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2022-02-15 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2168
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+19.37%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.0%
in alpha space · 56.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum9.8710.3882+5.25%8.77-11.14%0.0561✗1.333.0M2022-03-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08720.091232+4.62%0.0711-18.46%0.1447✗1.23195k2022-03-17
IMXImmutableEthereum2.482.5909+4.47%1.578-36.37%0.4103✗1.013.2M2022-03-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.860240.890233+3.49%0.85272-0.87%0.0853✓1.51334k2022-03-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.1716.6601+3.03%13.15-18.68%0.1472✗1.05483k2022-03-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.982.0382+2.94%1.06-46.46%0.5516✗1.201.4M2022-03-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.3165.0578+2.76%50.31-20.53%0.1488✗1.278.8M2022-03-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.47.6029+2.74%6.05-18.24%0.2029✗0.301.2M2022-03-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.86341.9133+2.68%2.0943+12.39%0.1871✓1.1469k2022-03-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash343.69352.8941+2.68%296.36-13.77%0.0899✗1.008.9M2022-03-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.030920.031735+2.64%0.02502-19.08%0.1650✗0.866.2M2022-03-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.28640.293885+2.61%0.2023-29.36%0.2418✗1.554.2M2022-03-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6423940.65822+2.46%0.516324-19.63%0.1436✗1.173.5M2022-03-17
SCSiacoinnative0.011070.011308+2.15%0.00886-19.96%0.1558✗1.04483k2022-03-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.4418.8366+2.15%15.07-18.28%0.0744✗1.753.6M2022-03-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97060.991283+2.13%0.7417-23.58%0.1941✗1.1326.7M2022-03-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.098270.100094+1.86%0.09418-4.16%0.0363✓1.1451k2022-03-17
TRXTRONTron0.0668370.068069+1.84%0.060788-9.05%0.0384✗0.88327k2022-03-17
XEMNEMnative0.11430.116387+1.83%0.0982-14.09%0.0807✗1.0539k2022-03-17
ADACardanoCardano1.10871.1289+1.83%0.8365-24.55%0.2039✗1.13107.6M2022-03-17
GTGateEthereum6.93117.046+1.66%6.3086-8.98%0.0359✗0.883.9M2022-03-17
UNIUniswapEthereum11.4811.6637+1.60%9.23-19.60%0.1199✗1.3412.2M2022-03-17
DASHDashDash109.33110.9797+1.51%96.42-11.81%0.0454✗1.122.0M2022-03-17
NANOnanopayBase2.33572.3683+1.40%2.599+11.27%0.2006✓1.27436k2022-03-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0051.0186+1.35%0.794-21.00%0.1314✗1.382.5M2022-03-17
DODODODOEthereum0.540.546678+1.24%0.389-27.96%0.2177✗1.444.5M2022-03-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,583.5245,134.12+1.23%40,950.33-8.15%0.0123✓1.00642.7M2022-03-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.331.3458+1.19%1.176-11.58%0.0301✗1.233.4M2022-03-17
SOLSolanaSolana105.61106.8615+1.18%87.88-16.79%0.0861✗1.29179.7M2022-03-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2863.3247+1.18%3.389+3.13%0.0882✓0.81218k2022-03-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045420.045944+1.15%0.04027-11.34%0.0325✗1.1730k2022-03-17
XVGVergenative0.011910.012047+1.15%0.00913-23.34%0.1594✗1.391.2M2022-03-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6728.9934+1.13%24.69-13.88%0.0280✗1.562.0M2022-03-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081320.0822+1.08%0.07231-11.08%0.0630✗0.7786k2022-03-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3880.392043+1.04%0.411+5.93%0.1609✓1.342.3M2022-03-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48640.491316+1.01%0.3179-34.64%0.3076✗1.502.0M2022-03-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.31390.316951+0.97%0.2838-9.59%0.0136✗1.14538k2022-03-17
XYMSymbolnative0.17610.177738+0.93%0.1349-23.40%0.2162✗0.70388k2022-03-17
KSMKusamaHydration176.23177.7486+0.86%133.2-24.42%0.1868✗1.20930k2022-03-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8260.832581+0.80%0.639-22.64%0.1701✗1.111.8M2022-03-17
XLMStellarStellar0.2210860.222829+0.79%0.189695-14.20%0.0737✗1.0321.9M2022-03-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.916.9555+0.66%6.38-7.67%0.0106✗0.89449k2022-03-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.725.7552+0.62%6.56+14.69%0.1986✓0.80407k2022-03-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8872.9023+0.53%6.185+114.24%0.8709✓1.341.1M2022-03-17
LUNATerraTerra 256.8557.1434+0.52%86.84+52.75%0.5393✓1.426.9M2022-03-17
RADRadworksEthereum5.665.6889+0.51%4.34-23.32%0.1787✗1.08682k2022-03-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,186.243,200.70+0.45%2,814.67-11.66%0.0319✗1.14581.4M2022-03-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.98590.990167+0.43%0.7071-28.28%0.2061✗1.54588k2022-03-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.4752.4844+0.38%2.148-13.21%0.0519✗1.1020k2022-03-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.22641.231+0.38%1.0593-13.62%0.0615✗1.04211k2022-03-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2960.297019+0.34%0.239-19.26%0.1367✗0.9577k2022-03-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1517840.152297+0.34%0.116426-23.29%0.1819✗1.026.4M2022-03-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.626.6408+0.31%8.25+24.62%0.2878✓0.83482k2022-03-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.49320.494381+0.24%0.4095-16.97%0.0696✗1.408.9M2022-03-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.266.2735+0.22%4.13-34.03%0.3253✗1.09590k2022-03-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.58120.582214+0.17%0.7893+35.81%0.4198✓1.362.4M2022-03-17
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8897.9026+0.17%5.612-28.86%0.3136✗0.3437k2022-03-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.10780.107971+0.16%0.0857-20.50%0.0984✗1.561.1M2022-03-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7671.7694+0.14%1.515-14.26%0.0543✗1.192.1M2022-03-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV97.6197.7139+0.11%77.91-20.18%0.1495✗0.911.2M2022-03-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07470.074758+0.08%0.072-3.61%0.0566✓1.1117k2022-03-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot20.1920.2047+0.07%18.75-7.13%0.0415✓1.3734.9M2022-03-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.66050.660921+0.06%0.4096-37.99%0.3486✗1.53709k2022-03-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.4933.4964+0.02%27.15-18.93%0.1202✗1.065.5M2022-03-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0929.078-0.04%27.9-4.09%0.0392✗0.951.2M2022-03-17
ZENHorizenBase43.1243.0955-0.06%38.72-10.20%0.0244✗1.55400k2022-03-17
QNTQuantEthereum132.67132.4549-0.16%114.23-13.90%0.0601✓1.037.8M2022-03-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7724.7641-0.16%4.833+1.28%0.0859✗0.84383k2022-03-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,051.4043,976.07-0.17%40,887.40-7.18%0.0102✗0.9851k2022-03-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16660.166172-0.26%0.1508-9.48%0.0099✓1.03470k2022-03-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5813.5674-0.38%3.752+4.78%0.1255✗0.88502k2022-03-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1156.0865-0.47%5.114-16.37%0.1013✓0.8672k2022-03-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.772.7564-0.49%2.13-23.10%0.1495✓1.27390k2022-03-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.732.7143-0.58%2.31-15.38%0.0733✓1.03388k2022-03-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.3617.2582-0.59%13.04-24.88%0.2223✓0.681.2M2022-03-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006130.006094-0.59%0.00345-43.72%0.3976✓2.0218.1M2022-03-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.162.1469-0.60%1.81-16.20%0.0573✓1.332.2M2022-03-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.3517.2347-0.66%14.41-16.95%0.0758✓1.2170.2M2022-03-17
QTUMQtumQtum7.56347.513-0.67%5.9375-21.50%0.1092✓1.48145k2022-03-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5587.5032-0.72%4.762-36.99%0.3713✓0.98407k2022-03-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0223130.022149-0.74%0.01684-24.53%0.1691✓1.232.4M2022-03-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1511.0664-0.75%12.5+12.11%0.1802✗0.69760k2022-03-17
XECeCashnative0.000087920.000087238-0.78%0.00007845-10.77%0.0084✓1.154.8M2022-03-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000031220.000030966-0.81%0.00002221-28.86%0.2129✓1.402.4M2022-03-17
ZECZcashZcash126.04124.8707-0.93%153.41+21.72%0.3092✗1.227.2M2022-03-17
HIVEHivenative1.13271.1219-0.95%0.9169-19.05%0.0610✓1.661.9M2022-03-17
KCSKuCoinnative20.57720.3725-0.99%18.162-11.74%0.0038✓1.3110.2M2022-03-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09290.091944-1.03%0.0683-26.48%0.1798✓1.38784k2022-03-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.22170.219333-1.07%0.2105-5.05%0.0804✗1.433.7M2022-03-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27920.276206-1.07%0.2446-12.39%0.0316✓1.061.7M2022-03-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01360.013443-1.16%0.01102-18.97%0.0647✓1.581.8M2022-03-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.034470.034061-1.19%0.02401-30.35%0.2467✓1.2110.4M2022-03-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013980.013812-1.20%0.01199-14.23%0.0765✓0.7613k2022-03-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.74130.0401-1.29%110.26-16.30%0.0583✓1.2634.8M2022-03-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.179390.176743-1.48%0.14773-17.65%0.0436✓1.6034k2022-03-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7113.6481-1.70%4.3389+16.92%0.2653✗1.082.5M2022-03-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.723.2673-1.83%19.15-19.20%0.0625✓1.56383k2022-03-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9711.9323-1.97%1.408-28.56%0.2021✓1.351.1M2022-03-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.96394.8649-1.99%4.139-16.62%0.0566✓1.23343k2022-03-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.33181.3047-2.03%1.1607-12.84%0.0079✓1.282.3M2022-03-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89850.880035-2.06%0.7159-20.32%0.1113✓1.1212.4M2022-03-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin22.3321.8689-2.06%17.44-21.90%0.1222✓1.2210.4M2022-03-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.211.1839-2.16%1.131-6.53%0.0718✗1.38751k2022-03-17
BANDBandEthereum4.654.547-2.22%3.529-24.11%0.1462✓1.261.9M2022-03-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055860.054604-2.25%0.04974-10.96%0.0264✗1.411.2M2022-03-17
AAVEAaveEthereum172.28168.3439-2.28%155.68-9.64%0.0417✗1.418.0M2022-03-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.0128.3388-2.31%28.17-2.90%0.0895✗1.1268.5M2022-03-17
FTTFTXEthereum47.1746.0707-2.33%43.06-8.71%0.0316✗1.1730.8M2022-03-17
XTZTezosTezos4.14834.0496-2.38%3.0843-25.65%0.1621✓1.302.4M2022-03-17
UMAUMAEthereum6.396.2338-2.44%7.738+21.10%0.3056✗1.051.9M2022-03-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.111.0822-2.50%0.6-45.95%0.4181✓2.021.1M2022-03-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche93.0790.5979-2.66%79.47-14.61%0.0077✓1.45102.9M2022-03-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.094.9427-2.89%4.399-13.58%0.0098✓1.262.6M2022-03-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.01373.8958-2.94%3.8006-5.31%0.0581✗0.972.3M2022-03-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.17482.1105-2.96%3.112+43.09%0.4422✗0.632.9M2022-03-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.81.7454-3.03%1.483-17.61%0.0555✓1.261.3M2022-03-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59570.577373-3.08%0.5058-15.09%0.0425✓1.06948k2022-03-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.46690.452432-3.10%0.3225-30.93%0.1885✓1.7624.6M2022-03-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.7821.0744-3.24%16.56-23.97%0.1424✓1.1624.7M2022-03-17
BTTCBTTC0.000002220.000002144-3.41%0.00000182-18.02%0.0790✓1.0014.5M2022-03-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.921.8516-3.56%1.283-33.18%0.2485✓1.392.9M2022-03-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,489.0223,610.92-3.59%19,412.72-20.73%0.1150✓0.957.4M2022-03-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03430.033025-3.72%0.02476-27.81%0.1628✓1.47499k2022-03-17
XMRMoneroMonero182.65175.6491-3.83%187.84+2.84%0.1535✗1.021.2M2022-03-17
SUSHISushiEthereum4.434.258-3.88%3.17-28.44%0.1761✓1.408.0M2022-03-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0173060.016632-3.90%0.011603-32.95%0.2616✓1.16503k2022-03-17
ORCAOrcaSolana3.233.1036-3.91%2.06-36.22%0.3248✓1.00882k2022-03-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.38641.3319-3.93%1.5251+10.00%0.2711✗1.60131k2022-03-17
AVTAventusEthereum2.852.7373-3.95%2.12-25.61%0.1706✓1.00639k2022-03-17
COMPCompoundEthereum136.04130.5305-4.05%111.36-18.14%0.0466✓1.3258k2022-03-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.654.4584-4.12%4.595-1.18%0.0608✗0.361.8M2022-03-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16280.155998-4.18%0.12-26.29%0.1483✓1.343.3M2022-03-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94745.6975-4.20%6.2395+4.91%0.1190✗0.33441k2022-03-17
FIDABonfidaSolana2.462.3531-4.34%1.654-32.76%0.2676✓1.0085k2022-03-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07290.069714-4.37%0.0603-17.28%0.0047✓1.7664.3M2022-03-17
MOVRMoonriverBase98.652894.1075-4.61%50.138-49.18%0.5004✓1.52315k2022-03-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0549530.052413-4.62%0.039784-27.60%0.1660✓1.297.4M2022-03-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.997.6194-4.64%5.63-29.54%0.2722✓0.361.7M2022-03-17
MANADecentralandEthereum3.3353.1785-4.69%2.4389-26.87%0.1717✓1.103.1M2022-03-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.183.019-5.06%2.129-33.05%0.2269✓1.4417.3M2022-03-17
STXStacksnative1.581.4987-5.15%1.27-19.62%0.0806✓1.00997k2022-03-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.7763.5775-5.26%2.0515-45.67%0.4800✓0.8930k2022-03-17
DIADIAEthereum0.990.93164-5.89%0.93-6.06%0.0832✗1.00270k2022-03-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1210.113249-6.41%0.108-10.74%0.0375✓1.0070k2022-03-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.63930.588861-7.89%0.4235-33.76%0.1653✓1.931.8M2022-03-17
PROPropyEthereum2.372.1225-10.44%1.45-38.82%0.2149✓1.95870k2022-03-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.30141.16-10.86%0.7164-44.95%0.4035✓0.921.5M2022-03-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046680.041046-12.07%0.03458-25.92%0.1019✓0.822.4M2022-03-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0290390.025261-13.01%0.016549-43.01%0.3123✓1.3091k2022-03-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.1794.215-18.61%2.404-53.58%0.4742✓1.03709k2022-03-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.