XEF

Xeffy · native · gru_s6

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 363

Track record at +30d

assessed

91

of 121 predictions shown

direction hit

68.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2116

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0959

actual -0.0970

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.004312	0.003926	-8.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.004312	0.003933	-8.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.003948	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.00397	-9.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.00389	-9.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.00406	-10.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004053	-10.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.00406	-11.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.003825	-11.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.003667	-11.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.003607	-12.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003526	-12.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003536	-12.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003532	-12.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003402	-13.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.003643	-12.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.003738	-9.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.003727	-8.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004155	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003435	-10.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004595	-7.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004662	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004599	-8.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.003903	-8.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004187	-7.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004181	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004358	-5.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004482	-5.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.004916	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004265	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.00427	-1.93%	0.004312	-0.97%	0.0021	✓	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004277	-1.36%	0.004312	-0.57%	0.0002	✓	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.0041	-6.23%	0.00434	-0.73%	0.0648	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004327	-5.17%	0.004365	-4.34%	0.0114	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004548	-5.14%	0.0043	-10.32%	0.0516	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.004889	-10.29%	0.004521	-17.03%	0.0666	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004195	-3.43%	0.004544	+4.61%	0.0922	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003715	-3.17%	0.004581	+19.39%	0.2448	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003839	-0.91%	0.004339	+12.01%	0.1354	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003627	-0.49%	0.004166	+14.28%	0.1574	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.003031	-0.81%	0.00412	+34.84%	0.3180	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.00386	-0.63%	0.004012	+3.30%	0.0551	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003964	-0.11%	0.004044	+1.89%	0.0359	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.00407	+1.50%	0.004051	+1.04%	0.0061	✓	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004838	-1.29%	0.003918	-20.06%	0.2018	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004778	-1.17%	0.004142	-14.32%	0.1316	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004696	-0.45%	0.00412	-12.67%	0.1186	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004553	+0.53%	0.004078	-9.97%	0.0958	✗	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004782	+0.80%	0.004432	-6.56%	0.0590	✗	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.00512	+1.05%	0.003817	-24.66%	0.2834	✗	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.004959	-1.14%	0.004988	-0.55%	0.0331	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004989	-0.08%	0.005017	+0.48%	0.0334	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004659	-0.22%	0.005013	+7.36%	0.0890	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.004971	-1.49%	0.004268	-15.43%	0.1350	✓	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005026	-1.55%	0.004541	-11.03%	0.0861	✓	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005101	-1.88%	0.004455	-14.32%	0.1163	✓	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005411	+0.48%	0.004617	-14.26%	0.1451	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005358	-1.09%	0.004728	-12.72%	0.1080	✓	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005129	-1.94%	0.005116	-2.20%	0.0178	✓	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005191	-1.61%	0.004436	-15.93%	0.1386	✓	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.004994	-3.52%	0.004354	-15.89%	0.1059	✓	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.004829	-5.07%	0.004336	-14.75%	0.0713	✓	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.00469	-4.79%	0.004372	-11.25%	0.0603	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005258	-9.03%	0.004563	-21.05%	0.1544	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005082	-11.60%	0.004794	-16.60%	0.0704	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005088	-12.57%	0.005449	-6.36%	0.0536	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005136	-12.81%	0.004344	-26.25%	0.1823	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005208	-13.06%	0.003837	-35.94%	0.3234	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005238	-12.60%	0.003874	-35.35%	0.3229	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005189	-12.30%	0.003645	-38.39%	0.3721	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005203	-12.24%	0.003056	-48.46%	0.5526	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005331	-12.15%	0.003884	-35.99%	0.3370	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.005702	-11.93%	0.003968	-38.70%	0.3809	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.005987	-11.93%	0.00401	-41.02%	0.4183	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.005938	-12.44%	0.004901	-27.73%	0.2121	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.005613	-13.04%	0.004835	-25.10%	0.1708	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006052	-12.82%	0.004718	-32.04%	0.2729	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006175	-12.74%	0.004529	-35.99%	0.3349	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.006365	-13.05%	0.004744	-35.20%	0.3169	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.005666	-13.74%	0.005066	-22.87%	0.1166	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.005492	-13.96%	0.005016	-21.42%	0.0874	✓	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005196	-14.40%	0.004993	-17.74%	0.0362	✓	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005105	-14.29%	0.004669	-21.61%	0.0762	✓	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005157	-14.19%	0.005046	-16.03%	0.0093	✓	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005117	-14.42%	0.005104	-14.63%	0.0029	✓	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005198	-13.79%	0.005199	-13.77%	0.0029	✓	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005058	-13.59%	0.005385	-8.01%	0.0673	✓	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005323	-13.03%	0.005417	-11.50%	0.0206	✓	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.005532	-12.68%	0.005231	-17.44%	0.0480	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.005525	-12.50%	0.005276	-16.43%	0.0283	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.005501	-12.37%	0.005177	-17.53%	0.0420	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.005449	-12.27%	0.005087	-18.09%	0.0601	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005383	-12.21%	0.004926	-19.66%	0.0896	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.005566	-12.45%	0.00578	-9.08%	0.0379	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.005422	-13.26%	0.005749	-8.03%	0.0641	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005017	-13.51%	0.00582	+0.32%	0.1483	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005011	-13.61%	0.00589	+1.54%	0.1607	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.004989	-13.96%	0.00599	+3.30%	0.1789	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005185	-14.18%	0.005993	-0.80%	0.1421	✓	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005233	-14.30%	0.005916	-3.12%	0.1170	✓	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.005481	-15.02%	0.005929	-8.08%	0.1029	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.004592	-15.60%	0.006068	+11.55%	0.2606	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.00495	-15.57%	0.006474	+10.43%	0.2717	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.004592	-16.24%	0.006798	+23.98%	0.3900	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004171	-16.59%	0.006782	+35.64%	0.4750	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.00462	-17.45%	0.006455	+15.32%	0.3073	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003416	-16.32%	0.006942	+70.08%	0.6675	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.00321	-16.91%	0.007076	+83.15%	0.7756	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.00265	-18.21%	0.00732	+125.94%	1.0068	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.002634	-18.75%	0.006568	+102.62%	0.9064	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002387	-20.42%	0.006383	+112.76%	0.9774	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.001899	-22.24%	0.00607	+148.53%	1.1464	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006136	-7.37%	0.005956	-10.09%	0.0504	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.006677	-7.12%	0.006009	-16.41%	0.1520	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.00643	-7.26%	0.005979	-13.75%	0.1733	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007366	-6.91%	0.006029	-23.81%	0.2605	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008206	-6.59%	0.005854	-33.37%	0.4088	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008384	-6.77%	0.006121	-31.93%	0.3754	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.008541	-6.85%	0.006336	-30.90%	0.3838	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.008676	-6.84%	0.006314	-32.21%	0.3920	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.009727	-6.94%	0.006277	-39.94%	0.4876	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.