2022-02-26 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3367

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+17.78%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

62.9%

in alpha space · 9.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+20.46%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.98e-7	6.21e-7	-10.97%	0.000001135	+62.57%	0.4160	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-03-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0712	0.063959	-10.17%	0.0805	+13.06%	0.1272	✓	1.92	76.7M	2022-03-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.86	1.6814	-9.60%	1.64	-11.83%	0.3288	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-28
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.808	1.6375	-9.43%	1.98	+9.51%	0.0131	✓	0.95	76k	2022-03-28
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.08	0.9809	-9.18%	1.05	-2.78%	0.0647	✓	0.02	286k	2022-03-28
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.56	2.3324	-8.89%	2.29	-10.55%	0.2045	✓	1.00	518k	2022-03-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.528	5.9692	-8.56%	5.55	-14.98%	0.1419	✓	0.37	2.1M	2022-03-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	78.15	71.9327	-7.96%	97.24	+24.43%	0.0433	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4281	0.394395	-7.87%	0.5048	+17.92%	0.1461	✓	2.11	2.1M	2022-03-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03453	0.031822	-7.84%	0.04219	+22.18%	0.1194	✗	0.87	1.4M	2022-03-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.0612	5.5899	-7.78%	6.1415	+1.32%	0.0229	✓	0.38	433k	2022-03-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.19	1.0989	-7.66%	1.41	+18.49%	0.0070	✓	1.30	646k	2022-03-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6235	1.5022	-7.47%	1.507	-7.18%	0.2648	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.794	0.735209	-7.40%	0.9441	+18.90%	0.1432	✗	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.141	0.130571	-7.40%	0.125	-11.35%	0.2212	✓	0.95	47k	2022-03-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3507	0.325242	-7.26%	0.3815	+8.78%	0.1656	✓	1.75	15.2M	2022-03-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.27	5.8205	-7.17%	7.37	+17.54%	0.0417	✓	1.49	1.2M	2022-03-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.394	2.2243	-7.09%	2.585	+7.98%	0.1399	✓	1.56	13.2M	2022-03-28
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.1842	-7.06%	2.76	+17.45%	0.0479	✓	1.00	584k	2022-03-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.581	2.418	-6.31%	3.061	+18.60%	0.0257	✓	1.40	579k	2022-03-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	64.8155	60.7817	-6.22%	66.3939	+2.44%	0.1974	✓	1.54	223k	2022-03-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.18	28.3198	-6.16%	30.82	+2.12%	0.1095	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2359	2.0983	-6.15%	2.734	+22.28%	0.1016	✗	0.88	26k	2022-03-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.24	1.164	-6.13%	1.39	+12.10%	0.0606	✓	1.28	885k	2022-03-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01194	0.011208	-6.13%	0.014818	+24.10%	0.0706	✗	1.12	33k	2022-03-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048351	0.045512	-5.87%	0.043	-11.07%	0.2802	✓	1.20	8.1M	2022-03-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.45	23.0627	-5.67%	28.79	+17.75%	0.0624	✓	1.53	1.7M	2022-03-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.139	1.0748	-5.64%	1.751	+53.73%	0.2552	✗	1.25	1.1M	2022-03-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9533	0.900297	-5.56%	1.16	+21.68%	0.0119	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	113.35	107.194	-5.43%	122.91	+8.43%	0.1031	✓	1.29	58k	2022-03-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.89	28.2711	-5.42%	29.36	-1.77%	0.1737	✓	1.14	52.8M	2022-03-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,876.08	19,753.48	-5.38%	22,270.34	+6.68%	0.0680	✓	1.01	5.7M	2022-03-28
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000191	0.000001808	-5.34%	0.00000209	+9.42%	0.0162	✓	0.69	14.4M	2022-03-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4172	3.2347	-5.34%	3.7138	+8.68%	0.1181	✓	1.38	2.1M	2022-03-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0274	0.025946	-5.31%	0.03317	+21.06%	0.0308	✓	1.48	479k	2022-03-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.73	16.8147	-5.16%	21.79	+22.90%	0.0390	✓	1.18	22.1M	2022-03-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.437	1.3631	-5.14%	1.725	+20.04%	0.0065	✓	1.23	940k	2022-03-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5505	0.522211	-5.14%	0.5753	+4.50%	0.0836	✓	0.97	684k	2022-03-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	157.91	149.9151	-5.06%	214.66	+35.94%	0.1726	✗	1.00	960k	2022-03-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.46	4.2344	-5.06%	5.34	+19.73%	0.0722	✓	1.63	432k	2022-03-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.073	0.069317	-5.04%	0.0794	+8.77%	0.1296	✓	1.43	1.0M	2022-03-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.06	18.1015	-5.03%	25.29	+32.69%	0.0923	✗	1.30	8.6M	2022-03-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.874	3.6793	-5.03%	5.361	+38.38%	0.1265	✗	1.34	2.3M	2022-03-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15626	0.14854	-4.94%	0.16823	+7.66%	0.1282	✓	1.36	28k	2022-03-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1212	0.115243	-4.91%	0.1721	+42.00%	0.1497	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-03-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.02263	0.021525	-4.88%	0.039005	+72.36%	0.3974	✗	1.06	114k	2022-03-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.438	0.416682	-4.87%	0.484	+10.50%	0.1077	✓	1.38	4.2M	2022-03-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.29	41.2014	-4.82%	51.74	+19.52%	0.0139	✓	1.15	20.8M	2022-03-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04014	0.038255	-4.70%	0.04895	+21.95%	0.0420	✓	1.10	30k	2022-03-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.29	0.276526	-4.65%	0.581	+100.34%	0.4771	✗	1.43	2.0M	2022-03-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.5571	-4.63%	2.6767	-0.17%	0.1944	✓	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1751	0.167152	-4.54%	0.2589	+47.86%	0.1682	✗	1.45	2.7M	2022-03-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.04	17.2219	-4.53%	21.97	+21.78%	0.0088	✓	1.36	26.4M	2022-03-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.2	20.24	-4.53%	22.99	+8.44%	0.1762	✓	1.63	325k	2022-03-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007538	0.00007197	-4.52%	0.00009365	+24.24%	0.0403	✓	1.20	4.5M	2022-03-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2767	0.264306	-4.48%	0.3353	+21.18%	0.0337	✓	1.46	413k	2022-03-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.441	1.3768	-4.46%	1.71	+18.67%	0.0706	✓	1.54	928k	2022-03-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.7	14.0552	-4.39%	13.55	-7.82%	0.1728	✓	0.73	1.9M	2022-03-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.3	2.2027	-4.23%	2.72	+18.26%	0.0204	✓	1.02	263k	2022-03-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.79	78.3357	-4.22%	89.58	+9.52%	0.1542	✓	1.55	110.8M	2022-03-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00431	0.004129	-4.21%	0.00426	-1.16%	0.3122	✓	1.85	12.0M	2022-03-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0674	0.064604	-4.15%	0.08807	+30.67%	0.1070	✗	1.09	13k	2022-03-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.524	1.4613	-4.12%	1.935	+26.97%	0.0516	✗	1.23	1.8M	2022-03-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7459	0.715285	-4.10%	0.8484	+13.74%	0.0415	✓	1.14	9.4M	2022-03-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1506	0.144437	-4.09%	0.1695	+12.55%	0.0414	✓	1.08	420k	2022-03-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7651	0.733954	-4.07%	1.1283	+47.47%	0.1411	✗	1.55	295k	2022-03-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0854	0.081937	-4.06%	0.121	+41.69%	0.0945	✗	1.59	647k	2022-03-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.285	2.1932	-4.02%	2.688	+17.64%	0.0012	✓	1.09	20k	2022-03-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04782	0.045906	-4.00%	0.05633	+17.80%	0.0359	✓	1.29	703k	2022-03-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.276	1.2258	-3.94%	1.596	+25.08%	0.0080	✓	1.37	1.9M	2022-03-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.33	8.9635	-3.93%	14.47	+55.09%	0.3496	✗	0.69	853k	2022-03-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.67	1.605	-3.89%	2.2	+31.74%	0.0627	✗	1.36	2.0M	2022-03-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0234	3.8675	-3.88%	5.3424	+32.78%	0.0939	✗	1.23	284k	2022-03-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.895	0.860693	-3.83%	1.004	+12.18%	0.1092	✓	1.41	2.1M	2022-03-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06611	0.063584	-3.82%	0.08479	+28.26%	0.0461	✗	1.30	69k	2022-03-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8598	0.827283	-3.78%	0.9075	+5.55%	0.1380	✓	1.24	22.5M	2022-03-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8532	1.7836	-3.76%	3.61	+94.80%	0.5742	✗	0.70	2.6M	2022-03-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01882	0.01812	-3.72%	0.02025	+7.60%	0.0937	✓	1.10	2.2M	2022-03-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.44	48.5947	-3.66%	66.44	+31.72%	0.0609	✗	1.35	6.8M	2022-03-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.232	0.223783	-3.54%	0.268	+15.52%	0.0166	✓	0.88	57k	2022-03-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.91	27.9002	-3.49%	47.08	+62.85%	0.3117	✗	1.14	5.1M	2022-03-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.09	13.6081	-3.42%	18.66	+32.43%	0.0308	✓	1.53	2.5M	2022-03-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08727	0.084337	-3.36%	0.11222	+28.59%	0.0744	✗	1.13	46k	2022-03-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.6	3.4797	-3.34%	4.31	+19.72%	0.0382	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-03-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.874	2.7781	-3.34%	4.028	+40.15%	0.1919	✗	0.96	477k	2022-03-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,589.70	38,285.81	-3.29%	47,634.90	+20.32%	0.0382	✗	0.97	49k	2022-03-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2108	1.173	-3.12%	1.2726	+5.10%	0.1905	✓	1.46	2.6M	2022-03-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.391	5.2233	-3.11%	5.572	+3.36%	0.1261	✓	1.02	202k	2022-03-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	136.67	132.5399	-3.02%	167.77	+22.76%	0.0396	✓	1.48	6.4M	2022-03-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3655	0.354593	-2.98%	0.4031	+10.29%	0.1533	✓	1.51	1.3M	2022-03-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01217	0.011808	-2.98%	0.01375	+12.98%	0.0032	✓	0.80	14k	2022-03-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.679476	-2.93%	0.75	+7.14%	0.2593	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.708	19.1327	-2.92%	19.506	-1.02%	0.1829	✓	1.09	9.5M	2022-03-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	33.26	32.3878	-2.62%	47.68	+43.36%	0.1027	✗	1.53	281k	2022-03-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1441	0.140398	-2.57%	0.1499	+4.02%	0.0921	✓	0.85	301k	2022-03-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.72	14.3491	-2.52%	16.51	+12.16%	0.0934	✓	1.26	56.1M	2022-03-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.544581	0.531093	-2.48%	0.697186	+28.02%	0.0440	✗	1.23	2.9M	2022-03-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.78	121.7881	-2.40%	168.16	+34.77%	0.0983	✗	1.21	930k	2022-03-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.25	3.173	-2.37%	3.81	+17.23%	0.0626	✓	1.32	7.0M	2022-03-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.934	4.8187	-2.34%	7.75	+57.07%	0.2889	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1323	5.9893	-2.33%	8.1779	+33.36%	0.0408	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.058	3.9648	-2.30%	6.372	+57.02%	0.3142	✗	0.86	395k	2022-03-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	107.8	105.3497	-2.27%	192.22	+78.31%	0.3859	✗	1.16	7.4M	2022-03-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	110.79	108.3214	-2.23%	142.25	+28.40%	0.0763	✗	1.05	6.3M	2022-03-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7384	2.6774	-2.23%	4.1594	+51.89%	0.2617	✗	0.96	2.9M	2022-03-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.192899	0.18872	-2.17%	0.229783	+19.12%	0.0161	✓	1.14	19.8M	2022-03-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7102	2.6519	-2.15%	4.2216	+55.77%	0.2780	✗	1.00	2.2M	2022-03-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00997	0.009756	-2.15%	0.01399	+40.32%	0.0809	✗	1.50	2.7M	2022-03-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02842	0.027811	-2.14%	0.02704	-4.86%	0.1756	✓	0.79	4.3M	2022-03-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.29	106.0542	-2.06%	127.59	+17.82%	0.0398	✓	1.21	29.3M	2022-03-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.009	4.9062	-2.05%	6.365	+27.07%	0.1036	✗	0.84	65k	2022-03-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.06	8.8783	-2.01%	10.91	+20.42%	0.0460	✓	1.35	10.8M	2022-03-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.38	5.273	-1.99%	8.52	+58.36%	0.3162	✗	0.88	398k	2022-03-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.32	88.5728	-1.93%	105.84	+17.18%	0.0636	✓	1.30	131.2M	2022-03-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002435	0.000023881	-1.93%	0.00002648	+8.75%	0.1485	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5733	1.5443	-1.84%	2.5454	+61.79%	0.3065	✗	1.04	69k	2022-03-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.69949	0.686713	-1.83%	0.87181	+24.64%	0.0419	✓	1.51	216k	2022-03-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.148	1.1282	-1.73%	1.358	+18.29%	0.0626	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-03-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01784	0.017534	-1.72%	0.03419	+91.65%	0.3592	✗	1.66	12.7M	2022-03-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4599	0.452536	-1.60%	0.716	+55.69%	0.1871	✗	1.46	559k	2022-03-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127595	0.125589	-1.57%	0.142307	+11.53%	0.0644	✓	1.02	3.7M	2022-03-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,780.71	2,737.85	-1.54%	3,334.47	+19.91%	0.0041	✓	1.08	540.3M	2022-03-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.99036	0.975661	-1.48%	1.2969	+30.96%	0.0148	✓	1.45	165k	2022-03-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.5	1.4794	-1.37%	2.68	+78.67%	0.3901	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3486	0.343852	-1.36%	0.4334	+24.33%	0.0427	✓	1.47	8.3M	2022-03-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4106	6.3234	-1.36%	6.7648	+5.53%	0.0788	✓	0.79	2.9M	2022-03-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00906	0.008938	-1.34%	0.01178	+30.02%	0.0226	✗	1.36	563k	2022-03-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.679	0.670072	-1.31%	0.763	+12.37%	0.0917	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-03-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.504	0.49804	-1.18%	1.2251	+143.08%	0.6477	✗	1.36	2.1M	2022-03-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.226	0.223362	-1.17%	0.2732	+20.88%	0.0089	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-03-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	315.57	312.1076	-1.10%	368.1	+16.65%	0.0249	✓	1.02	7.2M	2022-03-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.245	6.1865	-0.94%	7.142	+14.36%	0.1271	✓	1.45	28k	2022-03-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8651	1.848	-0.92%	2.4853	+33.25%	0.0613	✗	1.26	185k	2022-03-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,137.80	38,780.47	-0.91%	47,144.92	+20.46%	0.0092	✗	1.00	630.5M	2022-03-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059459	0.05897	-0.82%	0.069168	+16.33%	0.0037	✓	0.84	270k	2022-03-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.68	4.6431	-0.79%	7	+49.57%	0.2650	✗	0.78	459k	2022-03-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.68	92.981	-0.75%	127.73	+36.35%	0.1000	✗	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.00985	0.009782	-0.69%	0.01205	+22.34%	0.0359	✓	1.31	1.2M	2022-03-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.6608	-0.69%	6.42	+12.63%	0.0315	✓	0.85	425k	2022-03-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.576	2.5597	-0.63%	3.85	+49.46%	0.2488	✗	0.86	213k	2022-03-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.91	12.8376	-0.56%	15.64	+21.15%	0.0007	✓	1.06	340k	2022-03-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.101	0.100469	-0.53%	0.1127	+11.58%	0.0834	✓	1.07	38k	2022-03-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.47	4.4469	-0.52%	5.05	+12.98%	0.0607	✓	1.01	651k	2022-03-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.27	6.2379	-0.51%	7	+11.64%	0.0287	✗	0.47	1.1M	2022-03-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.76	84.327	-0.51%	95.28	+12.41%	0.0435	✓	0.89	915k	2022-03-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.05	2.0409	-0.44%	2.59	+26.34%	0.0061	✗	1.25	343k	2022-03-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2129	0.212086	-0.38%	0.258	+21.18%	0.0928	✓	1.55	3.0M	2022-03-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8873	0.885496	-0.20%	1.1694	+31.79%	0.0595	✗	1.17	96.0M	2022-03-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.305	2.3025	-0.11%	6.28	+172.45%	0.7707	✗	1.25	687k	2022-03-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.98	8.9709	-0.10%	10.74	+19.60%	0.0625	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0685	0.068693	+0.28%	0.0824	+20.29%	0.0191	✗	1.08	163k	2022-03-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.