2022-02-12 · +30d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1780

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+13.93%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

62.0%

in alpha space · 68.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-6.09%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.904	3.861	-21.27%	2.368	-51.71%	0.4312	✓	0.92	909k	2022-03-14
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04741	0.040894	-13.74%	0.03625	-23.54%	0.0751	✓	0.72	4.4M	2022-03-14
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2939	1.1237	-13.16%	0.7046	-45.54%	0.4105	✓	0.90	1.8M	2022-03-14
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.22	1.9389	-12.66%	1.43	-35.59%	0.1794	✓	1.99	1.1M	2022-03-14
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.028632	0.025123	-12.26%	0.021474	-25.00%	0.0759	✓	1.29	111k	2022-03-14
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.116	0.106629	-8.08%	0.104	-10.34%	0.0378	✓	1.00	72k	2022-03-14
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.96	0.883782	-7.94%	0.89	-7.29%	0.0698	✓	1.00	277k	2022-03-14
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6015	0.557896	-7.25%	0.3874	-35.59%	0.2456	✓	1.90	1.8M	2022-03-14
STX	Stacks	native	1.52	1.4167	-6.80%	1.28	-15.79%	0.0387	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-14
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.527	3.2989	-6.47%	2.033	-42.36%	0.4286	✓	0.88	30k	2022-03-14
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.03	2.8356	-6.42%	2	-33.99%	0.2863	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-14
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.6954	-6.09%	1.952	-31.99%	0.2334	✓	1.42	19.1M	2022-03-14
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.7	2.5363	-6.06%	2.3	-14.81%	0.0350	✓	1.00	779k	2022-03-14
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.404	2.2607	-5.96%	1.61	-33.03%	0.2767	✓	1.00	68k	2022-03-14
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,131.85	21,768.77	-5.89%	18,523.08	-19.92%	0.1014	✓	0.96	7.8M	2022-03-14
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	85.8439	80.8182	-5.85%	46.9295	-45.33%	0.4532	✓	1.44	315k	2022-03-14
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.78	7.3324	-5.75%	5.44	-30.08%	0.2752	✓	0.37	1.7M	2022-03-14
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0322	0.030494	-5.30%	0.0228	-29.19%	0.1985	✓	1.47	490k	2022-03-14
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000217	0.000002055	-5.29%	0.00000175	-19.35%	0.0980	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-03-14
XMR	Monero	Monero	173.82	165.0818	-5.03%	185.79	+6.89%	0.1840	✗	1.05	1.3M	2022-03-14
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9446	5.6551	-4.87%	5.8951	-0.83%	0.0611	✗	0.31	447k	2022-03-14
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4544	0.432838	-4.75%	0.3117	-31.40%	0.2158	✓	1.79	32.6M	2022-03-14
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	127.26	121.2608	-4.71%	99.59	-21.74%	0.1161	✓	1.29	59k	2022-03-14
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.07	19.1302	-4.68%	16.18	-19.38%	0.0942	✓	1.17	25.0M	2022-03-14
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.32	6.0285	-4.61%	7.574	+19.84%	0.2896	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-03-14
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015897	0.015165	-4.61%	0.01177	-25.96%	0.1799	✓	1.17	630k	2022-03-14
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.8223	-4.59%	1.236	-35.29%	0.3010	✓	1.39	2.9M	2022-03-14
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.15	3.9616	-4.54%	2.9	-30.12%	0.2249	✓	1.39	8.0M	2022-03-14
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.89	4.6739	-4.42%	3.965	-18.92%	0.0868	✓	1.24	2.6M	2022-03-14
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5785	0.552985	-4.41%	0.4889	-15.49%	0.0568	✓	1.06	1.1M	2022-03-14
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0682	0.065214	-4.38%	0.0558	-18.18%	0.0462	✓	1.75	57.0M	2022-03-14
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9115	2.787	-4.28%	2.3068	-20.77%	0.1258	✓	1.01	2.8M	2022-03-14
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.07	3.8982	-4.22%	4.765	+17.08%	0.2219	✗	0.34	1.8M	2022-03-14
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.2471	1.1975	-3.98%	1.4082	+12.92%	0.2618	✗	1.59	119k	2022-03-14
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.07	26.0211	-3.87%	26.83	-0.89%	0.1021	✗	1.14	71.8M	2022-03-14
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.044288	0.042602	-3.81%	0.039855	-10.01%	0.0100	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-03-14
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.18	42.5612	-3.66%	41.47	-6.13%	0.0483	✗	1.18	32.3M	2022-03-14
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1393	0.134261	-3.62%	0.1186	-14.86%	0.0391	✓	1.35	3.2M	2022-03-14
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	162.52	156.6819	-3.59%	118.38	-27.16%	0.1917	✓	1.41	9.3M	2022-03-14
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.109	3.9621	-3.57%	3.0001	-26.99%	0.1960	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-14
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.69	1.6298	-3.56%	1.336	-20.95%	0.1195	✓	1.26	1.4M	2022-03-14
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8744	0.843584	-3.52%	0.7121	-18.56%	0.1025	✓	1.07	12.7M	2022-03-14
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.7974	3.6648	-3.49%	3.6677	-3.42%	0.0615	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-03-14
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.54	21.8235	-3.18%	18.64	-17.30%	0.0587	✓	1.58	383k	2022-03-14
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.338	0.327802	-3.02%	0.228	-32.54%	0.3037	✓	0.94	76k	2022-03-14
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8422	1.7869	-3.00%	2.9	+57.42%	0.5229	✗	0.62	2.9M	2022-03-14
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05601	0.054333	-2.99%	0.04611	-17.68%	0.0749	✓	1.42	1.2M	2022-03-14
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18496	0.179446	-2.98%	0.1444	-21.93%	0.1153	✓	1.62	40k	2022-03-14
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.86	20.2558	-2.90%	17.46	-16.30%	0.0724	✓	1.21	10.8M	2022-03-14
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.12	1.0887	-2.79%	0.942	-15.89%	0.0567	✓	1.40	655k	2022-03-14
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.812	1.7616	-2.78%	1.327	-26.77%	0.2010	✓	1.31	1.1M	2022-03-14
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5079	3.4127	-2.71%	4.315	+23.01%	0.3050	✗	1.12	2.5M	2022-03-14
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.34	79.1585	-2.68%	68.98	-15.20%	0.0524	✓	1.36	98.5M	2022-03-14
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.19	29.3959	-2.63%	27.37	-9.34%	0.0110	✓	0.96	830k	2022-03-14
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.27	4.1577	-2.63%	3.366	-21.17%	0.1329	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-03-14
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0956	0.093092	-2.62%	0.0663	-30.65%	0.2519	✓	1.39	585k	2022-03-14
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7989	4.6737	-2.61%	4.0362	-15.89%	0.0691	✓	1.24	399k	2022-03-14
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.05	17.5796	-2.61%	13.26	-26.54%	0.2371	✓	0.71	984k	2022-03-14
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021888	0.021343	-2.49%	0.01619	-26.03%	0.1994	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-03-14
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01276	0.012454	-2.40%	0.01143	-10.42%	0.0113	✓	1.55	1.7M	2022-03-14
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.03	10.7677	-2.38%	11.32	+2.63%	0.0950	✗	0.72	660k	2022-03-14
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.312	3.2399	-2.18%	4.071	+22.92%	0.2846	✗	0.90	502k	2022-03-14
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.91958	-2.17%	0.58	-38.30%	0.3377	✓	1.96	1.1M	2022-03-14
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.786	4.6869	-2.07%	4.541	-5.12%	0.0212	✗	0.84	348k	2022-03-14
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,568.00	41,700.96	-2.04%	39,373.20	-7.51%	0.0034	✓	0.97	41k	2022-03-14
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01362	0.013345	-2.02%	0.01174	-13.80%	0.0790	✓	0.78	13k	2022-03-14
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1672	0.163896	-1.98%	0.1527	-8.67%	0.0050	✓	1.05	470k	2022-03-14
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03381	0.03317	-1.89%	0.01958	-42.09%	0.4564	✓	1.13	9.7M	2022-03-14
HIVE	Hive	native	1.052	1.0325	-1.86%	0.8427	-19.90%	0.1111	✓	1.47	1.9M	2022-03-14
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.916	5.8079	-1.83%	4.77	-19.37%	0.1409	✓	0.89	72k	2022-03-14
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	126.78	124.486	-1.81%	105.58	-16.72%	0.0834	✓	1.30	35.7M	2022-03-14
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.67	6.5495	-1.81%	6.85	+2.70%	0.1011	✗	0.90	406k	2022-03-14
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.02	1.9867	-1.65%	1.69	-16.34%	0.0796	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-14
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	133.7	131.5845	-1.58%	113.5	-15.11%	0.0841	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-03-14
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.97	15.7199	-1.57%	13.41	-16.03%	0.0828	✓	1.21	72.0M	2022-03-14
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2064	0.203268	-1.52%	0.1955	-5.28%	0.0501	✗	1.42	3.7M	2022-03-14
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6501	0.640417	-1.49%	0.3858	-40.66%	0.4094	✓	1.55	743k	2022-03-14
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.111	18.8319	-1.46%	18.087	-5.36%	0.0438	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-03-14
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.48	5.4013	-1.44%	6.81	+24.27%	0.2816	✗	0.79	377k	2022-03-14
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.144281	0.142257	-1.40%	0.113913	-21.05%	0.1571	✓	1.04	7.0M	2022-03-14
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.4	6.3103	-1.40%	8.06	+25.94%	0.2969	✗	0.83	428k	2022-03-14
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000292	0.000028793	-1.39%	0.00002203	-24.55%	0.1787	✓	1.42	1.8M	2022-03-14
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0717	0.070726	-1.36%	0.06877	-4.09%	0.0413	✗	1.10	17k	2022-03-14
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04235	0.041796	-1.31%	0.03912	-7.63%	0.0047	✓	1.13	30k	2022-03-14
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000823	0.000081242	-1.29%	0.00007592	-7.75%	0.0052	✓	1.16	5.6M	2022-03-14
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2514	0.248203	-1.27%	0.2384	-5.17%	0.0284	✗	1.09	1.6M	2022-03-14
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	117.83	116.379	-1.23%	149.64	+27.00%	0.3310	✗	1.27	7.2M	2022-03-14
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		94.11	92.9649	-1.22%	75.63	-19.64%	0.1496	✓	0.90	1.3M	2022-03-14
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.56	2.5301	-1.17%	2.18	-14.84%	0.0841	✓	1.03	431k	2022-03-14
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.781	7.6911	-1.16%	5.436	-30.14%	0.3248	✓	0.35	38k	2022-03-14
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.939	6.8632	-1.09%	4.522	-34.83%	0.3527	✓	1.03	407k	2022-03-14
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.98	5.9164	-1.06%	3.73	-37.63%	0.3913	✓	1.12	645k	2022-03-14
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.82	18.6229	-1.05%	17.69	-6.00%	0.0345	✗	1.37	36.1M	2022-03-14
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.5	2.4739	-1.04%	1.67	-33.20%	0.3112	✓	1.30	390k	2022-03-14
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1035	0.102488	-0.98%	0.0894	-13.62%	0.0375	✓	1.58	1.2M	2022-03-14
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	166.09	164.478	-0.97%	120.47	-27.47%	0.2348	✓	1.22	930k	2022-03-14
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00616	0.006102	-0.95%	0.00363	-41.07%	0.3923	✓	2.02	18.8M	2022-03-14
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.89	40.5031	-0.95%	38.54	-5.75%	0.0486	✗	1.57	420k	2022-03-14
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.34	5.2983	-0.78%	4.39	-17.79%	0.1222	✓	1.05	682k	2022-03-14
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.218218	0.216537	-0.77%	0.180075	-17.48%	0.1192	✓	1.04	24.2M	2022-03-14
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.67	31.4434	-0.72%	25.92	-18.16%	0.1265	✓	1.06	4.9M	2022-03-14
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.354	2.3385	-0.66%	2.098	-10.88%	0.0414	✓	1.07	22k	2022-03-14
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.562	0.5586	-0.60%	0.6427	+14.36%	0.2234	✗	1.32	2.5M	2022-03-14
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	28.49	28.319	-0.60%	23.42	-17.80%	0.0945	✓	1.52	2.0M	2022-03-14
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.96	51.6926	-0.51%	94.79	+82.43%	0.6960	✗	1.43	7.4M	2022-03-14
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1736	0.172829	-0.44%	0.1322	-23.85%	0.2229	✓	0.72	406k	2022-03-14
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.162	3.15	-0.38%	3.453	+9.20%	0.1429	✗	0.81	212k	2022-03-14
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.7389	6.7185	-0.30%	5.7568	-14.57%	0.0637	✓	1.45	145k	2022-03-14
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,919.99	2,911.41	-0.29%	2,590.23	-11.29%	0.0462	✓	1.13	572.6M	2022-03-14
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09377	0.093612	-0.17%	0.09014	-3.87%	0.0293	✗	1.07	50k	2022-03-14
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.618	1.6157	-0.14%	1.459	-9.83%	0.0291	✓	1.16	1.9M	2022-03-14
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9401	0.938899	-0.13%	0.6963	-25.93%	0.2020	✓	1.54	672k	2022-03-14
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.76	2.7573	-0.10%	5.312	+92.46%	0.7407	✗	1.35	1.1M	2022-03-14
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.267	1.2663	-0.06%	1.144	-9.71%	0.0227	✓	1.25	3.2M	2022-03-14
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07609	0.076072	-0.02%	0.0694	-8.79%	0.0445	✓	0.75	86k	2022-03-14
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.758	6.7588	+0.01%	6.346	-6.10%	0.0062	✗	0.90	4.0M	2022-03-14
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,244.97	42,256.28	+0.03%	39,674.17	-6.09%	0.0003	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-03-14
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.514	0.514234	+0.05%	0.369	-28.21%	0.2405	✗	1.46	4.9M	2022-03-14
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.37	0.370321	+0.09%	0.421	+13.78%	0.2142	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-14
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01068	0.0107	+0.19%	0.00877	-17.88%	0.1344	✗	1.03	514k	2022-03-14
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2852	0.285877	+0.24%	0.2584	-9.40%	0.0311	✗	1.11	538k	2022-03-14
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1541	1.1575	+0.29%	0.9939	-13.88%	0.0868	✗	1.05	239k	2022-03-14
XVG	Verge	native	0.01149	0.011524	+0.30%	0.00916	-20.28%	0.1416	✗	1.40	1.2M	2022-03-14
DASH	Dash	Dash	104.19	104.5178	+0.31%	98.24	-5.71%	0.0097	✓	1.14	2.1M	2022-03-14
XEM	NEM	native	0.1086	0.108997	+0.37%	0.0947	-12.80%	0.0742	✗	1.06	36k	2022-03-14
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4191	0.420771	+0.40%	0.3655	-12.79%	0.0566	✗	1.34	8.7M	2022-03-14
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4604	0.462314	+0.42%	0.3223	-30.00%	0.2661	✗	1.51	2.0M	2022-03-14
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0596	1.0641	+0.43%	0.8028	-24.24%	0.2112	✗	1.12	115.7M	2022-03-14
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.745	0.748277	+0.44%	0.622	-16.51%	0.1157	✗	1.10	1.6M	2022-03-14
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063473	0.063776	+0.48%	0.060064	-5.37%	0.0035	✓	0.90	351k	2022-03-14
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0443	1.0495	+0.50%	1.1348	+8.66%	0.1543	✓	1.21	2.3M	2022-03-14
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.64	10.7012	+0.57%	8.48	-20.30%	0.1486	✗	1.34	12.5M	2022-03-14
SOL	Solana	Solana	95.95	96.5681	+0.64%	81.24	-15.33%	0.0938	✗	1.26	179.7M	2022-03-14
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.617618	0.62177	+0.67%	0.490244	-20.62%	0.1639	✗	1.18	3.5M	2022-03-14
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.93	7.985	+0.69%	5.85	-26.23%	0.2920	✗	0.30	1.1M	2022-03-14
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7725	1.7893	+0.94%	2.0564	+16.02%	0.2093	✓	1.12	73k	2022-03-14
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.942	0.95149	+1.01%	0.768	-18.47%	0.1275	✗	1.38	2.4M	2022-03-14
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9188	0.928117	+1.01%	0.7063	-23.13%	0.2021	✗	1.13	27.1M	2022-03-14
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2838	0.28694	+1.11%	0.1945	-31.47%	0.2907	✗	1.56	4.2M	2022-03-14
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.04	17.2345	+1.14%	13.52	-20.66%	0.1330	✗	1.75	3.8M	2022-03-14
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1781	2.2062	+1.29%	1.7056	-21.69%	0.1819	✗	1.20	547k	2022-03-14
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.92	1.9472	+1.42%	1.04	-45.83%	0.5527	✗	1.19	1.4M	2022-03-14
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	330.64	335.3542	+1.43%	289.43	-12.46%	0.0830	✗	1.02	8.9M	2022-03-14
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.16	15.4139	+1.67%	12.66	-16.49%	0.1300	✗	1.06	535k	2022-03-14
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	59.18	60.2027	+1.73%	47.89	-19.08%	0.1512	✗	1.24	8.8M	2022-03-14
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03125	0.031848	+1.91%	0.02467	-21.06%	0.2009	✗	0.87	6.4M	2022-03-14
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80694	0.827356	+2.53%	0.72186	-10.54%	0.0420	✗	1.50	311k	2022-03-14
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0857	0.088263	+2.99%	0.0683	-20.30%	0.1787	✗	1.24	201k	2022-03-14
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.3	2.3926	+4.03%	1.651	-28.22%	0.3099	✗	0.97	2.9M	2022-03-14
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.98	9.3974	+4.65%	8.49	-5.46%	0.0192	✓	1.31	2.8M	2022-03-14

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.