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09030.088732-1.74%0.0863-4.43%0.0893✗1.46354k2022-07-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.5191.4925-1.74%1.836+20.87%0.3278✗1.51879k2022-07-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3722.3304-1.75%2.197-7.38%0.0609✗1.50104k2022-07-15
PROPropyEthereum0.910.893773-1.78%0.81-10.99%0.0376✓0.76187k2022-07-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.312.0677-1.89%16.53+34.39%0.4517✗1.71333k2022-07-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7840.768997-1.91%0.9011+14.94%0.2888✗1.633.2M2022-07-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.53621.5067-1.92%1.4159-7.83%0.0413✗1.292.0M2022-07-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.467620.458541-1.94%0.46396-0.78%0.1709✗1.993.5M2022-07-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.054120.053064-1.95%0.05059-6.52%0.0827✗1.632.0M2022-07-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.566.4307-1.97%6.76+3.05%0.0893✗0.492.1M2022-07-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.743.6644-2.02%3.82+2.14%0.0976✗0.707.0M2022-07-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.63522.5775-2.19%2.4393-7.43%0.0339✗1.113.1M2022-07-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.3735-2.50%3.56+2.89%0.1156✗0.771.7M2022-07-15
CBKCobakEthereum0.881140.858785-2.54%1.0188+15.62%0.2751✗1.305,7412022-07-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.314370.306364-2.55%0.28896-8.08%0.0621✗1.5114k2022-07-15
MANADecentralandEthereum0.921060.896435-2.67%0.84724-8.01%0.0553✗1.40789k2022-07-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.983.8732-2.68%3.91-1.76%0.0547✗0.572.1M2022-07-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66670.648061-2.80%0.8014+20.20%0.3095✗1.212.8M2022-07-15
OPTIMOptimism0.5920.57485-2.90%0.483-18.41%0.0941✓1.006.5M2022-07-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0512330.049733-2.93%0.051924+1.35%0.1011✗0.7367k2022-07-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.232894-2.96%0.208-13.33%0.0268✓1.751.3M2022-07-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.352-3.15%2.3013-5.24%0.1279✗1.8717k2022-07-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2163.1114-3.25%3.61+12.25%0.1904✗0.524.5M2022-07-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05011.0159-3.26%0.81221-22.66%0.1592✓0.816242022-07-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063040.060826-3.51%0.07463+18.39%0.2845✗1.001,7292022-07-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000061940.000059631-3.73%0.00010743+73.44%0.7835✗2.431.7M2022-07-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.4359-4.02%1.269-15.17%0.0025✓1.515.5M2022-07-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2643.1323-4.04%3.256-0.25%0.0960✗0.724.4M2022-07-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.360610.345699-4.14%0.38883+7.83%0.2214✗1.30105k2022-07-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5146-4.14%1.55-1.90%0.0773✗0.68166k2022-07-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025230.024167-4.21%0.02347-6.98%0.1245✗1.9240.1M2022-07-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9620.893155-7.16%0.779-19.02%0.0271✓2.0529.5M2022-07-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.