XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s6

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +1d

assessed

314

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

58.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0390

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0034

actual -0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.079245	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.077972	-0.32%	0.07959	+1.74%	0.0253	✗	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.076221	-0.15%	0.078225	+2.48%	0.0043	✗	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.076639	-0.11%	0.076335	-0.50%	0.0007	✓	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.078622	-0.05%	0.07672	-2.47%	0.0368	✓	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.082572	-0.19%	0.078665	-4.91%	0.0461	✓	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.085243	-0.52%	0.08273	-3.45%	0.0178	✓	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.080271	+0.01%	0.08569	+6.77%	0.0545	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.082481	-0.22%	0.08026	-2.90%	0.0026	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.080505	+0.02%	0.08266	+2.70%	0.0000	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.088035	-0.42%	0.08049	-8.95%	0.0536	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.087039	-0.32%	0.088405	+1.24%	0.0017	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.084456	-0.19%	0.08732	+3.20%	0.0267	✗	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.083677	-0.07%	0.084615	+1.04%	0.0045	✓	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.087326	-0.31%	0.08374	-4.40%	0.0136	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.089442	-0.40%	0.087595	-2.46%	0.0196	✗	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.094325	-0.51%	0.0898	-5.28%	0.0454	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.095811	-0.52%	0.09481	-1.56%	0.0032	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.095173	-0.50%	0.096315	+0.69%	0.0205	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.092888	-0.46%	0.095655	+2.50%	0.0249	✗	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.095662	-0.51%	0.09332	-2.94%	0.0184	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.094408	-0.48%	0.09615	+1.36%	0.0063	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.095298	-0.49%	0.09486	-0.95%	0.0030	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.09778	-0.51%	0.095765	-2.56%	0.0243	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.105421	-0.63%	0.09828	-7.36%	0.0496	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.110566	-0.81%	0.10609	-4.82%	0.0423	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.113081	-1.35%	0.111465	-2.76%	0.0211	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.109529	-1.19%	0.11463	+3.41%	0.0516	✗	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.089753	-0.27%	0.11085	+23.17%	0.2110	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.096049	-0.34%	0.09	-6.61%	0.0302	✓	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.097548	-0.45%	0.096375	-1.65%	0.0049	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.088984	-0.28%	0.09799	+9.81%	0.0020	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.091881	-0.33%	0.089235	-3.20%	0.0279	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.093398	-0.44%	0.092185	-1.74%	0.0198	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.087064	-0.41%	0.093815	+7.32%	0.0124	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080888	-0.11%	0.08742	+7.96%	0.0736	✗	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.081792	-0.11%	0.080975	-1.11%	0.0218	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083729	-0.22%	0.08188	-2.43%	0.0277	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.077754	-0.05%	0.083915	+7.87%	0.0506	✗	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080016	-0.06%	0.077795	-2.83%	0.0195	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082462	-0.02%	0.08006	-2.93%	0.0306	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084089	-0.00%	0.08248	-1.91%	0.0321	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089159	-0.03%	0.08409	-5.71%	0.0261	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.098127	-0.22%	0.089185	-9.31%	0.0922	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.092818	-0.13%	0.09834	+5.81%	0.0710	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089536	-0.05%	0.09294	+3.75%	0.0633	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093052	-0.07%	0.08958	-3.80%	0.0486	✓	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.093128	-0.08%	0.09312	-0.09%	0.0033	✓	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.09619	-0.29%	0.0932	-3.39%	0.0012	✓	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083168	-0.13%	0.09647	+15.84%	0.0595	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.082499	-0.17%	0.08328	+0.77%	0.0115	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.083744	-0.15%	0.08264	-1.47%	0.0108	✗	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.083934	-0.19%	0.08387	-0.26%	0.0187	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.08674	-0.15%	0.08409	-3.20%	0.0202	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.08444	-0.15%	0.08687	+2.73%	0.0209	✗	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.090061	-0.17%	0.084565	-6.26%	0.0177	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.087629	-0.10%	0.09021	+2.84%	0.0060	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090335	-0.15%	0.08772	-3.04%	0.0385	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.097146	-0.23%	0.09047	-7.09%	0.0629	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.101115	-0.52%	0.09737	-4.20%	0.0607	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.093317	-0.43%	0.10164	+8.45%	0.0730	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.100684	-0.90%	0.09372	-7.76%	0.0488	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.088416	-0.51%	0.1016	+14.32%	0.0456	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.080086	-0.40%	0.08887	+10.52%	0.0350	✗	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.075609	-0.37%	0.08041	+5.96%	0.0357	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.075839	-0.32%	0.07589	-0.25%	0.0039	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.074618	-0.28%	0.07608	+1.68%	0.0181	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.075668	-0.23%	0.074825	-1.34%	0.0070	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.076173	-0.24%	0.07584	-0.68%	0.0054	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.075193	-0.22%	0.07636	+1.33%	0.0258	✗	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.073777	-0.19%	0.075355	+1.94%	0.0208	✗	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.078301	-0.29%	0.07392	-5.86%	0.0548	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.078405	-0.35%	0.078525	-0.20%	0.0104	✗	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.076371	-0.31%	0.07868	+2.70%	0.0520	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.07586	-0.30%	0.07661	+0.69%	0.0113	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.075538	-0.29%	0.076085	+0.44%	0.0068	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.074849	-0.31%	0.075755	+0.90%	0.0026	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.074708	-0.35%	0.07508	+0.15%	0.0129	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.077561	-0.43%	0.07497	-3.76%	0.0467	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.077291	-0.37%	0.077895	+0.41%	0.0061	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.075788	-0.28%	0.07758	+2.08%	0.0242	✗	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.075017	-0.18%	0.076	+1.13%	0.0045	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.073467	-0.11%	0.07515	+2.18%	0.0241	✗	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.077856	-0.25%	0.07355	-5.77%	0.0129	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.076991	-0.21%	0.07805	+1.17%	0.0049	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.083264	-0.34%	0.07715	-7.66%	0.0774	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.078675	-0.22%	0.08355	+5.96%	0.0567	✗	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.084968	-0.33%	0.07885	-7.51%	0.0387	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.083028	-0.27%	0.08525	+2.40%	0.0036	✗	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.08438	-0.32%	0.08325	-1.65%	0.0181	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.080944	-0.25%	0.08465	+4.31%	0.0663	✗	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.084666	-0.28%	0.08115	-4.42%	0.0199	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.083466	-0.22%	0.0849	+1.49%	0.0263	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.084838	-0.25%	0.08365	-1.65%	0.0422	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.080274	-0.16%	0.08505	+5.78%	0.0463	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.082584	-0.14%	0.0804	-2.78%	0.0244	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.085057	-0.17%	0.0827	-2.93%	0.0478	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.086223	-0.20%	0.0852	-1.39%	0.0148	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.09174	-0.28%	0.0864	-6.09%	0.0402	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.092894	-0.33%	0.092	-1.29%	0.0040	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.089273	-0.25%	0.0932	+4.13%	0.0154	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.088638	-0.24%	0.0895	+0.73%	0.0424	✗	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.090687	-0.23%	0.08885	-2.26%	0.0197	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.091625	-0.24%	0.0909	-1.03%	0.0005	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.095156	-0.26%	0.09185	-3.72%	0.0587	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.090725	-0.19%	0.0954	+4.95%	0.0269	✗	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.09857	-0.23%	0.0909	-8.00%	0.0546	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.108833	-0.34%	0.0988	-9.52%	0.0806	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.106363	-0.27%	0.1092	+2.39%	0.0163	✗	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.106284	-0.30%	0.10665	+0.05%	0.0086	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.106253	-0.42%	0.1066	-0.09%	0.0106	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.09485	-0.26%	0.1067	+12.20%	0.0927	✗	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.090599	-0.22%	0.0951	+4.74%	0.0112	✗	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.086465	-0.16%	0.0908	+4.85%	0.0148	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.104377	-0.50%	0.0866	-17.45%	0.1513	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.095506	-0.31%	0.1049	+9.50%	0.0792	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.100485	-0.36%	0.0958	-5.01%	0.0380	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.103135	-0.55%	0.10085	-2.75%	0.0210	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.103949	-0.91%	0.1037	-1.14%	0.0087	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.091648	-0.38%	0.1049	+14.02%	0.1640	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.08849	-0.35%	0.092	+3.60%	0.0776	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.084594	-0.30%	0.0888	+4.66%	0.0791	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.088895	-0.34%	0.08485	-4.88%	0.0635	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.093934	-0.39%	0.0892	-5.41%	0.0287	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.100217	-0.58%	0.0943	-6.45%	0.0785	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.097309	-0.50%	0.1008	+3.07%	0.0211	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.110302	-2.04%	0.0978	-13.14%	0.0855	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.090732	-0.62%	0.1126	+23.33%	0.2439	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.089499	-0.72%	0.0913	+1.28%	0.0359	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.089071	-0.59%	0.09015	+0.61%	0.0018	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.086346	-0.75%	0.0896	+2.99%	0.0041	✓	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.081654	-1.15%	0.087	+5.33%	0.0408	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.075011	-0.52%	0.0826	+9.55%	0.0970	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.061347	+0.24%	0.0754	+23.20%	0.1562	✓	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.066229	+0.19%	0.0612	-7.41%	0.0732	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.070073	+0.10%	0.0661	-5.57%	0.0259	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.069389	+0.13%	0.07	+1.01%	0.0145	✓	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.06574	+0.37%	0.0693	+5.80%	0.0039	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.067249	+0.37%	0.0655	-2.24%	0.0221	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.084315	-0.10%	0.067	-20.62%	0.1752	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.093314	-0.62%	0.0844	-10.12%	0.0954	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.086036	-0.19%	0.0939	+8.93%	0.1463	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.092414	-0.63%	0.0862	-7.31%	0.0209	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.088668	-0.48%	0.093	+4.38%	0.0912	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.090437	-0.62%	0.0891	-2.09%	0.0112	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.088136	-0.64%	0.091	+2.59%	0.0242	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.094407	-1.14%	0.0887	-7.12%	0.0595	✓	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.084745	-0.42%	0.0955	+12.22%	0.1355	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.087642	-0.52%	0.0851	-3.41%	0.0006	✓	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.085593	-0.53%	0.0881	+2.38%	0.0595	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.080982	-0.39%	0.08605	+5.84%	0.0549	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.083913	-0.46%	0.0813	-3.56%	0.0384	✓	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.081962	-0.29%	0.0843	+2.55%	0.0028	✓	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.089151	-0.61%	0.0822	-8.36%	0.0381	✓	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.086658	-0.62%	0.0897	+2.87%	0.0331	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.081381	-0.33%	0.0872	+6.80%	0.0548	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.083456	-0.35%	0.08165	-2.51%	0.0183	✓	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.083315	-0.34%	0.08375	+0.18%	0.0147	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.08634	-0.42%	0.0836	-3.58%	0.0182	✓	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.088572	-0.48%	0.0867	-2.58%	0.0022	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.09574	-0.63%	0.089	-7.63%	0.0334	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.093638	-0.60%	0.09635	+2.28%	0.0065	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.095454	-0.62%	0.0942	-1.93%	0.0097	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.101724	-0.66%	0.09605	-6.20%	0.0347	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.106617	-0.68%	0.1024	-4.61%	0.0318	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.105433	-0.72%	0.10735	+1.08%	0.0101	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.109079	-1.02%	0.1062	-3.63%	0.0353	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.105656	-0.89%	0.1102	+3.38%	0.0388	✗	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.099297	-0.75%	0.1066	+6.55%	0.0935	✗	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.091988	-0.61%	0.10005	+8.10%	0.0758	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.087933	-0.53%	0.09255	+4.69%	0.0351	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.089237	-0.52%	0.0884	-1.45%	0.0299	✓	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.090128	-0.52%	0.0897	-0.99%	0.0028	✓	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.090633	-0.51%	0.0906	-0.55%	0.0075	✓	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.09086	-0.37%	0.0911	-0.11%	0.0301	✓	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.092674	-0.40%	0.0912	-1.99%	0.0256	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.095569	-0.55%	0.09305	-3.17%	0.0167	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.097751	-0.66%	0.0961	-2.34%	0.0014	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.099987	-0.71%	0.0984	-2.28%	0.0069	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.099414	-0.73%	0.1007	+0.55%	0.0051	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.099386	-0.66%	0.10015	+0.10%	0.0043	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.100413	-0.63%	0.10005	-0.99%	0.0110	✗	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.101139	-0.60%	0.10105	-0.69%	0.0022	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.101967	-0.62%	0.10175	-0.83%	0.0358	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.103904	-0.67%	0.1026	-1.91%	0.0216	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.103189	-0.64%	0.1046	+0.72%	0.0255	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.108676	-0.62%	0.10385	-5.03%	0.0089	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.126566	-0.65%	0.10935	-14.17%	0.1211	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.139359	-1.02%	0.1274	-9.52%	0.1267	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.130159	-0.68%	0.1408	+7.44%	0.0723	✗	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.13303	-0.72%	0.13105	-2.20%	0.0279	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.138602	-1.00%	0.134	-4.29%	0.0285	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.123435	-0.66%	0.14	+12.68%	0.0533	✗	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.13561	-0.80%	0.12425	-9.11%	0.0419	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.129295	-0.81%	0.1367	+4.87%	0.0540	✗	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.122345	-0.65%	0.13035	+5.85%	0.0402	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.123881	-0.66%	0.12315	-1.24%	0.0199	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.12924	-0.81%	0.1247	-4.30%	0.0196	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.119187	-0.76%	0.1303	+8.49%	0.0275	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.120711	-0.77%	0.1201	-1.27%	0.0019	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.116387	-0.82%	0.12165	+3.66%	0.0089	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.109385	-0.83%	0.11735	+6.39%	0.0634	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.116474	-2.21%	0.1103	-7.39%	0.0558	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.105209	-0.75%	0.1191	+12.36%	0.1501	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.092538	-0.34%	0.106	+14.16%	0.1382	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.088178	-0.20%	0.09285	+5.09%	0.0199	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.086324	-0.09%	0.08835	+2.26%	0.0062	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.088578	-0.08%	0.0864	-2.54%	0.0170	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.089224	-0.03%	0.08865	-0.67%	0.0057	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.093516	-0.14%	0.08925	-4.70%	0.0053	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.10025	-0.25%	0.09365	-6.82%	0.0157	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.097445	-0.26%	0.1005	+2.87%	0.0152	✗	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.096286	-0.27%	0.0977	+1.19%	0.0216	✗	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.090867	-0.20%	0.09655	+6.04%	0.0026	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.092493	-0.22%	0.09105	-1.78%	0.0069	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.094045	-0.22%	0.0927	-1.64%	0.0185	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.098798	-0.20%	0.09425	-4.80%	0.0591	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.108182	-0.25%	0.099	-8.71%	0.0612	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.118161	-0.33%	0.10845	-8.52%	0.0320	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.123211	-0.48%	0.11855	-4.24%	0.0199	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.107247	-0.19%	0.1238	+15.22%	0.1042	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.110041	-0.19%	0.10745	-2.54%	0.0559	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.108129	-0.20%	0.11025	+1.75%	0.0136	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.106294	-0.19%	0.10835	+1.74%	0.0107	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.09945	-0.15%	0.1065	+6.93%	0.0618	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.098969	-0.18%	0.0996	+0.45%	0.0012	✓	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.090921	-0.09%	0.09915	+8.96%	0.0549	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.092981	-0.07%	0.091	-2.20%	0.0760	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.094729	-0.08%	0.09305	-1.85%	0.0109	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098628	-0.07%	0.0948	-3.95%	0.0212	✓	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.118634	-0.27%	0.0987	-17.02%	0.1276	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.113926	-0.24%	0.11895	+4.16%	0.0794	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.115189	-0.44%	0.1142	-1.30%	0.1030	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.104414	-0.18%	0.1157	+10.61%	0.1137	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.097525	-0.08%	0.1046	+7.17%	0.0007	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.101745	-0.15%	0.0976	-4.22%	0.0141	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.091673	-0.03%	0.1019	+11.12%	0.0808	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.094532	-0.07%	0.0917	-3.07%	0.0063	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.103037	-0.35%	0.0946	-8.51%	0.0743	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.087118	+0.02%	0.1034	+18.71%	0.0871	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.087012	+0.01%	0.0871	+0.11%	0.0133	✓	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.089529	-0.02%	0.087	-2.85%	0.0366	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.096609	-0.09%	0.08955	-7.39%	0.0687	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.095071	-0.08%	0.0967	+1.63%	0.0176	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.093587	-0.07%	0.09515	+1.60%	0.0050	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.092309	-0.04%	0.09365	+1.41%	0.0025	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.096507	-0.10%	0.09235	-4.40%	0.0216	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.101936	-0.26%	0.0966	-5.48%	0.0246	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.096084	-0.12%	0.1022	+6.24%	0.0603	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.101855	-0.34%	0.0962	-5.87%	0.0367	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.097038	-0.27%	0.1022	+5.04%	0.0320	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.091754	-0.10%	0.0973	+5.93%	0.0045	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.081938	+0.41%	0.09185	+12.56%	0.1316	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.08141	+0.44%	0.0816	+0.68%	0.0401	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.084004	+0.42%	0.08105	-3.11%	0.0089	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.083061	+0.56%	0.08365	+1.27%	0.0107	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.084408	+0.73%	0.0826	-1.43%	0.0432	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.084417	+0.80%	0.0838	+0.06%	0.0194	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.080059	+1.47%	0.08375	+6.15%	0.1557	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.095426	+0.61%	0.0789	-16.82%	0.1399	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.095634	+0.56%	0.09485	-0.26%	0.0741	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.104287	+0.32%	0.0951	-8.51%	0.0024	✓	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.101905	+0.60%	0.10395	+2.62%	0.0332	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.106867	+0.53%	0.1013	-4.70%	0.0008	✓	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.122848	-0.00%	0.1063	-13.47%	0.0164	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.125682	-0.01%	0.12285	-2.27%	0.0114	✓	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.14377	-0.85%	0.1257	-13.31%	0.0080	✓	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.137255	-0.83%	0.145	+4.77%	0.0537	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.124774	-0.06%	0.1384	+10.85%	0.0812	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.118935	+0.28%	0.12485	+5.27%	0.0046	✓	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.128868	-0.18%	0.1186	-8.13%	0.0185	✓	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.124314	-0.07%	0.1291	+3.78%	0.0477	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.122841	-0.01%	0.1244	+1.26%	0.0123	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.125902	-0.08%	0.12285	-2.50%	0.0271	✓	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.120784	+0.15%	0.126	+4.48%	0.0157	✓	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.133112	-0.51%	0.1206	-9.87%	0.0085	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.130729	-0.51%	0.1338	+1.83%	0.0502	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.139618	-0.56%	0.1314	-6.41%	0.0246	✓	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.143938	-0.53%	0.1404	-2.97%	0.0154	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.1421	-0.49%	0.1447	+1.33%	0.0201	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.160801	-0.62%	0.1428	-11.74%	0.0878	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.160662	-0.64%	0.1618	+0.06%	0.0292	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.15246	-0.55%	0.1617	+5.48%	0.0513	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.163482	-0.62%	0.1533	-6.81%	0.0729	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.160144	-0.53%	0.1645	+2.17%	0.0133	✗	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.168252	-0.56%	0.161	-4.85%	0.0402	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.164312	-0.48%	0.1692	+2.48%	0.0433	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.177761	-0.53%	0.1651	-7.61%	0.0670	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.207049	-1.03%	0.1787	-14.58%	0.0909	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.188613	-0.63%	0.2092	+10.22%	0.1070	✗	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.191293	-0.68%	0.1898	-1.45%	0.0701	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.197194	-0.81%	0.1926	-3.12%	0.0483	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.193352	-1.15%	0.1988	+1.64%	0.0099	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.170016	-0.58%	0.1956	+14.39%	0.1088	✗	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.160462	-0.46%	0.171	+6.08%	0.0495	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.163116	-0.42%	0.1612	-1.59%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.157425	-0.49%	0.1638	+3.54%	0.0250	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.154575	-0.53%	0.1582	+1.80%	0.0319	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.152393	-0.46%	0.1554	+1.50%	0.0188	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.13941	-0.24%	0.1531	+9.55%	0.0878	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.13296	-0.18%	0.13975	+4.92%	0.0484	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.13269	-0.23%	0.1332	+0.15%	0.0088	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.129692	-0.16%	0.133	+2.39%	0.0231	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.128173	-0.18%	0.1299	+1.17%	0.0262	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.129058	-0.19%	0.1284	-0.70%	0.0042	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.136582	-0.30%	0.1293	-5.62%	0.0584	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.130786	-0.32%	0.137	+4.42%	0.0438	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.119204	-0.08%	0.1312	+9.97%	0.0655	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.125097	-0.12%	0.1193	-4.75%	0.0387	✓	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.133211	-0.18%	0.12525	-6.14%	0.0427	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.13509	-0.12%	0.13345	-1.33%	0.0287	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.151224	-0.22%	0.13525	-10.76%	0.0915	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.155748	-0.29%	0.15155	-2.98%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.148043	-0.24%	0.1562	+5.26%	0.0539	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.162799	-0.28%	0.1484	-9.10%	0.0678	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.