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WARD

Warden · Base · gru_s6

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
221
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
77.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5607
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1201
actual -0.2476

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.00253-7.50%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002523-7.25%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002512-7.81%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002783-9.50%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002469-8.38%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002483-7.85%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002531-7.79%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002577-6.79%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002661-6.14%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002573-6.43%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002649-6.24%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002657-6.45%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.00262-6.11%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002573-6.28%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002719-5.93%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002791-5.07%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003057-5.95%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.002962-5.38%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002844-6.13%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.00276-5.79%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002832-5.90%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002783-6.00%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002784-4.50%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002854-4.87%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.00298-5.11%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003222-5.79%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.0028-3.30%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002722-2.79%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002762-2.74%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002887-1.96%–pending––0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002868-0.94%0.002735-5.53%0.0008✓1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002454-2.60%0.00272+7.94%0.0841✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002566-2.43%0.002725+3.61%0.0537✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002793-3.54%0.003075+6.22%0.0838✗0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002524-5.13%0.002695+1.32%0.0125✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002286-4.76%0.002695+12.29%0.1077✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002324-5.33%0.002745+11.81%0.0936✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002447-3.84%0.002765+8.64%0.0839✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002447-5.16%0.002835+9.88%0.0784✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002539-5.98%0.00275+1.85%0.0295✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002592-5.58%0.002825+2.91%0.0195✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002472-5.09%0.00284+9.02%0.0664✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002736-4.33%0.00279-2.45%0.0258✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002594-4.64%0.002745+0.92%0.0230✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002536-3.37%0.00289+10.10%0.0884✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002594-3.03%0.00294+9.91%0.0706✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002673-2.63%0.00325+18.40%0.1322✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002528-4.06%0.00313+18.79%0.1452✗0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002787-3.22%0.00303+5.21%0.0506✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002726-6.95%0.00293+0.00%0.0112✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.002981-7.12%0.00301-6.23%0.0758✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.002827-6.53%0.00296-2.15%0.0153✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002373-7.31%0.002915+13.87%0.1142✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002343-7.92%0.003+17.88%0.1840✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002545-8.60%0.00314+12.75%0.1301✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002625-7.58%0.00342+20.42%0.2158✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002497-7.01%0.002895+7.82%0.0906✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002503-7.48%0.0028+3.51%0.0457✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002669-6.83%0.00284-0.87%0.0016✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.002858-6.46%0.002945-3.60%0.0729✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002738-7.34%0.002895-2.03%0.0587✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.002845-6.42%0.00252-17.11%0.1559✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.002704-11.06%0.00263-13.49%0.1366✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.002767-10.73%0.002895-6.61%0.1370✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002658-12.56%0.00266-12.50%0.2151✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.002804-13.20%0.0024-25.70%0.3545✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002655-12.65%0.002455-19.24%0.2910✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.00269-12.66%0.002545-17.37%0.2980✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002572-12.05%0.00258-11.79%0.2197✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002586-11.59%0.0027-7.69%0.1920✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.002814-11.79%0.002745-13.95%0.2098✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002601-11.67%0.002605-11.54%0.1346✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.002976-13.11%0.00286-16.50%0.0817✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002654-12.69%0.00272-10.53%0.0118✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002687-13.06%0.002625-15.05%0.0239✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.00287-13.29%0.002675-19.18%0.0728✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003199-14.12%0.002745-26.31%0.1673✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.00408-18.06%0.002635-47.09%0.4466✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002659-11.06%0.00288-3.68%0.1150✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.002816-11.45%0.00293-7.86%0.0672✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.002911-11.53%0.00321-2.43%0.1225✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.002911-10.43%0.003025-6.92%0.0742✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.002846-9.07%0.00256-18.21%0.0716✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.002923-9.08%0.002545-20.84%0.1029✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003155-8.54%0.002785-19.28%0.0793✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003322-8.50%0.00284-21.76%0.1022✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003392-7.07%0.002685-26.44%0.1857✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003488-7.72%0.002705-28.44%0.2067✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003462-6.31%0.002865-22.46%0.1402✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003467-6.06%0.003055-17.21%0.0930✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003603-6.05%0.002955-22.95%0.1613✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003756-6.10%0.00304-24.00%0.1722✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003741-6.01%0.00304-23.62%0.1857✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003682-5.11%0.0031-20.10%0.1595✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.003906-4.97%0.00304-26.03%0.2506✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003883-4.48%0.00323-20.54%0.1851✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004024-4.54%0.00304-27.88%0.2835✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004127-4.47%0.00308-28.70%0.2947✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004312-4.81%0.002925-35.43%0.3956✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003555-3.67%0.002925-20.73%0.2008✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.003959-3.45%0.00319-22.20%0.2141✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.0041-3.42%0.002945-30.62%0.3312✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004207-3.40%0.003425-21.35%0.2050✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.00455-3.59%0.00304-35.59%0.4000✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005135-3.67%0.00309-42.03%0.5014✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004765-3.15%0.00331-32.72%0.3539✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.00595-4.65%0.003725-40.30%0.4626✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.006977-6.10%0.00498-32.97%0.3333✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007538-7.05%0.00299-63.13%0.9232✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007257-6.97%0.00318-59.23%0.8238✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007637-7.60%0.00329-60.19%0.8389✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.007872-8.03%0.00325-62.03%0.8809✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007324-7.41%0.00313-60.43%0.8388✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.00787-8.49%0.003215-62.62%0.8791✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008185-9.96%0.00345-62.05%0.8510✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006614-6.98%0.00363-48.95%0.5797✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007181-8.17%0.00365-53.32%0.6582✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007373-8.98%0.00378-53.33%0.6426✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007271-9.05%0.003695-53.78%0.6547✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007153-9.22%0.00369-53.17%0.6514✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.007693-10.65%0.003835-55.46%0.6859✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.007946-11.61%0.004-55.51%0.6761✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.007702-11.37%0.00398-54.20%0.6442✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008325-12.65%0.00388-59.29%0.7584✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008025-12.24%0.00411-55.06%0.6631✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.007858-12.01%0.004065-54.48%0.6498✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.008429-13.20%0.004215-56.59%0.6961✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.00875-14.05%0.00432-57.56%0.7153✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008241-13.79%0.00453-52.62%0.6050✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.007396-11.95%0.00369-56.07%0.6988✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008152-13.91%0.0041-56.71%0.6956✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.006727-10.18%0.004245-43.32%0.4594✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006658-10.03%0.004355-41.15%0.4234✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.00682-9.55%0.00472-37.40%0.3543✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.005955-8.81%0.00533-18.38%0.1034✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006485-9.93%0.00492-31.67%0.2812✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.006997-10.64%0.00624-20.31%0.1143✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007264-10.09%0.00743-8.04%0.0466✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007074-10.34%0.00811+2.79%0.1541✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.007787-11.91%0.0078-11.76%0.0047✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.007981-12.20%0.008265-9.08%0.0262✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.00842-13.64%0.00856-12.21%0.0074✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.010217-18.46%0.00791-36.87%0.4587✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.007953-15.26%0.0086-8.36%0.1281✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.007587-14.84%0.00909+2.02%0.0063✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.009076-17.49%0.00711-35.36%0.4060✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006307-13.49%0.00782+7.27%0.0723✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.006432-14.53%0.0081+7.64%0.0915✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.006474-15.59%0.007995+4.24%0.0473✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.007443-16.65%0.00788-11.76%0.0174✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.008265-17.06%0.00861-13.60%0.0151✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.008819-17.19%0.00899-15.59%0.0031✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.010053-17.43%0.00869-28.62%0.1586✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.011307-18.25%0.00953-31.09%0.2014✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.010841-17.94%0.009145-30.77%0.1978✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.014469-18.28%0.00893-49.56%0.4987✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.016571-19.36%0.00971-52.75%0.5103✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.014173-18.73%0.01018-41.63%0.2815✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.014797-18.79%0.00956-47.53%0.3889✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.018095-20.25%0.0084-62.98%0.7234✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.013874-19.29%0.00947-44.91%0.2865✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.017067-21.78%0.00749-65.67%0.7280✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.005766-15.02%0.0074+9.06%0.5165✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004179-5.02%0.00754+71.36%0.9705✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002482+1.71%0.00653+167.62%1.3944✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002419-0.46%0.0072+196.30%1.4517✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002327-2.22%0.00783+228.99%1.5768✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002218-2.27%0.00808+255.95%1.7081✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002169-3.18%0.00789+252.23%1.7494✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002254-4.31%0.00884+275.37%1.5968✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002185-4.98%0.00909+295.22%1.6374✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002268-5.89%0.00975+304.56%1.6168✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002323-6.34%0.01253+405.24%1.7803✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002257-6.74%0.009385+287.81%1.4841✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002441-7.72%0.00891+236.86%1.3280✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002524-8.05%0.011+300.73%1.5035✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002689-8.84%0.00729+147.12%1.0340✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002672-8.49%0.007525+157.71%1.0753✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.002801-10.21%0.00767+145.83%1.0437✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002489-9.50%0.00893+224.73%1.2826✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.002893-11.54%0.009965+204.74%1.2430✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.002964-11.77%0.01065+216.96%1.2994✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003013-12.53%0.012175+253.41%1.4314✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.002861-12.51%0.01383+322.94%1.5609✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003056-14.15%0.01321+271.07%1.4437✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003043-14.17%0.017705+399.44%1.7240✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.002992-13.89%0.02055+491.37%1.9113✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003013-14.65%0.01744+394.05%1.7519✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003235-15.77%0.01822+374.48%1.6898✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003067-14.91%0.02269+529.40%1.9459✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003031-15.34%0.01719+380.17%1.6465✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.002986-15.66%0.02182+516.38%1.9258✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003337-16.90%0.006785+68.99%0.5686✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003357-18.42%0.0044+6.93%0.1453✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003308-18.23%0.00244-39.68%0.4372✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003191-17.11%0.00243-36.88%0.4007✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.003308-17.92%0.00238-40.94%0.4621✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.003491-19.84%0.00227-47.88%0.5478✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003178-16.04%0.00224-40.82%0.5192✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.003373-17.54%0.002355-42.42%0.5196✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.003487-16.97%0.0023-45.24%0.5889✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.00346-16.11%0.00241-41.58%0.5220✓1.00
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