XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s6

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +7d

assessed

308

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

61.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1008

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0113

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.078022	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.076895	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.075485	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.075945	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.077944	-0.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.081613	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.083986	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.079776	-0.60%	0.07959	-0.83%	0.0241	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.081585	-1.30%	0.078225	-5.37%	0.0389	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.080064	-0.53%	0.076335	-5.16%	0.0496	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.086832	-1.78%	0.07672	-13.22%	0.0927	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.086048	-1.46%	0.078665	-9.91%	0.0617	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.083697	-1.08%	0.08273	-2.23%	0.0075	✓	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.083065	-0.81%	0.08569	+2.33%	0.0232	✗	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.08634	-1.43%	0.08026	-8.37%	0.0424	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.088461	-1.49%	0.08266	-7.95%	0.0243	✓	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.093105	-1.80%	0.08049	-15.10%	0.0724	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.094582	-1.80%	0.088405	-8.21%	0.0157	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.093764	-1.98%	0.08732	-8.71%	0.0369	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.091598	-1.85%	0.084615	-9.33%	0.0424	✓	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.094356	-1.87%	0.08374	-12.91%	0.0600	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.092957	-2.01%	0.087595	-7.66%	0.0540	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.093765	-2.09%	0.0898	-6.23%	0.0794	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.096154	-2.16%	0.09481	-3.53%	0.0579	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.103629	-2.32%	0.096315	-9.21%	0.1142	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.108639	-2.54%	0.095655	-14.18%	0.1339	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.111002	-3.17%	0.09332	-18.59%	0.1820	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.107752	-2.79%	0.09615	-13.26%	0.1235	✓	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.089217	-0.87%	0.09486	+5.40%	0.0786	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.095477	-0.93%	0.095765	-0.63%	0.0523	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.097022	-0.99%	0.09828	+0.30%	0.0707	✗	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.088462	-0.87%	0.10609	+18.89%	0.1212	✗	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.091329	-0.93%	0.111465	+20.91%	0.1416	✗	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.092789	-1.09%	0.11463	+22.19%	0.1523	✗	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.086494	-1.06%	0.11085	+26.80%	0.0967	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080815	-0.20%	0.09	+11.15%	0.0480	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.081758	-0.15%	0.096375	+17.70%	0.0454	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083671	-0.29%	0.09799	+16.77%	0.0060	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.077903	+0.14%	0.089235	+14.71%	0.0559	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.08019	+0.16%	0.092185	+15.14%	0.0671	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082691	+0.26%	0.093815	+13.74%	0.0592	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084354	+0.31%	0.08742	+3.96%	0.0393	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089493	+0.35%	0.080975	-9.21%	0.0602	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.0983	-0.04%	0.08188	-16.74%	0.1241	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.093163	+0.24%	0.083915	-9.71%	0.0857	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.09007	+0.55%	0.077795	-13.16%	0.0715	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093558	+0.47%	0.08006	-14.02%	0.1013	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.093737	+0.58%	0.08248	-11.50%	0.0758	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.097115	+0.67%	0.08409	-12.83%	0.0446	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083141	-0.17%	0.089185	+7.09%	0.0478	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.082433	-0.25%	0.09834	+19.00%	0.1522	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.083829	-0.05%	0.09294	+10.81%	0.0923	✗	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.08383	-0.31%	0.08958	+6.53%	0.0136	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.08688	+0.01%	0.09312	+7.19%	0.0394	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.084452	-0.13%	0.0932	+10.21%	0.0641	✗	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.090761	+0.61%	0.09647	+6.94%	0.0430	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.088041	+0.37%	0.08328	-5.06%	0.0232	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090616	+0.16%	0.08264	-8.65%	0.0713	✗	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.097487	+0.12%	0.08387	-13.86%	0.1428	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.101187	-0.45%	0.08409	-17.27%	0.1839	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.093275	-0.48%	0.08687	-7.31%	0.0928	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.100856	-0.73%	0.084565	-16.77%	0.1675	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.0878	-1.20%	0.09021	+1.51%	0.0990	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.079207	-1.50%	0.08772	+9.09%	0.0716	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.074708	-1.56%	0.09047	+19.21%	0.0820	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.075018	-1.40%	0.09737	+27.98%	0.0296	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.073926	-1.20%	0.10164	+35.84%	0.0092	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.075066	-1.02%	0.09372	+23.58%	0.0701	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.075573	-1.03%	0.1016	+33.05%	0.0224	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.074627	-0.97%	0.08887	+17.94%	0.0318	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.073225	-0.94%	0.08041	+8.78%	0.0396	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.077586	-1.20%	0.07589	-3.36%	0.0488	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.077638	-1.32%	0.07608	-3.30%	0.0334	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.075649	-1.25%	0.074825	-2.33%	0.0372	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.075141	-1.24%	0.07584	-0.32%	0.0545	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.074795	-1.27%	0.07636	+0.80%	0.0662	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.074084	-1.33%	0.075355	+0.37%	0.0369	✗	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.073915	-1.41%	0.07392	-1.40%	0.0282	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.076677	-1.56%	0.078525	+0.81%	0.0359	✗	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.076465	-1.44%	0.07868	+1.42%	0.0180	✗	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.075075	-1.22%	0.07661	+0.80%	0.0118	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.07443	-0.96%	0.076085	+1.24%	0.0284	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.072965	-0.80%	0.075755	+3.00%	0.0110	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.077156	-1.15%	0.07508	-3.81%	0.0168	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.07637	-1.01%	0.07497	-2.83%	0.0345	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.082493	-1.27%	0.077895	-6.77%	0.0620	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.078122	-0.92%	0.07758	-1.61%	0.0018	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.084301	-1.11%	0.076	-10.85%	0.0633	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.08244	-0.97%	0.07515	-9.73%	0.0585	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.083757	-1.05%	0.07355	-13.11%	0.1020	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.080426	-0.89%	0.07805	-3.82%	0.0227	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.084136	-0.90%	0.07715	-9.13%	0.0387	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.083049	-0.72%	0.08355	-0.12%	0.0645	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.084401	-0.76%	0.07885	-7.29%	0.0345	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.079989	-0.51%	0.08525	+6.03%	0.0495	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.082307	-0.48%	0.08325	+0.67%	0.0220	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.084697	-0.59%	0.08465	-0.65%	0.0047	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.085794	-0.70%	0.08115	-6.08%	0.0850	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.091186	-0.88%	0.0849	-7.72%	0.0995	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.092312	-0.95%	0.08365	-10.25%	0.1300	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.088789	-0.79%	0.08505	-4.97%	0.1062	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.088181	-0.75%	0.0804	-9.51%	0.1129	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.090205	-0.76%	0.0827	-9.02%	0.1105	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.091096	-0.82%	0.0852	-7.24%	0.0613	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.094568	-0.87%	0.0864	-9.43%	0.1049	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.090216	-0.75%	0.092	+1.21%	0.0415	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.098012	-0.80%	0.0932	-5.67%	0.0900	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.108243	-0.88%	0.0895	-18.04%	0.1486	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.105851	-0.75%	0.08885	-16.69%	0.1788	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.10572	-0.83%	0.0909	-14.73%	0.1676	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.105538	-1.09%	0.09185	-13.92%	0.1779	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.094298	-0.84%	0.0954	+0.32%	0.0290	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.090063	-0.81%	0.0909	+0.11%	0.0461	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.085998	-0.69%	0.0988	+14.09%	0.0280	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.103441	-1.39%	0.1092	+4.10%	0.0252	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.094761	-1.09%	0.10665	+11.33%	0.0335	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.099679	-1.16%	0.1066	+5.70%	0.0025	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.102192	-1.45%	0.1067	+2.89%	0.0088	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.102836	-1.97%	0.0951	-9.34%	0.1155	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.090875	-1.22%	0.0908	-1.30%	0.0222	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.087717	-1.22%	0.0866	-2.48%	0.0850	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.083855	-1.17%	0.1049	+23.63%	0.3145	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.088067	-1.27%	0.0958	+7.40%	0.1765	✗	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.093073	-1.30%	0.10085	+6.95%	0.1827	✗	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.09919	-1.60%	0.1037	+2.88%	0.1295	✗	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.09643	-1.40%	0.1049	+7.26%	0.1618	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.108803	-3.37%	0.092	-18.29%	0.0898	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.089868	-1.57%	0.0888	-2.74%	0.0601	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.088665	-1.65%	0.08485	-5.88%	0.0129	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.088323	-1.43%	0.0892	-0.45%	0.0712	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.085529	-1.69%	0.0943	+8.39%	0.1030	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.080866	-2.10%	0.1008	+22.03%	0.2220	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.074544	-1.14%	0.0978	+29.71%	0.2891	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.061569	+0.60%	0.1126	+83.99%	0.5332	✓	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.066342	+0.37%	0.0913	+38.12%	0.2276	✓	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.070012	+0.02%	0.09015	+28.79%	0.1796	✓	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.069352	+0.07%	0.0896	+29.29%	0.2000	✓	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.06607	+0.87%	0.087	+32.82%	0.1933	✓	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.067537	+0.80%	0.0826	+23.28%	0.1440	✓	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.08372	-0.81%	0.0754	-10.66%	0.1000	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.092198	-1.81%	0.0612	-34.82%	0.3533	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.085134	-1.24%	0.0661	-23.32%	0.1392	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.090621	-2.56%	0.07	-24.73%	0.0934	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.08692	-2.45%	0.0693	-22.22%	0.0168	✓	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.088407	-2.85%	0.0655	-28.02%	0.0296	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.086175	-2.85%	0.067	-24.46%	0.0077	✓	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.092142	-3.52%	0.0844	-11.62%	0.1160	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.083267	-2.15%	0.0939	+10.34%	0.3400	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.086026	-2.35%	0.0862	-2.16%	0.1944	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.08398	-2.41%	0.093	+8.08%	0.2335	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.079647	-2.03%	0.0891	+9.59%	0.1862	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.082417	-2.23%	0.091	+7.95%	0.1598	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.080764	-1.75%	0.0887	+7.91%	0.1383	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.087353	-2.62%	0.0955	+6.47%	0.1729	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.085006	-2.52%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0663	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.080246	-1.72%	0.0881	+7.90%	0.1126	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.082179	-1.88%	0.08605	+2.75%	0.0398	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.082022	-1.89%	0.0813	-2.75%	0.0000	✓	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.084823	-2.17%	0.0843	-2.77%	0.0233	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.086874	-2.39%	0.0822	-7.64%	0.0187	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.093731	-2.72%	0.0897	-6.90%	0.0258	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.091616	-2.74%	0.0872	-7.43%	0.0131	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.093445	-2.71%	0.08165	-14.99%	0.0627	✓	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.099675	-2.66%	0.08375	-18.21%	0.0848	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.104546	-2.61%	0.0836	-22.12%	0.1350	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.103212	-2.81%	0.0867	-18.36%	0.1268	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.106623	-3.25%	0.089	-19.24%	0.1597	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.103447	-2.96%	0.09635	-9.62%	0.0905	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.097525	-2.52%	0.0942	-5.85%	0.0007	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.090526	-2.19%	0.09605	+3.78%	0.0658	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.086643	-1.99%	0.1024	+15.84%	0.1387	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.087938	-1.96%	0.10735	+19.68%	0.1428	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.08882	-1.96%	0.1062	+17.22%	0.1477	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.08932	-1.95%	0.1102	+20.97%	0.1791	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.089703	-1.64%	0.1066	+16.89%	0.1106	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.091458	-1.71%	0.10005	+7.52%	0.0052	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.09402	-2.16%	0.09255	-3.69%	0.0948	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.096044	-2.39%	0.0884	-10.16%	0.1258	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.098257	-2.43%	0.0897	-10.92%	0.0891	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.09747	-2.68%	0.0906	-9.54%	0.0912	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.097511	-2.54%	0.0911	-8.95%	0.0818	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.098576	-2.45%	0.0912	-9.75%	0.0423	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.099367	-2.34%	0.09305	-8.55%	0.0215	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.099991	-2.54%	0.0961	-6.34%	0.0391	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.101849	-2.63%	0.0984	-5.93%	0.0619	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.100947	-2.80%	0.1007	-3.03%	0.0937	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.106545	-2.57%	0.10015	-8.41%	0.0975	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.124457	-2.31%	0.10005	-21.47%	0.2249	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.136925	-2.75%	0.10105	-28.23%	0.3629	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.12793	-2.38%	0.10175	-22.36%	0.2929	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.130714	-2.45%	0.1026	-23.43%	0.2845	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.136182	-2.73%	0.1046	-25.29%	0.2915	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.121018	-2.60%	0.10385	-16.42%	0.2136	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.133246	-2.53%	0.10935	-20.01%	0.2477	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.12709	-2.50%	0.1274	-2.26%	0.0744	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.120281	-2.33%	0.1408	+14.33%	0.0935	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.121781	-2.34%	0.13105	+5.09%	0.0013	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.12706	-2.49%	0.134	+2.84%	0.0098	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.117083	-2.51%	0.14	+16.57%	0.0679	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.118708	-2.42%	0.12425	+2.14%	0.0100	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.114461	-2.46%	0.1367	+16.49%	0.0616	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.107731	-2.33%	0.13035	+18.18%	0.0704	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.114298	-4.03%	0.12315	+3.40%	0.0242	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.103913	-1.97%	0.1247	+17.64%	0.1207	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.091883	-1.04%	0.1303	+40.33%	0.2730	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.087828	-0.59%	0.1201	+35.94%	0.2679	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.086203	-0.23%	0.12165	+40.80%	0.2791	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.088489	-0.18%	0.11735	+32.37%	0.2613	✗	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.089209	-0.05%	0.1103	+23.59%	0.1991	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.09329	-0.38%	0.1191	+27.18%	0.2845	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.099835	-0.66%	0.106	+5.47%	0.1262	✗	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.09696	-0.76%	0.09285	-4.96%	0.0049	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.095758	-0.82%	0.08835	-8.49%	0.0066	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.090465	-0.64%	0.0864	-5.11%	0.0051	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.09204	-0.71%	0.08865	-4.37%	0.0180	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.093572	-0.72%	0.08925	-5.31%	0.0404	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.098347	-0.66%	0.09365	-5.40%	0.0248	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.107621	-0.76%	0.1005	-7.33%	0.0696	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.117489	-0.89%	0.0977	-17.59%	0.1161	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.122495	-1.05%	0.09655	-22.01%	0.1578	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.106919	-0.49%	0.09105	-15.26%	0.0606	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.109732	-0.47%	0.0927	-15.92%	0.1207	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.107786	-0.52%	0.09425	-13.01%	0.1251	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.105989	-0.48%	0.099	-7.04%	0.0556	✓	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.099195	-0.41%	0.10845	+8.89%	0.0678	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.098676	-0.48%	0.11855	+19.57%	0.1033	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.090778	-0.24%	0.1238	+36.04%	0.1809	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.092827	-0.24%	0.10745	+15.48%	0.0009	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.094555	-0.26%	0.11025	+16.30%	0.0681	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098428	-0.28%	0.10835	+9.78%	0.0361	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.118164	-0.66%	0.1065	-10.47%	0.0968	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.113523	-0.59%	0.0996	-12.78%	0.0807	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.114636	-0.92%	0.09915	-14.30%	0.1811	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.104129	-0.45%	0.091	-13.00%	0.1259	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.097361	-0.24%	0.09305	-4.66%	0.0500	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.101476	-0.42%	0.0948	-6.97%	0.0747	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.091584	-0.13%	0.0987	+7.63%	0.0245	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.09438	-0.23%	0.11895	+25.74%	0.1577	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.102611	-0.76%	0.1142	+10.44%	0.0072	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.087133	+0.04%	0.1157	+32.84%	0.1922	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.087011	+0.01%	0.1046	+20.23%	0.0947	✓	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.089465	-0.10%	0.0976	+8.99%	0.1270	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.096383	-0.33%	0.1019	+5.38%	0.0768	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.094847	-0.32%	0.0917	-3.63%	0.0120	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.093373	-0.30%	0.0946	+1.01%	0.0020	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.092114	-0.26%	0.1034	+11.97%	0.0819	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.096161	-0.45%	0.0871	-9.83%	0.0248	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.101315	-0.87%	0.087	-14.87%	0.0616	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.095625	-0.60%	0.08955	-6.91%	0.0411	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.101008	-1.17%	0.0967	-5.38%	0.0059	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.096413	-0.91%	0.09515	-2.21%	0.0039	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.091772	-0.08%	0.09365	+1.96%	0.0041	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.082699	+1.35%	0.09235	+13.17%	0.1233	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.082227	+1.45%	0.0966	+19.19%	0.1894	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.084777	+1.35%	0.1022	+22.18%	0.2127	✓	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.084119	+1.84%	0.0962	+16.46%	0.1650	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.085874	+2.47%	0.1022	+21.96%	0.1627	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.086046	+2.74%	0.0973	+16.18%	0.1588	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.083325	+5.61%	0.09185	+16.41%	0.0058	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.096641	+1.89%	0.0816	-13.97%	0.0179	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.096636	+1.62%	0.08105	-14.77%	0.0425	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.104564	+0.59%	0.08365	-19.53%	0.0426	✓	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.102984	+1.66%	0.0826	-18.46%	0.0107	✓	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.107723	+1.34%	0.0838	-21.17%	0.0467	✓	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.121999	-0.69%	0.08375	-31.83%	0.0464	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.124802	-0.71%	0.0789	-37.23%	0.2537	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.140864	-2.85%	0.09485	-34.59%	0.0763	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.134915	-2.52%	0.0951	-31.29%	0.0358	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.124123	-0.58%	0.10395	-16.74%	0.0865	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.119365	+0.64%	0.1013	-14.59%	0.1055	✓	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.127963	-0.88%	0.1063	-17.66%	0.0947	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.123765	-0.51%	0.12285	-1.25%	0.1326	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.122471	-0.31%	0.1257	+2.32%	0.1549	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.125367	-0.50%	0.145	+15.08%	0.1506	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.12088	+0.23%	0.1384	+14.76%	0.1150	✓	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.131257	-1.90%	0.12485	-6.69%	0.0588	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.128821	-1.96%	0.1186	-9.74%	0.1010	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.137516	-2.05%	0.1291	-8.05%	0.0879	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.141798	-2.01%	0.1244	-14.03%	0.0192	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.140007	-1.96%	0.12285	-13.97%	0.0219	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.158408	-2.10%	0.126	-22.13%	0.0512	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.158087	-2.23%	0.1206	-25.42%	0.0994	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.149971	-2.17%	0.1338	-12.72%	0.1506	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.160768	-2.27%	0.1314	-20.12%	0.2760	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.157636	-2.09%	0.1404	-12.80%	0.2421	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.165662	-2.09%	0.1447	-14.48%	0.2675	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.162004	-1.88%	0.1428	-13.51%	0.2481	✓	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.175241	-1.94%	0.1618	-9.46%	0.2287	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.203674	-2.64%	0.1617	-22.71%	0.2683	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.186112	-1.94%	0.1533	-19.23%	0.1311	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.188625	-2.06%	0.1645	-14.59%	0.1203	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.194292	-2.27%	0.161	-19.01%	0.1818	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.190407	-2.66%	0.1692	-13.50%	0.1336	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.168072	-1.71%	0.1651	-3.45%	0.0763	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.158843	-1.46%	0.1787	+10.86%	0.0755	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.16157	-1.36%	0.2092	+27.72%	0.1999	✗	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.155923	-1.44%	0.1898	+19.97%	0.1219	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.153147	-1.45%	0.1926	+23.94%	0.1889	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.151073	-1.32%	0.1988	+29.85%	0.2433	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.138446	-0.93%	0.1956	+39.96%	0.3156	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.132137	-0.80%	0.171	+28.38%	0.2400	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.131841	-0.87%	0.1612	+21.20%	0.2023	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.128946	-0.73%	0.1638	+26.10%	0.2282	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.127373	-0.80%	0.1582	+23.21%	0.2332	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.128212	-0.84%	0.1554	+20.19%	0.2010	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.135579	-1.04%	0.1531	+11.75%	0.1274	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.129809	-1.06%	0.13975	+6.52%	0.0829	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.118644	-0.55%	0.1332	+11.65%	0.0959	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.124338	-0.73%	0.133	+6.19%	0.0512	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.132211	-0.93%	0.1299	-2.66%	0.0128	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.134152	-0.81%	0.1284	-5.06%	0.0683	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.150038	-1.00%	0.1293	-14.68%	0.1541	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.154398	-1.15%	0.137	-12.29%	0.0979	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.146777	-1.09%	0.1312	-11.59%	0.0877	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.161381	-1.14%	0.1193	-26.92%	0.2225	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.