PROS

Pharos · native · gru_s6

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 507

Track record at +30d

assessed

139

of 169 predictions shown

direction hit

67.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1841

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0466

actual +0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.59875	0.564108	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-21	oos	0.59595	0.564593	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.581753	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.591095	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.598812	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.58202	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.621019	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.569995	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.562211	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.605701	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.595228	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.654072	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.653654	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.635943	-3.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.617791	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.63608	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.633768	-3.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.707231	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.773867	-4.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.68264	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.708072	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.670007	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.681053	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.650163	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.641564	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.633745	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.600784	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.642741	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.603009	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.564215	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.563337	-2.60%	0.59875	+3.52%	0.0742	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.561061	-2.23%	0.59595	+3.85%	0.0794	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.497503	-2.94%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.2075	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.52171	-3.11%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.1912	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.520633	-3.32%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.1867	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.49389	-4.15%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.1867	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.492362	-4.47%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2496	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.467975	-3.94%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.2020	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.477631	-3.85%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.1852	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.459445	-3.19%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.2743	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.465421	-3.18%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2595	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.474682	-3.14%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3258	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.475616	-3.39%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3277	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.466302	-2.50%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3287	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.433419	-1.07%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.3780	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.444551	-0.88%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.3760	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.424273	+0.30%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4146	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.417438	+0.49%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5463	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.414753	+0.74%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6441	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.41646	+1.90%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5292	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.409565	+0.85%	0.747	+83.94%	0.5758	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.417634	+0.90%	0.702	+69.61%	0.4937	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.419884	+1.78%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5191	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.423052	+1.44%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4529	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.432407	+1.73%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4212	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.428821	+2.08%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.4032	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.433576	+4.22%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3392	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.423618	+3.73%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4280	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.433695	+3.25%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3344	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.459783	+2.74%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.2153	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.415709	+2.22%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.3076	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.399821	+1.84%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3367	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.429639	+2.15%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1700	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.39902	+0.41%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.2896	✓	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.391968	-1.44%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.2998	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.376148	-3.03%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3041	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.358083	-2.83%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3487	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.358455	-2.47%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.2905	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.367118	-2.44%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.2800	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.362099	-1.92%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2483	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.371231	-1.80%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2421	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.371078	-2.06%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2572	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.381392	-2.62%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2263	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.389343	-2.85%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1677	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.392127	-4.10%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0733	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.377169	-3.99%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1322	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.377559	-3.98%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0836	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.37967	-3.87%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0503	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.378521	-4.03%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0349	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.38444	-4.23%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0039	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.394906	-4.80%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0226	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.416039	-5.49%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0553	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.420005	-5.62%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0681	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.414922	-4.75%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0424	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.431962	-4.27%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0542	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.419872	-3.31%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0222	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.414166	-2.94%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0138	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.392746	-1.43%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0179	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.380273	+0.57%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.0719	✓	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.386957	+0.27%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1128	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.387203	+0.45%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0190	✓	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.382884	+0.75%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0034	✓	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.369902	+1.58%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.0953	✓	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.34988	+2.51%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1079	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.334106	+3.01%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.1643	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.356341	+1.84%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.0849	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.369943	+0.93%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0030	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.391142	-0.93%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0584	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.390016	-0.91%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0331	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.385715	-0.40%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0373	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.384125	+0.01%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0101	✗	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.3885	-0.58%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0299	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.409417	-1.51%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0436	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.409902	-1.73%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0231	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.40545	-2.11%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0059	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.387454	-1.41%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0087	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.394451	-1.26%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0114	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.407256	-1.75%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0334	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.399898	-1.41%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0157	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.386402	-1.18%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0368	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.406101	-3.33%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0200	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.409533	-3.50%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0690	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.402515	-3.32%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0966	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.402577	-3.23%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0709	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.40285	-3.51%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0968	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.435269	-4.29%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0077	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.437205	-4.93%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0307	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.43388	-5.65%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.0908	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.405528	-5.21%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.0769	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.410975	-5.44%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.0690	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.430473	-6.19%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1129	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.464352	-7.51%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.1988	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.495626	-8.48%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3051	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.504119	-8.51%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.3854	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.510077	-8.67%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.4513	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.515137	-8.69%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.3850	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.548556	-9.03%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4014	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.503134	-8.84%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.2420	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.508719	-8.79%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.2551	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.533066	-8.84%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3187	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.529233	-9.14%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3202	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.535132	-9.74%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3131	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.553734	-10.22%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.2869	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.497438	-10.14%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.1763	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.52269	-10.86%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.2396	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.517869	-11.03%	0.393	-32.49%	0.2797	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.535683	-11.12%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.2915	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.562794	-11.52%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3059	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.568018	-11.81%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.3454	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.572102	-11.55%	0.391	-39.55%	0.3875	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.543996	-11.31%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.2540	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.540517	-11.33%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2324	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.53967	-10.87%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2191	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.559613	-11.41%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2075	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.550215	-12.04%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1161	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.543262	-12.11%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0338	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.534334	-12.27%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0074	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.548608	-12.42%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.0382	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.559626	-12.42%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.0547	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.53737	-11.72%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0268	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.552639	-10.49%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0506	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.554378	-10.19%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.1069	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.583139	-10.62%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.1071	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.568422	-11.00%	0.551	-13.73%	0.1454	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.596959	-9.58%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.1219	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.575085	-8.95%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1801	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.526882	-8.35%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3345	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.583055	-8.14%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1223	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.661854	-8.36%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0059	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.698747	-8.42%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0139	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.656604	-7.75%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0652	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.681493	-7.94%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0906	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.645269	-8.13%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1763	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.703359	-8.29%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.742201	-7.27%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0496	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.838341	-7.96%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.0777	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.889673	-11.32%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1434	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.775902	-10.43%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0378	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.602414	-4.71%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3406	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.