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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s6

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
244
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
73.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2297
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0377
actual -0.0868

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002667-2.50%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002655-2.39%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002652-2.67%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002955-3.91%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002625-2.60%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002633-2.29%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002682-2.28%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002716-1.75%0.002735-1.08%0.0065✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002789-1.63%0.00272-4.06%0.0230✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002704-1.66%0.002725-0.91%0.0065✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002777-1.72%0.003075+8.85%0.1178✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002789-1.81%0.002695-5.11%0.0195✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002743-1.68%0.002695-3.41%0.0077✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002696-1.78%0.002745+0.00%0.0138✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002838-1.79%0.002765-4.33%0.0108✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002897-1.46%0.002835-3.57%0.0008✓0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003183-2.05%0.00275-15.38%0.1041✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003079-1.64%0.002825-9.74%0.0540✓0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002968-2.03%0.00284-6.27%0.0236✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002873-1.95%0.00279-4.78%0.0069✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002956-1.80%0.002745-8.80%0.0384✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002903-1.92%0.00289-2.36%0.0014✓0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002878-1.25%0.00294+0.86%0.0006✓0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002955-1.52%0.00325+8.33%0.0705✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003088-1.65%0.00313-0.32%0.0086✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003339-2.35%0.00303-11.40%0.1010✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002875-0.68%0.00293+1.21%0.0140✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002788-0.43%0.00301+7.50%0.0711✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002826-0.49%0.00296+4.23%0.0561✗1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002935-0.32%0.002915-1.02%0.0221✗0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002891-0.13%0.003+3.63%0.0743✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002513-0.27%0.00314+24.60%0.1884✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002623-0.28%0.00342+30.04%0.2322✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002868-0.94%0.002895+0.00%0.0258✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002628-1.19%0.0028+5.26%0.0201✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002381-0.78%0.00284+18.33%0.0901✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002429-1.07%0.002945+19.96%0.0774✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.00253-0.57%0.002895+13.75%0.0427✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002549-1.18%0.00252-2.33%0.0598✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002655-1.67%0.00263-2.59%0.0543✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002704-1.51%0.002895+5.46%0.0300✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002572-1.27%0.00266+2.11%0.0358✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002822-1.33%0.0024-16.08%0.1383✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.00269-1.11%0.002455-9.74%0.0605✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002613-0.45%0.002545-3.05%0.0170✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002663-0.44%0.00258-3.55%0.0075✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002732-0.47%0.0027-1.64%0.0171✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002604-1.19%0.002745+4.17%0.0790✗0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002852-0.99%0.002605-9.55%0.0433✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002854-2.61%0.00286-2.39%0.0095✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003113-3.02%0.00272-15.26%0.1474✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.002937-2.90%0.002625-13.22%0.1191✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.00249-2.72%0.002675+4.49%0.0297✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002464-3.17%0.002745+7.86%0.0882✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002689-3.44%0.002635-5.39%0.0432✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.00275-3.18%0.00288+1.41%0.0344✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002606-2.96%0.00293+9.12%0.1376✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002616-3.29%0.00321+18.67%0.2180✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.00278-2.96%0.003025+5.58%0.0893✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.002973-2.69%0.00256-16.20%0.1486✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002862-3.14%0.002545-13.87%0.1324✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.002953-2.85%0.002785-8.39%0.0526✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.002891-4.91%0.00284-6.58%0.1145✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.002962-4.44%0.002685-13.39%0.2532✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002884-5.12%0.002705-11.02%0.3166✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003051-5.53%0.002865-11.30%0.3059✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.00289-4.94%0.003055+0.49%0.1892✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002926-5.02%0.002955-4.06%0.2163✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002789-4.63%0.00304+3.93%0.1587✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002794-4.47%0.00304+3.93%0.0834✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003039-4.72%0.0031-2.82%0.0637✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002813-4.47%0.00304+3.23%0.0644✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003234-5.58%0.00323-5.69%0.0030✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002887-5.04%0.00304+0.00%0.0539✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002929-5.20%0.00308-0.32%0.0503✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.00313-5.44%0.002925-11.63%0.0674✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003495-6.18%0.002925-21.48%0.1771✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004477-10.11%0.00319-35.94%0.3380✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.00291-2.68%0.002945-1.51%0.0108✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003081-3.10%0.003425+7.70%0.1067✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003181-3.31%0.00304-7.60%0.0428✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003172-2.39%0.00309-4.92%0.0209✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003088-1.34%0.00331+5.75%0.0746✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003157-1.80%0.003725+15.86%0.1640✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003386-1.86%0.00498+44.35%0.3883✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003557-2.01%0.00299-17.63%0.1729✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.0036-1.37%0.00318-12.88%0.1248✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003707-1.94%0.00329-12.96%0.1266✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003656-1.04%0.00325-12.04%0.1236✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003661-0.80%0.00313-15.18%0.1600✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003794-1.06%0.003215-16.17%0.1668✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003947-1.34%0.00345-13.75%0.1423✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.00393-1.26%0.00363-8.79%0.0890✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003861-0.50%0.00365-5.93%0.0610✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004086-0.58%0.00378-8.03%0.0758✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004056-0.23%0.003695-9.10%0.0947✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004207-0.20%0.00369-12.46%0.1305✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004313-0.16%0.003835-11.23%0.1139✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004501-0.63%0.004-11.70%0.1124✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003748+1.57%0.00398+7.86%0.0657✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004161+1.49%0.00388-5.37%0.0655✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.00428+0.82%0.00411-3.18%0.0387✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004382+0.61%0.004065-6.66%0.0699✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004718-0.04%0.004215-10.70%0.1138✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005305-0.47%0.00432-18.95%0.2031✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.00492+0.00%0.00453-7.93%0.0728✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006145-1.53%0.00369-40.87%0.5000✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007253-2.39%0.0041-44.82%0.5817✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007876-2.88%0.004245-47.66%0.6177✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007581-2.81%0.004355-44.17%0.5522✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008005-3.14%0.00472-42.89%0.5231✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008273-3.35%0.00533-37.73%0.4347✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007679-2.91%0.00492-37.80%0.4363✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008306-3.42%0.00624-27.44%0.2733✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008671-4.61%0.00743-18.26%0.1412✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006948-2.28%0.00811+14.06%0.1737✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.00758-3.06%0.0078-0.26%0.0442✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007817-3.49%0.008265+2.04%0.0680✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007719-3.45%0.00856+7.07%0.1123✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007591-3.67%0.00791+0.38%0.0376✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.00821-4.65%0.0086-0.12%0.0278✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008513-5.31%0.00909+1.11%0.0465✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.00825-5.06%0.00711-18.18%0.1682✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008959-5.99%0.00782-17.94%0.1588✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008632-5.61%0.0081-11.43%0.0819✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008448-5.40%0.007995-10.47%0.0710✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009103-6.25%0.00788-18.85%0.1644✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009472-6.95%0.00861-15.42%0.1109✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008905-6.85%0.00899-5.96%0.0003✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.00797-5.12%0.00869+3.45%0.0744✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008843-6.62%0.00953+0.63%0.0740✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007306-2.46%0.009145+22.10%0.2242✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007258-1.92%0.00893+20.68%0.2037✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007483-0.75%0.00971+28.78%0.2758✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006601+1.08%0.01018+55.90%0.4526✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007162-0.52%0.00956+32.78%0.3077✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007724-1.35%0.0084+7.28%0.1014✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008072-0.10%0.00947+17.20%0.1869✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007901+0.14%0.00749-5.07%0.0363✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008649-2.16%0.0074-16.29%0.1581✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.00887-2.42%0.00754-17.05%0.1776✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009343-4.17%0.00653-33.03%0.3811✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011296-9.85%0.0072-42.54%0.5942✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008824-5.97%0.00783-16.57%0.2551✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008465-5.00%0.00808-9.32%0.2111✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010085-8.31%0.00789-28.27%0.3874✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.00716-1.79%0.00884+21.26%0.1118✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007294-3.07%0.00909+20.80%0.1234✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007324-4.51%0.00975+27.12%0.1978✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008369-6.28%0.01253+40.31%0.3784✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009268-6.99%0.009385-5.82%0.0003✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.00988-7.23%0.00891-16.34%0.1081✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011239-7.69%0.011-9.65%0.0235✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012576-9.07%0.00729-47.29%0.5539✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012073-8.61%0.007525-43.04%0.4785✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.016053-9.33%0.00767-56.68%0.7396✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.018243-11.23%0.00893-56.55%0.7149✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.01563-10.38%0.009965-42.86%0.4484✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.016275-10.67%0.01065-41.55%0.4186✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.01978-12.83%0.012175-46.34%0.4741✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015143-11.91%0.01383-19.55%0.0722✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.018646-14.55%0.01321-39.46%0.3347✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006114-9.89%0.017705+160.94%1.1168✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004207-4.39%0.02055+367.05%1.6666✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002463+0.93%0.01744+614.75%2.0469✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002437+0.28%0.01822+649.79%2.0590✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002369-0.45%0.02269+853.36%2.2811✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002263-0.33%0.01719+657.27%2.0076✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.00222-0.91%0.02182+874.11%2.3280✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002323-1.37%0.006785+188.11%1.0771✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002263-1.60%0.0044+91.30%0.6425✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002363-1.94%0.00244+1.24%0.0117✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002424-2.25%0.00243-2.02%0.0215✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002363-2.35%0.00238-1.65%0.0166✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002572-2.76%0.00227-14.18%0.1714✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002664-2.96%0.00224-18.40%0.2444✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002849-3.43%0.002355-20.17%0.2477✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.00282-3.41%0.0023-21.23%0.2354✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.002977-4.58%0.00241-22.76%0.2098✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002641-3.98%0.00248-9.82%0.0755✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003107-4.98%0.00242-25.99%0.2596✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003182-5.29%0.002645-21.28%0.1600✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003251-5.63%0.002745-20.32%0.1382✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003089-5.53%0.00295-9.79%0.0457✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.00333-6.46%0.00292-17.98%0.1501✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003319-6.39%0.00312-11.99%0.1220✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003259-6.21%0.00275-20.86%0.1943✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.00329-6.79%0.00327-7.37%0.0109✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003557-7.36%0.00336-12.50%0.0981✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.00337-6.52%0.003445-4.44%0.0223✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003343-6.61%0.00327-8.66%0.0510✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003303-6.70%0.00356+0.56%0.0560✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003726-7.20%0.003545-11.71%0.0963✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003776-8.24%0.003475-15.55%0.1230✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003726-7.89%0.00353-12.73%0.1153✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003597-6.58%0.00384-0.26%0.0150✓1.10
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