XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s6

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 948

Track record at +30d

assessed

286

of 316 predictions shown

direction hit

62.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1883

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0685

actual -0.0190

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.082275	0.076214	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.08196	0.075899	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.073249	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.071381	-6.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.070706	-7.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.071198	-9.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.074198	-10.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.076716	-10.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.072454	-9.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.075591	-8.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.07292	-9.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.082166	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.080582	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.078061	-7.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.076298	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.082778	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.087737	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.092329	-2.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.094298	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.092713	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.090341	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.093119	-3.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.090922	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.091775	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.093774	-4.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.101355	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.105684	-5.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.108651	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.105334	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.088221	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.094659	-1.78%	0.082275	-14.63%	0.1022	✓	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.096381	-1.64%	0.08196	-16.36%	0.1149	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.086404	-3.17%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.1323	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.089125	-3.32%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1660	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.090301	-3.75%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1840	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.082612	-5.50%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1455	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.077278	-4.57%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0349	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.077833	-4.94%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0363	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.081474	-2.91%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0781	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.07536	-3.13%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0217	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.07825	-2.26%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0531	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.080948	-1.86%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0281	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.082316	-2.11%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0581	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.087832	-1.52%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.1135	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.095408	-2.98%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.1943	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.091357	-1.70%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.1252	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089684	+0.12%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.1031	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.092503	-0.66%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.0945	✓	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.09248	-0.77%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.0957	✓	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.096892	+0.44%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.0824	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.082536	-0.89%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0357	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.082598	-0.05%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0133	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.084668	+0.95%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0142	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.084788	+0.83%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0063	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.088218	+1.55%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0123	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.085848	+1.52%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.0908	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.093405	+3.54%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.1029	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.090481	+3.15%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1451	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.092501	+2.24%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0775	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.099008	+1.68%	0.09	-7.57%	0.1900	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.101606	-0.03%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.2012	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.093615	-0.11%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1206	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.101655	+0.05%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.1799	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.085322	-3.99%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.0644	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.075052	-6.66%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0188	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.07039	-7.25%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0171	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.070998	-6.68%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.1065	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.071437	-4.53%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.1320	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.072815	-3.99%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1711	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.073455	-3.80%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.2322	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.072651	-3.59%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1923	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.071389	-3.42%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.1508	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.075165	-4.28%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1654	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.074952	-4.74%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.1285	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.072197	-5.76%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0181	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.071216	-6.40%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0365	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.069916	-7.71%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.0764	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.069594	-7.31%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0358	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.068505	-8.62%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0096	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.070978	-8.88%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0471	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.071686	-7.60%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1484	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.070938	-6.66%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1489	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.071086	-5.41%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1717	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.070436	-4.23%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1409	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.074199	-4.93%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.1231	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.074076	-3.98%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1537	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.079686	-4.62%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.2073	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.075806	-3.86%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1654	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.080679	-5.36%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1450	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.079366	-4.66%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.0861	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.080574	-4.82%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0398	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.077346	-4.69%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0512	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.080221	-5.51%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0057	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.07948	-4.98%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0213	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.080824	-4.97%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.0916	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.077036	-4.18%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0150	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.078957	-4.53%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0304	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.080656	-5.33%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0516	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.081473	-5.70%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0542	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.086074	-6.44%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.0832	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.087016	-6.63%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1109	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.084265	-5.85%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1559	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.083356	-6.18%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0551	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.084916	-6.58%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.0795	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.085396	-7.03%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1256	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.088405	-7.33%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.1923	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.084485	-7.06%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.1743	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.09137	-7.52%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2189	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.100739	-7.75%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3096	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.09842	-7.72%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2451	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.098103	-7.97%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2439	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.09774	-8.40%	0.076	-28.77%	0.2754	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.087644	-7.84%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.1847	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.083922	-7.58%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2012	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.080361	-7.20%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.1707	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.095807	-8.67%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.2939	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.088074	-8.07%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1427	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.092145	-8.63%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2326	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.094401	-8.97%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2097	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.095144	-9.30%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2275	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.083719	-9.00%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.0566	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.080357	-9.51%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.0444	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.076562	-9.77%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0546	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.080425	-9.84%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.0369	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.084954	-9.91%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0216	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.090652	-10.07%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.1485	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.088186	-9.83%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1092	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.100854	-10.43%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.1565	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.081979	-10.21%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0969	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.080996	-10.15%	0.092	+2.05%	0.1653	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.080184	-10.51%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.1680	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.077128	-11.35%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.2060	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.072817	-11.84%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.1938	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.066307	-12.06%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.3101	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.054109	-11.59%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.4660	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.057724	-12.67%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.4670	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.060722	-13.25%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.4228	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.060057	-13.34%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.4973	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.057148	-12.75%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.5752	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.058484	-12.71%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.5424	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.074239	-12.04%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.3757	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.083206	-11.39%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2815	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.076777	-10.93%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.3326	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.082765	-11.01%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.3250	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.079448	-10.83%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.4055	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.080492	-11.55%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.5511	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.078461	-11.54%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4955	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.084379	-11.65%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4721	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.075959	-10.74%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.6273	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.078922	-10.42%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.6415	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.077676	-9.73%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5582	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.074023	-8.95%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.5194	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.076343	-9.44%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3930	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.074715	-9.11%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4588	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.081565	-9.07%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4404	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.079841	-8.44%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5451	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.075734	-7.25%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5662	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.07781	-7.09%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6463	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.078131	-6.54%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.4159	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.080942	-6.64%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3655	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.082283	-7.55%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.3777	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.086367	-10.36%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3674	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.085241	-9.51%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.3165	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.087548	-8.85%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.2110	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.094487	-7.73%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0122	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.099841	-6.99%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0111	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.098073	-7.65%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0271	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.101699	-7.71%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0351	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.098891	-7.23%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0122	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.094304	-5.74%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0246	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.087927	-4.99%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.2559	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.083843	-5.15%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.3837	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.083981	-6.38%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2315	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.08468	-6.53%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2166	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.085638	-6.00%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1167	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.085696	-6.04%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1043	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.087844	-5.60%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.0517	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.091206	-5.09%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.0967	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.093839	-4.64%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0433	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.095716	-4.95%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0326	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.095127	-5.02%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0932	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.095066	-4.98%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.1477	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.095792	-5.20%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0986	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.09526	-6.38%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.0976	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.094783	-7.62%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0769	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.095846	-8.37%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.1240	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.093754	-9.72%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.1943	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.099023	-9.44%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.1901	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.113472	-10.93%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3112	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.123044	-12.61%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4059	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.115493	-11.87%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3401	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.11706	-12.64%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3253	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.122276	-12.66%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.3530	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.109177	-12.13%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3122	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.120024	-12.20%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3160	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.114933	-11.83%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2351	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.109038	-11.46%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.1890	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.110324	-11.53%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.1699	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.114251	-12.32%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2185	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.107549	-10.45%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.3105	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.10967	-9.85%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.3959	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.107516	-8.38%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.4361	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.102162	-7.38%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3524	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.109887	-7.74%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.4197	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.098952	-6.65%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2827	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.088692	-4.48%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.1345	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.084948	-3.85%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0919	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.083365	-3.51%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0688	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.085818	-3.19%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0855	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.086588	-2.98%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0950	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.090636	-3.22%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0769	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.096768	-3.71%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0868	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.094033	-3.75%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0789	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.093066	-3.61%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0535	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.088312	-3.01%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0210	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.090098	-2.81%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0100	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.092325	-2.04%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0509	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.096898	-2.12%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0043	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.105262	-2.94%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.0752	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.114	-3.84%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.1872	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.118504	-4.28%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.1016	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.105138	-2.15%	0.134	+24.71%	0.2167	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.10756	-2.44%	0.14	+26.98%	0.1997	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.105393	-2.73%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.1685	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.103535	-2.78%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2264	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.097388	-2.22%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2348	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.096585	-2.59%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.2054	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.089968	-1.13%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.2718	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.091353	-1.82%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2269	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.093371	-1.51%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2169	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.097044	-1.68%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.2068	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.112995	-5.01%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.1112	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.107825	-5.58%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.1415	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.109985	-4.94%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.1123	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.100693	-3.73%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0674	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.094923	-2.74%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0779	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.098193	-3.64%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.1004	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.089789	-2.08%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0407	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.091994	-2.75%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0108	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.098226	-5.00%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0593	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.084368	-3.14%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0041	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.084253	-3.16%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0370	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.086493	-3.41%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0610	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.09136	-5.52%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0053	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.089618	-5.81%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0188	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.087935	-6.10%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0117	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.086473	-6.36%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0004	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.089122	-7.74%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0539	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.092537	-9.45%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.1100	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.087306	-9.24%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.2032	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.090971	-10.99%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.2081	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.086846	-10.74%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.1329	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.083375	-9.23%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.1766	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.075134	-7.92%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2852	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.074142	-8.52%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.3264	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.075265	-10.02%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.2780	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.073983	-10.43%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.2993	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.074767	-10.78%	0.091	+8.59%	0.2136	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.074261	-11.33%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.3229	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.075405	-4.43%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.1101	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.082376	-13.15%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.3327	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.083004	-12.72%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.5096	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.091368	-12.10%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.4055	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.089598	-11.55%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.5309	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.095029	-10.60%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.4078	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.112117	-8.74%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4515	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.115609	-8.03%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4317	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.133344	-8.04%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.3400	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.128519	-7.14%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.3483	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.118105	-5.40%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.4656	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.112774	-4.91%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4269	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.12139	-5.97%	0.087	-32.61%	0.3888	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.116874	-6.05%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.3681	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.115246	-6.19%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4471	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.11739	-6.83%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4097	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.113298	-6.05%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4302	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.118467	-11.46%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.5083	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.116701	-11.19%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5777	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.124322	-11.45%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.5492	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.12771	-11.74%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4716	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.126909	-11.13%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.5087	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.142985	-11.63%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.3625	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.143659	-11.16%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.3644	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.141112	-7.95%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.2057	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.151418	-7.95%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0649	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.149378	-7.22%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0481	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.157096	-7.15%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0190	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.154357	-6.51%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0709	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.166711	-6.71%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0516	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.193643	-7.44%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0425	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.177075	-6.70%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.0792	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.178693	-7.22%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.1695	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.183238	-7.83%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.2121	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.179842	-8.06%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.1790	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.159349	-6.81%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1277	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.151059	-6.29%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1672	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.153214	-6.46%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1530	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.148193	-6.33%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0451	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.145467	-6.39%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0638	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.14316	-6.49%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1419	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.131577	-5.85%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.0954	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.125688	-5.64%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.125266	-5.82%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0280	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.122451	-5.73%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0198	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.120857	-5.87%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0326	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.121513	-6.02%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0038	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.127923	-6.63%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0019	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.122541	-6.60%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.112276	-5.89%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1165	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.117668	-6.05%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.1044	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.124699	-6.56%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0512	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.126439	-6.51%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1315	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.140448	-7.33%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0623	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.143774	-7.96%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0539	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.137102	-7.61%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1756	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.150086	-8.06%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0939	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.