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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s6

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
251
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
62.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0762
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0105
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002739-0.58%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002754-0.41%0.002755-0.36%0.0019✓1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.00271-0.36%0.002765+1.65%0.0068✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002714-0.40%0.00272-0.18%0.0115✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003034-1.34%0.002725-11.38%0.1052✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002683-0.43%0.003075+14.10%0.1287✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002685-0.36%0.002695+0.00%0.0050✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002734-0.41%0.002695-1.82%0.0070✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002755-0.38%0.002745-0.72%0.0101✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002826-0.31%0.002765-2.47%0.0036✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002741-0.32%0.002835+3.09%0.0183✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002814-0.40%0.00275-2.65%0.0047✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002827-0.45%0.002825-0.53%0.0080✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002781-0.32%0.00284+1.79%0.0175✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002738-0.24%0.00279+1.64%0.0104✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002881-0.31%0.002745-5.02%0.0342✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002937-0.11%0.00289-1.70%0.0048✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003238-0.38%0.00294-9.54%0.0943✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003124-0.20%0.00325+3.83%0.0481✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003018-0.40%0.00313+3.30%0.0170✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002918-0.41%0.00303+3.41%0.0350✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002998-0.39%0.00293-2.66%0.0192✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002948-0.40%0.00301+1.69%0.0066✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002911-0.15%0.00296+1.54%0.0178✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002993-0.22%0.002915-2.83%0.0285✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003131-0.27%0.003-4.46%0.0319✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003395-0.73%0.00314-8.19%0.0786✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002891-0.15%0.00342+18.13%0.1644✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002797-0.09%0.002895+3.39%0.0378✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002836-0.13%0.0028-1.41%0.0130✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.00294-0.18%0.00284-3.57%0.0139✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002887-0.28%0.002945+1.73%0.0245✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002521+0.05%0.002895+14.88%0.0826✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002631+0.03%0.00252-4.18%0.0423✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002887-0.28%0.00263-9.15%0.0971✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002651-0.35%0.002895+8.83%0.0402✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002403+0.12%0.00266+10.83%0.0994✓0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002455-0.01%0.0024-2.24%0.0290✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002547+0.06%0.002455-3.54%0.0063✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002578-0.07%0.002545-1.36%0.0284✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002693-0.25%0.00258-4.44%0.0376✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002739-0.22%0.0027-1.64%0.0149✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002603-0.06%0.002745+5.37%0.0450✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002847-0.44%0.002605-8.92%0.0697✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002716-0.13%0.00286+5.15%0.0532✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002629+0.17%0.00272+3.62%0.0405✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002682+0.27%0.002625-1.87%0.0080✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002753+0.30%0.002675-2.55%0.0345✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002646+0.42%0.002745+4.17%0.0350✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002892+0.40%0.002635-8.51%0.0774✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002929-0.04%0.00288-1.71%0.0635✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003193-0.52%0.00293-8.72%0.0849✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003014-0.35%0.00321+6.12%0.0777✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002572+0.45%0.003025+18.16%0.1482✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002559+0.53%0.00256+0.59%0.0077✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002792+0.26%0.002545-8.62%0.0977✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002851+0.37%0.002785-1.94%0.0067✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002699+0.51%0.00284+5.77%0.0365✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002719+0.52%0.002685-0.74%0.0185✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002877+0.42%0.002705-5.58%0.0563✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003063+0.25%0.002865-6.22%0.0826✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002962+0.25%0.003055+3.38%0.0223✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003048+0.25%0.002955-2.80%0.0149✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.00304-0.00%0.00304+0.00%0.0717✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003084-0.52%0.00304-1.94%0.0758✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003001-1.27%0.0031+1.97%0.0574✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003177-1.65%0.00304-5.88%0.0478✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003-1.32%0.00323+6.25%0.0443✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.00304-1.29%0.00304-1.30%0.0032✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002895-1.01%0.00308+5.30%0.0611✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002896-1.00%0.002925+0.00%0.0185✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003142-1.51%0.002925-8.31%0.0717✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002912-1.13%0.00319+8.32%0.0926✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003358-1.97%0.002945-14.01%0.1299✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002999-1.36%0.003425+12.66%0.1339✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003046-1.41%0.00304-1.62%0.0021✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003257-1.61%0.00309-6.65%0.0526✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003643-2.19%0.00331-11.14%0.0966✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004646-6.70%0.003725-25.20%0.2208✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002972-0.59%0.00498+66.56%0.5173✗-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003155-0.80%0.00299-5.97%0.0523✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003259-0.95%0.00318-3.34%0.0246✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003226-0.74%0.00329+1.23%0.0215✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003118-0.38%0.00325+3.83%0.0413✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003198-0.52%0.00313-2.64%0.0272✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003425-0.72%0.003215-6.81%0.0604✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003604-0.72%0.00345-4.96%0.0435✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003627-0.64%0.00363-0.55%0.0014✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003755-0.65%0.00365-3.44%0.0350✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003675-0.53%0.00378+2.30%0.0319✗-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003675-0.41%0.003695+0.14%0.0060✗-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003816-0.49%0.00369-3.78%0.0369✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.00398-0.50%0.003835-4.13%0.0408✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003962-0.44%0.004+0.50%0.0079✗-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003861-0.50%0.00398+2.58%0.0345✗-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.00408-0.74%0.00388-5.60%0.0485✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004037-0.70%0.00411+1.11%0.0177✗-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004172-1.02%0.004065-3.56%0.0232✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004269-1.18%0.004215-2.43%0.0123✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.00445-1.77%0.00432-4.64%0.0336✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003683-0.18%0.00453+22.76%0.2059✗-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004089-0.27%0.00369-10.00%0.0986✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004231-0.34%0.0041-3.42%0.0343✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004344-0.24%0.004245-2.53%0.0233✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004704-0.35%0.004355-7.73%0.0787✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005312-0.35%0.00472-11.44%0.1145✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004927+0.15%0.00533+8.33%0.0823✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006235-0.08%0.00492-21.15%0.2435✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007407-0.31%0.00624-16.02%0.1758✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008067-0.53%0.00743-8.38%0.0810✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007764-0.46%0.00811+3.97%0.0451✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008217-0.58%0.0078-5.63%0.0502✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008494-0.77%0.008265-3.45%0.0243✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007862-0.61%0.00856+8.22%0.0912✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008507-1.08%0.00791-8.02%0.0689✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008902-2.06%0.0086-5.39%0.0404✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007076-0.48%0.00909+27.85%0.2538✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007769-0.65%0.00711-9.08%0.0910✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008034-0.81%0.00782-3.46%0.0274✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007931-0.80%0.0081+1.31%0.0226✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007827-0.67%0.007995+1.46%0.0167✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008536-0.85%0.00788-8.48%0.0874✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008891-1.10%0.00861-4.23%0.0386✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.0086-1.04%0.00899+3.45%0.0480✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009411-1.25%0.00869-8.81%0.0848✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009036-1.19%0.00953+4.21%0.0570✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008834-1.07%0.009145+2.41%0.0375✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009578-1.36%0.00893-8.03%0.0790✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.010008-1.69%0.00971-4.62%0.0362✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009384-1.84%0.01018+6.49%0.0787✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.00831-1.07%0.00956+13.81%0.1428✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009271-2.10%0.0084-11.30%0.0939✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007434-0.74%0.00947+26.44%0.2466✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007353-0.64%0.00749+1.22%0.0183✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007481-0.79%0.0074-1.86%0.0001✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.00652-0.16%0.00754+15.47%0.1442✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007179-0.29%0.00653-9.31%0.1032✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007795-0.45%0.0072-8.05%0.0812✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008058-0.28%0.00783-3.09%0.0098✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007899+0.12%0.00808+2.41%0.0214✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008809-0.35%0.00789-10.75%0.1352✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.009061-0.32%0.00884-2.75%0.0260✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009653-1.00%0.00909-6.77%0.0719✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012011-4.14%0.00975-22.19%0.2875✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009225-1.70%0.01253+33.51%0.2781✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008764-1.64%0.009385+5.33%0.0662✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010502-4.53%0.00891-19.00%0.1602✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007272-0.24%0.011+50.89%0.4124✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007503-0.29%0.00729-3.12%0.0359✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007656-0.19%0.007525-1.89%0.0310✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008874-0.63%0.00767-14.11%0.1517✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009871-0.94%0.00893-10.39%0.0993✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010557-0.87%0.009965-6.43%0.0572✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.012034-1.16%0.01065-12.53%0.1210✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.01356-1.95%0.012175-11.97%0.1122✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.013047-1.24%0.01383+4.69%0.0584✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017309-2.24%0.01321-25.39%0.2695✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019552-4.86%0.017705-13.84%0.0989✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016824-3.53%0.02055+17.83%0.2019✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017532-3.78%0.01744-4.28%0.0026✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.021041-7.27%0.01822-19.70%0.1411✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.016256-5.43%0.02269+32.00%0.3440✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.019551-10.40%0.01719-21.22%0.1384✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006242-8.01%0.02182+221.59%1.2685✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004109-6.62%0.006785+54.20%0.5221✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002441+0.03%0.0044+80.33%0.5979✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002426-0.18%0.00244+0.41%0.0219✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.00237-0.40%0.00243+2.10%0.0159✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002268-0.07%0.00238+4.85%0.0445✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002242+0.09%0.00227+1.34%0.0406✓1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002352-0.12%0.00224-4.88%0.0552✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002297-0.13%0.002355+2.39%0.0123✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.0024-0.41%0.0023-4.56%0.0583✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002468-0.49%0.00241-2.82%0.0222✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002412-0.32%0.00248+2.48%0.0222✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002623-0.82%0.00242-8.51%0.1053✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.00272-0.91%0.002645-3.64%0.0352✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002918-1.07%0.002745-6.95%0.0540✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002902-0.63%0.00295+1.03%0.0301✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003096-0.77%0.00292-6.41%0.0419✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002739-0.41%0.00312+13.45%0.1177✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003245-0.76%0.00275-15.90%0.1680✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003344-0.49%0.00327-2.68%0.0120✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003425-0.57%0.00336-2.47%0.0202✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003248-0.66%0.003445+5.35%0.0358✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003525-0.99%0.00327-8.15%0.0811✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003506-1.11%0.00356+0.42%0.0105✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003453-0.63%0.003545+2.01%0.0513✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003518-0.33%0.003475-1.56%0.0053✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003806-0.89%0.00353-8.07%0.1009✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.00358-0.69%0.00384+6.52%0.0657✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003559-0.59%0.003605+0.70%0.0041✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003524-0.46%0.00358+1.13%0.0195✗1.00
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