PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s6

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +7d

assessed

161

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

52.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0940

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0115

actual -0.0041

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.611973	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.604581	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.61893	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.618213	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.604176	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.638741	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.584073	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.578247	-1.08%	0.62925	+7.65%	0.0754	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.611961	-1.83%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0135	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.607177	-1.54%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0427	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.66113	-2.45%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0346	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.663211	-2.39%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0656	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.645554	-2.35%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0190	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.626528	-2.27%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0594	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.640868	-2.66%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0808	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.63996	-2.70%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0106	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.720737	-2.74%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1301	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.786166	-3.40%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1319	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.698623	-2.73%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0180	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.726226	-2.78%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0837	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.683629	-2.62%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0473	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.696325	-2.88%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0545	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.662328	-2.61%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0172	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.652044	-2.77%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1158	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.637106	-2.90%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2323	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.602758	-2.41%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1733	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.641945	-2.96%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1490	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.603714	-2.44%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1479	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.567356	-2.16%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2392	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.567677	-1.85%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.1979	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.56339	-1.82%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.1976	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.504624	-1.55%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2408	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.528731	-1.81%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1349	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.528637	-1.83%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.2034	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.504254	-2.14%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1540	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.504523	-2.11%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.0888	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.478387	-1.80%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1374	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.489205	-1.52%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1191	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.468364	-1.31%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0686	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.47457	-1.28%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1068	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.483305	-1.38%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.0907	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.482976	-1.89%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0657	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.472306	-1.24%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.0980	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.438214	+0.03%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1183	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.447995	-0.11%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1071	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.426767	+0.89%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1234	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.419674	+1.03%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1484	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.415802	+1.00%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1757	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.414901	+1.52%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.1937	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.407263	+0.29%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1571	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.415668	+0.43%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0488	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.416051	+0.85%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0734	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.419482	+0.58%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0016	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.427279	+0.52%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0337	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.422603	+0.60%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0324	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.422075	+1.46%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0358	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.412805	+1.08%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0101	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.423716	+0.87%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0192	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.451033	+0.79%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0878	✗	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.409909	+0.79%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0175	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.395268	+0.68%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0694	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.424495	+0.93%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0093	✗	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.397559	+0.04%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0363	✓	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.394925	-0.70%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0184	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.383363	-1.17%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0789	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.364425	-1.11%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1865	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.363027	-1.23%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.0949	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.372041	-1.13%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0329	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.365651	-0.96%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1155	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.374706	-0.88%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0472	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.375344	-0.94%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0484	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.387391	-1.09%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0015	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.396322	-1.10%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0744	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.403901	-1.22%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0881	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.388087	-1.21%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0247	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.388368	-1.23%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0464	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.38995	-1.27%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0286	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.38941	-1.27%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0230	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.395885	-1.37%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0088	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.408517	-1.51%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0210	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.433065	-1.62%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0627	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.437679	-1.65%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.1156	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.429524	-1.39%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0956	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.445525	-1.27%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1191	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.429984	-0.98%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0876	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.42256	-0.97%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0516	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.396598	-0.46%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0452	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.377898	-0.05%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1569	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.386055	+0.04%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1459	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.38602	+0.15%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1239	✓	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.380665	+0.16%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1710	✓	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.365371	+0.34%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1793	✓	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.342795	+0.44%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2275	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.326314	+0.61%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2036	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.351818	+0.55%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0701	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.368009	+0.40%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0489	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.395474	+0.17%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0263	✗	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.394424	+0.21%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0416	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.388328	+0.28%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0693	✗	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.386066	+0.51%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1288	✗	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.393162	+0.62%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.2048	✗	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.417948	+0.54%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1811	✗	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.419417	+0.56%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1384	✗	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.416277	+0.50%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0521	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.395297	+0.58%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0061	✗	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.402228	+0.68%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0456	✗	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.416996	+0.60%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0869	✗	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.40822	+0.65%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0384	✗	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.393106	+0.54%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0555	✓	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.420736	+0.15%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0109	✗	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.424954	+0.13%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0308	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.417101	+0.18%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0644	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.417571	+0.38%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0506	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.419633	+0.51%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0253	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.455736	+0.21%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.1220	✗	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.460673	+0.17%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1700	✗	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.460905	+0.23%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0974	✗	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.430087	+0.53%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0166	✗	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.436749	+0.49%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0502	✗	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.459564	+0.14%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0988	✗	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.50033	-0.34%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1837	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.537484	-0.75%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1730	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.546543	-0.81%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1783	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.55308	-0.97%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1912	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.558751	-0.96%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2725	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.594795	-1.36%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3168	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.546211	-1.03%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1714	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.550868	-1.23%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0904	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.575757	-1.54%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0599	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.573646	-1.52%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0392	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.583821	-1.53%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0442	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.605847	-1.78%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0712	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.547332	-1.13%	0.603	+8.92%	0.0974	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.579471	-1.18%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0565	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.575455	-1.14%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0412	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.593205	-1.58%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0212	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.623498	-1.98%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0732	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.634732	-1.45%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0779	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.637099	-1.50%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0392	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.605004	-1.37%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0873	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.602336	-1.19%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0106	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.594875	-1.75%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0170	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.609727	-3.48%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0516	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.60235	-3.71%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1596	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.597382	-3.35%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.2112	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.592109	-2.78%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.2134	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.607427	-3.03%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.1057	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.617585	-3.35%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1358	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.59259	-2.65%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1504	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.600152	-2.79%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1312	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.602008	-2.48%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0835	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.63332	-2.92%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0140	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.623534	-2.37%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0044	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.640407	-3.00%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0313	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.615759	-2.51%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0787	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.565685	-1.60%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0856	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.619731	-2.36%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0077	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.700051	-3.07%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1202	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.738265	-3.24%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1048	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.695121	-2.34%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0379	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.725457	-2.00%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0497	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.68699	-2.19%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0609	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.749777	-2.23%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2183	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.784483	-1.99%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1516	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.883476	-3.00%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1415	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.942514	-6.05%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1792	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.820361	-5.30%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1278	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.62283	-1.48%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1594	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.